dollar index just as explained in my videos, we can see it has been bearish a some while now, so price action would tell us our right direction on this index. watch and follow for more
DXY trade ideas
.DXY M30 ANALYSIS UPDATES
🕒 **DXY M30 Analysis**
📉 Price touched the **support zone** at **97.70 – 97.78** after a strong sell-off.
🔁 A **potential reversal** is forming at this level – key area to watch!
📈 If bulls take control, next targets:
- 🔹 **98.60** (interim resistance)
- 🔹 **99.62 – 99.70** (major resistance zone)
⚠️ Keep an eye on price action around 98.06 – confirmation needed before any long entries.
#DXY #M30 #ForexAnalysis #USD #ReversalZone 🚀📊
--
Long term Long!Hello all. as you see my last Long term forecast was exact and I think it is time to go up. it is risky.(wink)
Bearish sentiment on the USD index (DXY)TVC:DXY
On this trading week (April 14-18), we have not seen much volatility in the USD index, with its highest trading point at approximately 100.3 and lowest 99.2, partly due to a long bank holiday for Good Friday and Easter on the following Monday. On last week's Friday, price briefly tapped into the weekly demand zone and gave a quick reaction upwards to the 4-hour supply zone, which then quickly rejected and cooled price back down. Currently, price is still sitting at the lower point of the weekly range, we can expect DXY to have a very short-term push back to this strong 4-hour swap zone above, possibly creating a higher high, before pushing it back down. Price is very likely to take out the weekly lows and continue to push towards the bottom of the weekly demand zone.
On fundamentals, Bank of America's analysts had identified close relationship of its depreciating USD, with its falling US asset and equities values. Economic activities have also declined due to trade wars and huge uncertainty of the upcoming policy changes by the Trump administration; asset managers and central banks may also continue to sell USD. Besides, the US is very likely to continue reducing its interest rates in order to boost its economic activity. One of the reasons why Trump imposed high tariffs into many countries was to reduce international dependency on the manufacturing sector and trade deficits, and to attract foreign investments to set up factories in the US, in order to sell to consumers at the 'good price'. However, it is still very controversial on how effective it is, business owners abroad may perceive Trump's policies as bipolar, which changes depending on his mood, therefore, majority of businesses would rather partner elsewhere than to put themselves through this hassle. USD has also dropped 10% since the start of 2025 and has reached its lowest in three years.
References:
www.investing.com
www.cbsnews.com
DXY bullish Here is my technical analysis on dxy and it's very looking bullish from a high timeframe of monthly to till to 4h. Buy dxy at current market.
DXY Is Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 99.408.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 101.388 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long till 100.267The DXY has shown bullish market structure with bullish fair value gap forming on the 4 hourly chart. Price is likely to head up to 100.267 before bearish reversal occurs.
Dollar under pressure, is the bear trend gonna end soon?President Trump's aggressive tariff implementations, particularly on electronics and critical imports, have introduced volatility into U.S. markets. These measures have led to decreased investor confidence and capital outflows from U.S. assets, contributing to the dollar's weakness.
There's growing concern among global investors about the reliability of U.S. economic policies. A Bank of America survey indicated record pessimism towards U.S. assets, with over 60% of fund managers anticipating further depreciation of the dollar.
The Trump administration's economic approach, informally dubbed the "Mar-a-Lago Accord," aims to deliberately weaken the dollar to boost U.S. exports and reduce trade deficits. While this strategy seeks to make American goods more competitive, it risks destabilizing global financial markets and undermining the dollar's reserve currency status.
Differences in monetary policies between the U.S. and other major economies have widened. While the Federal Reserve has been cautious with rate cuts, other central banks, like the European Central Bank, have been more aggressive, making their currencies more attractive to investors.
In all these Chaos can dollar bounce back?
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is trading around 99.23—down about 1.5% over the past week and roughly 4% lower so far in April, its worst monthly performance since mid‑2022
That 99.0–99.5 zone lines up with both the April swing lows and the lower Bollinger Band on the daily chart—classic territory where “oversold” signals often lead to a rebound.
The 14‑day RSI is hovering near 30, the canonical “oversold” threshold where prior rallies have begun
Markets now price in three rate cuts by year‑end, a sharp turn from December’s hawkish Fed rhetoric. If the Fed leans dovish in the May minutes, yield differentials could narrow—supporting a dollar bounce
Heightened trade‑war uncertainty (tariffs on critical minerals, spiking gold) often drives investors back into dollars as a haven—another buffer at current lows.
Technically the chart is still bullish on daily and certainly near the support zone, both scenario are in play for now, if it continues to drop sharply towards 96 then it may totally reverse back to 107.
Considering Dollar bottom is near we can plan a swing trade with a huge potential, with awesome risk and reward.
Good luck trade safe.
DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY / Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (104.550) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (103.800) Day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 105.400 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
DXY / Dollar Index Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
USDX in danger ! Usdx or Dxy or Us dollars index in dangrous position .. it needs to reverse soon.
Im not sure what is the impact of further decline but seriously it will be harmfull . !
I forcast the positive vision .. otherwise ....!!!!!!
dxy-1Ddollar index has a bearish gaurd to close it's cycle and sweep the liquidities to provide its fuel to form new HHs...
Smart Traders Watch the Fed — Smarter Ones Watch the DollarHello Traders 🐺
In this idea, I decided to talk about the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) — because so many people have been asking me:
“How do you predict the Fed’s moves, and how do they affect deflationary assets like BTC?”
My last idea was about BTC, where I explained why I believe a major bull run is coming — and part of that is because the Fed might soon shift back to QE.
But if you're trying to predict QE...
The first thing you need to watch is the U.S. Dollar Index, which reflects the strength of the U.S. Dollar.
So let’s break it all down:
🔍 Part 1: What Does the Fed Actually Do?
The Fed isn’t just a printer — it’s the U.S. central bank, and it has a dual mandate:
✅ Keep prices stable (control inflation)
✅ Promote maximum employment
That means the Fed doesn’t just want growth — it wants sustainable growth. No crazy inflation, no deep recession. Balance is key.
🧰 How Does the Fed Do It?
Through Monetary Policy, which is basically the toolkit used to control liquidity, interest rates, and economic behavior (like how much people borrow, spend, or save).
Let’s break down the main tools:
1️⃣ Federal Funds Rate
This is the most powerful tool the Fed has.
It’s the rate banks use to lend to each other overnight.
If the Fed raises the rate:
→ Loans get expensive
→ Spending slows
→ Inflation drops
→ But markets can crash
If the Fed cuts the rate:
→ Loans get cheaper
→ Demand rises
→ Growth accelerates
→ But inflation can surge
2️⃣ Open Market Operations (OMO)
This is how the Fed injects or removes liquidity using bonds.
Buys bonds → Injects money → 🟩 QE (Quantitative Easing)
Sells bonds / lets them expire → Removes money → 🟥 QT (Quantitative Tightening)
3️⃣ Reserve Requirements
This used to be a big deal — the % banks had to hold in reserves.
But since 2020, it's set to 0%.
4️⃣ Discount Rate
The interest rate the Fed charges banks directly.
A change here sends a strong signal to the markets.
Sometimes the Fed also works in sync with the U.S. government — using fiscal support like:
💸 Stimulus checks
🏢 Corporate bailouts
🧾 Tax relief packages
📈 So... Why Does the Dollar Index (DXY) Matter?
There’s a very clear inverse correlation between the DXY and BTC.
When the dollar gets stronger (DXY pumps), BTC usually dumps.
Why? Because rising DXY often means:
🔺 The Fed is raising rates
🔺 Liquidity is being pulled out
🔺 QT is in play
Let me show you some real chart examples:
📉 July 2014 — DXY pumped → BTC dumped hard
DXY Chart:
BTC Chart:
➡️ Just a 28% DXY pump → 80% BTC crash. Ouch.
📈 2017 — DXY dropped → BTC entered full bull market
DXY Chart:
BTC Chart:
➡️ A 15% DXY drop → Bitcoin bull run of a lifetime.
Now here’s the good news 👇
DXY is starting to look very bearish on the chart:
Combine that with the Fed shifting to QE, and guess what?
We're likely entering the early stages of another bull market.
If you read my last BTC idea, you already know what I’m expecting...
🚀 A massive run is just around the corner.
I hope you found this idea useful, and as always —
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Dollar Index - Further Capitulation On the Horizon?It's like a gaping wound that refuses to heal, spewing blood everywhere!
Dollar index has been falling like a ton of bricks from the beginning of this year with little to no signs of retracing back into equilibrium and the question to ask yourself is.... will the 90-day ban restore dollar index above the 100 mark?
Or will be continue to see risk on scenarios?
Dxy monthly analysis The dollar will fall to unprecedented levels due to several stupid policies, in addition to the US debt disaster. This is a medium- and long-term analysis using Elliott Waves, in addition to expected liquidity zones. Finally, I would like to ask: Is this the end of the dollar with China's increasing rise, or is this the beginning of preparations and selling by the major players in preparation for World War III, which will occur in 2027 or perhaps sooner?
DXY: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 99.390 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 99.627 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DXYElement: Details
Trend: Bearish on Daily
Bias Zone: Resistance at 100.160 (Monday high)
COT Timing: Tuesday close used for sentiment anchor
1H Pattern: M-Pattern confirming rejection
Target: 99.200 (Monday low - key support)
Outcome: Target hit on Wednesday
Altseason and a Weak Dollar — Will History Repeat in 2025?The altseason of 2017 started at the same time as the U.S. dollar index (DXY) began to fall. This likely helped bring more money into the crypto market. In 2020–2021, a similar thing happened: the falling dollar was followed by a strong rise in altcoins. But that time, altseason started closer to the end of the dollar’s decline.
A weaker dollar makes risky assets like crypto more attractive. In April 2020, the total crypto market cap was around $218 billion. Today, it’s about $2.63 trillion — around 12 times bigger.
However, to start a new altseason now, the market may need a lot more cheap money than in 2020. I’m not sure if the 2025 altseason can be as strong as in the past.
Now it seems that the only way to repeat that success is if a big part of the capital moves from Bitcoin into altcoins. This would need a sharp drop in Bitcoin dominance. But this brings new questions. After the launch of Bitcoin ETFs, the ownership structure has changed. Many people now own Bitcoin through investment funds, not directly. These funds may not be very excited to invest in altcoins.
What do you think about it? Share your opinion in the comments.
Despite long-term support, the dollar is eyeing deeper watersAlthough the US Dollar (USD) Index has connected with a monthly support area between 98.72 and 99.67, April’s lower low at 99.01 reached levels not seen since early 2022 and price crossing below the 50-month simple moving average (SMA) at 101.91 potentially questions this support zone.
Bolstering the likelihood of additional downside in the USD are the daily and H4 charts. The former exhibits scope to reach support at 98.58 (and formed a Death Cross ), while the latter completed a bearish pennant pattern (ruptured the lower boundary), extended from 100.64 and 99.01. As you can see, H4 action is currently retesting the underside of the breached pattern’s border.
In view of the above technical surroundings, USD shorts could have some gas left in the tank.
DXYBased on 6 consecutive bearish Commitment of Traders (COT) the US Dollar Index (DXY) is exhibiting a sustained bearish momentum, potentially indicating a decline in the US dollar's value relative to other major currencies.
check the trendThe price is expected to change the trend in the current support range and we will witness the start of an upward trend.
If the price breaks through the support range, the continuation of the downward trend will be likely.
USD Price Action Correlation with Bitcoin PriceIn the later stages of the liquidity cycle you have a devaluation of USD leading to bitcoin breaking out of its bullish trend into a parabolic trend.
-Last 2 cycles this predictive correlation leaded bitcoins breakout by 4 to 6 months.
-Current cycle DXY/Bitcoin charts look very similar to 2018
Taking this correlation into account, we could likely see the bullish trend on Bitcoin transform into a parabolic trend sometime between May and June. Meaning, we are in the final stages of a bottoming in Bitcoin at the time of this post, likely about to continue bullish momentum as we just went through significate market strain. Removing the possibilities of another Black Swan event, like a major geopolitical event but it is my belief that this was already priced in from the markets reaction just this month. This being said, there are no certainties. Things could always get worse. Time will tell, but given my aforementioned annalists, the buying opportunity at this current point is to great to ignore. Reward greatly outweighing the risk.
USD Oversold on Weekly & Fibonacci Support TestWeekly charts can be helpful for tracking the motion of the ocean, or larger dominant trends. And so far in 2025, that trend has been quite bearish for the US Dollar and this showed up even with the Greenback coming into 2025 with a full head of steam.
But last week something that's somewhat rare showed up - as weekly RSI on DXY went into oversold territory for only the second time in the past seven years.
The last time this happened was August of 2024, and that was followed by the Q4 reversal in the USD. And before that - it was all the way back in early-2018, which is around when DXY marked a major low that still hasn't been traded through.
This isn't to say that RSI is an automatic indication of reversal because it's not - it's simply a lagging indicator that shows how one sided a trend has been of late. But - it does illustrate how chasing the USD lower could be a challenge here especially given how quickly bears have come on over the past couple of months.
There's also some Fibonacci support that's in-play which is very near support in the range of USD that held for a couple of years before the Q4 breakout. The 61.8% retracement of the 2021-2022 major move plots right at 98.98, which has so far held the lows in DXY.
Of interest and perhaps a bigger component of this move is whether EUR/USD will be able to establish a reversal at or around the 1.1500 handle. And that's a question mark right now, because from a data and driver perspective, it would seem that the backdrop is there as US retail sales printed with strength this week, and Chair Powell sounded somewhat hawkish around the prospect of inflation given the tariff situation. And then the ECB rate cut on Thursday sounded dovish - all factors that would normally be expected to push EUR/USD weakness.
The fact that it hasn't happened is of interest as this could be a bigger picture dominant trend showing it's hand. As I shared in the EUR/USD post which I'll link below, bulls are still in charge of the pair from a price action perspective so accordingly I would still assume bears are in-control of USD until evidence suggests otherwise. In DXY, it's the 102 level that I would like to see traded through as illustration of bulls taking control. -js
