USTEC trade ideas
a strategy i made with chatgpt in the works before market openThe strategy involve the use of to EMAs. The 10 and 20 EMAs. and i have an alert on Tradingview that tells me when the golden cross occurs and on the next candle after the golden cross thats where i am supposed to enter the trade but since i am working at this time i missed my entry but still got a good entry on the next reset and took a 2.5:1 trade and it panned out.
Technical Breakdown on US 100 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 1H Chart using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 20,080
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,720
Point of Control (POC):
Recent Session: 19,828.32
Previous Session: 19,760.96
High-volume nodes: Between 19,750 – 19,830 (acceptance zone with strong historical interest).
Low-volume gaps: 19,840 – 19,950 and above 20,100 (potential fast-move areas).
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters Likely at:
Above 20,100 (psychological level and channel top).
Below 19,720 (value rejection zone).
Order Absorption Zones:
19,828 – 19,850 shows thick absorption based on CVD response and price stall.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 20,080 (volume spike with slight wick rejection).
Swing Low: 19,700 (demand step-in area).
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Uptrend (strong green candle series with rising CVD).
ADX Strength:
ADX > 20 with DI+ > DI- → Confirmed uptrend.
CVD Confirmation:
Rising CVD + bullish price action → Strong demand from market buyers, aligning with breakout above POC.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 19,720
POC (Current): 19,828.32
POC (Previous): 19,760.96
Resistance:
VAH: 20,080
Round number & psychological level: 20,100
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Gann Swing Low: 19,700
Gann Swing High: 20,080
Key Retracement Levels (Range: 19,700 – 20,080):
1/2: 19,890
1/3: 19,827
2/3: 19,953
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bullish (confirmed by rising ADX + CVD).
b) Notable Patterns:
Breakout from consolidation range above POC (strong volume confirmation).
Ascending channel structure supporting higher lows.
No divergence in CVD → healthy trend continuation signal.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 19,828 – 19,850 (retest of POC/consolidation base)
Targets:
T1: 20,080 (VAH/Swing High)
T2: 20,200 (Channel Top)
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,700 (below swing low)
RR: ~1:2.3 minimum
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX flip bearish later):
Entry Zone: 20,080 – 20,100 (failure to break channel top)
Target:
T1: 19,828 (POC retest)
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,150 (above channel breakout zone)
RR: ~1:2
c) Position Sizing: Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade. Avoid oversized trades in extended trends.
NAS100 1H | Major Rejection Zone – Time to Sell?NAS100 is trading inside a key supply zone, showing clear rejection signs near 19,825, with a potential downside move on the table.
Watch These Levels:
Resistance (Rejection Zone): 19,825
First Support: 18,328
Major Demand Zone: 16,948
Bearish Bias if price fails to break and close above 19,825.
A break below 18,328 could trigger a deeper drop toward 16,948.
Trade Plan:
Sell near 19,825 with SL above zone
Target 18,328 → 16,948
Bullish reversal only above clean breakout
What do you think—pullback or breakout?
#NAS100 #NASDAQ #Indices #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoney #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LuxAlgo #US100 #CFD
NSDQ100 INTRADAY awaits Fed Rate Decision Macro & Central Banks
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Officials say policy is well-positioned, despite political frustration.
China is adding stimulus: cutting rates, reducing bank reserve requirements, and increasing gold reserves for the sixth month in a row.
Markets
U.S. stock futures are higher.
The U.S. dollar is recovering after three days of declines.
The U.S. and China will restart trade talks — the first since the Trump-era tariff war.
Companies
Novo Nordisk shares are rising on expectations of less competition for its obesity drug Wegovy.
WeightWatchers has filed for bankruptcy.
Earnings reports this morning: Walt Disney, Uber, Barrick Gold.
Earnings reports this afternoon: Arm Holdings, Occidental Petroleum, Carvana, Flutter.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 20,190
Resistance Level 2: 20,510
Resistance Level 3: 20,930
Support Level 1: 19,330
Support Level 2: 19,020
Support Level 3: 18,570
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NAS100USD: Institutional Support Fuels Bullish MomentumGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe that institutional order flow remains bullish, and as such, we aim to align our trading opportunities with this directional bias.
Key Observations:
Institutional Support Zones:
Price has recently retraced into a significant institutional support area—a large mitigation block, where smart money typically mitigates previous sell orders and initiates new buy orders. This zone is further reinforced by the presence of a reclaimed order block, signaling an area where prior institutional buying occurred and may now be re-engaged.
Confluence of Bullish Arrays:
The alignment of the mitigation block, reclaimed order block, and an adjacent breaker block provides strong confluence. While price is currently showing signs of rejection at this zone, it is important to exercise patience and wait for confirmation before entering, especially given the size of the mitigation block.
Trading Strategy:
Upon confirmation, we will look to initiate long positions from these institutional support levels, targeting liquidity pools resting in premium pricing zones where buy-side liquidity is likely to reside.
Stay disciplined and let the market confirm your narrative.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NASDAQ Weekly Outlook - Potential ShortsPrice pushed up on Friday 25 May into an area of imbalance at 20170 and closed.
Then we have Monday which pushed up through out the day and failed to break and close above Friday 25th Hi, ending the day inside of Fridays candle followed by Tuesday being bear and failing to break and close above Monday hi candle but managed to break and close below Mondays candle close.
By this creating the high of the week, on a weekly time frame, reason for the short is to fill the daily volume imbalance highlighted in yellow. As price always needs to fill gaps in the market left behind by inefficient price action.
Only then I assume one could start looking for longs, as all sell side liquidity has been cleared.
Technical Breakdown on US100 | 1H TimeframeHere’s a professional technical breakdown of the US100 Cash CFD (1H timeframe) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX indicators:
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 19,979.00
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,845.22
Point of Control (POC):
Recent POC: 19,979.52
Prior POC: 19,845.22
High-volume nodes: Clearly seen around 19,845 and 19,880–19,980, indicating buyer-seller equilibrium.
Low-volume gaps: Between 19,900–19,950 and below 19,800–19,700 — price can move fast through these zones.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stops Likely Clustered:
Above 20,000 (psychological + prior swing high)
Below 19,800 (swing low and zone of previous rejection)
Absorption Zones:
Notable delta-based absorption occurred around 19,845 and 19,880 zones, indicating institutional activity.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High (with spike): 19,980–20,000 (strong volume + reversal candle).
Swing Low (with spike): 19,845 zone, also aligns with historical POC, confirming strong defense.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Range-bound to Bearish bias
ADX Strength:
ADX is hovering near 20, not confirming a strong trend.
DI- > DI+ suggests slight downward pressure.
CVD Confirmation:
Flat to slightly falling CVD with price stalling = Supply is outweighing demand, slight bearish bias.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
19,845.22 (POC + VAL)
19,800 (swing low and absorption)
Resistance:
19,979.52 (POC)
20,000 (psychological + rejection zone)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Swing High: 20,000
Confirmed Swing Low: 19,845
Key Retracements (From 19,845 to 20,000):
1/2: 19,922
1/3: 19,896
2/3: 19,969
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Range-bound to Slightly Bearish
Price is stuck between 19,845–19,979 with no clear breakout or breakdown.
b) Notable Patterns:
Horizontal consolidation forming after a failed breakout near 20,000.
Bearish bias is developing with failure to hold above POC.
Watch for breakout from the descending triangle setup forming.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (Only if breakout above resistance):
Entry Zone: 19,985–20,000 (break + retest)
Targets:
T1: 20,100
T2: 20,300
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,940 (below breakout level)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 19,845–19,860 (retest of support failure)
Target:
T1: 19,700
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,980
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of capital per trade.
NQ: Prior to the FEDAs expected, NQ is consolidating.
Tomorrow is a big day in terms of looking forward. What should we expect from the FED?
1- FED Mandate is: Employment and Inflation
2- FED has always said: FED policy is data related.
The latest data on both Employment and Inflation were not sufficiently bad to rationalize the rate cuts and feed Trump's pressure.
Hence, I think the FED won't give any hint tomorrow about the rate cut on June. This will disappoint market and a Sell-off of stocks and equities will be massive. The start of Wave 3.
The other scenario will send stocks and equities up in a zigzag move: Down then up.
Gold as a lead indicator has resumed up its direction. This might be a sign of what is coming for equities.
Have a good evening/night!
Nasdaq 100 off lows on Bessent remarksUS stocks trimmed their earlier losses after the Trump administration delivered the latest dose of jawboning. This time it was trade secretary Scott Bessent, saying trade negotiations with several partners are going well and that there is a possibility of “substantial reduction” in tariffs on US goods. He added some deals could be announced as early as this week. That was enough to trigged dip-buying, causing major indices like the Nasdaq to bounce off their earlier lows.
The Nasdaq has found a bit of resistance in the last couple of days from the area shaded on the chart between 20,000 to around 20,150 where it had previously encountered support. See area shaded on the chart. A closing break above here is what the bulls would be eying this week, although for that to happen, some trade deals may well have to be announced first.
By Fawad Razaqzada market analysts with FOREX.com
US100There’s a **Sell opportunity** forming on **US100**, but this one carries a bit more risk compared to the others.
That’s why I recommend opening the trade with a **smaller lot size** just for this setup.
🔍 **Criteria:**
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 20021.8
✔️ Take Profit: 19945.8
✔️ Stop Loss: 20059.6
🔔 **Disclaimer:** This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Technical Breakdown on US100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 20,050
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,800
Point of Control (POC): 19,927.77
Volume Nodes:
High-volume node: Consolidation around 19,930–20,000 (strong interest/acceptance zone).
Low-volume gap: Below 19,800 (potential area for fast price movement).
b) Liquidity Zones:
Clustered Stops:
Above recent highs at ~20,100 (liquidity trap).
Below recent lows near 19,650 and 19,500.
Order Absorption Zones:
Near 19,930–19,980: multiple rejections + high delta volume = passive sell pressure.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Volume spike highs: 20,050 (indicating rejection and potential reversal).
Volume spike lows: 19,600–19,650 (reaction points with increased volume and defense).
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Turning bearish.
ADX Strength:
ADX slightly above 20 with DI- crossing above DI+ = Confirmed downtrend.
CVD Confirmation:
Falling CVD alongside price weakness = Strong supply taking control.
Multiple failed bullish attempts above POC.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
19,800 (VAL)
19,650 (swing low with high absorption)
Resistance:
20,050 (VAH and rejection zone)
19,927.77 (POC, now resistance)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Swing High: 20,100 (Gann reversal point)
Swing Low: 19,650
Key Gann Retracements:
1/3 retracement = ~19,820
2/3 retracement = ~19,980
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bearish
b) Notable Patterns:
Bearish flag forming inside descending channel.
Break below POC and VAL suggests breakdown continuation.
Retest failure near POC confirms resistance validation.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bearish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 19,920–19,940 (retest of POC)
Target:
T1: 19,650
T2: 19,400
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,060 (above VAH and swing high)
Risk-Reward (RR): Minimum 1:2
b) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1–2% of trading capital per setup.
US100 WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅US100 price grew again to retest the resistance of 20,300
But it is a strong key level
And we are already seeing
A local bearish pullback
So I think that there is a high chance
That we will see a bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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