NASDAQ US100 Overextended? Waiting for the Pullback🚨 NASDAQ #100# Analysis 🚨
I'm currently watching the NASDAQ (US100) 📊, and in my view, it's looking overextended. Price is now trading into previous daily highs 📈 without showing a meaningful retracement. Historically, when we look back at the chart, we rarely see such strong rallies without some form of pullback 🔄.
A healthy trend typically follows a natural rhythm — rally, retrace, rally or expand, pull back, expand again. In this case, that retracement is missing ❌, which raises caution flags for me 🚩.
🎥 In the video, I break down:
Price action & market structure 🧩
The current trend 📉📈
A potential long opportunity — but only if price pulls back into my point of interest (POI) 🧲 and we then get a bullish break in market structure (BoS) 🟢.
🔒 This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly!
USTEC trade ideas
Nasdaq – Fair Value Gap (FVG) in Play: Breakout or Rejection?US100 is going up and reaching a critical inflection point, the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 21,500 and 21,700.
This FVG is not just any level; it’s the last inefficiency left by aggressive sellers, and the market is now deciding whether to reclaim or reject it.
Key Zones
- Daily FVG (Supply): 21,400 – 21,600
- Major Resistance: 22,400
Trade Scenarios
Bullish Continuation
A clean daily close above 21,600 confirms FVG reclamation.
Could trigger a momentum burst toward 22,250.
Ideal play: wait for consolidation above 21,700 or breakout-retest setup.
Bearish Rejection
Rejection from the FVG could lead to a retracement toward 20,300, where demand and a lower imbalance reside.
Look for rejection in the FVG zone.
Technical Takeaways
The FVG at 21,400–21,600 is acting as both a magnet and a battlefield expect volatility.
The impulsive move leading here lacks a clear retest, which may increase the probability of a short-term correction.
Momentum is strong, but traders should wait for confirmation not emotion.
Summary
The Nasdaq 100 is knocking on a daily FVG door and what happens next will set the tone for the coming weeks.
Above 21,600 = bull trend continuation
Rejection = short-term dip to 20,300 possible
What's your take, breakout or rejection?
Follow for real-time trade updates and educational charts.
3 Consistent Winner Beliefs. Do you check off all 3?> Every trader comes to the charts with a story.
Mine is one of obsession, resilience, and belief.
This is what I tell myself every single day before I take a trade — my inner code.
1. Money can be made in markets
I’ve seen the charts. I’ve seen the proof.
Every day, money moves — and the ones with eyes to see take their slice.
Markets aren’t random. They aren’t chaos.
They’re an ocean of opportunity.
The consistent winners?
They’re locked in the present and spot opportunity moment by moment —
then strike when it’s worthwhile.
2. I can make money in markets
Not someone else. Me.
I study. I adapt. I execute.
I’m not here to gamble or guess.
I’m here to observe human behavior and act with precision.
I’ve trained my mind to see what others miss.
And that edge? It’s mine.
> “It’s so incredible how rich one can become without being perfect.”
3. I deserve to make money in markets
This one’s the hardest — and the most powerful.
Because without it, we self-sabotage.
I’ve put in the work.
I’ve sacrificed.
I’ve endured losses, frustration, and silence.
But I never stopped.
So when profit comes, it’s not luck — it’s alignment with who I’ve become.
> I post this not just as motivation — but as a mirror for others walking the same path.
If you’re obsessed with mastering yourself through the charts, then we’re already on the same team.
A belief is any thought you get attached to.
The more you attach, the more you become it.
US100 - Correction Required Before Next Major Rally PhaseThe US Tech 100 index is showing signs of exhaustion after a strong recovery rally from April lows, with price action now facing resistance at the upper blue box around 20,200. The index appears to be forming a short-term top as momentum wanes, evidenced by recent candle patterns displaying indecision and inability to sustain new highs. The downward-pointing red arrow suggests a likely move toward the middle support zone around 19,000, which would represent a healthy correction of about 5-6% from current levels. This pullback would help reset overbought technical indicators and potentially shake out weak hands before establishing a stronger foundation for the next leg higher. Given the sharp rally we've witnessed from the April lows near 16,400, this correction would be technically justified and provide a more sustainable launching pad for continuation of the longer-term uptrend once complete.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NAS100USD: Rejection Block & Breaker Converge for Sell SetupMarket Context:
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we note that although the market has been trading within bullish institutional order flow, current price action is presenting multiple signs that a bearish reversal may be underway. Institutional behavior appears to have shifted, particularly after liquidity was swept and price began to respect resistance zones.
Key Observations:
Premium Buy Stop Sweep:
Price action swept the swing high rather than breaking it cleanly, indicating a stop raid. This is a common smart money tactic used to engage with buy stop liquidity in premium pricing before reversing.
Rejection Block Formation:
A sharp rejection followed the liquidity sweep, leaving behind a Rejection Block—a powerful institutional resistance zone. This suggests the institutions placed sell orders against willing buyers and are defending this level.
Market Structure Shift:
We observe a break in internal structure to the downside, further confirming that the prior bullish order flow may now be transitioning into a bearish phase.
Breaker Block Retest:
Price has retraced into a Breaker Block, where institutions typically revisit prior zones of buying to mitigate exposure and initiate new sell positions. This zone is reinforced by alignment with the previous buy stop sweep, providing a high-value confluence area for short opportunities.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Await confirmation within the breaker on the lower timeframes. Once confirmed, these zones offer a strong institutional case for short positioning.
Targets:
Focus on discount liquidity pools as the primary objective. Selling from premium levels with the intention of targeting undervalued zones mirrors institutional execution models.
Stay aligned with smart money behavior—observe, confirm, and act with precision.
Happy Trading!
The Architect
Nasdaq US100 Wave 3 Expansion Toward 31,606 in PlayNasdaq US100 has completed a significant wave cycle with a confirmed wave 1 in the broader Elliott Wave structure. Following this, price underwent a corrective wave 2 that extended from the $22,237 supply zone down to $16,334, marking the conclusion of the previous cycle’s correction. This structure now signals the initiation of a fresh upward impulse, setting the stage for a powerful wave 3 advance.
The emergence of wave 3 will gain full confirmation once price successfully breaks above the external supply zone, reclaiming $22,237. If this breakout occurs with sustained momentum, the wave 3 projection targets an expansion toward $31,606, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension from the prior cycle. This forthcoming rally is anticipated to unfold in a five-subwave format, indicative of a high-momentum bullish leg.
As long as price action remains above the key support at $16,334, the bullish cycle remains valid. All eyes should now be on the breakout structure and volume profile around $22,237, as it represents the gateway to a much broader impulsive move.
US100 SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 21,312.4
Target Level: 19,338.7
Stop Loss: 22,625.1
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NAS100 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 21,335.35, an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 20,926.01, a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement
The stop loss will be placed at 21,516.96, above the swing-high resistance.
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Nasdaq100 (US100) Bearish Reversal Opportunity from ResistanceThe Nasdaq 100 is trading within a rising parallel channel on the 4H timeframe. Price is currently testing the upper boundary of the channel, showing signs of exhaustion near 21,240. This area also aligns with a psychological resistance zone and may attract selling interest.
Trade Idea:
A potential short setup is forming, anticipating a rejection from the upper trendline and a move back toward the lower channel support.
Entry: Near 21,238
Stop Loss: 21,748 (above the channel)
Take Profit: 20,009 (lower channel + previous support)
Fundamentals:
With tech stocks appearing overbought and rising interest rate expectations still looming, a corrective move in US indices may follow. Caution is advised around key economic releases.
Call to Action:
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NOTE: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
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Trade Idea - possible to outcomes2 potential scenarios. If the price action closes below the 1st dotted red line(MSS), we would expect the 30min iFVG to be respected as resistance, which would serve as our MSS + Displacement. The subsequent candle would then provide confirmation regarding the validity of the candle at 9am NY Time in relation to the next FVG to trade off to London Low.
NDX Be carefullWe’re currently braced for an 8–9% pullback in the Nasdaq 100 before we attempt what could prove to be a bull‑trap breakout above last cycle’s all‑time high. Historically, the ‘summer swoon’ is supported by data showing that, since 2000, the Nasdaq 100 has experienced an average decline of roughly 5–7% between June and August as institutional investors trim positions ahead of mid‑year portfolio rebalances. With selling pressure typically peaking in July—when mutual funds lock in gains for window dressing—we’re unlikely to see a committed uptrend until the back‑to‑school season around late September to early October. Even if we see a short‑lived bounce on positive headlines or better‑than‑expected earnings, the broader bias remains sideways to down until seasonal headwinds abate and real money players rotate back into large‑cap tech.
US100 4HNASDAQ Analysis – Continuing the Bullish Path
As expected from the previous analysis, NASDAQ continued its bullish move and has now reached a key level.
A short-term correction is anticipated, which may provide a better buying opportunity.
The projected upside target remains at 22,600, where a new ATH could be formed.
Let’s see how the market reacts from here.
US100 TO MAKE A MASSIVE DROP !!Price recently made a new lower high after we had a previous lower high around 20,122 price remains bearish as our recent trend isn’t taken out yet. Meaning that there is no new all time high formation yet. I anticipate a drop in price (abound 1000pip ) back to the previous lower high of 20122. Therefore we are looking forward to selling US100.
Nasdaq long up to 21,454.57Nasdaq is working on a strong recovery from the US tariffs.
Last Friday we saw a strong liquidity grab, respecting the current bullish trend and breaking the weak highs.
I do expect a little pullback to generate some more liquidity before pushing to higher highs at 21,454.57
NASDAQ Trade Setup: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for Retrace!✅ NASDAQ Breakdown: Waiting for the Retrace 🎯
I'm currently watching the NASDAQ 🧠, and here's what I'm seeing across multiple timeframes:
📈 Daily & 4H Timeframes show a strong bullish rally with significant momentum. However, in my view, price is overextended and currently trading at a premium.
📉 Although my bias remains bullish, I'm anticipating a retracement into equilibrium—specifically around the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci zone 🔁. This would offer a more favorable entry based on value.
📊 In this video, I walk you through:
- The overall trend direction
- Where and how we can anticipate a break of market structure for a clean entry
- Why my buy idea is conditional on the 30-minute chart trending down, then flipping bullish via a structure break 🔄
⚠️ Patience is key! The trade setup may play out at various price levels—wait for confirmation from price action, as detailed in the video 🎥.
NASDAQ broke above its 1D MA200 after 2 months! Target 22000.Nasdaq (NDX) broke today above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since March 06), following the U.S. - Chine trade deal. This trend-line also had the March 26 rejection under its belt, which initiated the most aggressive part of the 'Trade War' correction.
The last time the index broke above its 1D MA200 on a similar pattern was when it was recovering after the bottom of the 2022 Inflation Crisis. The February 01 2023 break-out produced an instant rise to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before a short-term correction to re-test the 1D MA200.
As a result, we expect 22000 (1.382 Fib ext) to come as early as this week before any discussions can be made for a new pull-back.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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