USTEC trade ideas
Nasdaq: Positive Momentum Builds Following Nvidia's Q1 EarningsThe Nasdaq is experiencing increased bullish momentum following Nvidia’s impressive Q1 earnings.
On the medium to long term, the index is targeting levels around 23,800.
In the short term, a corrective move toward 21,500 is expected, which will likely set the stage for a strong rebound toward 22,300 and 23,000.
📈 Stay tuned for upcoming opportunities and key levels!
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NSDQ100 INTRADAY resistance retest ahead of US OpenThe USD continues to rally, driven by:
A strong rebound in US Consumer Confidence, reversing a six-month downtrend.
A decline in the number of Americans expecting a recession, improving risk sentiment.
This positive momentum helped offset weaker April Durable Goods Orders, which reflected business concerns tied to Trump’s tariff policies.
Trump Signals Progress with EU Trade Talks
Trump stated on Truth Social that the EU is moving quickly to begin trade negotiations after he expressed satisfaction with a proposed 50% tariff.
Markets could interpret this as a step toward de-escalation, potentially supporting US equities and the USD, while posing risk to EU markets if tensions resume.
SpaceX Test Failure
SpaceX’s Starship test failed mid-flight. While a technical setback, broader market impact is likely minimal unless similar failures persist.
Could marginally affect aerospace and space-related stocks.
Elon Musk on Crypto & Tax Policy
Musk criticized Trump’s tax bill, claiming it undermines DOGE and broader crypto innovation.
Slightly negative for crypto sentiment, particularly speculative tokens like Dogecoin.
Earnings in Focus
Nvidia (NVDA):
Market will watch for signs of weaker China-related growth, tied to Trump’s policy on semiconductors and AI.
Key impact expected on tech stocks, semis, and the NASDAQ.
Salesforce (CRM):
Focus on adoption of new AI tools and updates on the $8 billion Informatica acquisition.
Could affect broader enterprise software and cloud sector sentiment.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 21520
Resistance Level 2: 21850
Resistance Level 3: 22200
Support Level 1: 21000
Support Level 2: 20770
Support Level 3: 20560
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
HelloHello traders, gamblers and investors.
Now is the perfekt time to buy right before the trump bull market that historically gives insane returns, i am currently in a 20x nasdaq trade stoploss 9.april lows, hold it forever, good luck and enjoy great profits as usual and dont be a bearish american sucker brainwashed by the media loosing money every single day 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Bullish Breakout )🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 21290 Zone ( Break Out Done )
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 21300
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 21000
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 21250 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 21150 – Liquidity Engineered
Position for a Short-Term Bounce
- Key Insights: The NASDAQ has entered a historically oversold state, presenting
a high-probability opportunity for a short-term rebound. While bearish
signals persist due to recent momentum shifts, long-term institutional
activity indicates underlying support. Traders should look for defensive
buying near support zones to capitalize on upward moves. Critical levels
must be monitored closely for confirmation.
- Price Targets:
- Next Week Targets:
- T1: 21,000
- T2: 21,479
- Stop Levels:
- S1: 20,426
- S2: 20,250
- Recent Performance: The NASDAQ has faced four consecutive days of declines,
breaking below key technical levels that signal bearish pressures. However,
institutional support and broader bullish indicators remain intact, keeping
the index positioned as the strongest major U.S. equity index in the longer
term. Historically oversold conditions provide optimism for a potential
bounce next week.
- Expert Analysis: Despite short-term bearish momentum, expert outlook continues
to align with NASDAQ’s long-term resilience above major moving averages.
Institutional liquidity flow and ongoing interest in technology continue to
support the index, though caution is warranted around immediate support
barriers to avoid deeper pullbacks. Monitoring liquidity gaps is crucial.
- News Impact: NVIDIA earnings are anticipated to be a pivotal event next week
and could drive volatility in NASDAQ tech sectors depending on the outcome.
Elevated volatility levels, as evidenced by the VIX, further warrant caution
while underscoring potential opportunities for rebound plays. Additionally,
NASDAQ’s move to expand zero-day options trading has drawn mixed responses
but could influence short-term speculative activity in its top tech stocks
like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet.
NASDAQ 100 Setup After Bearish Pullback. My Bullish Game Plan!🚀 NASDAQ US100 Update – Key Levels I'm Watching 💡📈
Looking at the NAS100 right now, we’ve seen a strong rally kick off after the weekend 📊🔥 — this comes on the back of an aggressive bearish pullback last week 📉.
📌 My bias is bullish, but with a condition: I want to see price retrace into the 10-minute fair value gap and hold above the previous low 🧠🔍.
If we get a clean pullback, followed by a continuation with higher highs and higher lows, I’ll be watching closely for the first bullish break after that next pullback — that’s where I’d look to position long 🐂📈.
🛑 Not financial advice.
👇 Drop a comment if you're watching these levels too!
NASDAQ100 (US100) – Supply Zone Rejection in Play?Fundamental
Despite strong earnings from big tech and resilient economic data, concerns around Fed’s hawkish tone and sticky inflation are resurfacing. Rate cut expectations are being pushed further out, weighing on high-growth sectors like tech.
Technical
The index is testing a key supply zone between 21,380–21,420, aligned with previous highs and fib levels (0.618–0.786). Volume is thinning above, and momentum (Stoch RSI) shows early signs of bearish divergence.
Trade Setup (Short-biased)
- Entry: If price rejects the 21,380–21,420 zone. Before entering, make sure you see bearish pressure first. Like strong red candle on 1h, 2h time frame.
- First Take Profit 1: 20,600
- Second Take Profit 2: 20,000
Follow me for updates on entry confirmation, scaling strategies, and live adjustments.
Thank you
NAS100 - Will the stock market go down?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the ascending channel breaks, expect corrective moves, and if this channel line is maintained, its upward path will be available to the next supply range.
In that range, we can also sell Nasdaq with appropriate risk-reward.
With Donald Trump announcing a 50% tariff on imports from the European Union, trade tensions have once again taken center stage in global economic news, temporarily drawing attention away from more structural issues. However, these new developments have not diminished deeper concerns about the U.S. debt crisis and the federal government’s fiscal policies. Last week, the release of details regarding a new budget bill in Congress—coupled with Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating—sparked renewed anxiety in the markets about America’s fiscal stability. These concerns have now taken on more complexity amid the intensifying trade conflict.
The bill, which narrowly passed through the House of Representatives, could potentially add up to $4 trillion to the federal debt. This projection triggered a sharp reaction in the U.S. Treasury market, causing long-term bond yields to rise significantly.
Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on European goods—specifically naming iPhones—negatively impacted market sentiment in U.S. equities. Past trade confrontations with China suggest that Trump typically avoids actions that significantly harm the stock market and tends to retreat from hardline positions. Thus, buying the dip might be a sound strategy, though accurately timing entry is crucial.
Pinpointing the right entry time remains difficult, and perhaps the most reliable signal would come directly from Trump himself. With the July 9 deadline for the tariffs approaching and no formal trade agreement in place, the best course for market participants is to remain cautious and watch for any signs of a policy reversal.
Despite persistent worries over budget deficits and rising Treasury yields, Morgan Stanley remains bullish on the outlook for U.S. equities and bonds.
Morgan Stanley projects the following:
• The S&P 500 is expected to reach 6,500 by mid-2026, representing a roughly 10% gain from current levels. Key drivers of this growth include lower interest rates, a weaker dollar, and productivity gains fueled by artificial intelligence.
• The recent spike in the 10-year Treasury yield is considered temporary, with expectations that it will decline to around 3.45% by mid-2026. There is still no strong evidence of a significant outflow of foreign capital from U.S. markets.
Although the upcoming week will be shortened due to the Memorial Day holiday on Monday, a packed economic calendar starting Tuesday is expected to quickly reenergize market activity.
Tuesday will bring the release of durable goods orders for April and the consumer confidence index for May—two data points that could provide clearer insight into domestic demand and household spending trends. On Wednesday afternoon, attention will turn to the minutes from the May FOMC meeting, where investors will search for clues about potential shifts in the Federal Reserve’s tone regarding future rate cuts.
Thursday will be loaded with key economic indicators: weekly jobless claims, the first estimate of Q1 GDP, and existing home sales data. The week will conclude on Friday with the release of the Core PCE Price Index, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, which plays a pivotal role in shaping its monetary policy decisions.
Meanwhile, Nvidia is preparing to launch its new AI chip, Blackwell, in the Chinese market at a more affordable price. Based on the Blackwell architecture, the chip will be priced between $6,500 and $8,000—lower than the H20 model, which costs between $10,000 and $12,000.
This price reduction results from simpler technical specifications and a lower-cost manufacturing process. The new chip uses GDDR7 memory instead of high-bandwidth memory and lacks the advanced CoWoS packaging technology.
THIS WEEK'S NASDAQ HIGH PROBABILITY SWING TRADENASDAQ Trade Idea: Long Bias
Timeframe:
4HR | Daily (Confluence-based entry and targets)
Market Context:
Price is currently trading in discount, presenting a high-probability long setup based on the unfolding buy model.
We’ve identified a 4HR Buy-Side Imbalance / Sell-Side Inefficiency (BISI) zone acting as a magnet for price, suggesting potential accumulation and displacement to the upside.
Entry Zone:
Buy Zone:
🟢 21,070 – 21,050
This is inside the 4HR BISI, aligned with the buy model's accumulation phase and in optimal trade entry conditions (OTE) relative to the discount of the current dealing range.
Targets (Liquidity + Imbalance Fills):
TP1: 21,490
→ Equal highs + short-term liquidity sweep in premium.
TP2: 21,875
→ Partial fill of the Daily Sell-Side Imbalance / Buy-Side Inefficiency (SIBI).
TP3: 22,240
→ Full mitigation of the Daily BISI zone + extended liquidity run.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss (SL): Below 21,000 (structure invalidation & imbalance invalidation).
RRR: Minimum 1:3 to TP1, higher to subsequent levels.
Use partials on each target to secure profits and manage drawdown.
Confluences:
Price is in discount territory of current dealing range.
Entry aligns with 4HR BISI + internal liquidity engineering.
Upside targets align with equal highs, Daily inefficiencies, and liquidity pools in premium.
Trade Management Tips:
Watch for a bullish market structure shift on 15min–1HR to confirm.
Enter on a fair value gap (FVG) or mitigation of last down candle inside the 21,070–21,050 zone.
Be aware of macroeconomic news that may affect volatility near your entry/TP zones.
$NDX And The Expanding WedgeNASDAQ:NDX has a lot going for it and plenty of lifechanging money to be made.
As you can see whether you draw a bear flag that is still valid or a large Triangle (also valid) there is an amazing opportunity for profit.
Firth thing to notice other than this triangle is the weakness creeping in at the retest of weekly resistance above. MA angles are starting to cross down and a clear indication of a false breakout is signaling on the CCI.
Keeping in mind that not only on the Futures charts but also on the indexes we have quite a few long distance gaps left open, most notable at 18,300.
Whichever way this triangle breaks, the move will be massive.
Hang on to your butts..
Trend Line Breakout – USNAS100The USNAS100 has shown signs of bearish momentum following a decisive break below a key trend line. This breakdown suggests increased selling pressure, potentially leading to lower price levels. Technical indicators support the bearish bias, with momentum shifting in favuor of the bears. The first target at 20,898 represents an initial support zone, while the second target at 20,270 could be reached if downside pressure intensifies. Traders should monitor volume and price action for continued confirmation and use appropriate risk management strategies, including stop-loss placement above the trend line, to protect against reversal scenarios.
Entry: 21,170
1st Target Point: 20,898
2nd Target Point: 20,270