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TGM1! trade ideas

GOLD Potential ReversalIt appears that we've reached a significant top in the market, with price action showing signs of a potential dump. Liquidity has been taken out at this level, and we are now looking at lower price targets, which align with the lines below, marking new liquidity points. These areas could serve as key support levels as the market tests them for further reaction. The price structure suggests a possible drop to the target zones around 3,300 / 3,200 & 2970 where we could see renewed buying interest. Stay cautious as we approach these levels, as they may present opportunities for short entries ahead of the market correction. Keep an eye on the evolving price action for further confirmations.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by SerenityEquity
1
GOLD LONG IDEA for next week - targeting growth**Direction:** **LONG** **LONG Targets:** - **T1 = $3280** - **T2 = $3320** **Stop Levels:** - **S1 = $3220** - **S2 = $3190** **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Gold. **Key Insights:** Gold has continued as a refuge for capital amidst macroeconomic uncertainties, maintaining a strong bullish momentum due to increasing inflationary pressures and global geopolitical tensions. Market experts suggest the Federal Reserve's dovish monetary tone may further fuel demand for Gold, coupled with a weakening US dollar that enhances attractive price levels. The recent trend shows heightened levels of institutional buying, signaling potential for upward movement. Favorable seasonality and demand during market risk cycles enhance its appeal. Recent supply dynamics, driven by mining constraints and costly extraction levels, contribute to a limited Gold supply market scenario. With central bank reserves gradually accumulating Gold to hedge risks, we anticipate robust demand levels supporting prices. Analysts highlight that hedge funds and sovereign wealth funds show extreme interest towards additional Gold allocation—advising LONG strategies with focus...
COMEX:GC1!Long
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Gold Setup: Range or Rip? Here's the PlaybookGold’s been on a tear lately — driven by safe haven demand as real yields soften and global uncertainty lingers. But here’s where things get interesting... We’re now watching what could be a textbook head and shoulders pattern start to take shape. 📊 Current Range: Right now, price is stuck between 3380 and 3280 — and it’s acting like it knows it. ⚡ Possible Scenarios: 🔁 Scenario 1: Range Play Short near 3380 Long near 3280 Let it ping-pong and catch the edges. 📈 Scenario 2: Breakout Long Confirmation above 3380 Look for momentum follow-through into 3420+ 📉 Scenario 3: Breakdown Short Break below 3280 Eyes on the 3220s for a potential flush 🧠 The key? Drop to the lower time frames near these zones and wait for clean setups during active sessions — especially NY open or post-data volatility. 💬 How are you playing this? Breakout or bounce? Drop your take 👇 #gold #tradingview #futures #technicalanalysis #metals #xauusd #tradingstrategy #macro
COMEX_MINI:MGCM2025
by natron
3
Gold: Will 3,260 Flip From Supply to Springboard?Micro Gold Futures — 30 min chart BULLISH ABOVE 3,260 | BEARISH BELOW 🗺️  Structure in Focus Macro bias (4 h/1 D): remains bearish — lower highs & lows since late‑April. Intraday context: price climbing in a rising channel; buyers defend each channel low since 1 May. Grey zone 3 255‑3 260: • 61 %‑78 % Fib retrace of the last leg down • Breakdown base now acting as supply • Mid‑channel + intraday VWAP overhead A decisive H1 close above 3 260 plus a bullish retest flips the bias long toward ≈ 3 280. 🧭  Trade Map 🔴 Base‑case short • Trigger – bearish reaction inside / below 3 255‑60 • Targets – 3 230, then 3 210 (-27 % Fib extension) • Invalidation – H1/H4 close > 3 260 🟢 Flip‑bull plan • Trigger – H1 close above 3 260 and zone holds as support • Target – 3 280 supply (channel top + prior S/R) • Invalidation – H1 close back under 3 250 (Risk ≤ 1 % per idea; scale out at interim levels.) 📊 Narrative to Watch Fed speakers & US data could jolt real yields and gold flow. Asia session often sets the tone—watch Shanghai physical premium chatter. Softening DXY gives the upside‑break thesis a tail‑wind. What’s your play—fade the zone or ride the breakout? Smash the boost 🔥 and follow for live updates! Not financial advice; just sharing my plan. Tags: #Gold #XAUUSD #Futures #PriceAction #Fib #TechnicalAnalysis
COMEX_MINI:MGCM2025Short
by natron
1
Trade Plan – MGC (Micro Gold Futures) | Sunday, May 4Trend Bias (Multi-Timeframe Analysis): • 1W: Bullish – Strong macro uptrend with pullback off all-time highs. • 1D: Bearish – Lower highs and lower lows forming after topping out at $3,509. • 4H: Bearish – Clean downtrend continuation forming. • 1H: Bearish – Price rejected lower highs, now curling down again. • 15M: Bullish – Short-term bounce from $3,210 low, but corrective in nature. Trade Setup: • Direction: Short • Entry Zone: $3,250 – $3,260 • Price has retraced to a lower-high zone under supply; aligns with hourly resistance. • Stop Loss: $3,270 • Just above 1H structure and 15M failed high. • Take Profit: $3,210 • Prior swing low and liquidity zone.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by KamStockman
1
Gold evaluation using Trend Fib extension...dual peaksAs you can see from the lower picture...I took two retrace peaks and traced the move with the fib tool and made the smaller one the solid line and the farther one the dashed line... Kinda fits pretty neatly in those lines eh?? Not much more to say, make up what you think the move action will be, I just provide the lines... And the numeration for those lines to be calculated is based off Pi and Fib percentages...so its not an actual default setting...can go into my other ideas where I actually give a table of all the numbers to enter in to achieve said result you see above and below... Both Trend Fibs are with the reverse setting on... ------- 10 min ------- 1 day far ------ This Trend is with the reverse setting off: weekly overview: and the closer daily...notice that 2000 quad peak: and yet closer view...see that bottom line under the sideways consolidation is like almost the same as previous...: finally the 10 min close up: everything but the two arrows is the same from above...so you get a nice overall price consolidation with these lines...
COMEX:GC1!
by CYQOTEK
Gold-Silver Ratio: Silver’s Lag and Historical DivergencesThe gold-silver ratio - the number of silver ounces equals in value to one ounce of gold – has surged recently as gold prices rally while silver underperforms. Gold, a traditional safe-haven, has climbed to record highs amid economic uncertainty, whereas silver, which is partly an industrial commodity, has struggled to break past $35/oz. As a result, the ratio is around 100 – meaning gold is ~100 times the price of silver despite the correction in the ratio from its peak around 125. For context, the ratio averaged 57 from 1975-2000, and between 2000-2025 the ratio has ranged from 32 and 125 (with the max level reached this month with an average of 68. The ratio has observed extreme spikes in unusual crises). Today’s elevated ratio highlights the divergence between gold’s sharp rally and silver’s lagging performance. The 25-year mean of the ratio is at 68, suggesting the present levels (100) represent an extreme deviation in favour of gold. Historical Parallels in Gold-Silver Divergences Similar wide divergences between gold and silver have occurred in the past. Key historical episodes illustrate how silver eventually played “catch-up” after lagging gold – albeit with varying lag times: 1970s – Silver’s Late Surge: After the U.S. abandoned the gold standard, gold prices soared while silver lagged. However, silver eventually staged a sharp rally later in the decade, quickly closing the gap and driving the gold-silver ratio sharply lower. 1980s – Prolonged Underperformance: Following the 1980 peak, precious metals collapsed, with silver suffering far more than gold. The gold-silver ratio surged and remained elevated through the 1980s and 1990s, as silver failed to catch up and largely moved sideways until the 2000s. Early 2000s – Post-Recession Catch-Up: After the 2001 recession, gold began a new bull market while silver initially lagged. Eventually, silver outpaced gold’s gains over the next several years, significantly narrowing the gold-silver ratio. 2008 Financial Crisis – Sharp Divergence and Recovery: The 2008 crisis caused gold to outperform sharply as silver collapsed. However, as the economy recovered, silver staged a dramatic rebound, quickly closing the gap and normalizing the ratio by 2011. Why Is Silver Lagging Now? Industrial Demand Uncertainty Roughly half of silver demand is industrial (electronics, photovoltaics, chemicals). Persistent worries about a global manufacturing slowdown and elevated inventories have capped silver’s upside just as investors have chased gold for geopolitical protection. Source: Silver Institute Worries about industrial demand have been exacerbated by the recent trade uncertainties which impact industrial sectors in an outsized manner. By contrast, gold’s appeal as a safe haven has been boosted by geopolitical and inflation fears, driving it to record highs in 2025. Despite cyclical swings, the underlying secular trend has crept higher for decades. Gold’s monetisation (central-bank reserves, ETF holdings surge) versus silver’s demonetisation, higher real production costs for gold, and silver’s growing industrial elasticity are all factors that represent a risk to normalization of the GSR. Even a forceful mean-reversion might therefore stall nearer 60–70 than the sub-40 extremes of earlier cycles. Hypothetical Trade Setups History shows that once macroeconomic uncertainty clears, silver often recovers lost ground quickly. In previous periods of extreme gold-silver divergence, from the 1970s through 2008, silver staged strong rallies that pushed the gold-silver ratio (GSR) back toward normal levels. Today, however, silver’s outlook remains clouded by uncertainty, particularly amid the ongoing trade war. Prices risk stalling below resistance around $35/oz. Consequently, the normalization in the GSR may instead result from a correction in gold prices. Gold has consistently broken record highs, and its long-term outlook remains firmly bullish. Nevertheless, concerns about the sustainability of the recent rally are valid - last week, gold fell sharply after setting a new high above $3,500/oz. In summary, a normalization in the GSR could result from either a silver rally or a gold correction. While each path remains uncertain, a position focused on the ratio itself is relatively insulated from further divergence. Given this environment, we could express our view in GSR through a long position in silver and a short position in gold. Investors can implement this using CME Micro Silver and Micro Gold futures. This setup benefits from 72% margin offsets. The Micro contracts balance the notional value between both legs by using one contract each. A hypothetical trade setup consisting of a short position in CME Micro Gold futures expiring in June (MGCM2025) and a short position in CME Micro Silver futures expiring in June (SILM2025), offering a reward to risk ratio of 1.6x, is described below. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by mintdotfinance
5
Gold Tesla4.28.25 In this video I talk about gold and Tesla. at the end of the video I suggested that there are times when the market isn't doing quite what your rules are but you have a feeling that the market is going to move in your favor... and in your opinion it's worth the risk even though you would not entirely be following your rules. the simple response would be that you're not following your roles at your decision is impulsive and that you shouldn't take that trade... but you believe that even if your trade breaks your rules you believe there's something in the pattern that tells you it's worth the risk you're willing to take. I'll tell you right now I did not upload this video until that bar completed... and I would have been stopped out of that trade because I would have gone short and the market went higher for a bit... but I realized something that I know about and I want to talk about that on a future video. to be clear I think the market is still going to go lower even though it would have taken out my short trade.... I'll talk about this tomorrow or the next day.... and by that time we'll see if the market really did go lower.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by ScottBogatin