Charts are screaming BEARISHTOTAL marketcap appears to be exhibiting clear patterns and serving as a prime illustration of trading strategies based on lines and price action.
Based on my analysis, I have set a target of approximately 800 million USD for the market capitalization by the end of this year, anticipating a potential bull run in the following year.
If you happen to come across this prediction from the distant future and find it to be accurate, I invite you to share it.
TOTAL trade ideas
MARKETS week ahead: July 2 – 8Last week in the news
Both EU and US markets finished the week in green, mostly driven by stocks from the tech industry. June was an extremely good month for the S & P 500, considering that it managed to gain 6.5% during the month, and 15.9% since the beginning of this year. The crypto market was relatively flat during the week, although with good performance of altcoins. BTC is ending the week below FWB:31K , while Ether is holding above $1.9K.
Equity markets in the US continue to be supported by the tech industry. Nvidia is certainly one of currently most interesting companies for investors, however, the biggest news during the previous week was that Apple reached a market cap of $3 trillion, after its share price reached $190.73. Share price of Apple has increased around 49% since the start of this year.
Fidelity investment fund followed the steps of the BlackRock and filed with the SEC for their own BTC ETF. However, the Wall Street Journal reported that SEC returned filings from CBOE and Nasdaq for BTC ETF as being “inadequate” and not sufficiently clear. The major concern of SEC with a BTC ETF is its structure, which needs to be sufficient in order to prevent potential fraudulent and manipulative actions. Spokesman of the CBOE noted that they are planning to update filings and submit them once again. Bitcoin reacted to this news, by modest return to the levels below $30,5K, waiting for positive news in order to bring the price to the higher grounds.
The FED published the results of an annual stress test on banks. The aim of this stress test is to show how resilient are US banks to highly adverse stress scenarios. Stress test is conducted by 23 largest US banks, and included scenarios of unemployment rate surging to 10%, a 40% drop in prices of real estate and 38% decline in housing prices. As per results published by FED, banks were able to sustain a $541 billion in projected losses and still manage to sustain minimum required capital levels.
As CoinDesk is reporting, Kraken has been ordered by the court to provide account information to the IRS for all users which transacted more than $20.000 for the last calendar year. As it has been noted, the aim of these data would be for the IRS to check whether users have filed their taxes properly.
Bloomberg is reporting that Citigroup, one of the largest banks in the world, is in negotiations with Metaco and several other crypto custodians, in order to expand its business to the digital asset area. It is also interesting that Metaco was acquired by company Ripple, which has an ongoing lawsuit with SEC, over its offer of crypto tokens.
Problems for Binance continue, as the market regulator in Belgium ordered Binance to stop offering its services in this country. As it has been noted, the European financial markets regulator, FSMA, stressed that Binance is offering its services to EU clients from countries other than the European Economic Area, which is a violation of the local regulation.
Crypto market cap
It is still a game of nerves on the crypto market when dealing with regulators is in question. BlackRock was the first one to start another round of filing for spot BTC ETF. Several companies followed the move, among which were Fidelity fund, CBOE and Nasdaq. Based on news from the previous week, SEC rejected CBOE`s and Nasdaq`s filings as “inadequate”. The major issue for SEC continues to be the structure of the product which might allow potential fraudulent and manipulative actions. CBOE officials noted that they will update filings and start another round of the process for gaining the approval for BTC ETF product. Initial market positive sentiment is currently on hold, until it is finally resolved with the latest round of filings for the first spot BTC ETF. On the other side, the market is still waiting for the resolution of the Deutsche bank filing with German regulators for the license to conduct a custody service for digital assets, including crypto currencies. During the previous week total crypto market capitalization stayed almost flat, with a modest increase of 1% or FWB:14B on a weekly basis. Interestingly, daily trading volumes were further increased to the level of $94B on a daily basis, from $80B during the previous week and $60B from two weeks ago. This is positive signal that investors are back on the crypto market. Total crypto market capitalization increased since the beginning of this year by 53%, where it has been added total $402B to the market cap.
During the previous period, Bitcoin was a leader of the crypto market capitalization increase, however, during the previous week altcoins were the one in the spotlight of investors. BTC finished the week flat compared to the end of the previous week. But, the absolute gainer of the week was actually Bitcoin Cash, which gained an incredible 56% on a weekly basis, adding more than $2B to its market cap. ETH also finished the week in green, with an increase in cap of more than $4B or 1.8%, and was followed by Litecoin with a gain of $1.2B or 19% in the market cap. Binance Coin managed to recover some of previous losses, by increasing its value by 4.7% or $1.7B w/w. Few other coins with good weekly performance were Bitcoin Gold, with a surge of 18.8% in cap, Stellar was up by 18.6%, ZCash gained 19.5%, Uniswap was up by 16% and Maker returned to the crypto game with an surge in value by 24.2% on a weekly basis. There have been only a few losers during the week, like Algorand, with a drop in value of 7%, OMG Network was down by 13%, and XRP lost almost 3% in value. There has been increased activity when coins in circulation are in question. Stellar increased its circulating coins by 0.4%, Algorand gained a significant 1.8%, Filecoin was up by 0.2% same as Polkadot and Tether.
Crypto futures market
BTC futures gained significantly during the last few weeks, but the previous week was a sort of short-term halt, when both spot and futures markets were in question. BTC short term futures were down approximately 1.5% from the week before, while December 2023 is still holding above $31K. On the other side, futures with longer term maturity gained some 1.5%, which is positive for this coin. It shows that investors see some prospectus for BTC in the future period. Futures maturing in December 2024 were closed at price $32.930, which is 1.5% higher from previous week`s close at $32.425.
Situation with ETH futures is opposite to developments with BTC futures. Those maturing in July and August this year were up by 1.25% and 1.45% respectively, however, all other maturities were traded lower from the week before. Futures maturing in December this year were traded 0.78% lower, finishing the week at a price of $1.908. At the same time, futures maturing in December next year were closed at price $1.940 and 1.12% lower from the week before. Spread between futures maturing in July this year and December next year is almost zero, which shows that investors are still not sure about future prospectus for this coin.
Biased bears Cryptocurrencies chat FUD If you are not publishing ideas and follow-ups, your TA charts posted in chat are worthless... only good for 15 seconds and then forgotten.
Explain crypto-winter FUD and who's behind the black swans of Terra Luna and FTX's defrauding next-gen. Explain your vision on Web2 and CBDC data trafficking and state surveillance vs Web3's decentralized democratic freedom.
Make and lock your calls in published ideas.
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TOTAL MC $1.158T : its regression line post-FTX is lagging and still oversold in this dominating bullish trend. Price action pace is accelerating and will be parabolic soon.
Bitcoin is leading the way.
Web3 can't be stopped. The Genie is out of the bottle.
OMS
Crypto Market CapI believe in crypto and I think we are going to see a much bigger market cap in the near future, as history repeats itself, here is the chart showing the time needed to cross the previous ATH, if we measure the same timing then we might see a total market cap crossing the new ATH sometime around Nov 2024. Good Luck.
Bitcoin and altcoins long-termHi all,
last few days while bitcoin is sideways, some altcoins grew quite nicely, I was talking about such a scenario in my mid-term parsing on bitcoin
If you look at the capitalization of the crypto market as a whole and separately altcoins without BCT and ETH, you can predict, at least approximately, what awaits us until the end of the summer and the end of the year in the cryptocurrency market.
On the altcoins capitalization diagram, you can see that capitalization is in triangle consolidation, and we are in its lower part, at the moment we are in micro consolidation, and under the resistance of downtrend, in case of breakdown we will see the rise of altcoins market by 15-20% till spring values, in case of false breakdown most probably we will renew low, and altcoins will go down, and after that we should look at the market.
On the general capitalization chart, you can see that we are at resistance 1.15T and also that the general cap has formed a GIP pattern, if it works out, the market could potentially rise to 1.75-2-2.1T to the March-April 2022 level, with the bitcoin price potentially going back to the 37-45K value of that period.
Now we have to think about what terms should be for such growth of the crypto market, at the moment from what we know is possible approval of spot ETF of Black Rock and other U.S. investment funds, for example only Black Rock has $ 9 trillion in management, while the total portfolio of the largest funds is about 27 trillion, placing even 2-3% of the total portfolio in the crypto industry, will already give a huge stream of client money.
The SEC should make a final decision on ETFs no later than December 25, 2023.
It should also be taken into account that the Fed continues to tinker with the rate and it is expected at least one more rate hike to the level of 5.5 and possibly two rate hikes to the level of 5.75 until the end of the year. The market does not expect the start of rate cuts until the 1st or 2nd quarter of 2024 at the earliest.
Based on all of the above, I can assume that the main growth of the crypto market may occur in the fall of 2023, as the market will lay these events in the price in advance, trying to be ahead of the curve.
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Total Crypto Marketcap bullrun aheadIf history repeats itself, we should be creeping into a bull market for the Btc halving, as well as the actual utilization of crypto as opposed to speculation into crypto with previous bull runs. Full steam ahead, make sure your on board the train. Keep your eye on the prize. This is not financial advice nor am I a financial adviser lol, just what I see/hope is coming.
CRYPTO TOTAL CAP Expected Bottom Hello traders!
As we have already shown you, we expect a bottom of the crypto market in December 2023 around 530 billion.
This is not financial advice, but the result of our experience and expectations.
Good luck and stay safe and strong!
Kind regards,
Kristian Stoyanov
CEO Rolings Capital
🔥 Predicting The Next Crypto Bull-Cycle Top And DateIn this analysis I want to make a prediction on where the next bull-market will top, and around which date we can expect it to top. Keep in mind that I only use the last two cycles in this analysis, so take this analysis with a grain of salt.
To make the prediction, I use the total marketcap of crypto (TOTAL), which is the value of all Bitcoin and altcoins combined.
As seen on the chart, it appears that the crypto market is following a multi-year rising wedge pattern with a clear support and resistance line. My assumption is that this support and resistance line will guide us during the next cycle.
In the previous two bull-markets, the market topped 77 or 78 weeks after the halving. With the halving being the 16th of April 2024, we can easily extrapolate the date for the next market top: between 13 October (77 weeks) and 27 October (78 weeks) of 2025.
Now that we have the date, we can combine it with the top resistance of the rising wedge pattern. My best guess is that the market will top at this same resistance like before, which will be around the 12 trillion dollar mark. This would indicate that the market will roughly do a 11x from this point onwards towards the top in October 2025.
With a Bitcoin & ETH dominance of exactly the same value as now, it would mean that BTC will top at ~330,000 and ETH at ~20,900. My assumption will be that the dominances of the two biggest cryptos will be much smaller in the future then they are now.
Do you think this analysis is valid? Where and when do you think that BTC will top? Share your thoughts below 🙏
MARKETS week ahead: June 25 – July 1Last week in the news
The US equity market entered into a short reversal on Friday, after a strong push for the last two months. On the other side, the crypto market is back on its track, with more positive news coming from German largest bank, Deutsche bank. Bitcoin is back at $30K level, Ether is following the increased investors optimism, ending the week modestly below $1.9K.
Fed Chair Powell held a speech to a Senate banking panel on Wednesday, touching several currently important topics. He noted that the US economy still holds strong, however, inflation pressures are persistent, in which sense, it could be expected that further rate hikes will occur by the end of the year. He perceives the jobs market still as tight, with some signals that the conditions are loosening. Still, in order to get inflation at a targeted 2%, the US economy would need to slow down, as per his comments. One of the questions imposed by the Senate members was related to de-dollarisation currently occurring in some parts of the world, to which Powell answered that US dollar as a reserve currency is very important to the FED, and he believes that US dollar would remain a world reserve currency also in the future period. One of the important questions for the crypto community was FED`s standing on the crypto currencies, with focus on stablecoins. Powell noted that the FED perceives stablecoins as a form of money and that the US should not allow private money creation.
Mainstream companies are not ready to give up on Bitcoin. Considering the latest developments, they acted like “white knights” for the crypto industry. Two weeks ago, the crypto market stopped its downtrend after it was announced that BlackRock, a largest US asset manager, filed with SEC for its first BTC based ETF. During the previous week Deutsche bank, the largest bank in Germany, announced that the bank had applied to gain a license from local regulators to manage a custody service for digital assets, including crypto currencies. With this move, Deutsche bank is strategically moving toward building up its digital assets and custody business. Markets were more than thrilled with such positive news, and Bitcoin price ended the week swiftly reaching the level of $30K.
At the State of Crypto Summit held in New York last week, a head of strategic partnership in BlackRock, Joseph Chalom, noted the importance of counterparty identification as a critical point in order for large institutions to involve in decentralized finance, or DeFi. Crypto analysts are now discussing potential BlackRock involvement in setting the mainstream for regulation of the crypto industry, considering the size of a company as well as its recent involvement into BTC ETF`s.
News is reporting that one of the largest investment banks in the US, JPMorgan, is bringing its settlement of JPM Coin to the next level with expanding it to euro-denominated payments. With over $300 billion in conducted transactions over the last four years, the JPMorgan institutional clients will now be able to make settlements also in euros using the same blockchain technology.
Crypto market cap
It seems like a new dawn emerged on the crypto market, however, not for all coins. Last few weeks were quite critical, considering moves from the US SEC, aimed to get crypto companies to align with regulation, jeopardizing the whole crypto ecosystem. However, on a positive side was a comment from SEC Chair Gary Gansler, that not all coins on the market fall under securities, mentioning that there are only few which fall under the term of real crypto currencies, without mentioning which coins are in question. From two weeks ago, the market started to get a glimpse of what he meant with his statement, when the largest asset manager in the US, BlackRock, filed with the SEC for its first BTC exchange traded fund. During the previous week, the crypto market regained confidence when the largest German bank and important player on the world scene, Deutsche bank, applied with the German regulator for the license to conduct a custody service for digital assets, including crypto currencies. This news pushed the crypto market to the upside, gaining on the weekly level total $108B in market capitalization, increasing its cap by 10%. Daily trading volumes were increased to the level of $80B on a daily basis, from $60B traded the week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase since the beginning of this year jumped to 51%, where it has added a total $388B to the market cap.
Total crypto market capitalization gained $108B during the previous week, still, almost 90% of this amount belongs to Bitcoin and Ether. BTC was the winner of the week, by increasing its cap by $80B or 15.6%. Ether followed the up-path with a gain of $19B or almost 9% during the week. Other coins gained significantly but in relative terms. Bitcoin Cash was also in the spotlight of investors, as it managed to gain $1.5B or even 74% w/w, and was a winner of the week when it comes to percentage increase in value. Some other significant gainers were Ethereum Classic, with an increase in the market cap of almost 19%, OMG Network was up by a significant 37%, Litecoin, Link, NEO and Monero were up by more than 14% w/w. Binance Coin was in the group of rare losers of the week, as its value dropped by 4.2%, losing $1.6B in market cap.
Surprisingly, Tether lost 0.4% of its coins in circulation, decreasing its market cap by this amount. Major changes in circulating coins relates to XRP, which gained 0.5% in circulating coins, while Polkadot`s and Filecoin`s coins were up by 0.3%
Crypto futures market
The optimism from the spot market was reflected also on the crypto futures market, however, not with equal expectations for BTC and ETH. Based on the long term price moves for ETH, it seems that investors are still reluctant to be more optimistic on the future prices of this coin. During the previous week, ETH short term futures were up by around 14% on average with futures maturing in December this year ending the week at level of $1.923. Longer term futures were up by more than 13%, where last trade for December 2024 futures was at price $1.962. Expectations of investors are mixed, but evidently, there is no strength to push longer term prices to the higher levels. The price difference between futures maturing in June this year and those maturing in December 2024 is only 39 points.
As for BTC futures, the situation is a bit different. Short term futures were traded higher by more than 18% compared to the week before, with futures maturing in December this year ending the week at level of $31.185. Long term futures were traded more than 20% higher on the weekly basis, with December 2024 ending the week at level of $32.425. The market continues to make a significant difference on the price expectations between BTC and ETH.
Total Crypto Market Bullish AF!This chart looks extremely BULLISH. Im expecting the Total Crypto Market to move up pretty significantly if the weekly closes tonight above 1.10T. If this happens i expect a push to the 1.4-1.5T market cap. Some alts will see close to a 40% gain from this move. Its time to pay attention!!!
TOTALMARKETCAP :CRYPTOHi Guys Hope you well.
As it was said, the downtrend channel was broken and made a significant growth. Now I am waiting to reach the daily supply area, after which we can move towards the trend again. Just note that due to the dominance of Bitcoin, the status of other altcoins is different from Bitcoin.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰25/JUNE/23
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research .
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below.and I will answer them.
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THIS BREAKOUT WILL CONFIRM THE BEGINNING OF BULL MARKET!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this Total Market Cap update. Looks very interesting.
As you see in the chart, Total M.cap is verge on the breakout in the weekly time frame. Forming a descending triangle in the weekly time frame. If it gives a clear breakout this week, then this will be the confirmation of the beginning of a bull market. Or if we get a rejection from here then we see some correction in the market.
As of now, wait for a confirmed breakout, and meanwhile, just do quick scalps.
What do you think about this?
Do you also think that the bull market will begin from here or do you think that we see another big drop before the bull run?
Share your views in the comment section.
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Thank You!
CRYPTO TOTAL CAP - Printing right shoulderHello traders.
In my opinion CRYPTO TOTAL MARKET CAP printing the right shoulder of "Head and shoulders" pattern. We're expecting to be fully print by the mid of July.
So, it's possible to see down trend after that.
Be safe and be ready.
Good luck!
Not financial advice!
📈 Everything Crypto Is Crashing, We Continue 100% BullishEverything is crashing now as it is obvious yet the TOTAL Cryptocurrency market capitalization stays above 1T.
It is also currently trading higher compared to March's low.
Here we can spot the same 4 Steps Pattern we looked at on several Altcoins.
#1 Is the initial bullish breakout.
#2 & #3 Is the first low followed by a higher low.
#4 Will be the next bullish wave.
We continue on track.
Weak hands are being removed.
The market is under attack... But Bitcoin will survive!
Cryptocurrency is here to stay!
Namaste.
Total CryptoThe crypto expedition is already tired after crossing the mountain peaks, it has been on the road for 800 days.
Chief Sherpa Bitcoin had already instructed to descend into the lowlands.
It was a difficult expedition, it enriched many members , but unfortunately a lot of members did not use any security on the way out, fell and died.
Not the financial board.
Just for fun.