US 100 โ Further Moves Await NVIDIA Earnings UpdateGlobal stock indices have reacted positively at the start of this new trading week to President Trumpโs decision to extend a deadline which would impose a tariff of 50% on EU goods imported into the US from June 1st to July 9th.
Taken alongside a new willingness being signalled from the EU side to speed the negotiating process along in key areas, means trader hopes have increased that a deal between the first and third largest of the worldโs economies can be agreed in principle within the allotted time.
Focusing on US stock indices, the US 100 has risen 2.4% this week, taking it only a small step away from its recent highs at 21493 seen on May 20th. However, later today, the rally is about to face possibly its biggest challenge of the week in the form of earnings from the second biggest company on the planet ($3.3 trillion mkt cap) and AI bellwether NVIDIA, which are released after the market close.
Traders will not only be looking to judge companyโs actual performance against expectations but will be eager to receive updates on the impact of President Trumpโs tariffs on future revenue, chip deals with the Middle East, competition and its outlook for AI demand moving forward.
Answers to these questions and others may well impact sentiment towards technology stocks and the US 100 moving into the end of the week, and month, on Friday.
With increased volatility a possibility, knowing the technical outlook can also be helpful.
Technical Update: Focus on the May Highs at 21493
While last week did see correction themes develop within the US 100 index, there appears to be no clear-cut signs of a negative sentiment shift yet, as fresh buying developed above support provided by the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 20772 (see chart below).
However, looking forward, if the NVIDIA earnings prompt an increase in US 100 price volatility, what are the levels traders may be watching for clues to the next directional themes?
Potential Support Levels:
It is possible the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 20772, represents a first support for traders, and as such, closing breaks below this level might lead to a more extended phase of price weakness.
Such moves while not a guarantee of declines, could lead to a deeper sell-off towards 20001, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April 21st to May 20th 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance Levels:
With this week seeing fresh price strength emerge from above the rising Bollinger mid-average, a positive price pattern of higher highs and higher lows, may still be evident. This reflects buyers currently being willing to pay higher prices, each time a setback materialises.
However, to maintain this uptrend pattern in price, the focus could now be on resistance provided by the May high at 21493 (May 20th), with closing breaks above this level required to suggest further strength might then be on the cards, towards what could prove to be the next potential resistance level at 22226, which is the February 18th 2025 all-time high.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesnโt represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldnโt be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isnโt to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readersโ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isnโt permitted.
USTEC trade ideas
NAS100 BEARISH FOR 35,532 TICKS1. Understanding the Target (35,532 Ticks)
1 tick in NAS100 (CFD/Futures) typically represents 0.25 index points (varies by broker).
35,532 ticks = 35,532 ร 0.25 = 8,883 points.
This suggests a long-term bullish outlook if starting from current levels (~18,000-19,000).
2. Key Analysis for NAS100 Forecast
Trend: NAS100 is strongly influenced by tech stocks (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, etc.) and Fed policy.
Support Levels:
Major support at 18,000-18,500 (2024 consolidation zone).
Resistance Levels:
19,500-20,000 (ATH zone).
21,000-22,000 (next psychological barrier).
3. Take Profit (TP) Strategy
If entering a long position (assuming bullish trend continuation):
Short-term TP: 19,500 (scalping).
Medium-term TP: 20,500-21,000 (swing trade).
Long-term TP (35,532 ticks): ~26,883 (if starting from 18,000).
If entering a short position (unlikely given bullish bias):
TP at key supports (17,500 or lower).
4. Risk Management
Use stop-loss (SL) below key support (e.g., 17,800 for longs).
Position sizing: Risk โค1-2% per trade.
5. Conclusion
Bullish Case: If NAS100 breaks 20,000, the 35,532-tick (8,883-point) target could be possible in a strong bull run.
Bearish Case: Unlikely unless major crash (Fed tightening/geopolitical crisis).
NASDAQ Markup- Not in the Trade, But the Lesson's ClearDidnโt take this oneโnot trading NASDAQ right nowโbut I still mapped it out from the 30M perspective just to stay sharp.
4H gave bullish intent after breaking the major macro LH, so I followed the flow.
Saw a clean 30M inducement sweep, price then mitigated internal structure OB, and I marked exactly where I wouldโve entered with LTF confirmation.
Didnโt trade it, but the logicโs thereโand if youโve been watchingโฆ you already know what itโs doing now. ๐ง ๐
Every setup teaches something.
โ Inducement King
Bless Trading!
[NAS100] Range Breakout Retest โ Is Upside Continuation in Play?The NAS100 (US100) on the 4H chart is exhibiting a bullish structure following a recent breakout and retest of the 21,000.0 key resistance level, now acting as support. After forming a local high near 21,777.3, price retraced and is now attempting a second push higher, suggesting buyer strength.
Currently trading at 21,450.0, with
Support at: 21,000.0 ๐ฝ
Resistance at: 21,777.3 ๐ผ and 22,230.7 ๐ผ
๐ Bias:
๐ผ Bullish: If price holds above 21,000.0 and breaks cleanly above 21,777.3, next upside target is 22,230.7.
๐ฝ Bearish: A drop back below 21,000.0 could open the door for a deeper retracement toward 20,200.0.
๐ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Nasdaq prepares for the reboundNasdaq index might be supported after AI-narrative getting back to the markets fueled by NVDAโs better than expected earnings for Q1 2025. The position of the price is close to the 20-day moving average, which makes a trade location potentially good for starting the upswing to the target area of $22,000.
Traders will watch the publication of ISM Manufacturing index on Monday, as it has some correlation with S&P 500 and Nasdaq, and might strengthen or weaken the current โAI rebound narrativeโ.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, never forget to manage your risk at all times!
NASDAQ100 Analysis โ Key S/R Zones & Price Reaction Incoming! NASDAQ100 Analysis โ Key S/R Zones & Price Reaction Incoming! ๐จ
๐ Chart Breakdown:
This is a technical chart analysis of NASDAQ100 (NAS100) with defined Support and Resistance zones. The price is currently at 21,314.50, sitting below a critical decision area.
๐งฑ Key Zones:
๐ต Resistance Zone:
โฃ 21,640 โ 21,800
โฃ Strong supply area where price sharply reversed previously.
โฃ If price breaks above the mid resistance zone, a bullish move towards this level is likely.
๐ฉ Support + Resistance Flip Zone:
โฃ 21,280 โ 21,420
โฃ Former support, now acting as resistance.
โฃ Price is struggling to reclaim this zone.
โฃ Acts as a key decision level.
๐ข Support Zone:
โฃ 20,630 โ 20,750
โฃ Strong demand zone from which previous rallies initiated.
โฃ Target if bearish rejection continues.
๐ Price Action Insight:
Price is currently rejecting the Support-turned-Resistance zone.
Thereโs a clear bearish rejection at the mid-zone (S/R flip), forming a lower high structure.
๐ A breakdown from current levels could lead to a retest of the support zone at 20,700 area.
๐ข However, a successful reclaim and bullish confirmation above 21,420 could see price target the upper resistance at 21,800.
๐ Outlook:
๐ฝ Bearish Bias if price fails to break above 21,420 โ possible drop to 20,700.
๐ผ Bullish Reversal above 21,420 could drive price to 21,800.
๐
Date: June 1, 2025
๐ Timeframe: Likely 1H or 4H chart
๐ฌ โRespect the levels, not the noise.โ
Trade safe! โ
Short US100Think we see a move up to the 0.786 fib level from the recent highs with a rejection down further if more blocks or doubt is cast on the new trade deals and tariffs.
TP would be the weekly lows
Bearish thoughts
- The fundamentals of the tariffs deals are getting challenged
- A bit more aggressiveness from china and we might see a move down
- Daily MACD is pointing down suggesting downward pressure which we are seeing on hourly chart
Bullish structure remains on the 4hr chart
NAS100-TEC100 - THE SECRETE OF TRADING INDICES STRATEGYTeam,
yesterday we short the NAS, DOW, DAX and long the GOLD - 4 out of 4 perfectly target hit
Now, we are going long, i want you to carefully look at the picture and understand the concept of how I structure the trade. This has been calculate using my statistic and probability to ensure our entry is safe.
First picture, is buying small volume, if market volatile and push further down, i need you to double up your trade, this allow us to win better.
That's the reason why you saw my videos that everyday i show LIVE trading and profitable every trade. However, always carefully look at your capital and know exactly how much risk are you going to take.
Remember, you can win straight 3-6 months and if you failed risk management and overleverage yourself, the account can easily be kill within 1 day.
Hope you all have a great day.!
NAS100 Breakout or Bull Trap? | Smart Money Zone Rejected! NAS100 has just tapped into a strong supply zone marked by institutional activity โ right around 21,700โ21,731. After weeks of bullish momentum, price has now shown hesitation at this level.
๐ If sellers step in here, we may be witnessing the beginning of a retracement back to key demand levels.
---
๐ Key Levels to Watch:
๐ต Resistance (Current Supply Zone): 21,700 โ 21,731
๐ฆ First Demand Level: 20,507 โ A previous structure and breakout zone
๐ง Major Demand Zone: 19,263 โ Institutional accumulation zone and strong price memory
---
๐ What to Look For:
โ
Bearish confirmation at the supply zone (rejection candles, break of structure)
โ
Volume spike + lower highs = possible short-term reversal
โ Invalidation: Clean breakout and retest above 21,731 may continue the bullish rally
---
๐ฎ Possible Scenario:
๐ฅ If sellers defend the current level, we could see:
1. Pullback to 20,500 ๐
2. Deep retracement into 19,263 if demand fails ๐จ
3. Short setups may become attractive below 21,500 with tight stops above the zone
---
โ ๏ธ Why This Matters:
๐ We're heading into a heavy news week (see the upcoming US economic calendar at the bottom of the chart). Volatility is expected. Smart money often moves before major releases!
---
๐ฌ Whatโs your bias? Are we looking at a fakeout or a breakout?
๐ Drop your analysis below and donโt forget to like if this helped your trading plan!
๐ Follow me @FrankFx14 for more smart money insights and daily trade setups.
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Bullish Breakout )Nas100 Chart / Opportunity
๐ Nas100
The Path of Precision โ Hanzoโs Market tactics
๐ฅ Key Levels & Breakout Strategy โ 15M TF
โ๏ธ Bullish Setup After Break Out โ 21300 Zone ( Break Out Done )
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Bullish Breakout )
are we going ath? let us now~~indices looks green, so we rally?
no trump tariffs?
๐We value full transparency. All wins and fails fully publicized, zero edit, zero delete, zero fakes.๐
๐Check out our socials for some nice insights.๐
information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice!
NOT financial advice
Nasdaq 100 Heading Downwards on the 1-Hour TimeframeConsidering the positive trend on the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes, and the need for energy to continue the upward movement, along with the fact that the M15 trend was negative, given the pullback in this area, we expect a decline towards the 1-hour low.
Please make sure to maintain a 2% risk of your account balance and do not risk more than that. Always take responsibility for your trades.
NASDAQ got the 4H MA50 confirmation it neededNasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 21 bottom and last week it unfolded its latest technical Bearish Leg.
As the 4H RSI bottomed on the 30.00 oversold barrier and the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross, that Leg bottomed and today the index gave the confirmation of the new Bullish Leg by breaking above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
This is similar to the April 21 bottom, so we expect at least a minimum of +9.18% rise on the current Bullish Leg, which gives a 22500 short-term Target.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐ and COMMENT โ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
US1001. I analyzed the U.S. 100 (Nasdaq) and identified a breakout setup.
2. A buy call was placed after confirmation of the breakout above a key resistance level.
3. Both Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels have been clearly mentioned.
4. The entry was based on a clean breakout with momentum, aligned with the overall trend.
Nasdaq at Supply Zone โ Rejection or Breakout? (READ THE CAPTIONBy examining the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is still trading within the supply zone around 21,850. We are still waiting for a strong rejection from this level, which could lead to a short-term price correction in this index.
The potential downside targets are:
21,000, 20,700, 20,200, and 19,150.
The key supply range lies between 21,400 and 22,200.
Additionally, there is a possibility of a liquidity grab or stop-hunt above 22,200 before any real drop begins.
This analysis will be considered invalid if price closes above 22,400 in the next three weeks.
On the fundamental side, there are several macro factors to watch:
Interest Rate Expectations:
Although inflation in the U.S. has cooled compared to last year, the Fed remains cautious. If upcoming CPI or PPI prints show unexpected resilience, the likelihood of rate cuts this year could diminish, pressuring tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq.
Tech Sector Valuations:
Valuations in major tech names โ such as NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft โ have reached historically high multiples. This makes Nasdaq particularly vulnerable to correction, especially if earnings disappoint or growth expectations soften.
Geopolitical Risks:
Ongoing tensions between the U.S. and China over trade and technology, as well as potential instability in the Middle East, could contribute to a risk-off sentiment โ further supporting the case for a short-term pullback.
Earnings Season Ahead:
Q2 earnings season is around the corner. Any signs of slowing revenue growth or reduced forward guidance from major tech firms could act as a catalyst for the expected correction.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban