MAKE OR BREAK SITUATION FOR TESLA - KEEP AN EYEFundamentals
-Tesla faces tough competition in the EV market, with its global share at 19% in 2024, as rivals like BYD grow faster.
-Sales growth might slow down in 2025 due to weaker demand in key markets like China.
Profits are under pressure after price cuts in 2024, with margins dropping to 8.2% in Q4.
Latest News
-Analyst Dan Ives said Elon Musk needs to focus to improve Teslaโs image, which is under pressure (Investopedia, March 21, 2025).
-Tesla led a late-day rally in megacaps, but overall market mood is shaky (Yahoo Finance, March 21, 2025).
-Investors are worried about EV demand slowing down due to high interest rates (Livemint, March 18, 2025).
Recommendation
Tesla (TSLA) rallied from $180 to $480 in an ascending channel on the daily chart from June 2024 to March 2025, but a recent "Trapped Candle" pattern at the highs signals potential volatility, with the stock now at $248.71 near the channelโs lower boundary around $216. In recent sessions, Tesla has definitely shown some support even after a deadly day on March 10, holding above the $216 level. The Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP) shows a high volume node between $220-$240, indicating that the market is at a strong position with significant liquidity in this zone. However, this looks like a fear zone where many traders might get trapped if the stock closes above $253, leading to a false sense of recovery. Traders should keep a close eye on whether the stock holds the $216 support or breaks above $253 on the daily chart to determine the next move.
Disclaimer
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose.
TL0 trade ideas
TESLA's DILEMMA: A Long-Term Trap or an Opportunity?Brief About the Chart
Descending Channel with Breakout: Tesla (TSLA) traded in a descending channel on the weekly chart from late 2022 to early 2025, with a breakout above the upper boundary (around $300) leading to a rally to $475, followed by a pullback to $248.71, now consolidating near the 50-week moving average.
Fundamental Analysis
Big Player in EV: Tesla is a top name in electric vehicles, holding about 19% of the global market in 2024, and its new products like Cybertruck make it strong for future growth.
More Sales Expected: Teslaโs sales might grow in 2025 because of bigger factories in Shanghai and Texas, with experts saying sales could rise by 15-20% this year.
Profit Worries: Teslaโs profits dropped a bit in 2024 due to price cuts, but better demand and cost-saving steps can help it make more money in the long run.
Latest News (Long-Term Focused)
EV Market Growth: A report says global EV sales might grow 25% in 2025 and keep rising till 2030 due to cheaper batteries and government support, which is great for Tesla (Livemint, March 18, 2025).
Teslaโs Robotaxi Plans: Tesla is working on self-driving robotaxis, with plans to launch them by 2026, which could add billions to its revenue in the future (Investopedia, March 19, 2025).
Battery Tech Push: Tesla is investing in new battery tech to cut costs by 30% over the next 5 years, making its cars cheaper and boosting sales (Yahoo Finance, March 20, 2025).
Conclusion
Since this is a long-term view, Teslaโs current price of $248.71, after a breakout from a descending channel and a pullback to a key support level, indicates that this is indeed not a bad place to start investing in the stock at all. However, more attention is needed in order to analyze the entry, particularly by monitoring whether the stock holds above the $245 support level and shows signs of renewed momentum on the weekly chart.
Tesla Approaching Key Support: Potential Long Setup in PlayTesla has recently experienced a strong bearish expansion, retracing toward previous value areas and currently trading below the value area high. It is finding support at a key daily support/resistance (SR) level of $217.
At this stage, Tesla is approaching a potential reversal zone, but for a long trade setup to be confirmed, we need to see consolidation on the daily timeframe, signaling exhaustion of selling pressure.
The next major technical support lies at $176, which aligns with multiple confluences:
1. 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level
2. Daily SR support at $176
3. VWAP (golden line) acting as support
4. Value area low of the previous range
This confluence increases the probability of a reaction in this zone, making it a key area to monitor for a potential long entry.
Trade Execution Considerations:
โข Patience is keyโwe may see a bounce on lower timeframes before Tesla trades toward the $176 entry zone.
โข Entry trigger should be established on lower timeframes, confirming bullish structure or a shift in momentum.
โข Technical target: The key swing high once bullish confirmation is in place.
Until then, monitoring price action and waiting for confirmation will be crucial before taking a long position.
TESLA Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on TESLA and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 249.11 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 240.93
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bullish TESLA prediction and bullish theoriesBullish triggers for this event to potenially happen. (I think)
1.If the macro landscape will calm down. (QE/ Lower interest rates / Tariff peace talks)
2.Musk returns to focus on TSLA.
3.Improvements or any new news regarding the optimus robots development.
4.Bitcoin breaking out (to the upside).
5.Retirement funds coming back as investors in TSLA. (Danish funds have left the stock).
6.Peace talks between Russia and Ukraine.
NASDAQ:TSLA
Why I think JP Morgan Predicts a $120 price for Tesla1) The price channel (white) reveals that weโre only halfway to the next major bounce on the daily chart. With boycotts gaining traction and sales projections looking bleak, the stage is set for more downward pressure.
2) Looking back at the last significant downward swing ( purple ) within this channel, history could repeat itself with a drop of similar magnitude. The pattern is hard to ignore.
3) A critical support zone ( green ) lies beneath an unresolved price imbalance, still waiting to be tested. Itโs like a magnet pulling the price lower.
4) When you weave these factors togetherโchannel dynamics, past swings, and untouched supportโthey converge ominously around the $120 mark. Coincidence? I think not...
Let me know what you guys think.
It will be a bumpy ride downhillTesla's fanboys would not like it.
The company is facing turbulent times ahead and is still failing to provide what was promised years ago.
1. The legislators won't approve SDC also known as autonomous cars in the near future, because a human supervision is required. So the robotaxi is just a fiction.
2. Robots development is way behind the competitors. We all see the Boston Dynamics' Atlas, Mercedes-Benz project and some other projects. Comparing the Optimus project with the best out there is non-sense, because it fails on all fronts. Considering NVidia now open-sourced their project and collaboration with Google and Disney, IMO Tesla is out of the robo market now.
3. We see clear signs of a distribution phase at the top, fuelled by a lot of insider sells.
*Support levels are shown on the chart as green boxes. .
It is NOT a TRADING ADVISE .
There is a HIGH RISK of losing money when trading.
TSLA stock might be considered UNSAFE right NOW.
Tesla Wave Analysis โ 21 March 2025
- Tesla reversed from support level 220.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 280.00
Tesla recently reversed up from the support zone surrounding the multi-month support level 220.00 (which has been reversing the price from September).
The upward reversal from the support level 220.00 stopped the previous impulse wave 5 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from January.
Given the oversold daily Stochastic, Tesla can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 280.00.
$TSLA The Banks Stole My Stonkz..While NASDAQ:TSLA is quite good at manipulating their own shares, there are questions that need to be answered.
It has always been suspected that NASDAQ:TSLA has defrauded their investors and cooked the books. Finally there is evidence. 1.5 Billion missing from their balance sheet!?!?
Given Elon Musk's supreme affection for Hitler and his morbid stupidity, he continues to wage a psychological war against the public by executing high risk marketing ploys that finally bit him in the ass (Zieg Heil). This man should be fired.
None-the less we have technical to discuss here!
As you have seen we called the drip drop from the tippy top and pocket many dollars on this TSLA short. Right now what we are looking at a variety of targets NASDAQ:TSLA will hit one way or the other.
Not only are his own share holders against him, but Donald Trump decided to Implode the Economy and the stock market at a critical stage for his new Crony Musk. It is not a coincidence but all by design.
Last years open is 250.08 and we failed to close above that level today. While we can gap over this level it is more likely since we filled the gap and turned around that NASDAQ:TSLA in prime NASDAQ:TSLA fashion will reject and gap down right soon.
The market maker has left a wide open space to fill that ends at the trendline, thus wiping out all of the longs.
Then the banks foreclose on Musk NASDAQ:TSLA shares and Twitter below 110$ and this social media company will go back into the hands of the Deep State.
Lastly we have a quarterly gap fill and final target where NASDAQ:TSLA will find demand and resurge after Elon ahs been wiped from the face of the Earth around 20$.
With monthly momentum fiercely going negative and CCI breaking fresh into negative momentum territory it is sure to be a daaaaaaaam good show..
Get your popcorn ready boys. He fucked himself.
Tesla ready to bounce - Target 265Tesla formed a baby candle in the weekly. 252 is the previous resistance, but last 2 weeks had good lower wick and slightly bullish closing, indicating not much selling pressure. Price breaking 252 and sustaining shows a bullish reversal with short term target of 265.
The larger trend is still bearish, so I donโt expect another rally, but with Tesla, you never know
TSLA Tesla 24hr potterbox.TSLA Tesla 24hr potterbox. Tesla is above the 50 percent line or cost basis. $229.43ish . it seems to be making small gains and it is making little accomplishments. lol this is just what I see with these potterboxes and other indicators I use to make trades. I usally go out 90 to 120 days. it just depends. I would like to see it make it to the roof $270.38 ish. the floor being 188.27ish. well lets hope it continues this little uptrend. It's $249.83 Ish. as I am writing this, and it could also go lower. This is just my opinion. Happy Trading.
TESLA pricing its long-term bottom. $450 rebound highly likely.Nine months ago (June 26 2024, see chart below), we signaled the start of an enormous rally on Tesla (TSLA), which eventually hit our minimum Target ($400), based on a fractal from 2014 - 2016:
Since the upper 1.382 Fib Target wasn't achieved, the model is readjusted and this count makes better sense. Based on the 1W RSI we are on a bottom similar to October 30 2017 around the 4.0 Time Fib extension. That past sequence initiated a rebound towards the market Resistance before the next decline headed to the 5.0 Fib extension.
As a result, we believe Tesla will find a bottom here and target $450 just below the Resistance level.
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TESLA - EYES ARE LOCKED! TESLA - We are currently keeping a close eye here on Tesla, being at a key support level and seeing large Bullish Rejections. The market has been crashing for a while now and we've all heard the news regarding Trump investing into the company we can make a safe assumption TESLA will be a safe sturdy stock this year going to make new highs. For a Long Term Investment I would be investing into Tesla now. If you're looking for a swing then Im holding out until we get a break in Trend. This possible swing "could" be a potential 11,000 Point move. Could give you life change returns. EYES ARE LOCKED HERE GUYS! DO NOT MISS OUT
TSLA near-term Elliott wave projections(looks promising)If this is incorrect, i may have to restart learning from the beginning.
And if it does happen, it will happen in a matter of 2-3days time, at the same time get the stop loss ready.
Even if this wave analysis turns out to be completely wrong, we will still manage to find an entry on the uptrend.
Let's go!!
Tesla Near Term SpeculationBuilding on the flag formation from the past 3 years, its possible an rising wedge could form. Very early days and highly speculative, but if price plays out somewhat like my chart, an ascending wedge could form. Indicating that Tesla may have hit a near/mid term high and can't won't break through for a few years, with several implied price crashes going into 2026 and 2027.
Economic conditions and the apparent slow down in sales, would also support the technical analysis with macro fundamentals.
Very curious to see how things play out, again, highly speculative, just wanted to post to remind myself to keep and eye on this. The potential volatility is presenting interesting trades ahead.
TESLA GOLDEN CHART ANALYSISI have analyzed Tesla with price & time square. I have considered Trend , chart pattern & Gann techniques. There is like chance that it will hit the low by 22-April 2025. Tesla is weak in Sales in last quarter. And in this quarter also number will be coming poor. Target is apple. This is for study purpose.