TONCOIN PERFECT BULLISH PATTERN !#TON made a clear pattern for rising !
i think that this market is full of opportunities !
the market made a huge down to the ground and took all the liq below !
now the market is ready for a super sharp attack !
TONUSD trade ideas
Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis for ToncoinMarket Overview:
Trend: Toncoin is in a clear downtrend, breaking below key moving averages.
Key Levels:
Resistance: ~$4.00 - $4.10
Support: ~$3.70 (weak), ~$3.50 (stronger)
Indicators:
MACD: Strongly bearish, indicating further downside potential.
RSI: At 25.2, oversold, suggesting a possible short-term bounce.
Volume: Decreasing, meaning weak buying pressure.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Range Scalping (Short-Term Play)
Why? TON is near oversold levels, meaning a small bounce is possible.
How?
Buy near $3.70, targeting a bounce to $3.90 - $4.00.
Sell near $4.00 - $4.10, as resistance is strong.
Stop-loss below $3.65, as further breakdown risk exists.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If Trend Resumes)
Trigger: A breakout above $4.10 or breakdown below $3.70.
Execution:
If TON breaks $4.10, scalp long targeting $4.30 - $4.50.
If TON drops below $3.70, scalp short targeting $3.50 - $3.40.
🩸 3. EMA Scalping
Why? TON is trading far below the 200 EMA ($5.37), confirming bearish momentum.
Execution:
Short near EMA 9 (~$3.90 - $4.00) if price fails to reclaim it.
Go long only if price holds above $4.10 with strong volume.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Bias: Bearish → Neutral if $4.10 reclaims
Why?
TON is heavily oversold, but momentum is still bearish.
$3.70 must hold—if lost, a drop to $3.50 is likely.
RSI signals oversold conditions, but a bounce needs volume confirmation.
If TON reclaims $4.10, upside potential to $4.50 - $4.70 opens.
🔥 News & Market Context:
No strong bullish catalysts, so TON depends on overall market movement.
If BTC breaks down, expect further downside for TON.
Potential short squeeze if volume increases above $4.10.
🔥 Decision: Enter or Stay Out?
🩸 Short-term: Scalping is possible, but risk is high.
🩸 Mid-term: Bearish unless TON breaks and holds above $4.10.
🩸 Ideal Play: Look for a bounce from $3.70 or short rejection near $4.00.
👑 Final Verdict:
$3.70 must hold! If lost, TON heads for $3.50. If $4.10 breaks, bullish recovery possible. Play smart! 🔥
TONUSD Be ready for $12.00 this Summer.It has been almost 5 months (September 12, see chart below) since the last time we analyzed Toncoin (TONUSD) and made our bearish call:
As you can see, it successfully hit our 3.50 Target and the 0.618 Fibonacci level. With that being a direct contact with the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up, while the 1D RSI got oversold (<30.00), we expect the new Bullish Leg to start.
All previous oversold RSI hits (with the exception of Aug 05 2024) have been bottoms and with +300% being a standard rise within this pattern, we expect to see $12.000 as the next High.
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Taking a Long Position in TONUSDTAfter thorough analysis, I’ve decided to take a long position in TONUSDT, as the market currently aligns with all my key criteria for entry.
Here’s what I see:
1. Bollinger Bands indicate a potential bounce, as the price is trading near the lower band, suggesting oversold conditions.
2. Moving Averages (MA) have provided additional confirmation, showing support at the current levels.
3. Support Lines are holding steady, and current market conditions suggest a favorable environment for a potential upward move.
Given these factors, I believe this is a good opportunity to enter the market.
Position Details:
• Margin: $30
• Leverage: Cross setup
• Total Position Size: $453
Risk Level:
This trade is classified as medium risk, considering the current market volatility and the use of cross margin.
Why TON?
The fundamentals and technicals for TON look promising. The market has shown resilience even in challenging conditions, and the alignment of indicators makes this setup particularly appealing.
As always, proper risk management is key. Let’s see how this plays out!
What’s your take on TON right now? Share your thoughts
BULLISH TRIANGLE BREAKOUTOn H4 Timeframe bulls are incredibly dominant on Toncoin as a result of uptrend, on the other hand of the triangle, the breakout completely confirms the buy signal from 5.59
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TON got a good supportThe price is still under correction as it moves below the curved resistance. The
TONUSDT: A Fresh StartAfter a challenging period with two unsuccessful short positions, I’m now entering a new phase with a long position in TONUSDT. Here’s why I see this as a promising opportunity.
Market Context: The Oversold Thesis
We seem to be back at the point where all indicators are flagging TON as oversold. This creates a potential entry point for a rebound. The market activity surrounding TRUMP coin might be partly responsible for this situation.
It seems that many traders are scrambling to buy TRUMP coin on Solana, selling off other assets—potentially including TON—in the process. While this aggressive push toward TRUMP coin has driven its market cap to an astonishing $8 billion, I’m not convinced this is a sustainable strategy. Such a frenzy often leaves room for other undervalued assets like TON to shine.
Why TON Looks Promising
Despite the wild market dynamics of yesterday, TON stands out with promising indicators signaling potential for growth. Its oversold conditions combined with strong fundamentals provide a compelling case for a rebound.
Position Details: Turning to Longs
After the pain of two short positions, it’s refreshing to find an opportunity to go long. TONUSDT offers a chance to recalibrate and capitalize on market mispricing caused by speculative hype elsewhere.
While the crypto market remains volatile and unpredictable, this position feels like a calculated risk backed by data and market context.
Duration:
This is a short-term trade.
Target:
The goal is to achieve 100% profit. The entry is made on Binance with 25x leverage, using a $30 margin, resulting in a total position size of ±$700.
Risk:
This trade is classified as medium risk in crypto.
Toncoin (TON): Key Levels for the Next Move🔥 Toncoin’s Strategy:
🩸 Long: Above $5.50, targeting $5.80 and $6.50. (Buy if price confirms support at $5.20 and breaks through $5.50)
🩸 Short: Below $5.20, targeting $4.50. (Sell if the support at $5.20 breaks and price moves down)
🔥 Toncoin’s Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $5.96 — The price needs to break this level to continue its upward movement.
🩸 Support: $5.20 — A critical support zone; if the price breaks this level, we might see further downside.
Market Context: The price is currently holding near the $5.36 range, testing the $5.20 support level. A break above $5.50 would lead to a potential target of $5.80. However, a break below $5.20 could push the price further down, possibly reaching $4.50. Keep an eye on the MACD and EMA indicators for confirmation.
👑 "Patience and precision will define the path forward—watch for the breakout above $5.50." — FinCaesar
$TONUSDT the same as SOLUSDT #LONGI believe we can take one additional trade as well. TON is showing strong support levels, and we previously had a great entry point at $5.13. That’s why it makes sense to repeat this trade.
Duration:
This trade can be either short-term or long-term, depending on your goals. Alternatively, you can approach it as an investor in the TON ecosystem, which allows you to average down costs if the trade doesn’t go as planned. The key here is to monitor funding rates, especially if you intend to hold for a longer period.
Target:
The goal is to achieve 100% profit. The entry is made on Binance with 25x leverage, using a $30 margin, creating a total position size of $766.
Risk:
This trade is considered medium risk, especially if you’re prepared to use dollar-cost averaging (DCA) to manage the position. For additional caution, I’ve set a loss limit at 60% of the deposit this time.
Toncoin (TON): 1-9 🔥 Potential Price Targets for Next Month:
🩸 Near-term Goal: $5.00
🩸 Long-term Goal: $4.20
🔥 FinCaesar's Strategy:
🩸 Short: Below $5.50, targeting $5.00 and $4.20. Bearish MACD momentum and sustained selling pressure support further declines.
🩸 Long: Above $5.95, aiming for $6.20 and $6.50. A reversal would require a significant bullish volume, which remains uncertain.
🔥 FinCaesar's Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $5.95 — The next significant hurdle for the bulls to overcome.
🩸 Support: $4.20 — A breakdown below this could signal a deeper decline.
Toncoin is struggling near resistance, with MACD showing weakening bullish momentum. If the price fails to break above $5.95, further declines toward $4.20 remain possible.
👑 "In times of uncertainty, only the swift will claim victory—make your move with precision." — FinCaesar
TON - Time to long ASAPIf you’re looking for a potential entry point, the current setup presents a compelling case to heavily long. Let’s break down the technical and fundamental factors that suggest an upward reversal could be imminent:
Fundamentally Strong Asset
The foundation of any trade starts with the fundamentals. This asset has strong underlying value, making it more likely to recover after recent volatility. It’s crucial to align technical indicators with the strength of the asset’s intrinsic value.
Significant Drop Within 3 Days
A sharp decline over the last three days indicates potential overselling. Rapid price drops often bring assets into undervalued territory, creating an opportunity for a strong bounce, especially when combined with key support levels.
Triple-Tested Support Line
The price has tested the same support level three times, which strengthens the credibility of this level as a firm floor. Repeated tests without a breakdown often signal a potential reversal, as sellers struggle to push the price lower.
Outside Bollinger Bands
The current price is trading outside the lower Bollinger Band, a classic sign that the asset is oversold. This indicates that bearish momentum could be exhausting, and a mean reversion back to the center of the bands is likely.
Below All Moving Averages (MAs)
The price is sitting below all major Moving Averages (e.g., 50 MA, 100 MA, 200 MA). While this may seem bearish at first, it also shows the asset is in an extreme position, making it ripe for a snapback rally when momentum shifts.
MACD and RSI Signaling a Turnaround
Both MACD and RSI are signaling potential bullish momentum:
MACD: Shows signs of convergence or a potential crossover, often a precursor to upward momentum.
RSI: In oversold territory, suggesting the asset is undervalued and due for a recovery.
Too many factors are saying that we should be bullish.
Time term > could be short and long depending on your needs. You can enter as investor into TON ecosystem too, so in case bad trade you can just DCA.
Target > to get 100%
Entered with Binance x25 leverage
Margin 30$
Total size 770$
Risk: Medium in case you are ready to make DCA
TON, sellers are showing their weakness, it's a good time to buyTON, sellers are showing their weakness, it's a good time to buy
Three times sellers tried to sell the price lower, and the movement each time became smaller, the last movement with no volume showed the complete powerlessness of sellers, and gives a good entry point to buy. I'm going in with a potential of 1:4
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Toncoin in a liquidity crisisUnfortunately, despite its high potential and growing user base, Toncoin has failed to achieve significant growth over the past six months.
Most Toncoin users are of Asian descent, have low per capita income, and were primarily attracted to it due to Telegram's airdrops. They do not contribute liquidity to the ecosystem and are merely seeking profits from the airdrops. If you ask them whether they have invested in Toncoin, most would say, "No!"
In the upcoming bull run, Toncoin’s price could increase by a maximum of 300-400%. Meanwhile, Dogecoin, with a significantly higher market cap, could easily deliver returns of 800-1500%.
I hope Pavel Durov changes his strategies and is released from detention soon, bringing greater growth opportunities for Toncoin.
Toncoin (TON): Decision Time Looms🔥 FinCaesar’s Commands:
🩸 Resistance: 6.00. A breakout targets 6.53 and possibly 7.00.
🩸 Support: 5.66. A drop below this level opens the path to 5.21 and 4.80.
🔥 FinCaesar’s Strategy:
🩸 Buy: Above 6.00, aiming for 6.53 and beyond. Wait for volume confirmation to ensure momentum.
🩸 Sell: Below 5.66, targeting 5.21 and potentially 4.80. Be prepared to adjust as the trend unfolds.
👑 "Strength belongs to those who anticipate the next move. Take control." — FinCaesar
What will happen to TONCOIN?hello guys
We came up with the analysis of TON currency.
This currency, which is in a downward channel, two scenarios may happen to it.
1: That it continues to fall according to the structure and buy in the specified support range.
2: Break your channel and in this case we can buy in Pullback .
what do you think ?
Toncoin: Poised for a Critical MoveToncoin is trading at 5.89, showing signs of recovery with growing momentum. The market stands at a decisive juncture, testing key levels.
🔥 FinCaesar’s Commands:
Resistance: 6.00. A breakout here could push toward 6.50.
Support: 5.65. Losing this level risks a drop to 5.40.
🔥 FinCaesar’s Strategy:
Buy: Above 6.00, aiming for 6.50 or higher.
Sell: Below 5.65, targeting 5.40 or lower.
Toncoin’s next move will determine its trend. The moment to act is now.
"Decisive action creates strength. Make your move." — FinCaesar
Toncoin looking strong and promising.
This is the grand perspective on TON. It might be entering the explosive part of its strongest wave.
IN PLAY: AUDNZD & GBPJPY (SHORTS)See the GBPJPY video to learn more.
• Trend: GBP/JPY continues its bearish trajectory, respecting the EMA resistance and forming lower highs and lows on the 4-hour char
TON ROADMAP (3D)It seems that TON has entered a Diametric pattern from the point we marked on the chart, and it is now beginning wave E.
In a bullish market, it consolidated for a while, and now it's time to make up for its lag.
The first target is $12.80; take partial profit at this level. Wave E could potentially end around $20.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
