TONUSD trade ideas
The all-important fall to 2.88When everyone's a Bull, they're full of bull.
Ton is not a great coin nor ever was.
Always watch the technicals, not the crowd-support.
TONUSD: New bullish wave started. Next stop $9.000.Toncoin recovered its bullish 1D technical condition (RSI = 62.631, MACD = 0.117, ADX = 36.295) as this is the 4th straight week of gains following the bottom on the 3 year Channel Up. With the 1W RSI rebounding also after being oversold on March 3rd, we have a strong indication that the new bullish wave has technically started. If it only follows the weaker leg of +300% at the start of the Channel Up, it can reach $9.000 by September.
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tonConsidering the RSI, I expect the market to bounce back from here and grow, and since Mr. Powell has returned to Dubai, he will support you.
TONUSDWhen it forms a higher high above the marked previous high, then a higher low would confirm a good entry.
Otherwise, just like ADA, it could give back all its gains.
TON opens new horizons for users and developersThe Open Network (TON) is a decentralized blockchain originally developed by the Telegram team, designed for scalable and fast transactions. TON is utilized across various sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), gaming applications (GameFi), and payment systems, providing users and developers with a reliable and efficient platform for creating and using decentralized applications.
The first two months of 2025 have been pivotal for TON: the ecosystem has demonstrated significant growth and taken strategic steps that have strengthened its position in the crypto industry. During this period, 3.1 million new wallets were activated, with daily activity ranging from 170,000 to 590,000 users. Monthly trading volume reached an impressive $500–700 million, while weekly transactions grew to 20–30 million, placing TON among the top 8 blockchains by this metric.
Another major announcement was that TON has become the exclusive blockchain infrastructure for Mini Apps on Telegram. This means that all mini-apps on Telegram will now utilize TON for tokenization, payments, and integrations, ensuring users a more convenient, secure, and faster experience with decentralized services.
A key growth factor was the partnership with LayerZero, enabling seamless USDT transfers between Ethereum, TRON, and Arbitrum , with plans to expand to over 100 different blockchains in the future. This move significantly boosts network liquidity and enhances its attractiveness for developers and users.
Toncoin – The native currency of TON. It is used for network operations, transactions, gaming, and NFTs. Key growth factors for the TONUSD crypto pair in 2025:
Deep integration with Telegram – TON’s role as the primary blockchain infrastructure for Mini Apps in Telegram grants access to a vast user base and attracts developers.
Expansion into the U.S. market – The new president of TON Foundation is actively developing strategic partnerships in the U.S., strengthening the blockchain’s global influence.
Investments in DeFi and PayFi – The TVM Ventures fund is allocating $100 million to ecosystem development, fostering growth and innovation.
Technological enhancements and integrations – Integration with LayerZero and the launch of the Omnichain Fungible Token (OFT) standard will improve TON’s compatibility with other blockchains, expanding its functionality.
With such strategic initiatives and continuous infrastructure development, 2025 is set to be a breakthrough year for TON, solidifying its position as one of the leading blockchain projects worldwide.
And at FreshForex, we proudly offer you:
1. The ability to open a trading account in TON (Toncoin).
2. The option to trade the TONUSD (Toncoin vs. US Dollar) pair and profit from price fluctuations 24/7.
TonCoin- Eliminate the useless, keep the essential.
- imo Toncoin looks bottomed, but remember, crypto moves fast, if BTC dips, altcoins usually follow harder.
- That said, for now, I don’t see altcoins dropping further; they sound to be not far from a rock bottom.
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Simple Trade Strategy :
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- Buy now around 3$
- Keep some juice to DCA more around 2.30$
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TP : 5.50$
SL : 1.95$
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Play Wisely !
Happy Tr4Ding !
The Comeback of TONThe bearish trend in #TON since June 2024 appears to be ending or near its end. The zone between $3.89 : $2.66 seems like a good buying area.
Passing $7.20 signals targeting a new ATH.
A weak bounce from the current bottom suggests a deeper decline ahead.
#TheOpenNetwork
TONUSD Daily Price chartLooking at this Toncoin (TON/USD) chart, I see a well-defined ascending channel pattern that's been forming since early 2022, with several key technical elements worth noting:
Channel Structure & Current Position
Price is trading at $3.5686 (+0.67%)
TON is currently near the lower boundary of the ascending channel (marked as "Buy Zone" at ~$2.6)
RSI (14) is at 27.43, indicating oversold conditions
Key Price Points
Current support at the lower channel line (~$2.6-2.7 range)
Strong horizontal support around $2.7155
Resistance zone at $12-13 (marked in blue rectangle)
In mid-term this setup suggests a potential buying opportunity with:
Entry Zone: $2.6-2.8 area (where the price meets the lower channel boundary)
Stop Loss: Below $2.2 (approximately 15% below entry to account for volatility)
Profit Targets:
First target: $6.0 (previous resistance level)
Second target: $9.0 (previous high marked as point 3)
Maximum target: $12-13 zone (upper channel projection)
in long temm in 2-3 yaers later i see a bright future for TON's holder!!
Please tell me what you think about the future of TON.
All the best
TON at a very bottomAfter the rejection from the descending triangle we had, now $3 is going to be the last/strong support and I'm expecting another push to about $19 in next few weeks or months
Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis for ToncoinMarket Overview:
Trend: Toncoin is in a clear downtrend, breaking below key moving averages.
Key Levels:
Resistance: ~$4.00 - $4.10
Support: ~$3.70 (weak), ~$3.50 (stronger)
Indicators:
MACD: Strongly bearish, indicating further downside potential.
RSI: At 25.2, oversold, suggesting a possible short-term bounce.
Volume: Decreasing, meaning weak buying pressure.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Range Scalping (Short-Term Play)
Why? TON is near oversold levels, meaning a small bounce is possible.
How?
Buy near $3.70, targeting a bounce to $3.90 - $4.00.
Sell near $4.00 - $4.10, as resistance is strong.
Stop-loss below $3.65, as further breakdown risk exists.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If Trend Resumes)
Trigger: A breakout above $4.10 or breakdown below $3.70.
Execution:
If TON breaks $4.10, scalp long targeting $4.30 - $4.50.
If TON drops below $3.70, scalp short targeting $3.50 - $3.40.
🩸 3. EMA Scalping
Why? TON is trading far below the 200 EMA ($5.37), confirming bearish momentum.
Execution:
Short near EMA 9 (~$3.90 - $4.00) if price fails to reclaim it.
Go long only if price holds above $4.10 with strong volume.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Bias: Bearish → Neutral if $4.10 reclaims
Why?
TON is heavily oversold, but momentum is still bearish.
$3.70 must hold—if lost, a drop to $3.50 is likely.
RSI signals oversold conditions, but a bounce needs volume confirmation.
If TON reclaims $4.10, upside potential to $4.50 - $4.70 opens.
🔥 News & Market Context:
No strong bullish catalysts, so TON depends on overall market movement.
If BTC breaks down, expect further downside for TON.
Potential short squeeze if volume increases above $4.10.
🔥 Decision: Enter or Stay Out?
🩸 Short-term: Scalping is possible, but risk is high.
🩸 Mid-term: Bearish unless TON breaks and holds above $4.10.
🩸 Ideal Play: Look for a bounce from $3.70 or short rejection near $4.00.
👑 Final Verdict:
$3.70 must hold! If lost, TON heads for $3.50. If $4.10 breaks, bullish recovery possible. Play smart! 🔥
