TOTAL2 trade ideas
ALT COINS are well supported, waiting for a new High.The alt coin market (TOTAL2) following April's break-out above the Falling Wedge of the Bear Cycle that started in mid 2021, has pulled-back, tested both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1M MA50 (red trend-line) as Supports. Currently we are seeing the 1W MA50 holding, having closed the last 6 candles above it. The technical Resistance is the 1 Year Zone within 618 (where the price got recently rejected) and 700.
On the long-term though, the Wedge break-out along with the formation of the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, targets much higher and more specifically the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 1.135T.
Note that in the meantime, the 1W MACD completed a Bullish Cross 2 weeks ago, the first this past year (since August 08 2022).
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Altcoins - Still Look Ready to Rally I will post an update on TOTAL 3 as well, but here is TOTAL 2 (alts excluding BTC). Just to back track, we made a post on May 22, 2023 outlining how TOTAL 2 was maintaining our old resistance trendline as new support. This remains true. Even with the SEC attack against altcoins they were able to hold the candle bodies as support upon our trendline and have caught a bid ever since. Here is a link to that post.
Current day we might be seeing a breakout on the 2W chart with a smaller fractal pattern. We see something very similar to the 2019-2020 Fractal pattern, just in a more condensed time period.
In 2019-2020 we formed a clear base for TOTAL2. This was constructed around $37 billion and had a double bottom at FWB:37B during the covid crash. We also formed a very clean symmetrical triangle (orange trendlines). Once we broke out of our triangle, marketcap came back down to test old resistance as new support and after that the bull market began.
Current day, we formed a clear base around the $430B level and had a double bottom during the SEC Security FUD at $430B. The $430B level was also our top in 2017 so it is creating a massive base of old macro resistance flipped into new macro support. We have also formed a symmetrical triangle (orange trendline) that marketcap recently broke out from. Marketcap is currently testing our trendline of old resistance as new support. If successful, we could see a large resurgence of altcoins.
The only difference is if we do have an expansion of the altcoin market I do not think it will be the start of the bullrun as we saw in the 2019-2020 cycle. I think it is a little to early according to the 4 year cycle theory. I also feel we have not seen true capitulation of altcoins. Will keep you all updated with the TOTAL cryptomarketcap as more developments are made in the charts.