NQ: NFP day!Good day!
Yesterday candle was bearish, Is it the end of the upper move?
All will depend on today's data and rumors from WH.
1- Undershoot data: Very bad for equities and NQ starts its Wave 3. But keep in mind, an undershoot also means FED will cut and free money will be on the table which is positive equities.
2- Inline: Bad for equities as FED rate cut and free money chances will decrease. In this case, price might continue its consolidation.
3- Overshoot: Good for equities and NQ might reach 21000. In this scenario, Fed rate cut will be out from June meeting.
Regarding WH rumors, it seems tariffs deals are imminent or underway. I already mentioned here few times that the 90-day pause will become an eternity pause. This seems a major change. But in my view it won't be a sustainable or durable change as all countries lost confidence in US.
Until the rumor becomes a fact, I maintain the same plan for ST/MT/LT: Sell.
GL!
USTEC trade ideas
US100US100 has shown great strength after terrif news.
If we look at the bigger picture, recent bullish rally looks like a pull back. Currently it is heading towards very important region , 20500 which is also the 61% retracement level.
If the price close above 20500 then we can consider it a new bullish rally.
NAS100... 4h chat pattern Your NAS100 (Nasdaq-100 index) *sell setup* looks like this:
* *Entry (Sell):* 1983
* *1st Target (TP1):* 1845
* *2nd Target (TP2):* 1800
This is a *bearish trade, targeting a roughly **138-point* drop for TP1 and *183-point* drop for TP2.
To evaluate this trade, consider the following:
### 1. *Technical Context*
* Is there a *resistance level* or *reversal pattern* around 1983?
* Are *momentum indicators* like RSI or MACD showing bearish divergence?
* What does the *volume* say — decreasing on up moves, increasing on down moves?
### 2. *Risk Management*
* Where is your *stop loss*? (This is critical to protect against a reversal.)
* What's the *risk-to-reward ratio*? Ideally, aim for 1:2 or better.
* Are you risking a fixed % of your capital (e.g., 1–2%)
NAS100USD: Price Respects Bearish Structure at 62% FibGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe sustained bearish institutional order flow, and we aim to align with this directional bias by identifying high-probability selling opportunities.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
1. Retracement into Premium Resistance:
Price has recently retraced into premium pricing levels, reaching the 62% Fibonacci retracement zone—a level that often acts as dynamic resistance. This retracement also aligned with a bearish breaker block, confirming institutional resistance at that level. The market has since shown signs of rejection, reinforcing the bearish narrative.
2. Emergence of Fair Value Gap (FVG) as a Key Resistance Array:
Following the rejection, a new FVG has formed, acting as a potential short-term resistance zone. This area provides a refined point of interest where institutions may look to re-engage in selling activity. The alignment of the FVG with previous resistance adds further confluence to the bearish setup.
TRADING PLAN:
We will monitor the newly formed FVG zone for signs of bearish confirmation. Upon confirmation, the plan is to execute short positions targeting liquidity pools in discounted price zones, in line with institutional price delivery patterns.
Remain focused, wait for confirmation, and make sure this idea aligns with your overall trading plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NASDAQ Buy idea🔸 Structure Breakout → Pullback → Consolidation beneath resistance
🔸 Support Zone Multiple rejections from 19,370–19,385 demand zone
🔸 Liquidity Stops likely resting above 19,420 → potential fuel for breakout move
🔸 Candle Behavior Strong rejection candles from demand zone + no bearish follow-through
🔸 Momentum Price failing to make lower lows → bullish pressure building
NAS100 Breakdown Watch: Bearish Structure Forms Below Key Highs1. Key Levels
Yesterday’s High: 20,037.0
Yesterday’s Low: 19,658.8
Today’s High (so far): 19,912.4
Current Price: 19,844.4
Price is currently trading below today’s high and below yesterday’s high, but still well above yesterday’s low.
2. Structure & Market Flow
The BoS/ChoCh (Break of Structure / Change of Character) indicator marks:
Multiple BoS (green) up to the April 30th peak, showing bullish structure.
A ChoCh (red) occurred just after the top on April 30, followed by more ChoCh signals, indicating potential short-term bearish momentum.
Most recent price action shows consolidation between 19,840–19,912, forming a range after rejecting near today's high.
3. Moving Averages (3EMA)
Blue Line (Short EMA - 20): 19,843.0
Purple Line (Mid EMA - 50): 19,840.3
Price is slightly above both the 20 and 50 EMA, which are now flattening — suggesting neutral momentum with no strong trend currently in place.
4. Market Context / Price Action
The sharp rejection at 20,037 (yesterday's high) indicates supply pressure.
Price wicked above today’s high before dropping below both EMAs.
Price bounced around the 50 EMA and appears to be forming lower highs, showing bearish microstructure.
Current structure looks like a potential distribution pattern.
5. Trade Ideas (Scenarios)
A. Bearish Bias (High Probability if 19,840 breaks cleanly)
Entry: Break and close below 19,840 with volume confirmation.
TP1: 19,700 (just above yesterday’s low)
TP2: 19,658.8 (yesterday’s low)
SL: Above 19,912 (today’s high)
This setup capitalizes on a rejection of key highs, a ChoCh confirmation, and fading bullish momentum.
B. Bullish Scenario (Only if we reclaim today’s high)
Entry: Strong 15-min candle close above 19,912, targeting 20,037 and beyond.
TP1: 20,037 (yesterday’s high)
TP2: 20,100–20,150 (psychological and recent rejection zone)
SL: Below 19,840
This would be a breakout-retest continuation trade, but less favorable given current structure.
6. Bias & Recommendation
Short Bias is currently favored due to:
Repeated ChoCh signals
Price trading below today's high and rejecting yesterday’s high
Weak upside follow-through despite attempts to push higher
Tight consolidation and lower highs forming near resistance
NASDAQ Sell idea🔸 Resistance Strong supply zone around 19,419.5–19,430 (previous high & breakout failure)
🔸 Bearish Structure If price fails to break and hold above 19,430, double top or lower high forms
🔸 Wick Rejection Multiple upper wicks near resistance could signal rejection and exhaustion
🔸 Volume Behavior Potential volume spike without follow-through → trap buyers
🔸 Momentum Divergence If momentum slows on retest of high, weakening bullish pressure
NAS100 – Supply Zone Rejection! Are Tech Bulls Out of Breath?Timeframe: 4H | Methodology: Supply & Demand + Structure
The NASDAQ 100 (US100) is struggling to break above the key supply zone around 19,832. Price has printed multiple wicks at resistance, hinting at weakening bullish momentum.
Technical Breakdown:
Major Supply Zone: 19,800 – 19,850
Critical Support Level: 18,846
Demand Zone Target: 17,700 – 18,000 (highlighted in orange)
Key Observations:
Price has rallied into supply after a strong bullish move from the 18,000s
Repeated rejection candles are forming inside the supply zone
Bearish divergence may be developing — a possible early reversal signal
Trade Setup Idea: (Bearish Bias)
Sell Trigger: Break below 19,700
Target Range: 18,850 first, then 18,000
Stop Loss: Above 19,850
Macro Note:
Several U.S. economic events are lined up (see calendar icons). Expect high volatility — perfect environment for trap moves and liquidity grabs.
Will NAS100 reverse from this zone or break out to new highs? Let me know your view!
Like & follow for more clean chart breakdowns.
#NAS100 #NASDAQ #USTech #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #ReversalSetup #TradingView
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Time for Pullback
There is a high chance that US100 will retrace from the underlined
blue daily resistance.
I spotted a double top pattern on a 4h time frame after its test
and a nice bearish imbalance candle that was formed
during the NY session yesterday as confirmations.
Goal - 19590
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Nas100 Diamond BottomAt the 16400 gap down the play was simple, buy, fill the gap and bullish engulf this puppy.
So it happened, and the 10 percent pump is the middle of the diamond. Then what was left to be bullish on the final retraces onto the right side of the diamond.
Now we are in. I expect exponentiaal growth, but first target is the magic average plotted on this chart.
Good luck and remember, no guarantees. I play the chart and trust it, but if it backfires thats my risk im willing to take.
Trendline break out NAS100## Entry
- Enter on 4H confirmed trendline breakout
- Look for retest of broken trendline as support
- Ensure price remains above key MAs on 4H
- Verify with increased volume on breakout
## Risk
- Stop below recent swing low/structure
- Risk 1-2% capital
- Size position accordingly
## Targets
1. 20000- 20200 as psychological level
2. 200 MA on daily timeframe
3. 1.5x risk-reward ratio
## Management
- Wait for clean 4H breakout confirmation
- Move stop to breakeven after momentum continues
- Trail stop as price advances toward targets
- Scale out at major resistance levels
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Following the Wave StructureAnalysis:
The NASDAQ100 appears to be following a classic 5-wave structure.
Currently, we are finishing Wave 3, with an expected corrective move toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement zone near 19,018.7.
From there, the chart suggests a continuation toward the 19,879 area (close to the daily 200 EMA) and, finally, toward the 20,866 target, completing the cycle.
Key zones:
Support: 19,018.7 (50% Fibo and strong structural level)
Resistance: 19,879.1 and 20,866.2
Additional levels: Daily 200 EMA and previous structural gaps
The path won't be in a straight line — expect consolidation and pullbacks along the way. However, the bullish projection remains intact as long as the 19,018.7 support holds.
Let's keep riding the wave! 🌊
US100 Triangle Squeeze – Breakout or Fakeout?Hey Traders,
Price is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, squeezing between rising support and descending resistance.
Two potential bullish scenarios on watch:
🔹 Scenario 1:
Breakout above triangle resistance with confirmation → Potential rally toward the 19,200–19,600 zone.
🔹 Scenario 2:
Short-term rejection at resistance → Pullback to triangle support or the 18,370 level → Then bounce for continuation to the upside.
If the triangle breaks to the downside, I’ll be watching the 18,000 and 17,600 demand zones for a potential reaction.
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance: 18,800 / 19,200 / 19,600
Support: 18,370 / 18,000 / 17,600
⚠️ Not financial advice – just sharing market insights.
– Mr. Wolf 🐺
#US100 #NAS100 #DowJones #Indices #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #SwingTrading #TradingView
NAS100 | 4H Bullish Breakout from Channel – Eyes on 19,970 ZoneNAS100 4H Chart Analysis
Price broke out of a well-respected descending channel with a strong bullish push. Currently approaching a supply zone around 19,970, where we may see a reaction.
Key Levels:
• Resistance/Supply: 19,970
• Support: 19,450 / 18,823
Technical Notes:
• Breakout confirmation above descending trendline
• Clean retest zone formed at previous structure (around 18,800)
• Watching for either a rejection at supply or continuation into 21,000+
Next Steps:
• Waiting for confirmation: reaction or break of the 19,970 zone
• Will look for 15m–1H entry if we get a pullback to structure
US100 BREAKS DOUBLE BUTTOM NECKLINE! US100 successfully breaks a neckline of a double buttom like structure! We may continue to see a continuous movement in price to the upside. Next resistance level could be the area of 20,267 (pullback resistance)
A buy opportunity is envisaged from the current market price
NASDAQ testing its 1D MA50. Break-out or Fake-out?Nasdaq (NDX) has reached its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since February 24. Following the (near) rebound on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), this looks like a textbook recovery from a correction to a new long-term Bullish Leg.
Chronologically the last such correction was the March 2020 COVID flash crash, which after it almost touched the 1W MA200, it recovered as fast as the current rebound and when it broke above its 1D MA50, it turned it into the Support of the new long-term Bullish Leg.
What wasn't a break-out but a fake-out was the rebound after the June 13 2022 (near) 1W MA200 rebound, when the break above the 1D MA50 was false as it produced a new rejection and sell-off later on. The difference is that 2022 was a technical Bear Cycle both in terms of length and strength.
Whatever the case, Nasdaq has seen the lowest 1W RSI (oversold) reading among those 3 bottoms. So do you think today's 1D MA50 test is a break-out or fake-out?
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