USTEC trade ideas
NAS100 (BOS 1H + SUPPLY + OTE)Hello traders!
Now reaction from 705 fib level, Supply = OB 4H. But we can expect mitigation supply and confirmation on LTF. We have BOS on 1H.
Target: till 0.5 global fib level.
P.S: We have also on top OB 2H + OTE
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Genius or Just Guessing? NAS100 Setup Has It AllNAS100 has broken its uptrend but still feels bullish overall. The plan? A tactical short on the pullback and a long if it reclaims strength. If both play out, it’s a multi-legged win. If not, it’s a lesson in humility. Here’s how we’re threading the needle with a high-risk/high-reward setup.
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument 37Last week the market created great opportunities for buyers and sellers as there was a high level of volatility and consolidation, so much so that many traders ignored a key element in the movement for NAS100 and that is that with all the selling that took place, the NAS100 index still closed above the previous weeks low and above the lowest point so far of the year...a clear indication that the HL's are still intact.
As I have always said and will continue to say...any sells on the NAS100 are only temporary retracements to form the HL on a larger timeframe. With that being said, any retracement sell that I take is simply to capitalized on the current retracement and to build my account to be able to scale up to a larger lot size.
While many continue to anticipate a sustained drop in the NAS100...A master class in trend movements is currently being prepared and will be executed when the time is right.
For now, I continue to capitalize on this perfect opportunity to take buys and sells in a consolidatory market that clearly is making space for the next move once it completes it's required retracement.
Until such times:
1. I enter on my largest HL
2. Exit on my largest LH (if the market continues to consolidate and wait for the next HL to be
formed for another entry
3. The HH's are guaranteed to come again once the upper level consolidation is broken.
Until then, the retracements provide some very profitable bonus moves once you have an understanding that they will not continue forever.
So for this week...no rush to enter any buys without proper confirmation.
My original level is 20,667.9, however my if I get a confirmation before that level is touched then the buys will resume for me.
Have a great week and happy trading.
#oneauberstrategy
#auberstrategy
#whywewait
#patience
#zigzagtheory
#oneauberstrategy
US100 4HAs expected from last week’s analysis , the market reacted and dropped.
Right now, multiple scenarios can play out, but based geometric analysis, the most likely one is a continuation of the bearish structure unless 21200 is broken.
Confirmation for further downside is a clean break below 20770.
Failure to break this level would invalidate the bearish outlook.
Downside targets:
20500
20330
20000
If there’s strong selling pressure, even a deeper correction toward 19000 is possible — but only valid if price returns with strong bullish rejection.
Otherwise, holding below 19000 would confirm a deeper bearish move (which I personally don’t expect for now).
US1OO SHORT TRADE IDEA Chart Breakdown:
1. Trendline Break:
A clear uptrend was in place, supported by the ascending blue trendline.
The price broke below this trendline, suggesting a potential reversal or correction.
After the break, price attempted to retest the trendline (a common behavior before continuation in the new direction).
2. Bearish Rejection:
Price got rejected around the trendline retest zone, which aligns with a resistance area marked in red.
This confluence zone suggests supply dominance, pushing the price lower.
3. Imbalance Zone (Fair Value Gap):
A pink rectangular zone marks an imbalance, often called a fair value gap (FVG)—where price moved too quickly, leaving inefficient trading volume.
These zones are typically revisited to "fill the imbalance."
4. Heikin Ashi Candles:
Recent candles show strong bearish momentum with little to no upper wicks, confirming a downward trend.
Multiple consecutive red candles support trend continuation.
📉 Bearish Setup Analysis:
Entry Zone: Around the trendline retest, near 21,000–21,100.
Target Zone: Imbalance/fair value gap around 20,100–20,200.
Stop-Loss Zone: Above the resistance area, around 21,150–21,200.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable (visualized with the green zone risk and extended red arrow for reward).
✅ Bearish Case Justification:
Trendline break and retest failure.
Rejection at key resistance/supply.
Imbalance acting as a price magnet.
Momentum strongly favors bears (based on Heikin Ashi structure).
⚠️ Risk Factors / Invalidations:
If price reclaims and holds above the trendline or breaks above 21,200, the bearish setup could be invalidated.
Major macro news or earnings could reverse the move rapidly.
Watch for divergences or weakening bearish momentum on smaller timeframes as price approaches the target zone.
🧭 Strategy Tip:
This could suit a swing short setup, especially for traders looking to capitalize on trendline break retests and imbalance fills. A tighter entry around the top of the rejection zone provides a better risk/reward.
USTEC100 Chart 4H, Trends To Watch for Short The provided USTEC 100 (US Tech 100) 4-hour chart highlights a strategic short (sell) trade setup based on technical price action and defined risk levels. The analysis suggests a bearish market bias, provided that specific price conditions are met and maintained. Let's explore the details and rationale behind this trade idea to understand how traders might approach this setup with calculated entries, targets, and stops.
As per the current market data presented, USTEC 100 is trading around 21,115.00 on Monday, 19 May 2025. The chart emphasizes a critical resistance zone highlighted in red, located at approximately 21,445.10. This level acts as a potential invalidation point for the short trade. If the price crosses above this red zone and a full candle closes above it, the entire bearish setup becomes invalid. This is a key condition – any move above this threshold signifies a shift in market sentiment and cancels the downward outlook.
USTECUSTEC price is near the important resistance zone 21345 and 22244. If the price cannot break through 22244, it is expected that the price will drop.
**Very Risky Trade
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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NASDAQ TP Smashed! Patience PaysBeautiful execution on NASDAQ — structure respected, EMAs aligned, and momentum confirmed. Waited for the clean setup, entered with confidence, and held until target. Discipline and timing were everything.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
US index futures and Apple tumble on Trump warningUS index futures and Apple shares tumbled in premarket as Trump warned the company of 25% tariffs if manufacturing of iPhones is not moved to the United States.
This is what Trump posted on social media:
"I have long ago informed Tim Cook of Apple that I expect their iPhone’s that will be sold in the United States of America will be manufactured and built in the United States, not India, or anyplace else. If that is not the case, a Tariff of at least 25% must be paid by Apple to the U.S. Thank your for your attention to this matter!"
Let's see if the recent stall in the rally will now turn into more than just a pause.
The other big concerns remains over US Treasuries and rising long term bond yields. Long-dated US Treasuries managed to claw back some of their recent losses yesterday and that helped the markets a little. But if the bond market selling resumes then yields will remain elevated and pressurize all sorts of risk assets. Without a fundamental shift in US fiscal policy, the implications of rising US borrowing costs and widening fiscal deficits means the US is on an unstable fiscal policy path, which could lead to heighten market volatility.
By Fawad Razaqzada
NAS100 – Triple Top or Last Push? Reversal Zone Identified!We’re now testing a massive supply zone on NASDAQ 100 around 21,124, and history tells us this level is not friendly to bulls. Look closely — this could be the start of a major reversal.
Here’s what matters:
1. Triple Top Structure Forming
We’ve hit this level three times since March with strong rejections. This signals distribution, not continuation.
2. Reversal Risk is High
Rejection from this zone could see price cascade down to:
17,662.1 – First demand and structure break zone
14,118.6 – Major volume base and untested demand
3. Bearish Divergence & Context
Momentum is dying, while price tags the same highs. Combined with macro uncertainty (AI bubble? Fed tightening?), smart money might be unloading.
4. Best Play?
Short setup from the supply zone with clear invalidation above ATH.
Target: 17,600 / 14,100 for the patient traders.
Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Short Bias: Below 21,200
Entry Confirmation: Bearish engulfing on daily
Stop Loss: Above 21,400
Take Profit: 17,662.1 / 14,118.6
Chart says it all – Bulls in Trouble?
What’s your bias here – SHORT or LONG?
Smash the LIKE if this chart helped. Comment your view. Follow for daily setups!
Nas100NAS100 Safety Trade Setup
Strategy Name: Safety Trade — NAS100 (M5/M15)
Setup Description:
This is a momentum-based entry using the Safety Trade concept, identifying high-probability reversal or continuation zones based on layered confirmations across EMAs and price behavior.
Criteria:
• EMA Setup: 800 EMA (Trend), 200 EMA (Market structure), 50 EMA (Signal line), 5 EMA & 13 EMA (Entry signals)
• Zone Identification: Price pulls away from the 50 EMA and creates a significant gap (liquidity imbalance).
• Entry Signal:
• Red-Red-Green candle pattern for buys
• Green-Green-Red candle pattern for sells
• Confirmed by EMA re-alignment and RSI divergence (optional)
• Entry: After the third candle closes in the pattern.
• SL: Below/above the second candle wick.
• TP: 1:2 to 1:3 RR or key ADR zone.
• Preferred Session: New York (after 9:30 AM EST)
• Avoid: Major news releases or uncertain market conditions.
⸻
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading NAS100 and other indices involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always use proper risk management, do your own research, and consult a licensed financial advisor before trading
Nas100NAS100 Safety Trade Setup
Strategy Name: Safety Trade — NAS100 (M5/M15)
Setup Description:
This is a momentum-based entry using the Safety Trade concept, identifying high-probability reversal or continuation zones based on layered confirmations across EMAs and price behavior.
Criteria:
• EMA Setup: 800 EMA (Trend), 200 EMA (Market structure), 50 EMA (Signal line), 5 EMA & 13 EMA (Entry signals)
• Zone Identification: Price pulls away from the 50 EMA and creates a significant gap (liquidity imbalance).
• Entry Signal:
• Red-Red-Green candle pattern for buys
• Green-Green-Red candle pattern for sells
• Confirmed by EMA re-alignment and RSI divergence (optional)
• Entry: After the third candle closes in the pattern.
• SL: Below/above the second candle wick.
• TP: 1:2 to 1:3 RR or key ADR zone.
• Preferred Session: New York (after 9:30 AM EST)
• Avoid: Major news releases or uncertain market conditions.
⸻
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading NAS100 and other indices involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always use proper risk management, do your own research, and consult a licensed financial advisor before trading