Altcoin marketcap overview excluding ETH and stablesHi all,
We are in the very critical area in technical perspective and waiting for FED's rate decision today.
It's important to identify the risks and opportunities and create different scenarios.
Let's start with a good scenario. If we keep the momentum and proceed to go up, I think it's very probable to go up till the immediate resistance area (60-70% increase) and this would give a good sell opportunity or converting altcoins into BTC. I do not plan to sell more than 30% of my altcoin portfolio as I'm a crypto maximalist and hoping to see even much higher values. I keep in mind that the best case scenario would be to reach the big target area which is almost 15x from here.
For the negative scenario, I would expect to see most likely support area which means roughly 50% reduction from here. Considering the momentum now I don't expect but if the market gets negative, this scenario would be on the table.
For the worst case scenario, I would expect to go down till 75-90billion which means 65-70% reduction from here.
It's non sense to make estimations if we go up or go down. Nobody knows about it. Be ready for 2 sided price actions and create strategies accordingly.
These are not financial advise. Please do your own analysis.
Cheers!!!
TOTAL3 trade ideas
Total3Alt coins market cap
I think after the .236 retest and reclaiming the 2017 speculative high here we have a much greater chance of completing this IHS looking shape and see higher price levels
With banking issues worldwide the subsequent narrative will have to question what if defi?
And we should see some relief to the alt coin market cap if not the beginning of a new bullish cycle
could we expect an ALT season coming?this is the weekly chart of total market cap exclude BTC and ETH (ALTs market cap) .
I believe Ethereum market cap is bigger than we consider it as an ALT coin.
so based on all evidence (technical and fundamental) ALTs are about to explode upward in
weeks coming and we can expect more gains on other coins following total Crypto market cap.
on the chart, weekly candle is trying to close above 28MA and MACD histogram already moved
on the positive side. if the MACD line moves above the positive side we can expect an explosion
on ALT market cap that we call it ALT season.
Enjoy the market
ALT market cap (total crypto cap - BTC & ETH) HEad n Sholders...Its a trappppp take profits and look for a nice re buy opp this week esp in ALTS
BTC Dominance spikes after alts dropped quickly and rebounded as people converted to WETH and ETH to get out of the market others who didnt want to take profits staked crypto in DeFi thus that dip and spike. sorry my kids wont leave me alone but all singles point to short term drop and i dont think a reversal but more a good week of red to stabilize and scalp/rebuy/add to positions
the other news or FUD factor is the USA esp is gearing up to truly and finally enforce their own version of stable coins and start to do defacto control the exit and on ramps to crypto. and where does that leave the current stable coins. either get in tune and do as we say give us the date the governments will say or kick rocks 3rd option jail cells so ya its conform or get out and thats that. this temporary fud could help breath more life into a short term down trend. frorthe record i dont see full takeover of new government stable coins overnight but as the news picks up and reaches a high this carries a greater risk of getting picked up as a fud narrative and helping further panic the market
TOTAL 3 Weekly chartTOTAL 3, which excludes BTC and ETH has pulled back More than the TOTAL, which shows us that Bitcoin is holding up better.
However, The ALTS represented in this chart are now testing a long term support while also sitting on the 50 EMA which could also offer support
The MACD is still Bearish though and this could lead to either Ranging or a drop below support
What is most telling here, as mentioned in previous posts about the TOTAL 3 , is that it has still failed to reach and pass the Neckline of the FTX Drop
This shows , again, that Bitcoin has the favour of the market and continued uncertainty is holding the ALTS back
But that is not all doom and gloom as there have been some Huge gains in some Alts coins in recent weeks
This market is FR from dead as some would like to imply.........
$BTC vs $ETH vs $TOTAL 3 (Altcoins)Be careful with this drop
There's something more @ play here
Still cautious bull but $BTC can drop close to 10%
That's decent amount of pain for #altcoin
$ETH could fill the gap or drop to 1400
RSI looks BAD
$Total 3 = #altcoins is whimpering
Some bounced nicely already
TOTAL 3 MARKET CRYPTO - WHERE WE ARE KNOW
Total 3 is in the ANGER psychology phase, in case the bulls hold the price where we are now, could be a new and last pump for altcoins. after that a huge correction.
If lost these levels, means BTC is going hard down and it could start a downtrend to break all supports to the depression phase.
Phase B of Wickoff Teory
in the next weeks from these levels, we can go down to lower prices until the spring event happens.
Not financial advise