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GOLD - Positive real rates is negative for GoldThe attractiveness of Gold is tarnished When cash instruments yield a positive rate of return More and more people are getting on board of higher interest rates (Dimon, Santelli) But u can see the Gold price has been inversely correlating with the rate of return for decades. It's bull run in the 2000's along with the commodity bull , coincided with real rates trending to less than zero. Gold Topped a few months prior to that negative reading in 2012! The current triple top that has been in place for he past 3 years , seems to be in danger of breaking down if rates continue up the next few years. The key level to watch is last year's lows in October around $1611 Which I believe is a distinct reality if rates head up to 7%
COMEX:GC1!
by BallaJi
Gold will lose its value one day?What do you think about it? can this growth ever fall? And what will replace gold? My answer is yes gold can lose value, and its price can drop rapidly. Gold is a commodity that has a value based on market supply and demand. There are several factors that can affect the price of gold: Economic factors: Economic conditions, inflation, interest rates and monetary policy can affect the price of gold. If the economy improves and investors have higher confidence in other assets, they may turn to them and reduce demand for gold, which can lower its price. Global Geopolitical Events: Tensions between countries, political conflicts or economic crises can impact the demand for gold. If the situation improves, gold may not be as attractive to investors and its price may fall. Level of confidence: Gold is often seen as a safe store of value in times of uncertainty. However, if confidence in other safe assets, such as government bonds or other commodities, increases, demand for gold may decrease and affect its price.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Bitcoinblockchainonline
GOLD FUTURES, Important FORMATION, Accelerate MASSIVE Breakout!Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis of the GOLD FUTURES. The massive inflation, recession, and supply-chain disruption events that emerged in the past times have increased the investor's fearfulness and accelerated the investor sentiment in regard to a favoring of safe haven investments to hedge against the massive inflation, recession, and supply-chain disruptions events. GOLD has been not only around for several thousands of years and already survived the great depression, the dot-com bubble, and the financial crisis but it has also become more and more popular in terms of an exchange value in a new gold-backed currency system implementation. The signs in the GOLD FUTURES price-action that I have spotted within recent times also point to a major interesting underlying dynamic as the GOLD price-action already had the ability to bounce within the 1620 and 1690 structure supports already forming an important bullish price spike towards the all-time-high direction this is forming a structure from where the GOLD price is now also building a substantial base above the 1920 area. These major open interest developments have created an ABC pattern with A being the pole and now with B forming this is forming the base from where a massive all-time-high breakout has a tremendous possibility to emerge. Furthermore, from the daily timeframe perspective, GOLD FUTURES are forming this substantial descending triangle formation that is likely to be completed with a final breakout above the upper boundary and from there on mark initial targets of 1240.5. From a weekly timeframe perspective, this will also complete the major GOLD base breakout from where GOLD is going to emerge with the wave C extension and activate a minimum target of 2500. In the next times, these are important levels to watch out and especially the final validations are going to have an enormously important effect on the actual price-action determinations to consider for the upcoming times. Remember, that the current dynamics are backed by investors who are looking to hedge against major inflation, recession, and supply-chain disruption events, and in this case an appropriate additional acceleration of the price-action moving at a faster pace will be realized with the necessary gold-backed currency system implementation. Thank you everybody for watching my idea about GOLD. Support from your side is greatly appreciated. VP
COMEX:GC1!
by VincePrince
17
ES and goldOctober 2nd 2003 2:30 am This was a tough video for me because I know my choice of words aren't necessarily clear as I try to look at the price dynamics of these markets. If I weren't showing my charts or working with other people it wouldn't matter so much to me because I know in my mind where the buyers are and the sellers.... and if the market moves in a certain direction I know if the market's moving higher or lower.... which seems Like a no-brainer statement because you would think if the market's going higher.... well it's going higher. But it's more complicated than that which is why you need to be able to make decisions about how much higher it will go.... and that's the battle... and it's the same battle when you try to decide when a market's going lower how much lower can it go. Sometimes the market gives you perfect clues... and it's not just what it does, It is also about what it doesn't do that is your clue. And sometimes it happens in a split second...You see it and if you don't recognize what it is you will miss it and you might not be able to take the trade or you might have to wait till the market does some kind of a retest and then maybe you can get in a little bit later. In any case we took a look at the es and the gold. The same thing is going on with silver but I didn't have a chance to talk about it. The one thing I did not say in the video is that extensions show you a high probability reversal but they don't tell you any more than that. An ABCD Tool can show you a reversal and a target....a target that can be a reversal.... there is a difference. didn't talk about it on this video. I have talked about it a number of times on previous videos... and I will talk about it on future videos if I am confusing you.
COMEX:GC1!
by ScottBogatin
Gold started upside move On Our Harmonic pattern indicator based trade setup take trade as explained below :- Early trades Buy or sell below/ above 23.6 %, safe trades buy or sell above / below 41% , after taking trade next upside or downside levels will be target , When reverse buy or sell signal appear then book profit on Target or trail SL to 23.6 % If trailing SL hit then early trade can be taken above or below 23.6 and safe trade can b taken above/ below 41% .. Please note:- It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
MCX:GOLD1!
by JaiPrakashShuklaHarmonicTrader
2
GOLD, Major Volatility-Indications, Open-Interest Market!Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis about GOLD on several timeframe perspectives. Gold has shown up with an decisive pullback since the highs in May 2023, with this dynamic further assumptions on the direction of GOLD are important. In the recent times expectations for declining CPI- and PPI numbers offer a more positive outlook on a more middle-to-long-term-perspective for assets like gold. Also rising war and economic risks established since March 2022 increased the overall institutional and state treasury open interest in gold and marked the increased volume that established the protracted momentum wave. Nonetheless on the short-term rising bond prices can trigger a next corrective wave and the technical perspective is indicating a main descending-channel in which is gold just recently completed a local bear-flag to determine further continuations into the wave-count direction to the downside to form the wave C of the main wave-count. It will be important how gold then moves into the final targets at 1800 because in this case such a formation can also invalidate when the bearish momentum is really high. On the weekly timeframe perspectives it has to be pointed out that gold already emerged with a strong bullish momentum wave which is backed by institutional open interest and offering a strong origin of the bull-flag to actually complete. With the open interest increasing further and gold continuing with a stabilization within the flag-formation a breakout of the bull-flag gets more likely from where the target-zones can be projected pointing out to the 2400 level as a target. It will be important how the market develops within the next times especially with Gold moving into the bear-flag targets zones within the flag-formation and how the momentum develops in this case to consider further dynamics. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated. VP
COMEX:GC1!
by VincePrince
19
Gold. Bobby's homework assignmentSeptember 27th. Sometimes even in your favorite markets there are times when a trade decision is very difficult and you will know when this happens because what you're looking at isn't clear for you to decipher to make a trade decision. Even if you have a good trading system that you've worked out over a period of time....there are times when it's hard to make a decision...and that's when you're going to start making mistakes Lose money on impulse decisions without clarity. Even if you have good trading tools and use them in a discipline manner... there can be conflicts that you can be aware of... which is better than not knowing at all why it doesn't feel right... but these are times when you can make dangerous decisions. There's one thing I know for certain regarding the markets>>> some trades are much easier to identify and will give you much easier decisions.... so take those trades. If you miss a good trade then go back and review the setup to see how you could have recent through your decision more productively. Everybody who trades has losing trades, completely missed a good opportunity. But this is not what loses money... it's the impulse trading to take a chance when the market's not clear to you that will lose the most money.... and the process means that you're willing to take a trade on impulse without reconciling why you are willing to take a trade without having a clear reason. Every trade has a risk but you want to take trades that you think gives you an edge and you're not going to have a good edge if you don't know how to read the market.... and you will still have losing trades with a good system... but you have to develop your edge to minimize this and it's a very least... don't take a trade when it's based on flipping a coin. There are exceptions... I would consider taking a trade with a lower probability, but the reward is so significant and the stop is so small, I may be willing to take that trade ...But that is completely different than taking a trade on a whim with no significant thought.
COMEX:GC1!
by ScottBogatin
Gold LongExpecting gold price (xau/usd) quadruple in ten years. I estimate at least 6500usd. This estimate is for current economic conditions of the world. No one knows what will happen in ten years. Biggest problem with gold price is people buying gold virtually over banks etc., when people start to buy gold physically, it will skyrocket beyond my estimation. They are currently trying to make sure people don't buy physical gold. They say everything good in the world and economy. We will see how that plays out.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by f424242