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USD$ is set to rise. On Monday I said the opposite: Falling I stand corrected on what I published last Monday right before the Asia session, I think a rushed analysis and when you see what you want to see in a chart to support an idea, it can all go wrong. Or did the USD$ have such a bullish week to turn the charts around in such a short space of time. I don't know but both the Daily and Weekly chart of the USDX have a very bullish W/Bottom. For those who don't know these patterns, they are basically a double/bottom or bottom1 & a bottom 2 and a W is formed as price is written up to a Neckline which is the yellow lines on the daily and weekly charts here. I initially thought and stated that the USD$ may run up to 1.11 /1.12 and from a technical standpoint of these W/bottoms that is exactly where price may end up. But lots can happen in the meantime. Briefly on Gold and Silver: The Gold price has turned around bullishly after turning down in a Double/Top for many days. This turnaround also coincides with the bottom trend-line which is also the bottom line of a Triangle formation on the daily. Next trading day I would expect Gold to continue to climb for a couple of sessions before turning back down to the trend line and bottom of Daily-triangle which is all but complete and price would then either breakdown or breakout from triangle. I think that despite the USD$ continuing to climb, the Gold price will do the same thing and climb but probably won't go to an ATH just yet. Silver has a bearish Head n Shoulders on the Daily. Price will retest the sell area next session on the daily which means the Silver price will get a false Long rally and selling will resume into the daily H n S pattern. The Silver price is right on the daily 200ema and back in January and February 2024 price got a little below the 200ema and then took off on a Long rally. Same thing expected, the HnS will play out and price will fall back a little more and then a buying spree and rally upwards will commence in Silver, possible just before the New Year.
PEPPERSTONE:USDXLong
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
Long dxyCurrently believed that dxy is or has started a wave 5 impulse to new highs. I believe that this will cause corrections across stock and crypto markets, potentially for next two years. Bitcoin may have toped, I, a, looking for a pull back to low 70 this next 12months being a A wave on a large scale corrections, with a push up before failure and settling around 40k regions before a few impulse out to 180k. I will monitor for sideways accumulation around 45-40k. This is my current bearish plan 21.12.2024
TVC:DXYShort
by belikeliquid
two buy positions on the DXY (U.S. DOLLAR INDEX)Here’s a structured plan for managing two buy positions on the DXY: --- 1. Entry Plan First Buy Position: Entry: 107.000 Likely Reason: Anticipation of strong support at this level, possibly near a significant technical or psychological level. Second Buy Position: Entry: 107.830 Likely Reason: Market reversal or breakout confirmation at this higher level. TVC:DXY 2. Risk Management Stop-Loss Levels: For the 107.000 position: Below 106.800 (to avoid a deeper pullback). For the 107.830 position: Below 107.500 (to account for short-term fluctuations). Position Sizing: Use smaller lot sizes for the second position if risk increases near resistance zones. --- 3. Take-Profit Strategy Conservative Targets: For both positions, a short-term take-profit can be set at 108.200, which may align with minor resistance. Aggressive Targets: Extend profit-taking to 108.500 or 109.000, depending on momentum and fundamental triggers. --- 4. Monitoring Key Levels Support Zones: Strong support at 107.000: Look for price consolidation here if it drops further. Resistance Zones: 108.000–108.200: Watch for profit-taking or reversal at these levels. 109.000: A more aggressive upside target.
TVC:DXYLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
DXY Will Go Up From Support! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for DXY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 106.945. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 108.251 level soon. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYLong
by SignalProvider
1
DXY - Bullish Wave ContinuesWe analysed DXY / Dollar few days back and it was highlighting a potential break above. This hsa been confirmed and the price now targets above Fib levels. Best approach is to go from level to level rather than aiming for a swing move as sentiments can switch anytime. For entries, please wait for at least two candle reversals at the specified level and apply appropriate risk management. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
TVC:DXYLong
by MarketsPOV
US Index Bullish after the FOMC Fed rate Cut off to 4.5US index bulish after the FOMC Fed rate cut. Now the Price is still at 108.133 and the last resistance was break on the current level and wait for the confirmations The next level will be 109.156 and 109.954. The USD positive impact will have a negative impact on major pairs and gold; be careful when opening the trades. *Note: When the USD idex is strongly bullish and sentiments also show the data will impact after the gold bullish recovery.
PEPPERSTONE:USDXLong
by Bloom_Forex_Official
DXY (THE DOLLAR INDEX)1. If the Dollar Breaks Out Above Resistance This scenario indicates bullish momentum, meaning the dollar could strengthen further. Implications: Continuation of Uptrend: Breaking resistance often signals strong buying interest or positive sentiment. Next Target: The price may move toward the next resistance level or a new high. Market Sentiment: This could result from strong economic data, higher interest rate expectations, or geopolitical factors favoring the dollar. Traders’ Actions: Enter long (buy) positions after confirming the breakout. Set stop-loss orders just below the breakout level to manage risk. --- 2. If the Dollar Fails to Break Resistance This scenario indicates a potential reversal or consolidation below the resistance level. Implications: Reversal to Downtrend: Failure to break resistance often signals profit-taking or bearish sentiment. Support Retest: The price might fall to test lower support levels. Market Sentiment: This could occur due to weak economic data, dovish central bank policies, or stronger foreign currencies. Traders’ Actions: Consider short (sell) positions if rejection at resistance is confirmed. Monitor for bearish patterns (e.g., double top or bearish engulfing candles). --- Confirmation is Key Volume Analysis: A breakout with high volume is more reliable, while rejection with high selling volume confirms resistance. Economic Data Events: Major announcements like interest rate decisions or employment data can influence the direction. Would you like help with specific dollar pairs or technical analysis?
TVC:DXY
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Rising Global Liquidity: Deflationary Dollar & Rallying EquitiesWhile it's uncommon for the dollar ( TVC:DXY ) and equities (S&P 500) to rise simultaneously, historical instances illustrate that it can occur under specific economic conditions. I think those conditions may be upon us! Historical Examples: 1995: DXY Movement: Strengthening S&P 500 Movement: Rising Context: Strong economic growth and corporate earnings propelled equities higher. 2001-2002: DXY Movement: Strengthening S&P 500 Movement: Rising Context: Economic recovery following the tech bubble burst. 2011: DXY Movement: Strengthening S&P 500 Movement: Rising Context: Safe-haven buying of the dollar amid European debt concerns, while stocks benefited from robust corporate earnings. March 2020: DXY Movement: Strengthening S&P 500 Movement: Rising (post-COVID) Context: Initial flight to safety due to uncertainty, followed by stimulus-driven stock market recovery. Mid-Late 2025 - Crescendo: DXY Movement: Potential strength driven by deflationary AI Pressure cheapening productivity & labor cycles S&P 500 Movement: Rising markets as all assets rally as a result of increased liquidity from stimulus Context: it takes a few months for stimulus to reach assets- the next few *years* might have stimulus coming. Inflate the debt away while the dollar rises? These historical instances suggest that a strengthening dollar *can* coexist with rising equities, particularly in environments characterized by global liquidity increases. Given the chart, we have a convergence of two long term trend lines, first in the ascending channel on the ‘short term’ (1yr candles, in top photo ascending channel). Then for the longer term ‘cup’ trend going back decades (ref bottom RSI momentum dating back to 1980s), *that* might show that we truly are on the cusp of incredible amounts of stimulus. What do you think? Is it possible that the dollar goes higher while we receive trillions in stimulus? Is this the fuel for the ‘everything rally’?
TVC:DXY
by httpz
Dollar Dominates: FED Rate Decision AheadThe US dollar is getting strong again, driven by a resilient US economy and expectations of a "hawkish cut" from the Federal Reserve. Despite talk of a rate cut, the US economy remains strong, with solid consumer spending and a tight labor market. This raises concerns about persistent inflation, suggesting the Fed may be cautious about further easing. Technically, the dollar index (DXY) is staging a convincing rebound, breaking above key resistance and eyeing new highs for 2024. This bullish momentum is likely to continue if the Fed delivers a "hawkish cut" – lowering rates while signaling a cautious stance on future easing. EUR: Grappling with Economic Headwinds The eurozone faces a challenging economic outlook. Slowing growth and persistent inflation create a stagflationary environment that weighs on the euro. The European Central Bank is caught between a rock and a hard place, needing to support the economy while also taming inflation. The EUR/USD pair remains trapped within the 1.0460 – 1.0600 range. A decisive break below this zone, particularly with a close below 1.0400, could signal a significant shift in momentum and the continuation of a downtrend in the medium term. GBP: Battling Stagflation The pound is under pressure due to a confluence of factors. Recent data shows the UK economy contracting, raising fears of a recession. Inflation remains high, adding to the stagflationary pressures. The Bank of England faces a difficult balancing act, needing to support the economy while also keeping inflation in check. GBP/USD is looking vulnerable, with a break below key support at 1.2600 potentially opening the door for further declines. JPY: Waiting for Policy Clarity The Japanese yen remains volatile as markets try to anticipate the Bank of Japan's next move. Will they maintain their ultra-loose monetary policy or finally raise interest rates? The uncertainty is fueling volatility in JPY crosses. USD/JPY has been on a tear, breaking above key resistance levels. A "hawkish hold" from the BoJ, where rates are kept unchanged but the door is left open for future hikes, could fuel further yen weakness. CAD: Exposed After Rate Cut The Canadian dollar is vulnerable after the Bank of Canada's recent rate cut. The move surprised markets and raised concerns about the health of the Canadian economy. USD/CAD has been trending higher, fueled by the divergence in monetary policy between the US and Canada. A break above the 1.4350 resistance level could pave the way for further gains in USD/CAD. *This is a market analysis, not trading advice. Trade responsibly and do your own research.
TVC:DXY
by E8Markets
DXY next possible move🔮🦁🦁🦁 **Patience: The Most Difficult Skill to Master in Trading** 💡 **Want to succeed? Then, learn to wait.** ⏳ Patience is not just a virtue in trading; it’s a powerful weapon. But let’s be honest: it’s also one of the hardest skills to develop. 👉 Yet, once you master it, you’ll already be halfway to success. 🎯 📈 Trading rewards those who know how to wait for the right moment. ❌ Not those who rush. ✔️ But those who remain calm and methodical. So, make patience your ally and see the difference. 🌟
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by eLs-Trading
DXY Masterclass: Expert Price Action Strategies UnveiledTVC:DXY AlexGoldHunter Technical Analysis Using Price Action Technique Key Levels and Patterns Resistance Levels: Top Resistance Band (RB): Around 107.500 Lower Resistance Band (RB): Around 106.000 Support Levels: Target Support: Around 105.500 Another Support Target: Around 104.000 Fibonacci Retracement Levels: 0.382: 106.835 0.5: 106.662 0.618: 106.489 0.786: 106.270 Break of Structure (BOS): Multiple BOS points indicating significant changes in price direction. Market Structure Shift (MSS): Points where the market trend changes direction. Equal Highs: Level where the price has reached the same high multiple times near 107.500. Indicators RSI (Relative Strength Index): Levels around 63.82, 57.11, and 40.00 indicating overbought and oversold conditions. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Signal lines and histogram showing bullish or bearish momentum. Buy Strategy Entry Point: Look for a bullish reversal pattern near the Fibonacci retracement levels (0.5 or 0.618) around 106.662 or 106.489. Confirmation of a higher low or a bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., hammer, engulfing) near these levels. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent swing low or below the 0.786 Fibonacci level (106.270). Take Profit: Initial target at the resistance level around 107.500. Further targets can be set at the higher resistance bands around 108.000. Sell Strategy Entry Point: Look for a bearish reversal pattern near the resistance level around 107.500. Confirmation of a lower high or a bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing) near these levels. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the recent swing high or above the resistance band around 107.800. Take Profit: Initial target at the support level around 106.000. Further targets can be set at the lower support levels around 105.500 or 104.000. By using these price action techniques, you can identify potential buy and sell opportunities based on key support and resistance levels, trend analysis, and indicator confirmation. Remember to practice good risk management and stay updated with market conditions. Happy trading! 📈📉 Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
TVC:DXY
by Alexgoldhunter