XAUUSDDXY It is well-known that wars have a significant impact on gold prices, and the key factor often lies in the stance of the U S. Before the election, geopolitical tensions and inflation created favorable conditions for gold’s rise.
However, with Trump winning the presidency, gold prices experienced a sharp decline. The primary reason was his campaign statements about actively mediating the Russia-Ukraine war if elected. As a result, the market anticipated an end to the war, triggering a rapid sell-off in gold. Although gold prices have recently started to recover, this seems more like a technical correction to the previous drop.
Yesterday, an intercontinental missile was deployed in the war for the first time. On the surface, this appears to signal an escalation in the conflict, but I believe it may actually hint at the war nearing its end. This “last frenzy” could be both sides vying for the strongest position at the negotiating table.
In this context, how long can the current gold rally last? How high might it go? These are difficult questions to answer. However, one thing is clear: when peace talks are finalized, gold could retreat to the 2480-2350 range.
DXY Printing green candles to the upside, FED rates are high and the demand for the dollar is still high, the dollar heading to take buyside liquidity.
BXYDXYGBPUSD Currently in a no-trade zone for SWINGS until a confirmation; any price action in this region would be considered unreliable. However, we are observing bullish price action.
The question is whether this is simply a retracement to the downside, similar to what we saw in the first week of November, or the beginning of a new upward trend. That said, the price is currently at a discount, presenting opportunities for both long and short positions.
It's important to take your profits on time and avoid letting losses grow. Keep them small and manage your risk carefully, as market conditions can change quickly.