Altcoin market capitalization is rebounding from critical ascend
This support held again - as in autumn 2023 and summer 2024🧐
Positive factors include the China tariff pause and upcoming interest rate cuts👨💻
Everything looks promising✈️
TOTAL2 trade ideas
total2 altcoins #Altcoins need to bounce off current zone for a #Altcoins need to bounce off current zone for a full reversal!
countdown to recovery
The Hidden Correlation Between Dollar Strength and crypto marketHello Traders 🐺
Maybe you’ve asked yourself this question: Why is it so hard to figure out exactly when the financial markets are about to pump or crash?
And how can I predict and prepare before it actually happens?
Because usually, people realize we’re in a bull or bear market when it’s already too late — when we’re halfway through the move. And as you probably know, the biggest opportunities always happen at the bottom, like now — when everyone is bearish, scared of recession, or talking about trade wars (which in my opinion is just a distraction).
If you know even a little about economics, you’d realize that most policies are made to strengthen markets — not to destroy them.
So why did we experience things like recessions or events like Black Monday?
The answer is simple: Recession is a normal and even healthy part of any economy. It resets prices, clears bubbles, and restores balance. Imagine a world where prices just keep going up forever... at some point, your purchasing power disappears. Inflation, in moderation, is part of a healthy economy — but when it turns into hyperinflation, it becomes a silent thief.
📊 But Why Am I Saying All This?
Because today, we’re going to look at the correlation between the DXY (Dollar Index) and TOTAL2 (Crypto Total Market Cap excluding BTC).
You might be wondering:
Why TOTAL2? Why not just talk about BTC?
If you’ve been following my ideas, you know I’ve been calling for an upcoming Altcoin Season.
Right now, we’re in the BTC phase. BTC is doing its thing — and everyone knows it’s likely to go higher. There’s no need to overhype the obvious.
But the real story is: while BTC is dominating, altcoins are bleeding — most of them are sitting at their ATL levels against BTC. That’s where the real opportunity is.
💵 Why the DXY?
If you read my previous DXY idea, you already know that deflationary assets like BTC and GOLD move inversely to the Dollar.
Every time we enter a QT cycle (a.k.a. Dollar Season), we see liquidity being drained, inflation being fought off, and markets getting crushed.
But here’s the alpha:
Every time the DXY crashes → crypto explodes.
Especially altcoins — because they are inherently riskier than BTC and react more aggressively to new liquidity entering the system.
Let me break it down 👇
DXY crash in 2020 → Altseason
DXY rise in may 2021 → Major crypto crash
Now → DXY breaking below a critical support line... 👀
If this breakdown holds and the Fed confirms the shift to a QE-friendly policy, we’re likely heading toward another massive crypto bull market.
Also — if you zoom in, there’s a clear bull flag forming on TOTAL2.
If DXY shows more weakness and Fed starts cutting rates, this flag might explode to the upside.
I hope you enjoyed this idea and as always, never forget our golden rule:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable — but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺KIU_COIN🐺
Altcoin Market Cap at Critical Resistance
The total altcoin market cap (excluding BTC) is trading at a key structural resistance zone. While a breakout here could trigger a fresh wave of altcoin momentum, current price action remains capped below the region — suggesting caution and potential for continued consolidation.
Key Points:
- The market is pressing into a resistance cluster that includes historical supply and volume-backed levels. Until broken with strength, this area acts as a ceiling.
- Volume remains below average, signaling a lack of commitment from market participants and increasing the probability of ongoing range-bound behavior.
- A rejection here could lead to a move toward the range low, temporarily delaying the broader altcoin breakout many are watching for.
Conclusion:
We are not trying to predict price direction, but rather observe the conditions for an altcoin breakout. As long as this resistance holds and volume remains suppressed, the most likely outcome is continued consolidation — with a breakout or breakdown defining the next major move.
TOTAL2 / BTC - Majority of Alts Look BearishDon't shoot the messenger, but the MAJORITY of your Alts need to NUKE ~25% before Alt Season 🫨
This lines up with prior cycle support before Alt Season blastoff.
First step is to reclaim the EMA9, which they have failed to against BTC.
The lack of buying Volume supports this thesis for the trend to continue downwards.
TOTAL 2Total Altcoins Market Cap is at resistance level at $966B and descending channel upper boindary. A breakout from here could signal a strong shift in momentum
TOTAL2 - Down Channel Breakout An example of a strong move out of the current down channel on TOTAL2
This breakout could continue to a position of strong resistance which i have labelled with the horizontal line
Good time to buy alt coins
2Hr chart
Price at Bullish Curve TOTAL2Price is touching and wanting to break out of this bullish curve it is touching
Very bullish situation for BTC and altcoins along this trend line
Daily chart
Alts/BTC cap vs global net liquidity indexChart shows Alts/BTC cap vs global net liquidity index, where we can see possible BOS on index, that could mean alts are bottomed out.
TOTAL2 - Support CurveA curved support line on the 4H chart for TOTAL2
I suspect this to HODL and price to rise on the right side of the larger overarching pattern
The dashed green line is a strong horizontal support
4HR chart
total 2 potential monthly double bottomtotal 2 double potential monthly double bottom, which align with the fed interest rate cycle, similar to 2018-2021. bottom around end of 2025, then big rallies coming into 2026
Does this chart provide the hint to time HTF altcoin uptrends?SFP = HTF HL = altcoin uptrend? = investing in altcoins +EV as this charts hints at more money being put into the market soon (as TA suggests a HTF HL is likely?)?
TOTAL2 Weekly Chart – Is Wave (5) Incoming?Join our community and start your crypto journey today for:
In-depth market analysis
Accurate trade setups
Early access to trending altcoins
Life-changing profit potential
Let's analyse the Altcoin market cap (excluding BTC):
The TOTAL2 is showing a textbook Elliott Wave structure, and we might just be at the most exciting juncture yet — the potential beginning of Wave (5).
Elliott Wave Count:
Wave (1): The 2017 altseason explosion.
Wave (2): 2018–2019 crypto winter correction.
Wave (3): Massive 2020–2021 altcoin supercycle.
Wave (4): Prolonged sideways-to-down correction (2022–2025).
Now, price has pulled back to the channel support and appears to be respecting both the lower trendline and the 200-week MA, indicating that Wave (4) may be complete.
Technical Confluence:
Price respecting the long-term ascending channel.
Retested and holding the 200-week moving average.
Support from mid-2022 and mid-2023 ranges is still intact.
Potential higher low formation, typical for Wave (4) setups.
What to Expect if Wave (5) Begins:
Wave (5) could take TOTAL2 towards the upper boundary of the channel, potentially targeting the $6–6.5T region.
Historically, Wave (5) tends to be impulsive but less aggressive than Wave (3), offering strategic mid-to-long-term opportunities.
A breakdown below the trendline + 200-week MA would invalidate this scenario and signal a deeper downside.
Watch for confirmation with volume and weekly candle closes above recent swing highs.
Conclusion:
Altcoins are showing early signs of strength after a multi-year correction phase. If this Elliott structure holds, we could be entering the final macro bullish wave — one that historically has rewarded patient positioning.
If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see.
Happy Trading!!
Crypto Market Cap: Short-Term Pullback Before Major RecoveryTechnical Analysis
The chart illustrates a well-defined ascending channel for the total crypto market cap (excluding BTC), currently experiencing a downward retracement. The price action suggests a probable dip towards the lower boundary of the channel around the $969 billion support zone before rebounding significantly. This level aligns with previous price reactions and serves as a strong demand zone, making it a potential bottom before the market resumes its uptrend.
Fundamental Analysis
Liquidity Flow & Market Sentiment
The broader market has seen increasing stablecoin dominance (such as USDT’s market cap exceeding $130 billion), indicating risk-off behavior as investors move to safety. This suggests a short-term sell-off in altcoins before a reinvestment phase.
Institutional inflows into ETFs (like Ethereum and broader crypto ETFs) will likely drive the next bullish wave, but the current correction reflects temporary uncertainty.
Macroeconomic Factors
Interest Rate Policies: If the Federal Reserve signals rate cuts in mid-2025, risk assets (including crypto) will likely benefit from increased liquidity.
Regulatory Clarity: The market is awaiting key regulatory developments, especially in the U.S. and EU, which could influence capital inflows into crypto.
Altcoin Cycle & Market Recovery
Historically, the crypto market experiences phases of correction before a strong recovery. With the next Bitcoin halving approaching (April 2025), the overall crypto market cap is expected to rebound as bullish momentum returns.
DeFi, gaming, and AI-based tokens continue to gain traction, setting the stage for an altcoin-driven rally once risk appetite returns.
Conclusion
A short-term pullback to the $969 billion support level is highly probable, after which a strong bullish reversal is expected. Long-term investors might see this dip as a buying opportunity, anticipating a rally towards the upper boundary of the channel (above $2 trillion) as macroeconomic and institutional factors align in favor of crypto.
APRIL Market Analysis Drop your assetsHi Everyone,
April opens with a storm and it’s not just crypto causing the turbulence. The intensifying U.S. tariff trade war, now stretching far beyond China and striking major global economies, is shaking the foundation of both traditional markets and digital assets. The shockwaves are real and they’re hitting every corner of the financial world.
From equities to commodities and now crypto, global uncertainty is driving market-wide caution. Institutional investors are rebalancing, liquidity is tightening, and fear is visible in both macro and micro structures. These geopolitical tensions have amplified risk-off sentiment, causing even strong altcoin setups to face unexpected rejection zones and liquidity grabs.
But here’s the truth: Volatility is not the enemy—mismanagement of risk is.
🔹 Is this the start of something bigger?
🔹 Are altcoins gearing for a true breakout or just mimicking strength?
🔹 Which coins are respecting structure vs. falling into distribution traps?
Let’s find out together.
📩 Drop your favorite altcoins in the comments, and I’ll provide professional, unbiased technical analysis—pinpointing key price levels, confluences, and possible setups based on current price action and macro sentiment.
📅 Submission Deadline: April 15th, 2025
🔹 Request Format:
✅ One coin per person
✅ Use tickers (e.g., ETHUSDT, SOLBTC)
✅ Full name optional but helpful
Market Pressure is Real — But Don’t Lose Hope
We know it's frustrating. Long-term holders are watching gains evaporate. Traders are seeing stop-runs and failed breakouts. But remember: some of the best opportunities in crypto history were born out of similar uncertainty.
A Word of Encouragement to Holders:
This is a time to reassess, not to panic. Smart money thrives when weak hands fold. If you’re holding strong assets with sound fundamentals, patience and discipline are your greatest allies right now.
Professional Risk Management Tips:
✅ Never go all-in. Use capital allocation strategies (2-5)% of portfolio per position depending on conviction and timeframe.
✅ Use proper stop-losses. Don’t guess, define invalidation levels based on structure, not emotions.
✅ Avoid revenge trading. Losses are part of the game. Reset your mindset before re-entering.
✅ Preserve capital first, then profit comes next.
✅ Be flexible. The market doesn’t owe anyone a move. Let the chart guide your bias, not your feelings.
This isn’t just another bearish phase. It’s a testing ground for your patience, your strategy, and your risk tolerance. Let’s stay vigilant, stay smart, and ride through April together because when the next major wave comes, it will favor those who remained focused when others lost conviction.
🚀 Let’s build through the storm.
CRYPTO TOTAL MARKET CAP EXCLUDING BTC📊 Altcoin Market Cap Analysis (Excluding BTC)
Date: 9th April 2025
We're currently observing the total market cap of all altcoins (excluding Bitcoin), which has historically shown a consistent pattern around the $700B demand zone. This area has repeatedly acted as a launchpad for significant altcoin rallies, marking the point where new capital tends to flow into the crypto space.
🟢 Historical Market Rebounds from the $700B Zone:
July 2021:
✅ Market cap rebounded from $725B → $1.7T
February 2024:
✅ Market cap rose from $750B → $1.26T
August 2024:
✅ Market cap surged from $745B → $1.65T
🔍 Current Market Situation (9th April 2025):
Current Total Altcoin Market Cap: GETTEX:879B
This suggests that while we’re still above the critical $700B demand zone, there is potential for further downside in the coming weeks. If the market revisits that area again and holds, we could see another strong wave of capital inflow and a major rally across the altcoin space, just like in previous cycles.
✅ Key Takeaway:
$700B remains a key regional support zone.
If it holds, history suggests we may witness another strong altcoin market recovery.
Is there any chance for an ALTSEASON now??Just some chart fun. Do you think the pattern will be completed and the current altcoin Bull Cycle will follow the previous two? Do you think there will be a new Altseason amidst the tariff chaos?
Whatever happens, the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) has to hold (close 1W candles above it) if that would be the case and it just got breached.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NEW ALL TIME HIGHSBullish divergence on the 3M chart forming on RSI and OBV indicator. Very very high probability of seeing new highs. Dont be fooled by the news. Numbers are more important than words.
Stay blessed.
DYTRDR.
Small Relief Rally CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Disclaimer: Not financial advice! 🚨 Do your own research. Markets are risky—trade at your own discretion. I’m just sharing ideas, not guarantees. 📉📈
ALT Market cap - Dip before 3TThe Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC (CRYPTOCAP) is currently testing a critical support zone at the 21-month Simple Moving Average (SMA). Historically, this moving average has acted as a strong dynamic support, marking significant market reversals and uptrends.
✅ Price is bouncing off the 21 SMA, similar to previous bull market cycles.
✅ The recent correction appears to be a healthy retest of support rather than a trend reversal.
✅ The formation of higher lows suggests bullish momentum building up.
✅ If price holds above this level, we could see a strong rally in altcoins, pushing the total market cap higher.
A successful bounce from the 21 SMA could trigger a bullish continuation, leading to a market expansion toward 1.6T - 2.3T levels in the coming months.
🔸 A monthly close below the 21 SMA could invalidate this setup, leading to a deeper correction.
🔸 Key support zone to watch: $900B - $950B
🔸 Breakout confirmation: Monthly close above $1.1T
If history repeats, this could be the perfect accumulation zone before the next major altcoin season! Keep an eye on the monthly close and volume confirmation for the next big move.
Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
LONG $900BMorning fellas,
I have been getting some spite, and about 75% of people who follow me stopped liking or commenting on my posts just because I've been sold since $100k and calling non-stop for this drop.
The drop came, and the moonfellas out there finally gave in.
Now it's time to look for longs and nothing better than a few select alt coins. I'm thinking $888B to $900B should hold and then we fly. Check trajectory line.
You people need to stop only posting that it's going up to the moon, and be realistic about things. Buy blood not green, buy LINK at $7 and not $25. Buy dot at $2 and not $15, and so on.
Trade thirsty, my friends.
