TOTAL2 trade ideas
January Alt Requests: Kickstart 2025 with Smart Market InsightsHey everyone!
We’re excited to kick off the New Year and a fresh month with our January Alt Requests! Let’s work together to uncover potential gems in the market.
Submission Deadline: January 5th, 2025
Request Guidelines:
Each member may submit one altcoin for analysis.
Use the following format: ETHBTC, ETHUSDT, or ETHUSD.
Don’t forget to include the coin’s ticker symbol or name with your request.
We’re aiming to analyze at least 40 altcoins based on your submissions. Let’s make this an insightful and productive start to the year!
Important Reminder:
All analyses provided are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research before making investment decisions.
Thank you for being a part of this journey. Let’s explore the market together and make 2025 a year of smart trading and big wins!
TOTAL2 Index Set to Surge Towards $2.5 Trillion!CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
📈Which side you pick?
Bulls or Bears
This chart shows the gravity points for the TOTAL2 index. It also describes the potential targets and their different probabilities of realization. The nearest zones within this structure are highlighted in green.
After TOTAL2 broke above 1.29 trillion dollars, and with Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) decreasing, a very likely scenario for TOTAL2 is reaching the 2.5 trillion-dollar level.
⚡️Target:
2.5T
Crypto Market analysis - Total 2TOTAL2 has been a very reliable chart to base the bull runs on. We're looking at it now to see where we could potentially reverse. For this chart to be bearish, we would have to take out the low at 850 billion. As long as we put a higher low above that, the chart will remain bullish in the longer term.
Between August and November, we went through an accumulation phase, where we put consecutive higher lows after completing a bullish harmonic. We can also see that from the low to the first higher low, before breaking out of the exponential down curve, we retraced a perfect 0.786, which is very typical of a wave 2 retracement. If you then take the Fibonacci extension levels from the high to the low, we hit a perfect 4.618 extension, which is uncommon but very possible for a wave 3 extension. This would currently put us in a wave 4 correction.
We have retraced and have today cut through the 0.382 retracement level and are sitting at the 1.26 support. However, this isn't a reliable support, as it only acted as resistance in the past and has never been held as support. We could, therefore, expect to go lower, and the next level would be the 0.5 retracement level at 1.21 trillion.
For a wave 4, it is common to retrace between the 0.5 and 0.618, and the 0.618 is around 1.11 trillion, which is where the next zone of support sits. I would, therefore, find it possible, if not probable, to retrace all the way down to the 0.618 at 1.11 trillion dollars and accumulate within that zone of support before the next substantial rally.
The next substantial rally will hopefully bring us to all-time highs, but it does not necessarily have to do that. We could retrace and put in another lower high, which would, at that point, confirm distribution and likely indicate a mid-to-long-term pause in the bull market, if not a reversal into a bear market. Until this happens, or we take out the low at 850, we remain bullish.
The last points to consider are that we didn't distribute at the highs and didn't have a major liquidation event, this suggests that these assets will revisit the highs or have deep retraces into them. We are also developing bullish divergence which will mature as long as we stay above 850 b. For that reason, we are not selling anything at these prices.
Conclusion
Analyze prices carefully around these levels:
The current support at 1.26.
The next support at 1.11 trillion.
Look for TOTAL2 to showcase bullish accumulation or reversal.
Once TOTAL2 signals its direction, focus on individual assets that align with the macro trend.
Updates on specific positions will follow.
TOTAL2/BTC Alts showing MAJOR WEAKNESS vs BTCAlts showing major weakness against BTC by Closing the Week in this trading region which will dump them another 15-20%
If BTC and Alts perform similar to last 2 cycles then Alts would have a 125 - 175% return above ₿itcoin
Notice the diminishing returns from each cycle 🧐
On a risk adjusted basis, the chart is suggesting that in future cycles it might just be better to be in BTC than Alts😲
Comparing Christmas 2020 vs 2024#Altcoin Marketcap #Analysis
Description
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+ Comparing the altcoin marketcap on 2020 vs 2024 Christmas (pre bull run years), during the christmas week altcoin had a significant drop in the marketcap and after holidays we saw significant growth in the marketcap pushing the altcoin prices higher.
+ I'm seeing similar pattern in this bull run, in 2025 we are doing to see a huge bull run and during this Christmas week it was expected to see some drawdowns.
+ I'm expecting the market to see a complete recovery in the first two weeks of the Jan 2025.
+ I'm doing DCA for most of my Altcoin holdings and increasing my investment in some AI based tokens.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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A corrective scenario for the entire market, especially altcoins
Such a scenario is possible for TOTAL2. It is worth mentioning that in this scenario, all coins, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, will undergo price corrections, which could be between 55 to 75 percent for altcoins. This is a scenario that should be constantly monitored for signs. The market has become very hot and needs to cool down. USDT.d is also at a low level and is likely to rise.
Total 2 ChartWe are at the weekly support zone and got a beautiful green hammer candle. Im expecting the market to consolidate here for a while as it is testing the previous resistance which is now our support and continue to push back up.
If market gives us another dip we can comfortably enter the market.
DYOR
Goodluck
Fate of altcoin maket If you look at CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D you can notice that what we called "start of altcoin market" was merely 3 week BTC dominance retrace and when true altcoin market starts, you will notice it by very fast change of narrative and rapid altcoin market growth.
Anyway, I suppose that movements of Altcoin market capitalization will follow some sort of Elliot waves pattern (something like that).
However this altcoin cycle may happen in a very different nature and mostly will be comprised of memecoins, so your old altcoin bought 4 years ago might stay worthless regardless of the altcoin bullish market
Two Months: Basic Trading Strategy (2025 Bull-Market)Is two months a long time? Just two months and the market will be booming again... This is great.
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, the market is preparing itself to show us something great.
The next bullish wave is not already here but it is in the making. It will take two months.
We get the correction low followed by one last shakeout, which can end as a lower low for some pairs or a higher low for some others, and then we see growth.
The drop is already in.
The correction is already in but it takes time for the next bull-market wave to unravel. It can take two months.
This is great because it gives us time to prepare.
We have enough time to make the right choices and prepare a plan.
We have a preview with the previous bullish wave. We can analyze what we did right and what we did wrong so that we can do better in the next phase.
We get a new low and some consolidation, then prices start to grow. At first, this growth seems slow but surely after two months everything speeds up. Some pairs will be breaking up strong while some others will remain at the bottom, when three months are in, after reading this, we can see marketwide bullish action.
The upsurge starts but it can take weeks and sometimes months to reach the last high for those that produced a strong correction. After the last high is hit, a new bullish marketwide bullish phase starts.
Everything will grow but not everything will grow.
Everything is growing but not everything is growing.
The market is growing but choosing wisely is the most important decision we have to make. Both choosing and the right mindset.
You can choose a pair that is going to grow 800% but it does so after 8 months. Imagine holding the pair for 6 months and then giving up. The choice was right but the mindset was wrong. This can happen.
To avoid this type of situation we plan long-term and use diversification. Instead of putting 100% into a single pair we do 5% on 20 different pairs, or 10% on 10 different pairs.
10% of the whole capital can go for high risk trading, while 70% can go for long-term hold spot. The remaining 20% can be "cash" for in-the-moment opportunities... Just some examples, remember, we have to adapt to our lifestyle and goals.
How I approach the market and what works for me might not work for you.
We cannot jump in blank, we have to know what we want to get from the market before-hand.
Even just thinking of how long are you ready to wait can make a difference vs going in blindly because we see strong growth on a pair.
Set it and forget.
Think of the previous bullish wave.
Those that earned the most were those that bought in August and September 2024. Those buying in November and December, some earned just a little and some even ended with a loss.
Patience is key.
Timing is important.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
#Altcoins Q4 2020 x Q4 2024#Alts market cap TOTAL2 After making a major rise after the US elections in November 2020, it made a major correction towards mid-December and started a parabolic run after being rejected from the ($177.8B) Fibonacci 0.5 support.
Altcoins, which made a major rise after the US elections in November 2024, started a major correction phase in mid-December,
It will not be surprising if the correction ($1.19T) continues up to the Fibonacci 0.5 level and starts moving upwards from the current level.
Altcoins season has not even started!As you can see we are in the same spot that last cycle. BTC running avove previous ATH and total2 still bellow previous top. Once btc gets close to the top altcoins are going to explode, see how LMACD of Total 2 is not even close to the top of the descending diagonal. Scoop some alts now, next 12 months should be bright.
This Season is Different....Seriously, no "crypto guru" i've found mentions how BTC.D started high AND DIVED at the start of a btc-then-alt-season run.... NONE... meanwhile this season BTC.D and BTC only keep up with eachother...
What is different about this cycle?
My thoughts: institutions are heavily involved THIS RUN... they bought in during the bear season. They know how to **** most traders out. Thats what we have here...
They are coming for all these previous success story DEGEN's and their money.
Don't be next.
PS: im invested and DONT hope for what I'm seeing... IDK.
ALTS aiming for an explosive rally.The Crypto Total Market Cap (excluding Bitcoin) has a red 1week candle last week after 5 straight green ones.
This is the first consolidation that all Altcoin Cycles had in December-January months of Halving years, following the breakout over the mid Cycle bull flag.
This is the time to buy heavily into altcoins.
The expected cap for this Cycle is 11 Trillion, which is the 5.0 Fibonacci extension (2.0 Fibs lower than the previous Cycle, which in turn was 2.0 Fibs lower than the one before).
Previous chart:
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TOTAL2 This is a personal opinion, in my opinion we should expect altcoins to fall by 40-70%, it depends on the project, so let's act smart, if you invest in altcoins, reduce the risk and save your profits and wait for the fall.Because we have reached a ceiling, the probability of this ceiling breaking is very low.