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DXY trade ideas

The Great Long. DXY LIQUIDITY GAME.We knowgood old SEC days are coming, Fed Pivot is coming and a strong dollar is coming with it. But for now Let me explain you this chart. The chart is on a weekly timeframe but all the points of interest and liquidity can be perfectly seen on the monthly as well. I want to show you how price moves from liquidity zone to liquidity zone touching specific areas no matter what. Following all the red lines that are previous highs that the price made (liquidity) and the low from July 2023. For me this chart is pure art, this is the game I look for when daytrading, but for this being on a weekly/monthly chart is just mesmerizing. This previous -10% drop from Jan-Feb till today, comes from a very specific point in the chart. And the +15% pump that I see, is coming from a very specific point as well. As you can see this drop comes after liquidating several highs (sellside liquidity) on the way to a predominant imbalance that respected perfectly. What I want to say is that price follow liquidity first then touches a specific zone and respects it. Now, we have the same scenario but now we have targeted July 2023 low and a weekly imbalance. A significant low has been triggered and a point of interest has been fille. Fed Pivot is coming and we expect to see a strong dollar in the long run. I think this is just the perfect point in the chart for direction to shift and to start to price-in what is about to come. Last monday (Black Monday) was a climatic point. Events bring the volatility for price to make it where it has to, I think this is the turning point. I hope you enjoyed the content this is NOT Financial advice. I just want this analysis and info to be here.
TVC:DXYLong
by TheHardestEasiestWay
DXY Bullish Reversal Setup – Long Entry from Support Zone TowardEMA 30 (Red Line): Currently at 99.700 — tracks short-term trend, and price is hovering near this level. EMA 200 (Blue Line): At 100.935 — indicates long-term trend, acting as dynamic resistance above. 📈 Trade Setup ✅ Entry Point: Price: 99.699 Rationale: This level has been tested multiple times, forming a support zone. A bounce here signals a potential long entry. 🎯 Target Point (Take Profit): Price: 102.738 Distance: ~3.04 points or 3.43% potential move upward. Note: Marked as EA TARGET POINT, which suggests a calculated area possibly based on previous resistance or algorithmic strategy. 🛑 Stop Loss: Price: 98.624 Reasoning: Just below the defined support zone (highlighted purple area), ensuring protection against downside breakouts. 📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Entry: 99.699 Target: 102.738 → Gain of ~3.04 Stop: 98.624 → Risk of ~1.08 R/R Ratio: ~2.8:1 — favorable setup 📌 Overall Sentiment This chart indicates a bullish reversal setup from a strong support zone, possibly targeting a mean reversion or trend reversal toward the 200 EMA and beyond. However, keep in mind: The price is currently below both EMAs, so the trend is still bearish. The trade is counter-trend, relying on support holding and momentum shifting.
TVC:DXYLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
1
.DXY (U.S.DOLLAR INDEX) M30 ANALYSIS UPDATES 🔍 **Chart Overview:** - The chart shows a recent **bearish movement** after a double top pattern, indicated by the red arrows. - Price has dropped significantly and is approaching a **key support zone** around **99.209 – 99.253**. - A potential **bullish reversal** is anticipated from this support zone. --- 🧠 **Trade Idea:** ✅ **Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup):** 1. **Wait for price action** confirmation around the support area **(99.209 – 99.253)**. 2. Once bullish confirmation appears (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar, or double bottom), look for **buy entries**. 3. **First target:** **99.839** (minor resistance zone). 4. **Final target:** **100.607** (major resistance & previous high). ❗️**Invalidation:** - If price breaks and closes **below 99.209** with strong bearish momentum, the bullish idea becomes invalid and further downside may be expected. . 🧩 **Strategy Notes:** - This setup assumes a potential **V-shaped recovery** after a liquidity grab below the recent low. - Watch for **U.S. economic data releases**, as marked on the chart – they may trigger volatility and impact DXY movement.
TVC:DXYLong
by EA_Gold_Man
The US dollar is Forex's weakest currency this year 2025Fall of the US dollar: institutional investors were already selling in February The US dollar (DXY) is officially the weakest currency on the floating foreign exchange market (Forex) since the beginning of the year. Down over 8% against all the world's major currencies, this vertical downtrend had been anticipated by technical analysis as early as January. This comes as no surprise to those who follow major technical signals: breakout of the 200-day moving average in early March, structural pressures visible with the Elliott wave fractal approach, bearish signals from the ichimoku system... in short, the technical tools had spoken, and the market has effectively embarked on a downtrend this year 2025. The question now is: is a bottom in sight? In the short term, perhaps, the market is testing the strong chartist support of 99/100 points on the DXY (see main chart of this analysis). In the medium term, the downtrend could continue. One thing is clear, and that is that institutional positioning has played a central role in the downturn: hedge funds and asset managers all turned bearish on the US dollar in the depths of winter. As early as February, the former became net buyers of EUR/USD, as shown by the CFTC's COT report. Then, at the beginning of March, all institutional investors became net sellers of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies (see the inset data in the chart below). Bis repetita with the first year of Trump's first term (2017) It was the trade war, that of the so-called reciprocal tariffs, which saw the increase in medium-term bearish technical signals on the US dollar against a basket of major currencies. Volatility on Wall Street exploded, not least because of the Trump administration's escalating tariffs. The US economic climate is becoming increasingly unpredictable for markets, with trade policy seemingly improvised and decisions generating systemic uncertainty. But that's not all: the US bond market is also sending out warning signals. The 10-year yield has gone up, and spreads between the US and other developed economies have widened. Some even speak of a form of Chinese pressure on US debt, through massive sales of Treasuries. The MOVE index, a barometer of bond volatility, confirms it: the tension is there, and it's clearly weighing on the dollar. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. 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TVC:DXY
by Swissquote
Gold, Nasdaq & USDI am comparing the relationship between Gold, the Nasdaq and the US Dollar. Since 2000, here are approximate returns for each; Gold up 550% S&P up 254% DOW up 364% Since 2020: In the past 5 years, this shifted slightly with Gold up about twice as much as the Nasdaq. Since 2024: In the past year, Gold has outpaced the Nasdaq 5:1 on gains. __________________________________________________ The dollar had three notable high gain/peak years in; 1985 2002 2022 Those peak dollar years occurred when the market was in a correction phase, selling off before the next rally, and followed a bull market rally. After each of those peak dollar years, a market rally occurred that lasted from a few months to a few quarters with substantial gains. Typically when the dollar is strong, gold prices have been suppressed. If the dollar weakens, it may allow Gold to continue a rally. We may have already seen that market rally, which just peaked in December 2024 after the dollar peaked in 2022. If the dollar continues to lose strength, Gold prices will likely continue to rise. from Bloomberg 4 days ago: "A dollar gauge is on track for its worst performance during the first 100 days of a United States presidency in data going back to the Nixon era, when America abandoned the gold standard and switched to a free-floating exchange rate." The correlation between Gold and Equities lacks any data to support, especially considering the past 20 years of market data. Gold's relationship with the markets is an algorithm that includes the US Dollar. If the dollar is strong, we see Gold prices suppressed. When the dollar is weak, we see Gold prices unlocked and free to make gains. That's where Gold is now. Forecast: The only information available to base a forecast for Gold pricing would be the US Dollar based on the economic relationship of the USD and Gold. Since the dollar has pulled back slightly and appears to be in a slightly downward trajectory, it is expected that Gold prices will continue to gain, although likely at a slower rate. Since the Dollar peaked in 2022, followed by a bull market for several quarters after that event, the Nasdaq is likely headed further into correction territory followed by a consolidation phase before beginning another bull market. The Nasdaq is currently in the second annual financial quarter of a pullback that will likely last several more quarters. This market correction began in December 2024.
TVC:DXY
by Tradadada
DXY Bullish move| 🔹 Pair / TF | DXY, 1 h → Lower Timeframes | | 🔹 Bias | Bullish (buying potential support) | 📊 Key Levels Level: ~99.117 (orange shaded zone) Role: Recent Swing Low / Potential Support Zone Level: ~98.744 Role: Lower boundary of the potential support zone Level: ~99.727 Role: Potential Resistance (previous swing high) Level: ~100.116 Role: Higher Potential Resistance 🚨 Trigger Price has recently touched the ~99.117 - ~98.744 orange shaded zone, which appears to be acting as a potential support area. There are signs of potential rejection from this zone, indicated by the recent upward price action. Look for bullish confirmation signals on lower timeframes within this zone. ✅ Confirmation Observe lower timeframes (e.g., 15m, 5m) for bullish reversal patterns such as double bottoms, bullish engulfing candles, or pin bars forming within the support zone. The volume indicator at the bottom shows increasing buying volume within the support zone, suggesting potential accumulation. Look for the Stochastic or RSI on lower timeframes to show oversold conditions followed by a bullish crossover or break above a downward trendline. No significant bearish momentum or strong selling volume evident as price tests the support zone. 🎯 Entry & Stops | 🔶 Entry Zone | ~99.117 – ~98.800 (within the potential support zone) | | 🔴 Stop-Loss | Below the lower boundary of the support zone, potentially around ~98.600 - ~98.500 to allow for some buffer | Place a Buy Limit or Buy Stop order within the entry zone, depending on your preferred entry style and confirmation. Risk: Determine your position size based on your risk tolerance and the calculated stop-loss in pips. 🎯 Profit Targets | Target | Level | Pips (approximate) | RRR | | :----- | :--------- | :----------------- | :--------- | | T1 | ~99.727 | ~60-70 | 1 : 1 or better | | T2 | ~100.116 | ~100-120 | 1 : 1.5 or better | Scale out: Consider taking partial profits at T1. Let the remaining position run towards T2, potentially adjusting your stop-loss to breakeven or in profit. ⚙️ Trade Management Once the trade is in profit (e.g., reaching a certain pip gain or T1), consider moving your stop-loss to breakeven to protect your capital. Monitor price action around T1. If there are strong signs of selling pressure, consider closing the remaining position. Pay attention to any potential resistance levels or significant selling volume as price approaches your target levels. 🔑 Rationale Price is testing a recent swing low area, which has the potential to act as support. Increasing buying volume within the support zone suggests that buyers are stepping in. Bullish reversal patterns on lower timeframes would confirm the rejection of the support zone. Aiming for the previous swing high (~99.727) and the higher potential resistance (~100.116) provides logical profit targets. ⚡ Highlight: This is a bank-order-flow style fade, looking to buy at a potential support zone after a recent pullback, anticipating a reversal and continuation of potential upward momentum. The increasing buying volume within the support zone is a key observation.
TVC:DXYLong
by Delast2
DXY Will Go Higher! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for DXY. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 99.288. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 100.788. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYLong
by SignalProvider
1
DXY Bears in Control ,Will 99.000 Hold or Will 97.600 Be Tested?The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains under strong bearish pressure after failing to reclaim the 100.000 🔼 resistance zone. Price is currently consolidating below 100.000, maintaining a clear bearish structure of lower highs and lower lows. Currently trading at 99.175, with Support at: 97.600 🔽 Resistance at: 100.000 🔼, 101.500 🔼, 102.812 🔼 Bias: 🔼 Bullish: A breakout and retest above 100.000 could open room for a move toward 101.500 and 102.812. 🔽 Bearish: As long as price stays below 100.000, sellers remain in control. A breakdown below 97.600 could trigger further downside. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by SPOT_FX
USD Is Bullish Short Term. Short The Majors! This is the FOREX outlook for the week of April 28 - May 2nd. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD, USDCAD CHF, USDCHF JPY, USDJPY The USD Index is heading up towards a bearish FVG. The EURUSD, GBPUSD, and the other Major pairs will be pulled down by this price action .... until the USD hits it's POI. Then things will get interesting! Take advantage of the USD push higher! Remember, NFP is Friday! Be careful of wonky price action on Thursday and Friday. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
can DXY change its trend after marking 3rd HLCurrently, the price is a bit away from touching the lower trendline, which is acting as a support level as it will be its latest HL. After that, it would be interesting to know how the dollar moves because, as technical analysis on the chart suggests, DXY should move upwards to maintain that parallel channel. Tariff event, war situation and couple of other major events will also play significant role in determining the next possible movement of dollar
ICEUS:DXYLong
by faisal-101
DXY April 27 Week AnalysisDXY April 27 Week Analysis I suspected for Price to seek higher prices early in the week, not reflecting how much a magnet those key lows could be for Sundays delivery. Let that be lesson on the greed of manipulation of Prices piercing short that took place. WOW. Notice how Price did seek inefficiencies from April 2022 to rebalance and how the bodies of the candles came right to my suspected key equal lows. WOW. Notice how the wicks did the damage and the bodies stoped right on the FVG respecting the top side with its delivery. Tuesdays range and energetic force to rally away from the .618 level and rebalance the NWOG. After taking the key sell side not surprise Price took buy side on Wednesdays delivery and Prices wick came to CE of Tuesdays candle. Thursday internal range taking minor sell side and rebalanced inefficiencies. Price creates equal lows. April 25 Delivery Price took buy side in Asia, expanded lower to create intermediate equal lows in London. In NY Price took those equal lows and closed in consolidation creating equal lows in a discount on previous range. Note that Price closed above Thursday’s opening gap. Note Price current range is delivering to a premium and Fridays closed in a discount previous range. Note Price created a lower low on Monday. Previously Sunday's deliveries have been met with manipulated volatility. I wait for Sundays delivery to occur and read what the chart gives me. Logic says that Price just took minor buy side tapped the .618 and it might seek those clean equal lows. And as I already stated until Sunday delivers I wont speculate until after that. I do like the equal highs for Asia and London though. Buckle up big week. Stay calm. Trade what the chart prints. Stick to your model.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
Dollar False-break or break down???? 1. **Entry:** - Wait for confirmed false break below weekly deviation channel ( Short) - Enter long after price reclaims support and shows bullish reversal (long) - Alternative: Short on confirmed breakdown below channel with follow-through 2. **Stop Loss:** - False break long: Below recent swing low - Confirmed breakdown short: Above broken support level 3. **Take Profit:** - False break long: Previous resistance or mean deviation line - Breakdown short: Next major support level or extension of channel height 4. **Key Confirmations:** - Candle patterns daily and weekly - Weekly close position relative to deviation channel - Follow-through in subsequent weekly candle - Correlation check with major pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD) 5. **Management:** - Give trade room to develop (weekly timeframe requires patience) - Scale in to reduce risk - Scale out at significant levels
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by aryoTraderX
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) AnalysisDXY, or the U.S. Dollar Index, is an index that measures the value of the American dollar against major currencies such as the Euro (EUR), Japanese Yen (JPY), British Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD), Swedish Krona (SEK), and Swiss Franc (CHF). An increase in the DXY indicates that the dollar has strengthened against these currencies; a decrease signifies that it has weakened. This index is susceptible to global economic outlook, interest rates, and geopolitical developments. In the past, with Donald Trump's rise to the presidency, expectations of rising inflation in the markets had strengthened. This had caused the DXY to rise from the 100 level to 109. However, the tariffs implemented by Trump and the trade wars he initiated weakened the dollar in the long run, leading to a downward trend in the DXY. As of today, the DXY has technically reached an important support level. At the same time, major currencies forming the index, such as GBP, EUR, and JPY, are trading at resistance points. This situation increases the likelihood of the dollar reacting from this level. If the support level is maintained, we may see an upward movement in the DXY. Conversely, if the support is broken, a deeper downward movement in the dollar index may begin.
TVC:DXY
by celilADIGUZEL
DXY – Time & Price Analysis via Gann GeometryThe TVC:DXY just broke below the 1×1 descending angle within a Gann weekly square, confirming the end of the bullish cycle initiated around the September 2022 high. Key observations: 📉 Next time–price supports: 89.91 → 84.95 🕰️ Major timing intersections ahead: Dec 16, 2024 → marks a quarter cycle completion. Sep 8, 2025 → opposite timing leg to Sep 2022 high. RSI is weakening, but price remains a function of time. If these time zones hold, a reversal window opens. Otherwise, we're heading deeper into the southern square. 📐 Time governs trend – price obeys. #Gann #TimeCycles #DXY #USD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
TVC:DXY
by ahmed_albalooshi6666