GOLD - GC Weekly Recap & Outlook | 27.07.2025🧾 Weekly Recap:
• Price tapped into the 1H Demand Zone (red box) and ran the 4H swing liquidity before bouncing to clear internal range liquidity.
• This move was followed by a retracement which led to a break of the bullish trendline.
This may signal the beginning of a broader accumulation phase. Expect choppy price action targeting internal liquidity both above and below, before a clear trend resumes.
📌 Technical Analysis:
Price has closed below the bullish trendline, leading to two possible scenarios:
1. Bullish scenario (black path):
– Price runs the W C DOL (3313$) →
– Finds rejection →
– Retests broken trendline →
– Breaks above the trendline →
– Continues toward 3444$ and potentially 3474$
2. Bearish scenario (orange path):
– Price runs W C DOL (3313$) →
– Rejects from the broken trendline →
– Fails to reclaim it →
– Continues downward to target M C DOL (3256$)
📈 Setup Trigger:
Wait for clear 1H–4H supply/demand zone creation and structure shift before initiating a trade.
🎯 Trade Management:
• Stoploss: Above/below relevant supply-demand zone
• Targets:
– Bullish: 3444$, 3474$
– Bearish: 3256$
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TGM1! trade ideas
MGC Tokyo Fade: If It Rejects, It DiesThis one was a request from someone asking for a breakdown of MGC heading into the Tokyo session so here’s the full quant review.
After Friday’s clean liquidation, gold found temporary footing around 3330. But the bounce is stalling under VWAP (3344) and Friday’s POC both stacking resistance like a ceiling of bricks. EMAs are fanned and directional, suggesting sellers still control the structure.
VWAP + POC = kill zone for a potential Tokyo fade.
Quant Review:
- Friday Session POC: 3341.9 — currently acting as resistance
- VWAP (Session): 3344.6 — unclaimed on the bounce
- 9 & 21 EMAs: Bearishly stacked, aligned with VWAP
- Volume Profile: Value area is lower; price is rejecting acceptance higher
- Microstructure: Weak bounce into resistance without reclaim of structure
Trade Plan (Short Bias):
- Entry Zone: 3340–3344 (VWAP/POC cluster)
- Trigger: Bearish engulfing or LTF rejection off VWAP shelf
- TP1: 3332 (prior low)
- TP2: 3322 (thin node sweep)
- TP3: 3305 (session low extension)
- Stop Loss: Above 3346 (structure + shelf break)
- R:R: 1.5–5 depending on scaling
- Probability of rejection and drop to 3332: 65%
- Probability of full leg to 3322–3305: 30%
- Risk of breakout above VWAP: 5%
If I’m Wrong
The Sunday open is always a wildcard sometimes you get pure trend continuation, other times it’s total chop or liquidity grabs before the real move unfolds in London.
If price cleanly reclaims 3346, closes above with strength, and holds the short idea is off. At that point, I’d expect a sweep toward 3355–3360, potentially tagging the high-volume node from mid-Friday.
In that case: Flip bias to bullish retrace into early London.
Bonus:
If you ever want a quant-style breakdown or session analysis like this just reach out. We break it down with structure, stats, and setups.
Near Term Bearish Development on Gold?The three bearish days in a row could be a potential near term bearish development on Gold. If a retest somewhere between 3370 and 3400 happens relatively soon and rejects it could potentially be in for a bearish extension. 3373 would be the 0.618 and 3388 would be the 0.5 retracement area. With a potential target down toward 3248 area
GOLD – New Week Technical Bias (Market Open)
Structural Outlook:
The broader bullish sequence remains valid, with no structural breach confirmed yet.
However, price is currently reacting at a sensitive level, warranting measured caution.
Zone Dynamics :
▪︎ A recently activated Rejection Zone is expected to support a gradual impulse toward the PIZ.
▪︎ From the PIZ, two scenarios unfold:
a. If it becomes a Price Base, we may see a continuation rally toward the 3433.2 region.
b. If the PIZ acts instead as a Price Cap, price may reject lower, targeting the pending Rejection Zone beneath or deeper, should the current zone fail to hold. Thereby presenting a Bearish structural formation.
Summary:
The directional bias remains bullish unless a clear Structure Breach (SB) occurs below key support levels.
Stay adaptive, and observe the PIZ reaction closely for directional confirmation.
🛑 Disclaimer:
This is not a trade signal. These are high-level technical insights meant for educational and analytical purposes. Always validate with your system and trade with discipline and risk awareness.
Gold Futures and the BOS Brearish Movement Steps In?After a clear break of structure and consistent rejection below the 209 EMA, price is retracing toward a key zone of confluence between 3347–3379.
This area aligns with:
Former demand turned supply (OB)
Volume cluster (high activity zone)
RSI hidden bearish divergence
Fair Value Gap (inefficiency fill target)
My expectation: a short-term bullish correction (blue) into that zone, followed by a high-probability sell-off (red) toward 3306–3290.
Bias : Bearish unless price reclaims 3394+
Strategy: Smart Money + Volume Profile + RSI Confirmation
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Is GC1! GOLD At A Turning Point - Idea On Short DirectionProbably Gold is not going to be cheaper in the near future but we have seen some points that hold in the past break recently...
This is a view on the Gold chart that is explanatory by itself.
Probably tracing some support horizontally under the price at key level with the idea of, if it break follow the trend in short direction side...
Gold to $3700 - $3800the price of gold has finally broken out of a long standing symmetrical triangle and an established 2 touch point trendline. It is currently consolidating above the broken trendline. If a 4H candle closes above the red dotted trend line we could see a massive pump up. If price closes below green upwards trendline then strategy is invalidated and reassessment needed. This is a long hold trade idea
Gold short Read this clearly, my confidence in this trade is 3 out of 10.
Use very small size on this trade, as iam not sure at all that this is even the right thing to do.
The chart is messy, and there is consolidation is going on.
if the price didnt make it to nr 1 circle, dont worry about it. The most important thing is the close below the FVG.
Also confirm on lower time frame to see how the price reacts to the entry levels. If anything is going to happen, is going to happen at those levels.
Gold at a Crossroad: Long or Short? Key Levels in FocusThere are three chart of Gold .
Gold1! is forming a Rising Wedge pattern, with resistance positioned between 103500-104000 levels.
Gold1! is facing Pivot Point resistance around the 103500 level, indicating potential supply pressure.
Gold1! is approaching the parallel channel resistance, and the upside move is nearly complete in percentage terms, with resistance around 103800-104000.
if this level sustain then we may see first of all higher prices then again fall in gold1!
Thank You !!
Eye These Levels to Go Long On GoldFenzoFx—Gold remains bullish but eased at $3,419.0 resistance. The Stochastic at 85.0 suggests a pullback may follow. Traders can watch support at $3,389.0 for short-term scalping.
Swing entries may emerge near $3,351.0 if bullish signals appear, such as candlestick patterns, structure breaks, or fair value gaps. Updates will follow if price reacts to these levels.
Gold Futures (GC1!)Gold Futures (GC1!) 1H – Bearish Rejection Setup
Price showed a strong bullish impulse followed by a rejection near the 3,416 resistance zone, forming a lower high and signaling potential exhaustion of buyers. After grabbing liquidity above the previous high, it failed to hold above the zone and retraced back below a key structure level around 3,406.
This setup aligns with a classic breakout and retest, now acting as resistance. I entered a short position after confirmation of bearish price action, targeting the demand zone around 3,372–3,368. Stop loss is placed just above the high at 3,416.8.
GOLD - Lovers Elliott wave - looking strong Short/Medium termGOLD-----Daily counts indicate Excellent bullish wave structure.
Both appear to be optimistic and this stock invalidation number (S L) wave 2 low
target short / long term are already shared as per charts
correction wave leg seems completed (C)
Investing in declines is a smart move for short/ long-term players.
Buy in DIPS recommended
Long-term investors prepare for strong returns over the next two to five years.
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$GC/Gold Elliot Wave Analysis Update - 7/21Hello fellow gamblers,
Both scenarios that we are watching are still valid and as price approaches a confirmation level, we do gotta be aware possible fakouts as we trade inside a flag/wedge pattern.
- A rejection of 3408 could drive us towards the other end of the pattern and a possible break to the downside.
- If we do have a rejection, I will be watching for price to find support at 3370 for my bullish bias.
- Levels to watch: 3408, 3346, 3283
GC Outlooklooking to for a continuation into 3390. then look for a retracement back towards the 50 ema. this will set up a push to the previous all time high. now keep in mind the fluid dynamic of the market based on the ever changing fundamental landscape, tariffs and other news that can shake the market. but the over all picture remains very bullish for gold
GOLD (GC) Weekly Recap & Game Plan 20/07/2025🪙 GOLD (GC) Weekly Recap & Game Plan
📊 Market Context:
Price is currently forming an accumulation pattern.
The purple zone marks a key weekly demand zone, and I expect a potential bounce from that level.
I'm closely watching for trendline deviations to determine the directional bias.
🎯 Game Plan:
If price drops below the trendline and bounces from the weekly demand, I’ll look for longs targeting the bearish trendline.
If price taps the bearish trendline and shows clear rejection, I’ll look for shorts targeting the bullish trendline.
I'll wait for LTF confirmations before entering any position.
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GC1! Breakout Confirmation & Bullish Continuation Potential Gold Futures Analysis – Breakout Confirmation & Bullish Continuation Potential
After an extended consolidation within a descending channel, Gold has successfully broken out, aligning with the overall bullish bias evident from the broader market structure.
Key Observations:
Overall Bias: Bullish, supported by higher-timeframe structure and trendline confluence.
Breakout Confirmation: Clean breakout above the descending channel, showing increased bullish momentum.
200 SMA Flip: Price reclaimed the 200-period SMA, reinforcing a shift in sentiment.
Key Zone Retests: The market is expected to retest the previous resistance (now support) around the 3345–3350 zone before any continuation.
Volume & RSI: Rising volume and RSI above 50 support further bullish continuation, with a short-term target toward the 3418 region.
Plan Ahead: I anticipate a short pullback to the support zone followed by bullish continuation if price holds above the breakout structure.
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