Altcoin Market on Edge: The $1.16 Trillion Breakout AwaitsRight now, the Total Market Cap (excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) (Total 3) is hovering below its highest-ever level, after briefly surpassing it and then dropping back down.
For now, if the market stays between around $839 Billion and $1.13 Trillion, things will likely remain unpredictable and choppy.
The real excitement and potential surge in prices (what some call the "Euphoria/Mania Phase") will likely start once the market breaks through its all-time high and enters uncharted territory.
However, if the Total 3 drops below $800 Billion the Blue zone marked on the chart, I’d be more cautious. While it could still be part of a larger upward trend (forming a "higher low"), it wouldn’t be ideal for the overall market structure. If the market aims to grow significantly by 2025, it shouldn’t really fall back to that level.
TOTAL3 trade ideas
Altcoins: What Comes Up Must Go Down?Giant Flat Correction could be built on the altcoins chart (less Ethereum)
Indicators:
-Collapse in three waves in 2021-2022 (wave A)
-Retest of 2021 peak in three waves in 2023-2024 (wave B)
-wave B retested the start of wave A and failed to grasp the bullish ground beyond
-first move down and small correction that keeps below all-time high could be the harbinger of new five waves down in wave C
Large wave C should at least retest the valley of wave A at 288b cap
What could be the reason?
-Altcoins could lose its shine as institutions prefer only BTC
-Some huge risk aversion in global economy
You are welcome to share your views in the comments below to enrich our outlook.
Alt Coins - one more correction likelyThis is the chart of TOTAL3 market cap - all coins excluding BTC and ETH (essentially market cap of all alt coins).
As we can see, price action is within a larger bull flag (yellow parallel channel) but within it, there is a bear flag (red parallel channel).
Market cap is currently at 950 bn. We are likely to see one more correction where market cap is likely to touch 800 bn market cap. This is because if market cap breaks down from the bear flag, on the basis of measured move, market cap is likely to touch 800 bn. This is also a fib retracement level of 50% and a strong support zone on Weekly timeframe.
Once market cap hits 800 bn zone, there is likely to be a bounce which could pierce the yellow parallel channel as it will be the 3rd hit on the upper trendline of the yellow parallel channel.
Remember technicals are all probabilities, market cap could negate bear flag to hit upper trendline of the yellow parallel channel.
TOTAL3 ChartHey,
This is really a text book chart, together with many others in the crypto atm..
A lot of fear and greed is currently in the market, you see that in the PA.
But that is old news, cuz I shared that a long time ago already.
For me more upside from this zone is very likely, if it fails...
I have to go back to the drawing board and see what is the next area of weekly or monthly demand to time when and where price is likely to move towards.
Have a good one, more charts soon.
Make sure you follow us :)
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld
bad outlook for alts very short termnext levels to hold for others3:
965 would be good to hold here (given how violent the leg down has been, seems unlikely to hold)
if not, more alts bloodbath and we go down to 905 (seems like most likely scenario)
905 must hold or else there is no altseason and bullmarket is over (extremely unlikely)
Total 3 Crypto Market Cap multi year base BreakoutTotal 3 Crypto Market Cap excluding #BTC and #ETH trying to breakout of the previous highs of Oct 2021 during the prior Alt season. Already did try a failed breakout once. Will it succeed the next time ? For this to happen the big caps #SOL , #BNB and #XRP have to outperform.
rough guide to 2025 altseasonseems like we are in the most fun part of parabolic growth of crypto.
possible pathway to growth is charted here
we may see coins making daily gains of 10-20% for many weeks
people will be tired and impatient of any coin not making double digit growth
as per this chart, if your portfolio does less than 4x by H2 2025, what are you even doing?
New Territory.I had an idea that at the peak of this cycle the entire market would
hit the $10 trillion mark with a distribution of $4 trillion Bitcoin,
$2 trillion Etherium and $4 trillion TOTAL3.
After calculating the percentages of past growth,
I transferred it to current conditions and if this is executed, it's even 5 trillion.
Altcoins Have Broken Out - In Case You Didn't Notice.Crypto Fam,
In case you didn't notice, altcoins have officially broken out of our bearish descending wedge. I am expecting 2025 to be a bull year and through April you should really see some massive pumping take place, especially with high MC memecoins.
Don't forget that my cycle theory is different this bull market but so far has proven correct. That is: BTC is bullish first often in sync with Solana, Solana Memecoins, and often accompanied by AI based alts/memecoins. The we see other memecoins pumping with continued strength from AI based coins. And finally we see the OG classic ALT follow the train. This seems to be the trend. I don't expect anything different this year.
As it pertains to ALTS on this chart, you can see I have drawn some resistance right around 1.13T MC. I would expect some pause here and maybe a slight pullback before the bulls gain enough momentum to break through. Then onward and upward we should proceed through April. I'll re-assess the macro outlook for all of crypto at this point.
✌️ Stew
TOTAL 3 Could easily triple or quadruple in market cap in 2025.The TOTAL 3 market cap is looking spectacular for the 2025 bull run and could easily triple or quadruple in 2025, based on the chart. Keep in mind that this is the logarithmic chart, but this bull run isn't like any of the previous cycles, as many have yet to realize. In fact, it could end up being a cycle that extends well into the end of the year.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss.
$TOTAL3 - Moon soon?I posted this once a few months ago, and wanted to do an update post on the pattern that is unfolding on the total3 chart. Pick the next emoji!
On tighter time frames like the 1d, total3 has just completed a beautiful breakout and retest of the downtrend that it had been in. If the bull market we've all been waiting for is ever going to happen, it has to be starting soon. What say you?
My TOTAL 3 fractal- 3MCMeasured New years eve 2020 to 2021 may high= roughly a 7x. (LAST BULL RUN) took roughly 131 days...
Measured New years eve 2024 to 2025 may (projection)= roughly a 7x (CURRENT BULL RUN)
Question is, do we get more than 7x in total Alt coin market cap in 2025'?
Only time will tell.
www.tradingview.com ] www.tradingview.com
TOTAL 3 analysisI see the total market cap of the altcoins dropping for a retest and it may also go down to close the FVG if this happen it will lead for a 31% drop for the total market cap and it may lead the alt coins to drop back to the bottom
which means we may see the altcoins one more time in the bottom so we can buy again.
unless big fundamental thing happens change the whole situation i see this in the market.