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USNAS100 Hits New ATH | Watch 22,520 for Possible Correction USNAS100 TECHNICAL OVERVIEW Nasdaq 100 Prints New ATH | Eyeing 22,640, But Correction Risk Builds USNAS100 recorded a new all-time high, supported by broad bullish sentiment across U.S. indices after upbeat S&P and inflation data boosted risk appetite. Technically, the index remains bullish, but signs of short-term exhaustion are appearing. If the price closes below 22,520 on the 1H timeframe, a correction toward the 22,280 zone is likely. However, a clean break above 22,640 would confirm continuation toward the next upside target at 22,790. Key Levels Pivot Line: 22,520 Resistance: 22,640 → 22,790 Support: 22,410 → 22,280 → 22,200 Take a look at the previous idea to see more reality...
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
Nasdaq 100: A New All-Time HighNasdaq 100: A New All-Time High As shown on the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the value of the technology stock index has risen above its February peak, setting a new historical high. Bullish sentiment may be supported by: → Easing concerns over potential US involvement in a Middle East war, as the ceasefire between Israel and Iran remains in effect. → Media reports suggesting that Donald Trump is considering replacing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by September or October, in an effort to influence a rate cut that could accelerate economic growth (though this also raises the risk of a new inflationary wave). Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart Price fluctuations in May and June have formed an ascending channel (highlighted in blue), with the following observations: → The decline (marked by red lines) appears to be an interim correction forming a bullish flag pattern; → The 22K level, which acted as resistance mid-month, was breached by a strong bullish impulse (indicated by the arrow) from the week's low. This leaves the market vulnerable to a potential correction, which seems possible given: → Proximity to the upper boundary of the ascending channel; → Overbought conditions indicated by the RSI. If the market corrects, a retest of the 22K level may happen. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
NASDAQ: Short-lived pullback ahead of major breakout.Nasdaq has entered strong bullish territory on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.290, MACD = 331.080, ADX = 18.600). Despite that, it remains inside a slow moving Channel Up for the past month in contrast to the more aggressive bullish waves of the Channel Up in April and May. The 4H RSI peak may be similar to May 12th and April 24th. We believe that at least a +9.69% rally will emerge to approach the top of this 3 month Channel Up. Stay bullish, TP = 23,400. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
Market Structure Breakdown on NASDAQ: What Traders Should Watch📉 NASDAQ (NAS100, US100) Analysis 🧠💼 I’m currently keeping a close eye on the NASDAQ (NAS100) — price action is telling a story worth watching. 📆 Last week, the index came under clear pressure, and now on the 4H timeframe, we’re seeing a defined bearish structure with consistent lower highs and lower lows 📉🔻. This recent expansion to the downside has led to a break in market structure (BOS), and price is now pulling back into equilibrium 🔄. ⏳ For now, it’s a waiting game. I’m watching to see if this pullback finds resistance at a premium level and rotates back to the downside, which would present a potential short setup 🎯📊. 🕒 On the 30-minute chart, I’m monitoring for a clear structural shift — a change in momentum that confirms bearish intent. Should the NASDAQ resume its downward move, it could trigger risk-off sentiment, bringing strength into the JPY pairs 💴🚨 as capital flows out of risk assets. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📚💼
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
The "True Close" Institutions Don't Talk About — But Trade On█ My Story from the Inside I worked at a hedge fund in Europe, where I served as a Risk Advisor. One thing I never expected before joining the institutional side of the market was this: They didn’t treat the current day’s close as the "true" close of the market. Instead, they looked at the first hour of the next day — once all pending flows had settled, rebalancing was done, and execution dust had cleared — that was the true close in their eyes. Here’s why that changed everything I knew about trading: █ Institutional Reality vs Retail Fantasy ⚪ Retail traders are taught: “The daily close is the most important price of the day.” But institutions operate under constraints that most retail traders are never exposed to: Orders too large to fill before the bell Internal compliance and execution delays Batch algorithms and VWAP/TWAP systems that extend into the next session So while the market might close on paper at 17:30 CET, the real trading — the stuff that matters to funds — might not wrap up until 09:30 or 10:00 the next morning. Although the official “close” prints here, institutional volume ends quickly. It drops off sharply, almost immediately. Once the books are closed and final prints are done, big players exit — and what's left is thin, passive flow or noise. The first hour of the New York session reveals structured flows, not random volatility. This is where institutions finalize yesterday’s unfinished business, which is why many consider this the “true” close. And that’s the price risk managers, portfolio managers, and execution teams internally treat as the reference point. █ Example: The Rebalance Spillover Let’s say a fund needs to offload €100 million worth of tech stocks before month-end. They start into the close, but liquidity is thin. Slippage mounts. They pause execution. Next morning, their algo resumes — quietly but aggressively — in the first 30 minutes of trade. You see a sharp spike. Then a reversal. Then another surge. That’s not noise. That’s structure. It’s the result of unfinished business from yesterday. █ Why the First Hour is a War Zone You’ve probably seen it: Prices whip back and forth at the open Yesterday’s key levels are revisited, sometimes violently Big moves happen without any overnight news Here’s what’s happening under the hood: Rebalancing spillovers from the day before Late-position adjustments from inflows/outflows Risk parity or vol-targeting models triggering trades based on overnight data The market’s not reacting to fresh news — it’s completing its old to-do list. █ What the Research Really Says About Morning Volatility The idea that "the true close happens the next morning" isn’t just insider intuition — it’s backed by market microstructure research that highlights how institutional behaviors disrupt the clean narrative of the official close. Here’s what the literature reveals: █ Heston, Korajczyk & Sadka (2010) Their study on intraday return patterns shows that returns continue at predictable 30-minute intervals, especially around the open. The key driver? Institutional order flow imbalances. When big funds can’t complete trades at the close, they spill into the next session, creating mechanical, non-informational momentum during the first hour. These delayed executions are visible as persistent price drifts after the open, not random volatility. █ Wei Li & Steven Wang (SSRN 2010) This paper dives into the asymmetric impact of institutional trades. It shows that when institutions are forced to adjust positions — often due to risk limits, inflows/outflows, or model-based triggers — the market reacts most violently in the early hours of the day. When funds lag behind the clock, the next morning becomes a catch-up window, and price volatility spikes accordingly. █ Lars Nordén (Doctoral Thesis, Swedish Stock Exchange) In his microstructure research, Nordén found that the variance of returns is highest in the early part of the session, not at the close. This is especially true on days following macro events or at the end/start of reporting periods. The data implies that institutions “price in” what they couldn’t execute the day before, making the next morning more informative than the actual close. █ Bottom Line from the Research: The first hour isn’t wild because it’s full of emotion. It’s wild because it’s full of unfinished business. These studies reinforce that price discovery is a rolling process, and for institutional flows, the official close is just a checkpoint, not a final destination. █ How to Use This as a Trader ⚪ Don't assume the official close is final Treat it as a temporary bookmark. Watch what happens in the first hour of the next day — that’s when intentions are revealed. ⚪ Volume in the first 30–60 minutes matters It’s not noise — it’s flow completion. Often non-price-sensitive. Often mechanical. ⚪ Design strategies around “true close” logic Test fade setups after the first hour’s range is established. That’s often the real “settled” level. ⚪ Use the first-hour VWAP or midpoint as a reference Institutions may anchor to that — not the official close — for mean reversion or risk metrics. █ Final Thought The first hour is not the start of something new. It’s the conclusion of yesterday’s market. And unless you understand how institutions truly close their books — and how long that takes — you’ll always be a step behind. So next time you see chaos at the open, stop calling it random. 👉 It’s just the market putting yesterday to bed — late. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by Zeiierman
42
NQ Shorts Into Sellside Liquidity (26/06/2025) Tracked this trade live as price swept buyside liquidity at 22,300.59, forming a potential short-formed M pattern. Watched for confirmation and waited patiently through a small bullish pullback, identifying potential trap behavior rather than true continuation. Once a bearish market structure shift (MSS) occurred—confirmed by a body close below the prior wick low—I executed a short position, targeting the sellside liquidity shelf at 22,166.92, aligned with Asian session lows. Dimmed HeatMap clusters beneath suggested institutional interest, supporting a high-probability setup. Trade thesis: - Liquidity sweep at 22,300.59 - Rejection with fading momentum and wick absorption - MSS confirmation with strong-bodied candle - Dimmed clusters and multiple marked sellside levels below Execution: Sniper short after MSS confirmation. Trade is live and managed with defined targets and narrative context. Let’s see how deep this bleed runs.
FUSIONMARKETS:NAS100Short
by liambillo35
NSDQ100 Bullish breakout supported at 21950President Trump rejected a Pentagon intelligence report suggesting his airstrikes on Iran had limited effect, claiming they caused “total obliteration,” despite inconclusive satellite imagery. In a surprising move that weakens longstanding US sanctions, Trump also allowed China to resume purchases of Iranian oil. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that the current inflation outlook supports holding interest rates steady. He is expected to provide further detail in testimony before the Senate Banking Committee today. Markets responded calmly: stock futures were steady as the Israel-Iran truce held, and oil prices rose slightly after their sharpest two-day drop since 2022. Separately, the UK announced plans to purchase 12 US-made F-35A fighter jets capable of carrying nuclear weapons, in a bid to strengthen ties with Trump. NATO allies are working diplomatically to reassure the US of their unity, ahead of a summit in The Hague. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 22380 Resistance Level 2: 22500 Resistance Level 3: 22690 Support Level 1: 21950 Support Level 2: 21810 Support Level 3: 21680 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation