NAS100 at Risk of Breaking Lower Amid Mixed Signals and End-of-MThe NAS100 is showing signs of weakness, with a clear daily pinbar candle signaling potential downside reversal. After a strong rally, the index appears overextended and vulnerable to a technical retracement. End-of-month profit-taking is likely adding pressure, as traders lock in gains and rebalance portfolios.
Uncertainty around reciprocal tariffs is also weighing on sentiment. Comments from U.S. officials, including Bessent, emphasize the need for renewed dialogue with China—highlighting unresolved tensions that could escalate. These trade concerns are surfacing just as the market is priced for optimism, increasing the risk of a pullback.
From a technical perspective, the daily pinbar near recent highs indicates a rejection of upward momentum. If confirmed with a break below the recent low, a move toward 20,400 or even the 50-day moving average could follow.
Seasonal flows and shifting sentiment may further limit upside in the short term. Any risk-off tone from global headlines or softer macro data could accelerate the move lower. Until the index clears resistance with conviction, the bias may now tilt to the downside. Traders should watch for follow-through signals and consider tightening stops.
USTEC trade ideas
[NAS100] Range Breakout Retest – Is Upside Continuation in Play?The NAS100 (US100) on the 4H chart is exhibiting a bullish structure following a recent breakout and retest of the 21,000.0 key resistance level, now acting as support. After forming a local high near 21,777.3, price retraced and is now attempting a second push higher, suggesting buyer strength.
Currently trading at 21,450.0, with
Support at: 21,000.0 🔽
Resistance at: 21,777.3 🔼 and 22,230.7 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: If price holds above 21,000.0 and breaks cleanly above 21,777.3, next upside target is 22,230.7.
🔽 Bearish: A drop back below 21,000.0 could open the door for a deeper retracement toward 20,200.0.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Break Out Zones )🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break : 21475
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21120
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
H&S Watch! Pullback Toward 18.4K Likely, POC at 15K is Critical!This chart presents a comprehensive technical and macro assessment of the NASDAQ 100 (US100) using the daily timeframe. The focal point is a developing Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, currently unconfirmed, but well-formed with strong structural and momentum confluence.
🧠 Thought Process & Structure
The chart reveals a potential H&S pattern with the right shoulder forming just below 22,200. While the neckline at 18,400 has not broken yet, several signals support the idea of a short-term pullback:
Bearish RSI divergence from the recent high
Stochastic crossovers on both daily and weekly timeframes from overbought levels
A large unfilled gap near 18,400 that is likely to act as a magnet
Rather than predicting an immediate collapse, this analysis takes a probability-weighted approach and lays out both bullish and bearish outcomes clearly.
📉 Current Expectation: Pullback Toward 18,400
A move toward 18,400 is the base case. This level represents:
The neckline of the H&S structure
The location of Gap Fill Target 2
A prior demand zone from April 2025
A bounce here would not invalidate the pattern but could delay its confirmation. It’s also a valid level for a short-term long trade setup if buyers defend it strongly.
⚠️ Break Below 18,400: POC Zone Becomes Critical
Should 18,400 break decisively, the market could test the Point of Control (POC) around 15,000. This zone:
Has the highest historical volume concentration
Aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement
Marks the new measured move target of the Head & Shoulders pattern
In short, 15,000 becomes the most critical structural and psychological support. If it fails, deeper risk reopens.
🔻 Deeper Move Scenarios (Now Less Likely)
Previous versions of this chart targeted 10,500. That level is now considered outside the measured move and only becomes viable if:
15,000 fails to hold
Macro conditions deteriorate sharply (e.g., inflation remains sticky, Fed turns hawkish, or recession triggers a risk-off rotation)
At this time, such an extended move is low probability.
📈 Bullish Invalidation
A breakout above 22,200 with strong volume would invalidate the entire bearish pattern. This would suggest bullish continuation and open the door to 24,000 and beyond. This scenario is also plotted on the chart and clearly labeled.
🧭 Trading Plan
Monitor for rejection or bounce at 18,400
If it holds, long opportunity may develop
If it fails, prepare for POC test at 15,000
Only consider deeper targets if breakdown volume is strong
Invalidate bearish outlook if price closes decisively above 22,200
📅 Macro Events to Watch (June–July 2025)
June 6 – Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
June 11 – CPI Report (May)
June 17–18 – FOMC Meeting
June 26 – Final Q1 GDP
June 27 – PCE Inflation
July 3 – June Employment Report
July 15 – June CPI
July 30 – FOMC Meeting #5 & Q2 GDP Advance Estimate
These events could act as triggers for either confirming or invalidating the current technical setup.
✅ Summary
This is a developing setup — not a confirmed breakdown. The current expectation is a pullback toward 18,400, with a potential bounce. If that support fails, the 15,000 POC becomes the key level to watch. The measured move of the H&S pattern now targets 15,000 — not 10,500. Deeper downside should only be considered if strong macro or volume-based catalysts emerge.
This approach allows for flexibility, clarity, and trade planning without bias. Let the chart prove itself — and be ready either way.
US100 Not yet ready for ATH - Structural BreakdownHere’s a detailed breakdown of the US Tech 100 - NASDAQ on the daily chart and why a lift off to ATHs may not be in play just yet.
✅ Key imbalance zones mapped out
🔻 Expecting downside clean-up before upside continuation
📊 FVGs & inefficiencies stacked below = high-probability revisit zones
If you’re trading NASDAQ, this map could be your cheat sheet before price makes its real move.
The market is respecting the ascending channel, but I’m expecting a cleanup of inefficiencies stacked below before any major continuation. Keep an eye on the key zones marked — price may revisit these areas for liquidity.
📉 Possible short-term correction
📈 Bias still bullish, but not without some pain first
Happy Trading !
Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Break Out Zones )🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break : 21310
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21125
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
NAS100 BEARISH FOR 35,532 TICKS1. Understanding the Target (35,532 Ticks)
1 tick in NAS100 (CFD/Futures) typically represents 0.25 index points (varies by broker).
35,532 ticks = 35,532 × 0.25 = 8,883 points.
This suggests a long-term bullish outlook if starting from current levels (~18,000-19,000).
2. Key Analysis for NAS100 Forecast
Trend: NAS100 is strongly influenced by tech stocks (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, etc.) and Fed policy.
Support Levels:
Major support at 18,000-18,500 (2024 consolidation zone).
Resistance Levels:
19,500-20,000 (ATH zone).
21,000-22,000 (next psychological barrier).
3. Take Profit (TP) Strategy
If entering a long position (assuming bullish trend continuation):
Short-term TP: 19,500 (scalping).
Medium-term TP: 20,500-21,000 (swing trade).
Long-term TP (35,532 ticks): ~26,883 (if starting from 18,000).
If entering a short position (unlikely given bullish bias):
TP at key supports (17,500 or lower).
4. Risk Management
Use stop-loss (SL) below key support (e.g., 17,800 for longs).
Position sizing: Risk ≤1-2% per trade.
5. Conclusion
Bullish Case: If NAS100 breaks 20,000, the 35,532-tick (8,883-point) target could be possible in a strong bull run.
Bearish Case: Unlikely unless major crash (Fed tightening/geopolitical crisis).
NASDAQ Markup- Not in the Trade, But the Lesson's ClearDidn’t take this one—not trading NASDAQ right now—but I still mapped it out from the 30M perspective just to stay sharp.
4H gave bullish intent after breaking the major macro LH, so I followed the flow.
Saw a clean 30M inducement sweep, price then mitigated internal structure OB, and I marked exactly where I would’ve entered with LTF confirmation.
Didn’t trade it, but the logic’s there—and if you’ve been watching… you already know what it’s doing now. 🧠📈
Every setup teaches something.
– Inducement King
Bless Trading!
Nasdaq prepares for the reboundNasdaq index might be supported after AI-narrative getting back to the markets fueled by NVDA’s better than expected earnings for Q1 2025. The position of the price is close to the 20-day moving average, which makes a trade location potentially good for starting the upswing to the target area of $22,000.
Traders will watch the publication of ISM Manufacturing index on Monday, as it has some correlation with S&P 500 and Nasdaq, and might strengthen or weaken the current “AI rebound narrative”.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, never forget to manage your risk at all times!
NASDAQ100 Analysis – Key S/R Zones & Price Reaction Incoming! NASDAQ100 Analysis – Key S/R Zones & Price Reaction Incoming! 🚨
🔍 Chart Breakdown:
This is a technical chart analysis of NASDAQ100 (NAS100) with defined Support and Resistance zones. The price is currently at 21,314.50, sitting below a critical decision area.
🧱 Key Zones:
🔵 Resistance Zone:
‣ 21,640 – 21,800
‣ Strong supply area where price sharply reversed previously.
‣ If price breaks above the mid resistance zone, a bullish move towards this level is likely.
🟩 Support + Resistance Flip Zone:
‣ 21,280 – 21,420
‣ Former support, now acting as resistance.
‣ Price is struggling to reclaim this zone.
‣ Acts as a key decision level.
🟢 Support Zone:
‣ 20,630 – 20,750
‣ Strong demand zone from which previous rallies initiated.
‣ Target if bearish rejection continues.
🔄 Price Action Insight:
Price is currently rejecting the Support-turned-Resistance zone.
There’s a clear bearish rejection at the mid-zone (S/R flip), forming a lower high structure.
📉 A breakdown from current levels could lead to a retest of the support zone at 20,700 area.
🟢 However, a successful reclaim and bullish confirmation above 21,420 could see price target the upper resistance at 21,800.
📌 Outlook:
🔽 Bearish Bias if price fails to break above 21,420 – possible drop to 20,700.
🔼 Bullish Reversal above 21,420 could drive price to 21,800.
📅 Date: June 1, 2025
🕒 Timeframe: Likely 1H or 4H chart
💬 “Respect the levels, not the noise.”
Trade safe! ✅
NAS100 4H | Fibonacci Bounce or Break? Key Trendline Test Incomi📈 Description:
Price is currently testing a key ascending trendline on the 4H, sitting just below the 38.2% Fib retracement after rejecting near the 0% level. I’m watching this area closely for either:
✅ A bullish bounce from the 38.2%–50% zone with confluence from EMA 20 and trendline support — targeting 0% then -27% extensions (around 21,750 to 22,200),
or
❌ A clean break and close below the trendline + 61.8% level that could shift short bias toward deeper Fib zones like 78.6% or even 100%.
Indicators Used:
• EMA 20 / EMA 68 for dynamic S/R
• Fibonacci retracement (swing low to recent high)
• Trendline (4H structure support)
🧠 I’ll wait for clear structure before entering — no early entries here. Looking for a strong engulfing candle, MA crossover, or lower-timeframe breakout confirmation depending on the direction.
📍Will update if we get confluence on the 15min/1hr to support entry.
Short US100Think we see a move up to the 0.786 fib level from the recent highs with a rejection down further if more blocks or doubt is cast on the new trade deals and tariffs.
TP would be the weekly lows
Bearish thoughts
- The fundamentals of the tariffs deals are getting challenged
- A bit more aggressiveness from china and we might see a move down
- Daily MACD is pointing down suggesting downward pressure which we are seeing on hourly chart
Bullish structure remains on the 4hr chart
US 100 – Further Moves Await NVIDIA Earnings UpdateGlobal stock indices have reacted positively at the start of this new trading week to President Trump’s decision to extend a deadline which would impose a tariff of 50% on EU goods imported into the US from June 1st to July 9th.
Taken alongside a new willingness being signalled from the EU side to speed the negotiating process along in key areas, means trader hopes have increased that a deal between the first and third largest of the world’s economies can be agreed in principle within the allotted time.
Focusing on US stock indices, the US 100 has risen 2.4% this week, taking it only a small step away from its recent highs at 21493 seen on May 20th. However, later today, the rally is about to face possibly its biggest challenge of the week in the form of earnings from the second biggest company on the planet ($3.3 trillion mkt cap) and AI bellwether NVIDIA, which are released after the market close.
Traders will not only be looking to judge company’s actual performance against expectations but will be eager to receive updates on the impact of President Trump’s tariffs on future revenue, chip deals with the Middle East, competition and its outlook for AI demand moving forward.
Answers to these questions and others may well impact sentiment towards technology stocks and the US 100 moving into the end of the week, and month, on Friday.
With increased volatility a possibility, knowing the technical outlook can also be helpful.
Technical Update: Focus on the May Highs at 21493
While last week did see correction themes develop within the US 100 index, there appears to be no clear-cut signs of a negative sentiment shift yet, as fresh buying developed above support provided by the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 20772 (see chart below).
However, looking forward, if the NVIDIA earnings prompt an increase in US 100 price volatility, what are the levels traders may be watching for clues to the next directional themes?
Potential Support Levels:
It is possible the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 20772, represents a first support for traders, and as such, closing breaks below this level might lead to a more extended phase of price weakness.
Such moves while not a guarantee of declines, could lead to a deeper sell-off towards 20001, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April 21st to May 20th 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance Levels:
With this week seeing fresh price strength emerge from above the rising Bollinger mid-average, a positive price pattern of higher highs and higher lows, may still be evident. This reflects buyers currently being willing to pay higher prices, each time a setback materialises.
However, to maintain this uptrend pattern in price, the focus could now be on resistance provided by the May high at 21493 (May 20th), with closing breaks above this level required to suggest further strength might then be on the cards, towards what could prove to be the next potential resistance level at 22226, which is the February 18th 2025 all-time high.
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NAS100-TEC100 - THE SECRETE OF TRADING INDICES STRATEGYTeam,
yesterday we short the NAS, DOW, DAX and long the GOLD - 4 out of 4 perfectly target hit
Now, we are going long, i want you to carefully look at the picture and understand the concept of how I structure the trade. This has been calculate using my statistic and probability to ensure our entry is safe.
First picture, is buying small volume, if market volatile and push further down, i need you to double up your trade, this allow us to win better.
That's the reason why you saw my videos that everyday i show LIVE trading and profitable every trade. However, always carefully look at your capital and know exactly how much risk are you going to take.
Remember, you can win straight 3-6 months and if you failed risk management and overleverage yourself, the account can easily be kill within 1 day.
Hope you all have a great day.!
US100 - Triple Top Formation (Bearish Setup Active)he US100 on the 4H chart has formed a classic Triple Top pattern, indicating potential trend exhaustion and a bearish reversal setup. The price has tested the resistance zone three times near 21,600 without breaking higher, and a neckline breakdown may trigger further downside.
🔹 Pattern: Triple Top
🔹 Trend Context: Uptrend showing signs of weakening
🔹 Bearish Target: Near 19,600 - 19,800 zone
🔹 Confirmation: Watch for a breakdown below 20,750 (neckline support)
Trade Idea Active – Bearish bias with caution on invalidation if new highs are made. 📉⚠️
Note : If you found this helpful, like and follow for more trade ideas!
Share My Idea With Your Firends Mention Your Feed back Comment Section
This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
NAS100 Breakout or Bull Trap? | Smart Money Zone Rejected! NAS100 has just tapped into a strong supply zone marked by institutional activity — right around 21,700–21,731. After weeks of bullish momentum, price has now shown hesitation at this level.
📉 If sellers step in here, we may be witnessing the beginning of a retracement back to key demand levels.
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🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
🔵 Resistance (Current Supply Zone): 21,700 – 21,731
🟦 First Demand Level: 20,507 – A previous structure and breakout zone
🟧 Major Demand Zone: 19,263 – Institutional accumulation zone and strong price memory
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📊 What to Look For:
✅ Bearish confirmation at the supply zone (rejection candles, break of structure)
✅ Volume spike + lower highs = possible short-term reversal
❗ Invalidation: Clean breakout and retest above 21,731 may continue the bullish rally
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🔮 Possible Scenario:
🟥 If sellers defend the current level, we could see:
1. Pullback to 20,500 📉
2. Deep retracement into 19,263 if demand fails 🚨
3. Short setups may become attractive below 21,500 with tight stops above the zone
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⚠️ Why This Matters:
📆 We're heading into a heavy news week (see the upcoming US economic calendar at the bottom of the chart). Volatility is expected. Smart money often moves before major releases!
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💬 What’s your bias? Are we looking at a fakeout or a breakout?
👉 Drop your analysis below and don’t forget to like if this helped your trading plan!
📌 Follow me @FrankFx14 for more smart money insights and daily trade setups.