falling wedge on thor mid/short term. Open longs now guysA wedge pattern can signal either bullish or bearish price reversals. In either case, this pattern holds three common characteristics: first, the converging trend lines; second, a pattern of declining volume as the price progresses through the pattern; third, a breakout from one of the trend lines. The two forms of the wedge pattern are a rising wedge (which signals a bearish reversal) and a falling wedge (which signals a bullish reversal). In this casw we have a falling wedge. RSI looks good aswell. use MAs for short sell targets, green trend lines represent support/resistance levels... anyways more on the falling wedge and some stats (we wont talk about the 20% staking rewards rn but keep yield in mind for this trade...)
Falling Wedge
When a security's or cryptos price has been falling over time, a wedge pattern can occur just as the trend makes its final downward move. The trend lines drawn above the highs and below the lows on the price chart pattern can converge as the price slide loses momentum and buyers step in to slow the rate of decline. Before the lines converge, the price may breakout above the upper trend line.
A falling wedge pattern is seen as a bullish signal as it reflects that a sliding price is starting to lose momentum and that buyers are starting to move in to slow down the fall
stats:
Falling wedge statistics
- In 82% of cases, the exit is bullish.
- In 55% of cases, a falling wedge is a reversal pattern.
- In 63% of cases, the pattern’s price objective is achieved when the resistance line is broken.
- In 53% of cases, the price makes a support pullback on the falling wedge’s resistance line.
- In 27% of cases, false breaks (false exits) appear.
Notes on falling wedges
- The contact points on the falling lines must be significant because otherwise it might be a flag.
- The steeper the falling wedge’s trend lines (falling strongly), the more severe the upward movement is at the breakout (exit from the chart pattern).
- False breaks (or false exits) give an indication of the direction of exit. If a false bullish break occurs, the exit will be downwards in only 3% of cases. Exploiting a false bullish break is therefore statistically low risk.
- Retracements are generally twice as fast as the falling wedge was in its formation
- Pullbacks are detrimental to the pattern’s performance.
- The break out point (exit) generally occurs at 60% of the length of the falling wedge.
- Very wide falling wedges give better performance than narrow falling wedges.
For your information: A falling wedge is a reversal chart pattern. Its opposite is a rising wedge.
