Crypto Marketcap PredictionI believe we will have one more flush down to the green line I have marked. That line/zone is the correlation between the 618 fib level and the previous high of my Algo/Rsi.
Once we bounce off that level, we should re-break the marketcap high, and then the sign to sell will likely be a double top with bearish divergence.
TOTAL trade ideas
Crypto Market Cap Poised for New All-Time High: A Path to $10T?This chart tracks the total crypto market cap, highlighting key historical milestones and potential future movements. Starting with a new all-time high (ATH) of $700B in 2017, it shows significant growth, hitting $3T in 2021 before retracing to $800B. The market has since rebounded, consolidating in a middle zone between $1.3T and $1.5T. Given the upward trend and bullish momentum, the market appears poised for another breakout, potentially reaching a new ATH of $10T over the next few months. This prediction aligns with the broader trend channel and previous price action.
TOTAL Market Cap Faces Rejection at $2TCurrent Market Activity: This morning, the TOTAL market cap was rejected at the $2T level, the top of the range, and has begun retracing, potentially testing the bottom of the range at $1.85T once again.
Key Levels:
Top of Range: $2T (Rejected)
Bottom of Range: $1.85T (Potential test)
Previous High: $2.25T (Late August)
Bearish Signals: TOTAL has not created a higher high since reaching $2.25T, suggesting that the higher timeframe trend remains to the downside. A break below $1.85T could lead to a retest of the $1.7T level, which was last tested in early August.
Market Outlook: Watch for a decisive move at $1.85T for clues on the next direction.
#CryptoMarketCap #TOTAL #MarketAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #Downtrend #Bearish #Crypto #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
Sideways movement is likely.Greetings.
There are very high expectations that bitcoin and with it the market will go down.
If you think so, I will not dissuade you.
The 2024 market is very different from 2020-21 and 2016-17.
There is a lot more manipulation and sideways movement in it.
Here are a few things I noticed on TOTAL.
On the left is 4H chart.
Kijun has crossed the red cloud and
Tenkan may act as support for continued upside movement.
9 seasons of rainbow show a developing bullish signal.
Oversold (blue) has changed to green (rising) on the two ribbons.
On the right is 1D.
The nature of the fickle clouds (red-green-red-green-red-green) hints that this is a sideways move, AND right today the kijun-sen line is being tested. If the market finds this support it will move towards the green clouds, but these swings could be in the 1.8-2.2 trillion range.
SQZMOM is showing signs of reversal.
Total Crypto Market Cap H&S Invalidation and ForecastWith a quiet week ahead of the CPI and PPI due out this week, it's a good time to look at the Macro chart structure.
Sometimes simpler is better, and I've had great success using simple formations like the H&S pattern, which beats Elliot Wave hands down most of the time.
In this case, we were looking at a potential inverse Head and Shoulders on the Total Market Cap last week, but that has now been invalidated leaving us with this new wedge formation and a new lower high trendline.
I think we have some unclear or negative economic data this week and likely see prices fall across the board and the TOTAL market cap here dip down into the buy range (Green boxes based on aggregate buy limit orders on the order books and using our Order Block Detector).
Then we rally into the FOMC and ahead of a possible 50 basis point rate cut surprise, and kicking off a rip-roaring Q4 October to December rally and off to new ATH's on BTC.
September is seasonally a down month, so I'd expect more chop until the above plays out.
And of course, new information = new decision, so we have to remail open to anything.
Some are calling for a re-test of the yearly open around $44k as Bitcion usually does re-test this level at least once during the year, and as of yet hasn't. But I think we'll hold $50k bitcoin on a closing basis and will be buying in the $50k - GETTEX:52K range, as Bitcoin will likely lead the rally, followed by Solana and ETH.
Our multi-time frame radar indicator is mixed, so I'm waiting for this to turn Green and our other signals to also turn Bullish, namely our ERI and TSI (Early Reveral Indicator and Trend Strength Indicator - not shown).
We'll have to play it week by week and see what opportunities present.
Good luck trading, this has been a very difficult area to predict and forecast, and as we can see, there's still heavy sell pressure above.
However, on another chart study I shared with M3 members yesterday, there's a massive macro Bull-Flag formation on the TOTAL market cap, with a measured move of $4.8T if and when we can solidly break to new ATH.
Our weekly signals show we're oversold and poised to break higher soon, just like we saw in September 2023 and before the big rally we've been enjoying all year!
Like and comment below for more like this, and I'll do my best to keep you posted!
MARKETS week ahead: September 9 – 15Last week in the news
The previous week started with a negative market sentiment after leaked information regarding Nvidia's subpoena received from the U.S. Department of Justice, while the same sentiment continued till the end of the week, after releasing weaker than expected jobs data. Such sentiment increased US Dollar volatility, while the price of gold managed to sustain relatively higher levels, ending the week at $2.497. In expectation of a Feds higher rate cut, the US 10Y Treasury benchmark ended the week at 3,71%. The US equity markets had one of the worst weeks in this year, while the crypto market followed the negative sentiment for the second week in a row, with BTC closing at levels modestly below the $55K levels.
The week started with a negative sentiment, after the news was published that the US Justice Department pressed charges against market favorite Nvidia. As Bloomberg is reporting, the company Xockets Inc. pressed charges against both Nvidia and Microsoft Corp for illegally using seven patents from the company in relation to semiconductor technology used for the production of data processing units in chips used for the AI technology. The lawsuit is based on the violence of antitrust law in the US.
The week continued with high expectations with respect to US jobs data, which came out on Friday. Market volatility was significantly increased after the release of weaker than expected nonfarm payrolls for August. August's figure reached the level of 142K new jobs, while the market was expecting to see at least 160K. On a positive side is that the unemployment rate dropped a bit to the level of 4,2%, from 4,3% posted for the previous month. Other figures for the US economy, in terms of ISM indicators, are showing a positive development for the services sector in the US, while the manufacturing industry is still struggling to sustain a positive sentiment. After relatively weak jobs data for August, the market is rethinking a potential for Feds higher rate cut at their September FOMC meeting. There is currently an almost equal number of investors who are expecting 25 bps and 50 bps rate cuts. In an interview with CNBC, a Nobel prize winning economist, Joseph Stiglitz noted that the Fed raised interest rates too high too swiftly and that he would now vote for a higher rate cut, which was in line with expectations of economists from JPMorgan.
The previous week was not only bad for tech companies, but was also for the companies in the crypto industry. Both crypto exchangers and crypto miners experienced a selloff of shares. In line with a drop in the price of BTC and ETH, shares of the crypto exchanger Coinbase dropped down to the level of $147.
Crypto market cap
As the September FOMC meeting is nearing, the market nervousness is increasing. Last week`s weaker than expected US jobs figures, increased fears among market participants that the US economy is slowing down and that the Fed might cut interest rates higher from anticipated 25 bps in order to support the jobs market. In addition, negative news regarding Nvidia`s subpoena triggered general sell off of tech stocks, including also the crypto coins. Total crypto market capitalization decreased significantly during the last two weeks, while previous week only, total crypto market capitalization dropped by additional 7%, whipping out $134B from the market value. Again, the vast majority of crypto coins ended another week in red. Daily trading volumes were further decreased to the level of $79B on a daily basis, from $103B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $260B, which represents a 16% surge from the beginning of this year.
Another losing week on the crypto market is behind. For another week BTC was dragging total crypto market capitalization to the downside. BTC lost 7.3% in value, decreasing its market cap by $87.6B. ETH followed the path, with a loss of 8.2% in value, or $25B. Among higher losers were BNB, with a droop in value of 5.6% or $4.3B, while market favorite Solana was traded down by 3.7%, decreasing its market value by $2.3B. XRP also lost almost $ 2B in value, dropping by 6.2% on a weekly basis. There have been only a few coins which managed to end the week in green, like Monero, with an increase in value of modest 1.9%, Uniswap was traded higher by 8.1%, while Algorand managed to gain 1.9% in value.
Another week with increased developments over the coins in circulation. Filecoin managed to add 0.4% of new coins to the market, while Solana, EOS and Polkadot added 0.2%. The winner of the week was Miota, with 0.6% more coins on the market within the single week.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market reacted quite strongly to negative developments from the spot market. Both BTC and ETH futures ended the week lower for all maturities. BTC short term futures were traded lower by more than 10%, while the longer term ones were last traded down by 9%. BTC futures maturing in December this year closed the week at the level of $54.590, while those maturing a year later were last traded at $60.860.
ETH short term futures closed the week by 14% lower from the end of the week before, with December 2024 closing price of $2.250. Longer term futures were traded some 11.5% lower on a weekly basis, where December 2025 reached the last price at $2.455.
TOTAL CRYPTO MARKETCAP CUP & HANDLE FORMATION!The massive cup & handle formation currently forming the handle in the Total Crypto Market cap is stunning. When this plays out, it's going to create more millionaires than kung fu circus.
There will be a massive liquidity grab previous to the bottom, and this will be followed by an incredible breakout over the coming months.
Soon!
TOTAL1 🔍 TOTAL Market Cap (Crypto) Analysis: Weekly Timeframe 📉
The TOTAL Crypto Market Cap chart on a weekly timeframe highlights significant upcoming times where price movements may present trading opportunities. It’s essential to analyze these signals in conjunction with higher timeframes for a comprehensive market view.
• BUY DATE - September 30, 2024 - Green Line: This time indicates a potential local low, offering favorable conditions for accumulating crypto assets or entering long positions.
• SELL DATE - October 25, 2024 - Red Line: This time marks a potential local peak, signaling a possible moment to reduce exposure or take profits.
• BUY DATE - December 7, 2026 - Green Line: Another potential local low, suggesting a favorable time to enter long positions.
When working with this weekly timeframe, remember to evaluate these movements within the context of the broader market trend, considering higher timeframes for a more global perspective.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few days. All times are based on UTC-7 (Los Angeles).
Total Index Analysis by Mallicast Team:The Total index, which represents the overall liquidity in the cryptocurrency market, has a significant impact on Bitcoin's price, as a large portion of this liquidity is attributed to Bitcoin. Changes in this index can be very helpful in analyzing Bitcoin's price movements. The Mallicast analytical team, using available data and technical analysis, predicts that the Total index may soon undergo significant changes. As illustrated in the provided image, the anticipated trend could play a crucial role in determining Bitcoin's direction. Therefore, investors and traders should closely monitor changes in this index to make the best trading decisions.
MARKETS week ahead: September 1 – 7Last week in the news
The PCE data were the ones to shape investors confidence during the previous week. Data on inflation, personal income and personal spending showed some potential for both rate cuts, and also continuation of high corporate earnings. The US equity markets benefited the most from such market expectations, with S&P 500 surging by 1%, ending the week at 5.648 points. The US Dollar gained in strength during the week, however, the price of gold was not in a mood to follow the negative correlation, ending the month at the level of $2.503. Treasury yields are correcting in line with investors expectation, closing the week on a higher grounds of 3.9%. The crypto market was left aside during the week, with BTC dropping below the $60K.
The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index is one of the favorite Fed's inflation gauges, which is why the indicator is closely watched by market participants. Posted data are showing further drop of index in July to the level of 2.5%, y/y which was lower from forecasted 2.6%. The same was with core PCE data, where the indicator reached 2.6%, while the market was expecting to see a figure of 2.7% y/y. For the same period, personal spending was increased by 0.5% for the month, while personal income was higher by 0.3% on a monthly basis. Increased spending was something that caught the eye of both investors and analysts, who are now correcting their GDP growth expectations for the US for this year, but also expecting for corporate earnings to continue their uptrend also during the third quarter.
Last week, the news covered the topic of a potential further rate hike by the Bank of Japan. Although the majority of analysts are of the opinion that BoJ will not hike interest rates in October, there is some consensus that the year 2025 might certainly bring another increase of interest rates as inflation is picking up in Japan. This question represents a relevant topic considering that there is still a significant outstanding amount of carry trades, which ended up in the US equity and crypto markets.
Since recently there has been a huge discussion among market participants over the sale of Apple stocks held by Berkshire Hathaway, while the recent filings are showing that Warren Buffet is also selling shares of Bank of America. BoFA was the third largest stock in Berkshire's portfolio, but was gradually decreased. There is no further explanation from the company on such a move. Analysts are noting that Berkshire continues to stock cash, which currently is at a record high of $227 billion.
Since last week, Elon Musk's platform X has been officially suspended in Brazil. The Brazilian Court brought up such a decision after X failed to appoint the official court representative. The court case is investigating the involvement of the platform in spreading misinformation during the government of the former Brazilian President Bolsonaro.
As Cointelegraph is reporting, the selling pressure on BTC might continue through another settlement tranche of failed crypto exchanger Mt. Gox, which is due in September. As noted, Mt. Gox will distribute another 46.000 BTCs with current market value of $2.7B.
Crypto market cap
The optimism on the crypto markets was put on hold during the previous week. Markets were more focused on inflation data, through posted PCE, a Fed's favorite gauge. On the other hand were analysts and investors who perceived increased consumer spending in the US as a positive sign that Q3 corporate earnings might follow the path of previous quarters. Another information should not be overlooked, which is the expectation that another tranche of distribution of BTCs by failed crypto exchanger Mt. Gox might put additional pressure on BTC in September. This combination led to the week in red for the crypto market. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 9% on a weekly basis, erasing $195B from the market value. Almost all coins finished the week in red. Interestingly, daily trading volumes decreased compared to the week before, from $160B to $103B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $ 394B, which represents a 24% surge from the beginning of this year.
Almost all coins were traded lower during the previous week. In nominal terms, BTC lost the most from all other coins, losing $105.5B in value or 8.3%. ETH took the second place with a drop in value of $34.3B or 10.2%. BNB was another coin with a significant drop in market cap of $8.2B or 9.5%. Market favorite Solana was among significant weekly losers of $12B, which represents 16% for this coin. Drop of more than $ 1B includes coins like Polygon, which was down by 27.3%, Polkadot dropped by 16.4%, ADA was traded lower by 13.6%, DOGE dropped by 11.2%. Among higher weekly losers in relative terms were ZCash with a drop of 25.3%, Maker was down by almost 20%, OMG Network dropped by 21.6%. The majority of other coins lost somewhere between 10% and 20%.
In line with a drop in value, there have been movements when coins in circulation are in question. Filecoin added 0.3% of new coins to the market. Polkadot and Polygon increased the number of circulating coins by 0.2% w/w, while this week EOS added 0.4% more coins. Tether increased the number of circulating coins by 0.3% and also increased its market cap by this percentage.
Crypto futures market
In line with the spot market, the crypto futures were also traded lower. BTC futures ended the week lower by around 7.9% for all maturities. Futures maturing in December this year ended the week at the level of $60.890, while those maturing in December 2025 closed the week at $66.905. The futures dropped below $70K for one more time during the month.
Similar situation is also with ETH futures. Short term ones were traded lower by more than 9%, while the long term ones dropped by 8.9%. Futures maturing in December this year ended the week at the level of $2.577, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $2.773, for one more time below the $3K level.
Crypto Total Market Cap to Surge to $5.987T by 2029!Using the Elliott Wave theory, Fibonacci retracement, and the ABCD pattern, I’m projecting a significant rise in the total crypto market cap over the coming years, potentially reaching $5.987 trillion by 2029.
We are currently in the early stages of a new impulse wave (Wave 3) after completing a corrective phase (Wave 2). The first target (TP1) is set at $3.967T, supported by the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level. If the market reaches this target, a subsequent wave (Wave 5) could push the total market cap up to $9.983T, aligned with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension level.
The ABCD pattern further confirms these projections, reinforcing the potential for a strong upward movement.
While the market remains dynamic, this analysis provides a promising outlook for the long-term growth of the crypto space. Stay tuned and secure your positions! 🛡️📈
CRYPTO MARKET CRASH COMING THE WEEK OF SEPT. 9TH - 15TH.I believe there is a massive crash coming for the crypto markets during the week of September 9th through the 15th. Don’t ask how I came up with this prediction; it’s too complex to get into. I don’t know if the drop will be a massive red candle in a single day or if it will be a multi-day process to achieve these lows, but I’m predicting that the minimum price drop will be 33%, to 50% in most cryptos (less than two weeks away).
This may be the 'Black Swan' that we have been waiting for, and for some, this will be the scariest moment in crypto. For others, it will be the buying opportunity of a lifetime.
Key takeaways from this prediction:
- The overall crypto market will drop sometime between Sept. 9th through the 15th.
- Price drop will be between 33% and 50% in a 7 day timeframe.
- Drop may be quick, as in a single day, or it may be a process that takes the full week.
Keep some cash on the sidelines to purchase physical coins to add to your long-term crypto stack. This buying opportunity may last only hours, days or could extend to the full week; only time will tell.
Let the countdown begin. And yes, I know this is a bold prediction, but I wouldn’t be sharing it if I didn’t believe it was actually going to happen, and yes, I may be wrong.
Good luck!
Crypto TOTAL Market cap on the verge of a correctionThe crypto market just had a decent recovery from its latest crash on Black Monday. Now, it seems we can expect another low based on the market structure and technical analysis.
Historically, September has often been a red month for markets. What I expect is a quick flash in the market before it goes up to make new highs, starting the main bull market we've all been waiting for.
This correction to $1.5T will provide the liquidity and fuel for strong bullish momentum toward the main target of $6-7T in the TOTAL Crypto Market Cap IMO. DYOR
$TOTAL Trump Pump Gets Wiped Out By New Indictment The Trump Pump gets wiped out by the Democrats' relentless legal pursuit to take him out of the race with today's new indictment against him.
If Crypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap does not hold the .236 fib, we will revisit the 1.8T range. That would be another 10% down from here.
Next critical support would be 1.479T, which would be a 20% sell-off.
I very well see this being a possibility to have one last real shake-out before rate cuts September 18th.