Bullish days ahead?Can you read this chart differently? Share your opinions in the comments bellow, let’s start a discussion on what’s about to happen next.
TOTAL trade ideas
total Daily time frame review and analysisThe point of checking charts like total should be kept in mind that these charts should have an important point called decision point. In terms of RTM, this point is exactly the price and level where most of the market leaders have reached a point of view. Generally, it is to break a level or reverse the market
As you can see, in this chart dp is clearly defined and a level of the price has reached dp and orders have been transferred to mpl king and orders have been transferred from mpl king to inner fl by a pozz area and the price level is close to it, which is likely that the price It hits the surface very slowly and falls very slowly
Bitcoin Ethereum Crypto UpdateBitcoin has put in a nice reversal off support!
Its tapped this same support level twice & held.
Some BitcoinDominance is being observed.
Total losing 1.48T opens up 1.4T and retest of breakout areaNot financial advice.
As highlighted you can see the pump up where I have arrow.
And potential retest area of 1.4T area
Had 2 retest of 1.48 already and my guess is it'll eventually breakdown.
Area of interest is 1.4 followed by 1.15T and 1.2T
Always do your own research
#PIK
Patience is Key
And always #TLAW
Think Like A Whale
MARKETS week ahead: December 18 – 24Last week in the news
Both the FED and the ECB left the rates unchanged during the previous week. The US Treasury yields slipped further in expectation of rate cuts, while US equities finished another week in green. The USD lost some in value, while Gold gained on a weaker dollar. The crypto market eased during the previous week, where Bitcoin slipped toward $ 42K, from $45K week before.
The FOMC members left rates unchanged on December`s meeting. The rhetoric of Fed Chair Powell in after-the-meeting statement was finally aligned with the market, and estimation that there will be no more rate hikes. The Fed acknowledged that the inflation has eased, without a significant drop in employment. However, the FOMC estimate is that the inflation is still high, and that further effort is needed in order to bring it down to the targeted 2%. The economic activity in the US has slowed down substantially in Q4, so the Fed is expecting GDP growth rate to reach 2.5% in 2023, as a result of strong consumer demand. FOMC members are projecting that the inflation will clearly reach level of 2% in year 2026. Although Powell did not exclude possibility for further rate increases if necessary, the FOMC members continue to perceive Fed's funds rate at 4.6% at the end of 2024, and its further decline during the consecutive years. As per CME Group`s FedWatch tool, the market is currently pricing a 25 bps rate cut in March, with expectations for current Fed funds rate to be lower by around 150 bps by the end of year 2024.
The European Central Bank also held a policy meeting during the previous week, leaving the rates unchanged. Although their US colleagues are at least mentioning expectations of rate cuts in 2024, the ECB diverged from such a scenario, mentioning that the rates will stay sufficiently higher for as long as necessary. The most recent inflation reading in November for the Euro Zone, shows that the inflation has eased to the level of 2.4% on a yearly basis. Still, considering Europe’s dependence on energy, analysts are noting the possibility for prices to swiftly move to higher grounds. On the other side are economists, which are projecting first ECB`s rate cut in June 2024.
During the year 2022 Coinbase submitted a request to the Securities and Exchange Commission with a petition for the establishment of the crypto regulation. The SEC finally provided an answer to the petition noting that there is no need for such a course of action as “the existing securities regime appropriately governs crypto asset securities”.
The US Financial Stability Oversight Council met during the previous week, issuing a report on risks coming from the crypto assets. The same report was issued also as of the end of the previous year, while the latest report did not add almost anything new to last year`s topics. The risks that should be overseen and regulated continues to be the volatility of the crypto assets, a high amount of leverage, the cyber security and risks for investors and potentially financial markets.
Crypto market cap
The Fed has finally aligned with the market. Although Fed is still not excluding the option of further increase of interest rates, still, Powell noted that majority of FOMC members are perceiving rates at 4.6% as of the end of the next year. Such rhetoric stands in line with the market expectation on further easing of inflation and Fed`s cut of interest rates by 25 basis points in March 2024. Market reacted positively to Powell's speech, and brought US equities to higher grounds, while Treasury yields fell sharply on the news. Still, the crypto market reacted in a negative manner to news that the SEC does not have plans to introduce new regulation which will cover specifically crypto assets. Instead, SEC Chair Gensler is of the opinion that current regulation in the US is sufficient to cover all regulatory aspects of crypto currencies.
Total crypto market capitalization modestly dropped during the previous week by 2,4%, losing around $39B. On a positive side that daily trading volumes remained at higher level, moving around $94B on a daily basis, a bit lower from $121B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase since the beginning of this year currently stands at 107%, where it has added total $810B to the market cap.
A drop in total market capitalization during the previous week was mostly driven by major coins, BTC and ETH. Bitcoin dropped around 3.4%, losing $ 29B in market capitalization. ETH lagged a bit behind the BTC, with a drop in value of 4.6% or above $13B. XRP was also in a group of significant losers with a weekly drop of more than 9% or $3.5B. Other altcoins were mostly on a weekly losing side, except a few which managed to finish the week in green. Among higher losers on a weekly basis were, ZCash, Link and Bitcoin Cash which dropped by more than 10% each. Algorand and Maker decreased their value by more than 9%. Litecoin, Stellar and EOS were down by more than 7%. Among several coins which managed to gain during the previous week were OMG Network, with a gain around 10% in value, while Filecoin increased its market cap by almost 3.5% w/w.
There has been some increased activity with circulating coins, where Polygon managed to add 2.9% of new coins into circulation and was followed by LINK, which made an increase of 2.0%. Within a group of higher weekly gainers of coins are Uniswap, with an increase of 1.7% and Filecoin whose coins on the market surged by 0.8%. For several weeks Tether continues to build the number of coins on the market, increasing it by an additional 0.6% during the previous week.
Crypto futures market
After three weeks of strong push to the upside, crypto futures eased during the previous week, in line with developments on the spot market. However, it is important to note that long term ones are managing to hold at elevated levels, despite the modest drop.
BTC short term futures were traded more than 5% lower from the week before. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded down by 5.73% on a weekly basis, still ending the week at level of $42.450. Longer term futures dropped a bit less, around 4.5%, with December 2024 ending the week at price $46.500, which is 5.18% lower from the week before. March 2025 is still holding above the $47K level.
ETH short term futures dropped by more than 5%, while longer term once had a drop of more than 2%. December 2024 closed the week at $2.257, or 5.84% lower on a weekly basis. Futures maturing in December 2024 were down by 2.3%, closing the week at level of $2.433. March 2025 is still holding above $2.4K level, despite the drop of 2.26% w/w.
TOTAL MARKET CAP WITH TIMEtotal market cap with time for the corrections next and final biggest correction will be on february and end of bull market november 2025
TOTAL MARKET CAP MOVEMENT TOTAL MARKET CAP MOVEMENT
This is the movement pattern i have realised through out the crypto cycles journey
"Heading: Altcoins on Track for $5 Trillion Surge by 2025"Anticipating a Massive Altcoin Season: Exploring Potential Growth in Market Cap
Introduction:
The cryptocurrency market is abuzz with predictions of an impending altcoin season that could lead to a staggering $5 trillion Altcoin MarketCap by 2025. This forecast is grounded in historical data, fractal analysis, and chart patterns, suggesting a pattern reminiscent of previous market cycles.
Historical Context:
Examining the historical data reveals intriguing patterns:
After the all-time low (ATL), it took 762 days for the Total Market Cap to surpass its previous all-time high (ATH).
If history repeats itself, a new ATH could be reached approximately 761 days from today, potentially around December 2024.
The last bull run lasted about 1066 days, and the current one is expected to span between 1071 to 1064 days.
Fractal Analysis:
The fractal analysis unveils a compelling narrative:
In 2014–2015, the market experienced 610 days of consolidation.
2016-2017 witnessed a parabolic rise in Altcoin MarketCap, hitting Extension 3.168 at around $400 billion.
2018-2019 saw another 609 days of consolidation before a breakout.
Currently, in 2022-2023, the market has undergone 548 days of consolidation, hinting at an imminent breakout.
Future Projections:
Building upon the historical context and fractal analysis, the projection for 2024-2025 unfolds:
Anticipating that Altcoin MarketCap will experience a surge, reaching Extension 3.168, estimated at $5 trillion.
The expected timeframe for this extraordinary surge is set for the period of September to October 2025.
Conclusion:
Considering the historical patterns, fractal analysis, and projected timelines, the narrative paints a bullish outlook for altcoins in the long term. The predicted Altcoin MarketCap of $5 trillion by 2025 suggests significant potential for growth and underscores the importance of keeping a keen eye on market dynamics in the coming years. As the cryptocurrency landscape evolves, investors may find compelling opportunities in the altcoin space, marking the potential for a substantial shift in market dynamics.
TOTAL 1 Will Crypto Christmas come early?I was thinking to wait till tomorrow till I post this analysis so more people could see it but oh well, let us do it today cause you never know what happens.
I think this is one of the most important charts when following crypto markets. (cause it shows crypto markets money inflows and outflows).
Bitcoin has broken out already from this years highs week ago (I'll add picture down), BUT Total 1 marketcap hasn't made higher highs yet.
If and when this breaks I believe we will see surge on BTC and possibly on alts that will wake up the bull narrative again. (News etc)
Target is 1.49 Trillion so that would be 250 Billion inflows to crypto markets, that's 20% rise!
Better to be prepared than get caught with pants down
Two active trades going on DYDX and GOLD
-PalenTrade
MARKETS week ahead: December 11 – 17Last week in the news
The strong resilience of the US economy continues to support market optimism, after the latest posted US jobs data for November. The USD gained during the week as well as both US and EU equities. While Gold is trying to get back into correlation with USD, US Treasury yields continued with a decline. The crypto market continues to be supported by both the resilience of the US economy and the BTC ETF frenzy, with Bitcoin reaching new highs for this year, below $45K.
The US non-farm payrolls rose by 199K in November, modestly better from market forecast. At the same time, the unemployment rate fell down to 3.7%, from 3.9% posted for October. The job market continues to be resilient to macroeconomic developments. November figures came as a surprise to analysts, but eventually some of them call it a “relief” as it shows that despite strong rate increases during the past year, the US economy managed to sustain jobs and businesses.
The European Union is aiming to regulate AI technology and products like ChatGPT. There has been a lot of discussion during the previous months, related to data privacy on platforms like ChatGPT or biometric models. At the same time, Italy, France and Germany are opposing tight regulating rules, especially for foundation models, stressing the concern that it might impact their competitiveness with the Chinese and the US tech industry.
The Binance exchanger has withdrawn their license for the investment license in Abu Dhabi. The company has noted that such a move is not related to recent legal settlements with US regulators, but they find it “unnecessary for the company’s global needs”.
A global regulator of the financial industry, the Basel Committee, is looking at risks that stablecoins pose for financial security, aiming to bring up regulations which will decrease identified risks. This regulation should address bank`s exposures to the crypto industry and mitigate potential risks of defaults like recently Silvergate Bank and Silicon Valley Bank.
El Salvador, the first state that made Bitcoin a legal tender, is going further with its state experiment with crypto currencies. The recently started project called “Freedom VISA” aims to attract 1.000 people on a yearly basis, which will gain El Salvador long-term residency permit, based on a minimum $1 million investment worth of bitcoin or USDT stablecoin. The country is estimated to receive at least $1 billion of cash inflow every year through this program.
Crypto market cap
The positive mood on financial markets continued through December, promising a very happy forthcoming New Year holidays. The latest published jobs figures for November this year supported further market optimism over the resilience of the US economy. Both EU and US stock markets reacted in a positive manner, boosting also further the crypto market, which is in addition, still moving within a sentiment over its further adoption by the mainstream. Analysts and investors are currently moving away from the US Fed rhetoric and pricing their view on the course of the economy in the future period. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by significant $179B, with an increase of 12.6% on a weekly basis. Daily trading volumes have also significantly increased to the level of $121B on a daily basis, which is a further boost from $ 67B traded the week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase since the beginning of this year currently stands at 112%, where it has added a total $840B to the market cap.
Total crypto market significantly gained during the previous week, with the majority of coins finishing the week in green. In nominal terms, Bitcoin was once again star of the week, adding 13.8% to its market cap, or almost $105B. The second place belongs to Ether, with a surge in value of 12.6%, adding $ 32B to its market cap on a weekly basis. As a significant gainer should be mentioned Cardano (ADA) with a surge in value of $8.2B or 60.2%. This was a reflection of Cardano`s Robinhood listing in the EU. Solana was also in the spotlight of the market with a gain of $6.3B in market cap or more than 24%, which was supported by the successful network upgrade. DOGE gained $2.5B, increasing its cap by 21%, BNB also gained $ 2B which surged its value by 6%. Polkadot was also a $ 2B gainer of the week, adding more than 24% to its value. Majority of other altcoins gained significantly during the week, where especially should be mentioned Algorand, with an incredible surge in cap by 52.5%. There is still no official news what exactly was standing behind such a move.
Activity in circulating coins remains relatively high during the last couple of weeks. The highest changes during the week were with Tether, which added 0.9% of new tokens, Stellar increased the number of circulating coins by 0.4%, while Filecoin traditionally continued with a surge in coins on the market, adding 0.6% during the previous week. The only negative change was with Polkadot, which decreased its coins by 3.7% on a weekly basis.
Crypto futures market
In line with the spot market, the crypto futures market made its significant move during the previous week. This market is also providing some important inputs over the sentiment of investors on the crypto market.
BTC both short and long term futures were higher by more than 14% on a weekly basis. Futures maturing in December this year reached the last price of $45.030. At the same time those maturing in December 2024 reached the price of $49.040, which is the first time within the last year that those futures finished the week around the level close to $50K resistance. Still, it should be noted that prices of futures maturing in March 2025 reached $47.760, which is a bit lower from December 2024.
Similar situation was with ETH futures. Short term ones were traded higher by around 11% on average. December 2023 ended the week at a price of $2.397, while December 2024 was last traded at $2.490. It should be also noted that March 2025 ended the week at $2.525 indicating current investors positive sentiment regarding future ETH price.
Bearish divergence This is likely to break down around the 17 December a historical break day when everyone goes on Christmas holidays an takes profit to buy presents very likely the overheated crypto space will correct before the halving at some piont between now an the halving around April not a problem for long term investors but for the short term there is potential profit taking likely to line up with btc hitting 48k ,as someone who is bullish I cant see 50k in my minds eye this year
Total MCap- BULLISHWe are still looking looking bullish on the TMCap.
The ecosystem has been warmed up for the upcoming season.
Alts are waking up
Btc need some cooling ..
Crypto Total Market Capafter many weeks of up move crypto need a pull back there is a lot of untested LVL first major one comes around 1.154 this analysis gets invalid if total pushes above 1.33.
TOTAL MACRO ANALYSISTOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAP;
-Has exploded since it entered into Ichimoku Cloud.
-Typically, we see prices reach the opposite side of the cloud.
-That area also lines up with the yellow neckline as resistance.
-I think we pump the remainder of the year for the most part.
-Could see a sell-off after the end of the year.
-I would think dips on the new year are for buying before the BTC halving
Please follow me here for more crypto analysis and a safer way to read charts to minimize risk.
**This idea is not financial advice, its just my 2 cents.
Thanks for your time!
~Cosmicbag
I'm still a bear!I noticed that we have reached the resistance of the upper boundary of the downtrend. I expect that from the current high we will begin our journey to new lows.
Regards,
Eugene
35 percent more market push bitcoin going to hit 57000 minimum35 percent more market push bitcoin going to hit 57000 minimum
total 1 target my target for total , is 1.8-2.2 , i have confidence that 2022 yearly open will be achieved at 2.2T . anytime between dec and feb2024 this target will be achieved imo .
this is not a financial advice
please follow me : www.tradingview.com
i am sharing my ideas there
thank you
🚨 Bye Bye Crypto! .... AGAIN 🚨Here is a list of all the ridiculous nonsense narrative that the the "pros" and media pump:
First they say: “Nobody knows what will happen”
Followed by the clown talk:
"Buy the dip" 🤡 🤡 🤡
"LFG"
"Santa rally" 🤡 🤡 🤡
"The tortoise and the hare"
"V-bottom recovery"
"Focus on the long term"
"It’s priced in" 🤡 🤡 🤡
"Stay invested" 🤡 🤡 🤡
"Transitory inflation" 🤡 🤡 🤡
"Tesla is the future" 🤡 🤡
"Bitcoin is the future " 🤡 🤡 🤡
"Elon is a genius" 🤡 🤡 🤡
"The ruble is strong" 🤡 🤡 🤡
"China opening back up"
"AI"
"GameStop" 🤡 🤡 🤡
"A little macro / a little micro"
"Smart money buys bonds"
"Tom Brady"
"Matt Damon"
"A little earnings play"
"This is why it’s important to watch earnings" - TV verbatim.
are we in a retracement rally?my current thesis is that its a retracement rally... once we hit my target ill be a bear... if it smashes through to the upside all my thoughts are invalid and back to the drawing board...
Crypto Marketcap Ascending Triangle -MicroStrategy huge purchaseFacts:
In last 30 mays, 26 875 BTC was mined.
In same period, MicroStrategy has purchased 16 130 BTC.
Purchased amount equates to 60.0% of total Bitcoins mined in given time period.
Price action:
On above chart we can see that supply is drying up, hence higher lows.
Also, while expecting higher prices, nobody is willing to buy higher, resulting in same highs.
This combinations forms an ascending triangle, which is usually a bullish pattern.
Conclusion:
While smart money is buying big, dumb money is waiting for the dip to outsmart the smart money. Everyone wants the price to go higher without buying higher.
Eventually, when supply is exhausted, shorts will be liquidated, and dumb money will end up buying higher.
Trend is your friend, until the end. Only then he is your enemy.
