TOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAP is back-testing the cup & handle patternIt's no mystery that the crypto market has been getting hit pretty hard since mid-December. However, the total market cap—which had previously broken out of a nice cup-and-handle pattern—is now backtesting the rim line and looks to be setting up for what could be an incredible move upward over the next 6 to 9 months, with the potential for a double within that timeframe.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
TOTAL trade ideas
This chart shows the total cryptocurrency market capitalization,
The current value is around $2.271 trillion, which represents a significant drop of 12.51% from the recent peak.
50-MA (moving average): The red line represents the 50-week moving average, which is currently around $2.59 trillion. It acts as a short-term trend indicator and potential support level.
200-MA: The green line represents the 200-week moving average, which is around $1.73 trillion, which indicates a long-term trend and strong support level.
The horizontal green lines represent support levels around $2.4 trillion and $2.6 trillion. These levels are important for a potential bullish reversal if retested.
The dotted line above the price represents resistance levels near historical highs.
The recent decline suggests the market may be in a bearish trend after failing to break the resistance levels.
If the price is above the 50-MA, it could signal a reversal towards the resistance zones and a potential recovery. However, a break below the 50-MA could signal further decline. Keep an eye on the key levels around $2.4 trillion (support) and $2.6 trillion (resistance).
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DYOR. NFA
CRYPTO market recovery?The crypto market finding support at $2.76T is a strong bullish signal, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to defend this level. If this support holds, we could see renewed momentum, potentially leading to a 7% increase and more, bringing the total market cap toward $3.01T. A break above TRENDLINE at $3.03T will take market further +20% up to $3.6T
Key factors to watch:
Volume confirmation: Strong buying volume at $2.76T reinforces support.
Macroeconomic conditions: Favorable market sentiment and institutional inflows could drive growth.
Bitcoin’s role: BTC’s movement around key resistance levels will influence broader market sentiment.
If support breaks, expect a potential retest of lower levels before any recovery.
MARKETS week ahead: March 2 – 8Last week in the news
Markets continue to be in an uncertain mood, impacted by geopolitics, trade tariffs, inflation and interest rate levels. A major correction occurred during the previous week, where the majority of financial assets ended the week with a stronger weekly loss. The US equity markets finished the week in red, with S&P 500 losing 1,4% since the beginning of February, ending the month at the level of 5.954. Funds from equity markets fled toward the US Treasury bonds, where the 10Y US benchmark reached the 4,2% level. Although the US Dollar modestly gained in strength, still, the price of gold entered into a major short term correction, reaching the level of $2.856. As BTC is now part of the mainstream, a major break toward the downside occurred on the same grounds as with other financial assets. BTC shortly touched the $78K, but ended the week around the $85K resistance line.
The major macro data for the US released during the previous week was the PCE data for January, however, were left in a shadow of geopolitical developments. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge came with no significant surprises from market expectations. The PCE was increased by 0,3% in January, leading to yearly increase of 2,5%. The core PCE was also at the level of 0,3% for the month. The personal income was higher by 0,9% for the month and personal expenditures decreased by -0,2% in January, compared to the previous month. These figures were in line with market expectation, in which sense, there has not been much market movements on the release of data. However, the stronger impact came from geopolitics.
Recently the word “tariffs” became the spookiest word on financial markets. Although it is still unclear whether the US Administration will indeed introduce trade tariffs toward Canada, Mexico, China and Europe, markets are strongly reacting to any news related to this topic. During the previous week, Reuters published the news. Officials from Mexico proposed to introduce a 10% import tariffs on goods from China in order to match the US tariffs. At the same time, the US President noted that he might double current tariffs to China, which means a total of 20% tariffs on imported goods from China.
The Intel company was in the spotlight of the market during the previous year, when the company missed the opportunity to catch up with the increasing AI demand, causing its shares to suffer almost 60% loss in value. Since then the company is trying to correct the past mistake, with plans to open a chip manufacturing facility in Ohio. However, the latest news is showing a potential delay in construction, so that a $100 billion complex would most probably start operating in 2030.
Amid pre-election promises, the US President Donald Trump will host the first crypto roundtable at the White House on March 7th. As noted in the White House release, “attendees will include prominent founders, CEOs and investors from the crypto industry, as well as members of the President's Working Group on digital Assets”.
Crypto market cap
A major break toward the downside occurred during the previous week. Although, charts look painful with such a significant drop, still, for the crypto market historically it represents necessary consolidation for the future move toward the upside. These situations occur several times in the past, and will most certainly, occur also in the future period. The most important is that the crypto market managed to become part of mainstream markets, which was the historical win for the crypto market. However, it also means that the crypto market will react to any news which affects the traditional mainstream markets. This is exactly what happened during the previous week, where the total crypto market capitalization decreased by additional 12% on a weekly basis, erasing a total $370B from its market cap. Daily trading volumes also decreased to the level of $144B on a daily basis, from $239B traded a week before. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -14%, with $450B outflow of funds.
During the previous week the majority of crypto coins lost in value, only a few managed to finish the week in green. BTCs value significantly dropped during the week, where the largest crypto coin lost over $216B in value, decreasing its market cap by 11,3%. For BTC, this represents a significant correction. ETH was also in the red group, with a loss of $ 68B or even 20,5% w/w, which is also a significant correction for this coin. Among market favourites, Solana dropped its market cap by almost $ 13B or 15,3%, BNB was down by $ 9B or 9,3%, DOGE lost more than $ 6B in value or 16,8% and XRP was down by 13% losing $19,7B in value of its market cap. At the same time, two coins which actually managed to post a significant increase in value were ZCash with an weekly increase in value of 10,6% and Maker who managed to add almost 8% to its value.
There has also been an increased development when coins in circulation are in question. In this sense, Solana had a weekly increase of 3,9% of new coins on the market. Filecoin continues to increase its circulating coins each week, adding this time 0,6% of new coins.
Crypto futures market
In line with the spot market developments, the crypto futures market also experienced some major correction during the previous week. Both BTC and ETH futures were traded significantly lower compared to the week before.
BTC futures ended the week above 11% lower for all maturities. There has also been some significant correction for longer term futures, which all dropped below the $100K target. In this sense, futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $90.650, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $98.695.
Similar situation was with ETH futures who ended the week by more than 15% lower, dropping below the $3K target for longer maturities. ETH futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $2.374, and those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $2.540.
Big big warning sign for the crypto market- complimentary analysis to my last one:
- it is unusual for ATH breaks in crypto to get re-tested, let alone violated, forming a deviation
- this, so far, looks like a macro deviation/failed breakout and, pending weekly close, the most logical downside target would be erasing the entire Trump rally and taking liquidity below
- a move of that magnitude on TOTAL would likely mean Bitcoin is headed to 70k while ETH could go as low as 1200
Is Bitcoin dying?Is Bitcoin dying? Speculations are rising, but the future of crypto is always full of surprises. 🌐💰
Media Commentary on Trump's Connection to Bitcoin
Trump, who was the main reason for the increase in the value of Bitcoin, has now become the main reason for its fall; last month Bitcoin was $108,000 and now it has fallen to $86,000.
According to the chart, Bitcoin fell to a three-month low as concerns about Trump's tariffs undermined investor confidence. Concerns over U.S. tariffs after the theft of £1.2 billion worth of crypto from the Dubai Exchange last week further undermined investor confidence. The price of Bitcoin fell to $86,000, which was far from its peak last month, which was close to $110,000 on the same day that Donald Trump took office. His victory in the US presidential election boosted Bitcoin after he promised to make the United States the "crypto capital of the earth". However, the value of this popular cryptocurrency has fallen recently as investors anxiously watched Trump's plans to impose tariffs on their trading partners. Fears of a restart of trade wars have pushed investors away from risk assets – of which Bitcoin is among the most delicate. The main decline of European and Asian stock indices has not yet begun, and Bitcoin's decline is still early in the way.
However, at the time of the US elections, I noted that this move of Bitcoin bulls has nothing to do with Trump, and this move can be very deadly for Bitcoin, and this promise is being fulfilled.
But
what is the main reason for these events?
What is the purpose of BTC whales?
Bitcoin is facing significant challenges. The question remains: is this the end, or just another phase of evolution for the cryptocurrency networks?
Despite the recent challenges and fluctuations, declaring 'Bitcoin is dying' overlooks its resilience and the broader adoption of blockchain technology. Innovation often faces skepticism, but time will tell its true impact.
Incoming $1trillion dollar correction for crypto people... ** weeks ahead **
Is the market top in? This next move in the market will certainly convince the crypto folks that it is.
According to social media, Youtube influencers etc.. the bull run is just beginning.
That is in despite of a swathe of News article headlines “Bitcoin reaches new all time high $100k” and the janitor I have not spoken to in 10 years asking me if I'm buying Bitcoin.
The signs are there.
On the above 6 day chart, the TOTAL crypto market capitalisation, currently 3.57 trillion dollars price action has risen 46% since the November breakout. A number of reasons now exist for a bearish outlook:
1) Price action and RSI support breakdowns. Indeed the November breakouts requires confirmation of support on past resistance to allow for continuation. That's a long way down.
2) Support is exactly $1 trillion below at $2.57 trillion.
3) Price action is at a significant Fibonacci extension, look left.
4) This signal is found across the entire crypto market on both 6 day and weekly charts, in other words there is confluence across timeframes. That is important.
Is it possible speculators keep throwing good money after bad in the hope price go up? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Bulls make money.
Bears make money.
Pigs get slaughtered.
TOTAL3 - Hanging man
OTHERS total - Hanging man
TOTAL is bearish (1D)The TOTAL structure is bearish. After breaking the previous high, there was no pullback to the previous high, meaning that buy order collection for the continuation of the trend has not occurred.
We are waiting for this index to reach the designated line.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
Market Analysis for TOTAL Crypto Market Cap - Weekly Timeframe
Welcome! The current trend for the TOTAL Crypto Market Cap on the weekly timeframe is bearish, as indicated by our trading system:
MLR Crosses SMA: The Moving Regression Line (MLR) in blue is below the Simple Moving Average (SMA) in pink, signaling a bearish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center Line: Both the MLR and SMA are below the Bollinger Bands Center Line (orange), further confirming bearish momentum.
PSAR Flips: The Parabolic SAR (PSAR), indicated by black dots, is above the price, indicating a bearish trend.
Price vs. SMA 200: The price is above the 200-period Moving Average (red), indicating a long-term bullish trend despite the short-term bearish signals.
Current Strategy: Due to the bearish short-term signals (MLR below SMA, MLR and SMA below BB Center, PSAR above price), a long entry is not advisable at this time, despite the long-term bullish indication from the price being above the 200-period SMA.
Consider monitoring: Watch for a potential reversal where the MLR crosses above the SMA, the BB Center Line, and the PSAR flips below the price, aligning with the long-term bullish trend.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential long entry signals.
That is it !
Thank you !
TOTAL ROADMAP (1D)By analyzing the TOTAL chart, it can be expected that the crypto market still has room to move downward. Of course, there will be fluctuations along the way, but at least TP 1 is likely to be hit.
For a trend reversal, the lower green zone is a highly significant area.
Let’s see what happens.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
TOTAL - What to Watch for This Week Here is an update to our last post (highly recommend reviewing as market structure how played out very well with these levels).
Just to review. Total marketcap was able to bounce from our green line. Then once we hit resistance again, we broke the green line and fell down to our yellow line ($3 Trillion level).
We were supported there until we ended up double topping (in the short term) around $3.24T. Yesterday, Total printed a daily doji to reverse the market and send it back down. Now we have seen over $200 Billion erased from total since that daily doji.
Now let's take a look on where we are at and see what's next. To be honest we printed a terrible daily candle. We closed at the lowest level since mid November 2024.
This means you need to pay attention to two levels. We closed today at $2.92T. Since we closed below our upper levels could act as new resistance. The first level would be our psychological $3T level and the second level is our purple line (where most daily candles closed) around $3.06-$3.08T. If we can start closing daily candles back above $3.1T then the short term momentum have flipped back bullish.
Worst case scenario, if those levels above are acting as resistance we could see a drop as low as $2.7T. This would be flipping our market high in March of 2024 that acted as a top into a new level of support to try to bounce from.
Is Crypto a Bad Girlfriend?Is Crypto a Bad Girlfriend?
Ask yourself this: Is your relationship with crypto toxic?
Lately, it feels that way:
🚩 Rugpulls every day—Libra, TRUMP, MELANIA, PENGU, PNUT... the list goes on.
💸 Staking inflation spiraling out of control in PoS projects.
🎭 Narratives changing every 6 months to make you spend more.
📉 Most altcoins down 50%+ in 2024, making the USD look like a safe haven.
🔓 Hacks everywhere, with millions stolen daily.
Just in my circle, friends are getting hacked weekly, calling me for help. It’s out of control!
Now, the biggest heist of all time on Bitget?!!
💰 $1.4B gone in seconds—probably straight to North Korea.
Meanwhile, traditional finance (TradFi) and banks are having crisis meetings today, figuring out how to avoid being the next headline.
Is Crypto Worth the Risk?
Gold can’t be hacked.
NASDAQ has never been hacked.
Why invest millions in something intangible and so vulnerable?
Today, $160B vanished from the crypto market cap (-5%)—and it’s just the beginning.
Do you really believe governments will store national reserves in crypto?
Who will control the keys?
How will they prevent hacks?
If Bitget can lose $1.4B, how can you trust anyone to manage national reserves?
Imagine This:
Stealing 14,000 tons of gold from Fort Knox? Nearly impossible without being noticed.
Stealing $1.4B in crypto? Done in a second.
Crypto is becoming a liability.
💔 She lies to you about her tokenomics.
📉 She wrecks your leverage and drains your money.
🛑 She tries to hack your wallet every chance she gets.
So why are you still with this girl?
Meanwhile, Wall Street keeps printing money for investors—without the chaos.
Investors are fed up.
🚨 Crypto is heading for its dot-com crash. Get ready for the dump.
Strategic Dollar-Cost Averaging - Long/Medium Term Valuation #1This valuation indicator moving to a negative state on the 2-day timeframe potentially indicates an oversold condition or a high-value entry point in the crypto market.
It could imply that traders might see this as an attractive opportunity to accumulate positions, anticipating a potential rebound or reversal, especially if supported by other bullish signals.
However, given the overall upward trajectory visible in the chart, this short-term oversold signal might also represent a temporary dip or consolidation phase within the long-term bullish trend.
TOTAL Crypto Long-Term Trend Probability #2This indicator shifting to a bearish outlook on the 2-day timeframe potentially points to a temporary downturn or risk-averse sentiment in the crypto market.
It could imply that traders might consider taking a defensive stance, possibly exiting positions or hedging, especially if supported by other confirming signals like declining volume or weakening price action.
However, given the overall upward trajectory evident in the chart, this short-term bearish signal might simply indicate a minor correction or consolidation phase rather than a reversal of the long-term bullish trend.
TOTAL Crypto Long-Term Trend Probability #1This indicator transitioning to a bearish stance on the 2-day timeframe potentially signals a temporary pullback or risk-off sentiment in the crypto market.
It could imply that investors might adopt a cautious approach, possibly locking in profits or reducing exposure, especially if other confirming strategies/indicators align with this shift.
Given the long-term upward trajectory visible in the chart, this short-term bearish signal might represent a minor correction or consolidation phase rather than a reversal of the broader bullish trend.