DOLLAR I Weekly CLS I Model 2- Target CLS HighHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If youโve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical โ designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
๐งฉ What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money โ the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
โ
Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations โ leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
๐ก๏ธ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
๐ Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
๐ Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
๐ Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.โจ
โ๏ธ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If youโre ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
โ David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter โ๏ธ
DXY trade ideas
USD Index (DXY) Short Setup: Reversal Expected from Resistance Z1. Entry Point: ~102.430
The price is currently below this level at 101.583, suggesting a potential short setup once the entry level is reached or confirmed.
2. Stop Loss: ~103.196
This is the price level where losses are limited if the trade moves against the intended direction. It's placed above a strong resistance zone.
3. Resistance Point: ~100.580
This was a previous resistance level which has now been broken, indicating a bullish push. The current price is above this, which may signal a breakout.
4. EA Target Point: ~97.857
The take-profit level, significantly lower, indicating a bearish target. This suggests a short position is intended from the entry point.
Indicators and Signals
The chart uses moving averages (likely 50 EMA and 200 EMA), and the price has surged above them, often a bullish signal.
However, the analysis seems to anticipate a reversal from the 102.430 level, expecting a drop back down toward 97.857.
The move from the current price to the target would be a 4.40% decline, a significant move for an index.
Trade Plan Summary
Trade Type: Likely a short/sell from the 102.430 level.
Risk: ~0.77 (103.196 - 102.430)
Reward: ~4.57 (102.430 - 97.857)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:6, which is favorable if the setup works out.
DXY Bearish Setup: Sell from Supply Zone to 99.100 TargetTrend: ๐ Bearish Bias
Key Zones & Strategy:
๐ถ Supply Zone (Sell Area)
๐ 100.584 โ 100.906
โ ๏ธ Price may face selling pressure here
๐ต Entry Point:
๐ฏ 100.584 (bottom of supply zone)
๐ด Stop Loss:
โ 100.906 (just above resistance)
๐ข Target Point:
โ
99.100
๐ Aligned with lower support line
Technical Indicators:
๐ Descending Channel
๐ฝ Price moving within parallel downward trend lines
๐ EMA (70) โ Orange Line
๐ Acting as dynamic resistance
Trade Setup Summary:
๐ Sell in the Supply Zone
๐ Stop Loss: 100.906
๐ฏ Target: 99.100
โ๏ธ Good Risk-Reward Ratio
Warnings & Tips:
โก Watch for Breakouts:
If price breaks above 100.906 โก๏ธ ๐ Bearish idea invalid
๐ฐ Check News Events:
FOMC, CPI, or other USD events may cause volatility
DXY weekly outlookWeekly analysis forโฏDXY: the broader bias remains bullish. I expect price to respect the stacked 3โhour demand zones, with the lower zone likely providing the stronger reaction.
After that bounce, a shortโterm bearish pullback could unfold from the 4โhour supply zone. Although I donโt trade the dollar directly, I track DXY for its correlations with other pairs to add confluence and strengthen my setups.
$DXY Dump Incoming? Whatโs Next for Cryptos!TVC:DXY Dump Incoming? Whatโs Next for Cryptos!
The fractals in the chart are insane and indicate a drop in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) that can fuel significant moves in the crypto market:
Bitcoin & Altcoins Surge:
As the dollar weakens, cryptocurrencies become more attractive, expecting strong rallies in BTC and altcoins.
Commodities Rise:
Gold, silver, and oil typically gain, making crypto a competitor in the โstore of valueโ race.
Risk-On Sentiment:
Investors shift to riskier assets like crypto, increasing prices.
Global FX Shift:
Other currencies gain strength, making crypto a go-to asset for global investors.
Bottom line: When the dollar drops, crypto thrives.
Like and repost if you agree! Bookmark for future posts!
USD Holds Key Res at 102 but Bulls Show Up at Higher-LowUSD came into the week with a full head of steam as price broke out to the 102.00 level on Monday. This was pushed by a strong move in USD/JPY testing 148 and EUR/USD testing 1.1100 - but then the Tuesday CPI report came out soft and that gave bulls reason to take profits on the USD.
That pullback ran vividly into early-Wednesday trade but at that point, support appeared at an important spot of prior resistance of 100.28, which was the neckline for the inverse head and shoulders pattern that led into last week's FOMC-fueled breakout.
That support has so far held and that keeps bulls in control of the trend on daily and four-hour charts. The key test now is a big batch of drivers for tomorrow morning with retail sales, PPI and a speech from FOMC Chair Jerome Powell.
At this point, EUR/USD retains bearish potential and USD/JPY bullish potential, which I'll touch on in a following post, and the door is open for Dollar bulls to make a move into the end of the week. On the other side of DXY, USD/CAD remains of interest as the pair has re-tested the psychological level of 1.4000. - js
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Bullish Reversal Setup โ 1H Chart Analy ENTRY POINT: 100.005
โ This is the area where the trade is suggested to enter long (buy).
๐ฅ STOP LOSS: Around 99.307
โ Placed below strong support to manage risk.
๐ฆ SUPPORT ZONE: 99.776 - 99.307
โ Strong historical demand zone, price has bounced from here before.
๐ช BREAKOUT ZONE: Near 100.5
โ If price breaks the trendline here, it may trigger bullish momentum.
๐ฏ TARGET POINT: 103.096
โ This is the take profit zone (blue box) with a potential gain of +3.29%.
๐ Trade Setup Summary:
โ
Buy Setup: Price approaching support zone, forming a potential reversal.
โ ๏ธ Watch for breakout: Above the trendline to confirm bullish move.
โจ Great Risk-to-Reward: Small risk (tight stop), big reward.
MY SENTIMENTS ON THE DOLLAR FOR THE WEEKThe U.S. Dollar may find resistance around the 100.685 level, where it could fill the buy-side imbalance and react to the nearby bearish order block. If this level holds, we could see a continued decline throughout the week toward the psychological 100.00 level. Conversely, this would likely translate into a bullish move for the EUR/USD, reflecting the inverse correlation.
May 19โ23, 2025GOLD (XAU/USD)
๐ Key levels:
Resistance: $3,250 โ $3,280
Strong Support: $3,150 โ $3,120 | $3,050 (a breakdown could push lower)
๐๏ธ Important News:
FOMC Minutes (Wednesday, May 21) โ market will react to tone regarding inflation and rate policy.
US Manufacturing & Services PMI (Thursday, May 22)
๐ฏ Strategy:
If gold dips to the $3,120โ$3,150 zone, consider short-term buying, targeting a move back to $3,250.
A break below $3,100 may signal a sell opportunity, targeting $3,050 or lower.
A breakout above $3,280 โ consider buying the breakout. Avoid trading in the chop zone ($3,200โ$3,250) unless clear momentum.
๐ต USD Index (DXY)
๐ Key levels:
Resistance: 104.50 โ 105.00
Key Support: 103.20 โ 102.80
๐๏ธ Important News:
FOMC Minutes (high impact)
U.S. Housing data, PMI, Durable Goods Orders
๐ฏ Strategy:
DXY is showing weakness. A break below 103.20 would suggest further USD weakness โ bullish for gold and EUR/USD.
If DXY bounces from 103.20 โ short-term recovery likely โ possible correction in risk assets.
EUR/USD setup: consider buying on a breakout above 1.1000 targeting 1.1200.
๐ U.S. Stock Indices (S&P 500, NASDAQ)
๐ Key Levels (S&P 500):
Resistance: 5,300 โ 5,350 (near all-time highs)
Support: 5,200 โ 5,150
๐๏ธ Important News:
FOMC Minutes โ could cause major volatility
Possible speech from Fed Chair Powell
ETF flows and any remaining earnings reports
๐ฏ Strategy:
If S&P holds above 5,200 โ maintain buy on dips strategy.
A break below 5,150 โ opens risk for a deeper pullback toward 5,000.
Maintain long positions as long as markets price in rate cuts in Q3.
โ
Weekly Strategy Summary:
Market Primary Strategy Key Levels to Watch
Gold Buy around $3,120โ$3,150 Support $3,120 โ Resistance $3,280
USD (DXY) Sell if it breaks below 103.20 Support 103.20 โ Resistance 104.50
S&P 500 Buy on dips above 5,200 Support 5,150 โ Resistance 5,300โ5,350
The US Dollar โ Under Selling Pressure Today๐ต US Dollar Index (DXY) โ Still Under Selling Pressure
๐ Current Zone: 100.29
The DXY continues its bearish momentum after failing to reclaim the technical resistance zone between 101.27 and 102.20.
๐ Key Zone Analysis:
๐ด Technical Resistance Zone:
101.267 โ 102.206 โ Heavily rejected, confirming strong selling pressure.
๐ข Fundamental Support Zone:
99.447 โ 99.939 โ Key psychological level closely monitored by institutional players.
๐ Current Scenario:
๐ป As long as price stays below 101.26, the bearish bias remains intact.
๐ Downside target: retest of the 99.44 โ 99.90 zone.
โ Invalidation: clean break and close above 102.20.
โ ๏ธ Events to Watch This Week:
Federal Reserve speeches
Key U.S. macro data (jobs, inflation)
The DXY remains vulnerable to any signs of rate easing or economic slowdown.
๐ Reminder: The information provided is for educational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation.
๐ฌ Boost if youโre watching the DXY too! Whatโs your view on this support zone? ๐
Weekly FOREX Forecast: USD, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, JPYThis is the FOREX Currency futures outlook for the week of May 18 - 24th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX Majors markets:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
CAD
CHF
JPY
USD Index has been bullish for 4 weeks. Will it continue? Expect a pullback before bullish continuation.
Selling the commodity currencies (AUD, CAD, NZD) may be the best course of action this week. Buying the EUR, GBP and CHF may also be worthwhile.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
U.S. Dollar Index Set for Bearish Continuation The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has completed a five-wave impulse decline (labeled (1) through (5)) from the top of the descending channel. This downward move suggests a completed impulsive bearish leg. Following that, weโve seen a complex corrective structure โ a WXY double zigzag correction โ now complete.
Price action shows a rejection from the upper trendline resistance near wave (2), confirming the bearish structure remains intact. The bounce into the corrective high (wave (2)) failed to break above key resistance, and we are now potentially entering a new impulsive move down labeled as wave (3) of the next larger degree impulse.
Primary Impulse Decline: Wave (1) to (5): Classic 5-wave move down ending late April.
Corrective Phase: Complex WXY correction (with subwaves A-B-C in both W and Y).
Current Wave in Play: Wave (3) of a larger impulsive sequence is initiating.
T1: 99.172
T2: 98.013
SL: 101.259
If price closes above 101.265 the current bearish impulse scenario would be invalidated.
DXY Sell this rally. Bearish until end-of-year.The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within a Channel Down since the September 26 2022 High and is currently on a medium-term Bearish Leg. The last 3 weeks however have been a short-term rebound (all 1W candles green), but the price is still below both the 1W MA200 (orang trend-line) and the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
This doesn't alter the bearish trend as this is not the first time we've seen this price action. More specifically, DXY also made a short-term rebound during the first Bearish Leg of the pattern and rebounded on January 30 2023 back to the 1W MA50. This delivered a strong rejection which eventually completed the Bearish Leg with one last round of selling to complete a -13.30% Bearish Leg in total.
Before that, we also saw the same pattern (also on 1W RSI terms) in 2020, when on August 31 2020 the price again had a short-term rebound only to resume the bearish trend and finish the sequence again at -13.40% from the top.
As a result, as long as the price remains (closes) below the 1W MA50, the last sell signal is given when the 1W RSI breaks above its MA (yellow trend-line) and then we can expect the Bearish Leg to complete a -13.30% decline with a 96.000 Target.
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Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 100.27
1st Support: 99.06
1st Resistance: 101.91
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the trap has layerswhat if i told you the dxy was not done yet,
what if i told you, there was 1 more push up,
1 more test before it truly breaks and starts a bull market.
what if i told you that on that final test, that final push up,
the crypto market breaks and takes everything.
---
you probably wouldn't believe me.
---
looking at the dxy as a simple zig-zag with a complex flat in the b-wave.
once wave b is completed, at about 110-111,
i predict it drops down, deep
and while it drops,
it triggers alt season.
๐