More bad days for TESLATesla is about to meet its temporary trandline and probably will continue to close the gap.
TL0 trade ideas
TSLA Trade Thesis (Test)TSLA is holding strong at current demand. In order for price to rise, it will have to invalidate closest supply, if demand cannot hold, expecting price to sell off
:bulb: Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: $75.34
Stop Loss: $42.85
:dart: Targets:
Target 1: $139.27
Target 2: $217.02
Raise your stop-loss to entry price once we price reaches $98.95
:mag: Reasoning:
The double correction may be ending at that level for the stock market.
TSLA short swing ideaI like the RR in this trade, that's why I am choosing TSLA over others. As we are bearish on current order flow, the price prints are showing bearish movement in the coming days. One possibility is that it might take out buystops before trending lower and I think today's day will give more information on that. However, the technicals are there that favors the trade. Weekly Sibi, Daily SIBI, and H1 breaker + FVG.
TSLA bear (few months)TSLA is expected to drop below $225 based on both technical indicators and negative market sentiment. Just my Idea.
TSLA Weekly Chart Analysis-Bearish Scenario. NFATSLA Weekly Chart Analysis-Bearish Scenario. NFA
-Weekly structure making bearish rising wedge
-This week's candle closed below 200Days SMA and also EMA9/21 cross down on weekly.
-Price rejected from weekly resistance zone(Red iFVG-W rectangle)
- if market continues to drop next week I am expecting Sellside($138ish) as next target
Tesla (TSLA) Long-Term Analysis: Retesting Key SupportHello traders! Let’s dive into a long-term analysis of Tesla (TSLA) on the monthly chart to understand where the stock might be headed next. I’ll walk you through my thought process, focusing on a comparison between the recent correction and a similar setup in 2020, while also analyzing the current correction’s alignment with the triangle formation from the 2021–2024 consolidation. My goal is to help you see the context of this setup and make an informed decision if you’re considering a trade.
Step 1: Understanding the Big Picture and Historical Context
Tesla has been in a strong uptrend since 2013, as evidenced by the ascending channel (highlighted in blue). This channel has guided the stock’s long-term trajectory, with the lower trendline providing support during pullbacks and the upper trendline acting as resistance during peaks. Within this uptrend, Tesla has experienced significant breakouts followed by corrections, and I’ve identified a compelling similarity between the current price action and a setup from 2020, alongside a key technical level from the recent consolidation.
Step 2: Comparing the Recent Correction to 2020
In 2020, Tesla consolidated in a range between $12 and $24 (labeled "Consolidation 1" on the chart). It then broke out, rallying to a high of $64.60—a gain of about 169% from the upper end of the consolidation range. Following this breakout, Tesla experienced a sharp pullback, dropping to $23.37, which represents a 63.8% correction from the $64.60 high. After finding support at this level, Tesla resumed its upward trajectory, soaring to $166.71—a 613% increase from the pullback low. Now, let’s look at the current situation: Tesla broke out of "Consolidation 2" (around 2021–2024), rallying from $212.11 to a high of $488.54—a 130% increase. It has since corrected by 51%, dropping to the current price of $239.43. This 51% pullback is slightly less severe than the 63.8% correction in 2020, but the structure is similar: both followed significant breakouts from consolidation zones.
Step 3: Current Price Action and the Triangle Retest
Tesla is currently trading at $239.43, down 55% from its recent high of $488.54. If the correction deepens to around 60%, it would bring the price to approximately $195.42 (calculated as $488.54 × (1 - 0.60) = $195.42), which aligns perfectly with the upper trendline of the triangle formation from "Consolidation 2" and the "Retest support?" zone around $170–$200. This confluence suggests that the current correction could be setting the stage for a significant bounce, just as the 2020 correction did. If this $170–$200 level fails to hold, I’m watching for a deeper pullback to the "Retest support" zone around $138–$150, which aligns with the lower trendline of the ascending channel and has acted as support during previous pullbacks (e.g., in 2023).
Step 4: My Prediction and Trade Idea
Here’s where I put myself in your shoes: if I were trading Tesla, I’d be watching for a retest of the $170–$200 support zone as a potential buying opportunity, drawing from both the 2020 playbook and the current technical setup. Why? In 2020, Tesla found support at $23.37 after a 63.8% correction, which set the stage for a 613% rally to $166.71. Similarly, a 60% correction now would bring Tesla to the upper trendline of the Consolidation 2 triangle at $170–$200, a level that could act as a springboard for the next leg up. If Tesla holds this support, I expect a move back toward the $300–$339 range, where it faced resistance before the recent drop. A break above $339 could signal a continuation toward $488.54, retesting the recent high.
Profit Targets and Stop Loss
Entry: Consider buying around $170–$200 if the price retests this support and shows signs of reversal (e.g., a bullish candlestick pattern or increased volume).
Profit Target 1: $300 (a conservative target based on recent resistance).
Profit Target 2: $339 (a more aggressive target at the prior resistance zone).
Stop Loss: Place a stop below $160 to protect against a breakdown of the $170–$200 support zone. This gives the trade a risk-reward ratio of up to 13:1 for the first target.
Risks to Consider
If Tesla fails to hold the $170–$200 support, we could see a deeper correction toward $138–$150, and potentially even $64–$90, another historical support level. Additionally, keep an eye on broader market conditions, as Tesla is sensitive to macroeconomic factors like interest rates and consumer sentiment in the EV sector. While the 2020 setup and the triangle retest provide a historical and technical parallel, the current 55% drop suggests heightened volatility, so be prepared for potential whipsaws around these key levels.
Conclusion
Tesla’s recent 55% correction from $488.54 to $239.43 echoes the 63.8% pullback in 2020 after the breakout from "Consolidation 1." If the correction deepens to 60%, it would retest the upper trendline of the Consolidation 2 triangle at $170–$200, suggesting a potential opportunity for a high-probability trade with clear profit targets and a defined stop loss. This setup could mirror the 2020 recovery, where Tesla rallied 613% after finding support. What do you think of this setup? Let me know in the comments—I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Long TSLA Next Week: Targets and Analysis
- Key Insights: Tesla's brand may face challenges, but its advancements in
autonomous driving and robotics technology provide a strong foundation for
potential growth. Despite ongoing volatility and political distractions, the
focus should be on Tesla's technological and innovative strengths. A mixed
sentiment from analysts suggests monitoring reversal signals for possible
entry points.
- Price Targets: Next week's targets for a long position are set at $255 (T1)
and $262 (T2), with stop levels at $217 (S1) and $190 (S2).
- Recent Performance: Tesla, along with other tech stocks, has faced significant
volatility influenced by broader market weaknesses. Breaking key levels
within major indices like the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 has affected Tesla's
technical outlook. Despite this, there's potential for a V-shaped recovery
led by improvements in the tech sector.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts present a dual sentiment, acknowledging the brand
issues while highlighting innovations like Tesla's role in autonomous
driving. Predictions suggest holding Tesla stock with specific price targets
in mind to leverage potential future growth.
- News Impact: Factors such as tariffs, US-China trade tensions, and
disappointing Q1 vehicle sales continue to challenge Tesla's market
position. Political actions from Elon Musk and discussions around vandalism
incidents contribute to brand challenges. However, Tesla's progress in AI
and robotics remains promising for future growth. The situation warrants
close attention to market shifts and reversal signals.
TESLA Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for TESLA is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 239.33
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 257.40
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TESLA: Will Keep Growing! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the TESLA pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
TESLA - THE CLIMB BACK TO $341 This is a pretty tough call to make right here. And I may get humbled. But the charts say to me - Kumar, there was a short term low today. And the next point of exhaustion is $341. Lets see what happens. This chart is likely a mess to most, but harmonious art work to me. Elliot, Murrey and Kumar being used for the analysis. Comments always welcome. Happy Trading.
TSLA looking for a bounce in the buyer's garageOn the NASDAQ:TSLA 1W chart, the price is currently pulling back below the 78.6 Fibonacci retracement level after a significant move up, and the zone between 224 and 182 presents an attractive area for potential long entries. The Ichimoku cloud (10, 20, 40, 10) shows bearish momentum, but a change in market structure on the daily chart such as a break above a previous swing high would strengthen the bullish case. The Trend Strength Index (20, 10) is in overbought territory, signaling caution, but if the price fails to reverse soon, it could continue falling toward the 146 to 109 range, a historically strong support zone where price has rebounded multiple times. This area would become a key long term investment opportunity if reached.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
TSLA theoryWe are ina bear market this year, But I'm optimistic long term.
This is a gem to accumulate, dca when is sideways.
TSLA - A false start? UPDATE : Tesla is unfortunately not starting on the right foot. The price action since the low is NOT impulsive to use an Elliot Wave term. So this is very unlikely to be the low. I will be selling my $265 calls near $255 price levels. And then patiently wait to see if we drift down for the true wave 5 down to $187. Additionally, the Murrey Frame 1/8ths line is also down there, as well a the Red dashed P line from the last break out. So..... if this take is wrong, and we manage to leave the channel gate move above $260 I will update. Until then its prayers to offload these longs profitably, and reset lower. Comments always welcome. And remember, trading is hard work, Sometimes we fish for a long time to catch the tastiest fish in the sea. Bona Fortuna!
TSLA still bearish like I said. Why you should sue the board.This chart uses an unpublished modified turtle trader indicator / strategy combined with the unpublished TVMV framework using MFT candle sticks (published as separate indicator) and Bollinger bands. The max monthly position size is determined by seasonal probabilities, while the individual trade position sizes are determined by the turtle style volatility sizing based off the former's capital.
Nothing has changed about TSLA.
It has a work from home CEO who is who disconnected from reality and accountability that the stock will not recover. No amount of government contracts can over come the damage this man has done to the brand.
Sales and deliveries are down in every market and the car owners are afraid to drive their cars.
This recent pump had no basis. It lacked both fundamental value and technical value.
TSLA will break below 222 and may go as far as 109 by EOY if the board of directors does not fulfill their fiduciary obligations to share holder to remove Musk permanently .
Shareholders should seriously consider filing a class action law suit against the board of directors in collaboration with NY .
TSLA - Support Level 222 - 191NASDAQ:TSLA following downtrend heading towards its strong support level of 222. If fails to hold; Possibly hit 191
Pre market blows past TSLA supportPre market at 250 right now is just about pas support line, a Continuation of short til 220 at least is fully plausible. Just. bc its friday i wouldnt want to hold short til monday pre with how volatile the market movement is then. so be careful and prepared for a daily short position at least after seeing marker reaction and price movement confirmation. NASDAQ:TSLA
TSLA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-17TSLA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-17)
Below is an integrated analysis of the reports and market data:
──────────────────────────────
MODEL REPORTS – KEY POINTS
• Grok/xAI – Price and moving averages on both 5‑min and daily charts are below key EMAs; RSI and MACD point to current bearish momentum. – Notable technical support at about 239.75 with resistance above near 242. – The options chain shows heavy put activity at the $240 strike (premium about 0.67), and max pain is at 245, although that level is less relevant for a near‐term (0DTE) trade. – Recommendation: Trade the TSLA $240 PUT at an ask of 0.67 at the open, aiming for roughly a 100% gain and using about a 50% loss as a stop.
• Gemini/Google – Technicals on short‐term and daily timeframes are mixed: the daily chart is clearly bearish while some 5‑min indicators hint at stabilization. – Conflicting signals (including the max pain pull toward 245 and falling VIX) result in not having a high‑conviction directional bias. – Conclusion: “No trade” is recommended today because the conflicting indicators raise the risk of getting whipsawed.
• Claude/Anthropic – Technical analysis on both 5‑min and daily confirms a moderately bearish bias (price well below major EMAs, RSI below 50). – However, one suggested trade was a TSLA $237.50 PUT at an extremely low premium (0.13) which seems less attractive given the preferred premium range. – In essence, the model sees downside potential but selected a strike a bit further out from the current price.
• Llama/Meta – A moderately bearish setup is noted, with the technical picture similar to the others on very short‐term charts. – However, the model also flags the influence of max pain at 245 and concludes that a naked call (for example, at the $240 or $242.50 strike) could profit if the upward “max pain pull” works in play. – Ultimately, this view contrasts with the put trades favored by others.
• DeepSeek – Confirms the overall technical picture: price is below key averages, with bearish momentum evident on both 5‑min and daily charts. – Emphasizes the high open interest on $240 puts and the near-term support at 239.75. – Recommends buying the TSLA $240 PUT at its 0.67 ask price for this weekly (0DTE) option. ────────────────────────────── 2. AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT
Agreements: – Most reports note that TSLA is trading in a moderately bearish state with price below the relevant moving averages and key support levels near 239.75. – There is broad recognition that options activity is concentrated around the $240 strike—especially on the put side, where volume and open interest are very high, underscoring bearish positioning. – Technical indicators (RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands) on short‑term and daily charts lean toward bearishness despite some very short‑term signals of stabilization.
Disagreements: – Gemini/Google sees too many conflicting signals (including the upward pull implied by max pain) and hence recommends no trade, while the majority of the other analysts view the setup as tradeable. – Llama/Meta is open to trading a naked call (capitalizing on the max pain influence) whereas Grok/xAI, DeepSeek, and to a lesser degree Claude/Anthropic advocate for a bearish put trade instead. ────────────────────────────── 3. CONCLUSION & TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Most opinions point to a moderately bearish bias for TSLA on a near-term, 0DTE weekly horizon. Even though conflicting signals (like max pain toward 245 and some stabilization on very short timeframes) introduce uncertainty, the weight of the technicals and put side open interest lean toward downside pressure.
Recommended Trade: Trade a single‑leg, naked PUT (weekly option) on TSLA.
Trade Parameters: – Instrument: TSLA – Strategy: Buy a TSLA $240 PUT – Expiration: 2025‑04‑17 (weekly, 0DTE) – Premium: Approximately $0.67 per contract (slightly above the preferred range, but justified by high liquidity and clear technical support) – Entry Timing: At the open – Profit Target: Around 100% gain from the entry premium (i.e. exit near a $1.34 premium) – Stop‑Loss: Roughly a 50% loss at about $0.33 per contract – Confidence Level: Approximately 65% – Key Risks & Considerations: • The mixed signals (especially Gemini’s caution and the max pain theory) mean price could quickly reverse if TSLA rebounds near 245. • Very short‑term trading (0DTE) carries risks related to rapid time decay and volatility spikes. • A failure to break important support (around 239.75) would warrant an early exit. ────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "TSLA", "direction": "put", "strike": 240.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.34, "stop_loss": 0.33, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.67, "entry_timing": "open" }
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Tesla Long Longseems like we are done with those lower prices; this week´s target is $305.
as you can see the SL and TP
GL
Tesla in a Range: Buyer Hopes and Seller TargetsHey, traders and investors!
After a downtrend, Tesla stock formed a sideways range, which gives buyers hope for a trend reversal.
I assume the price has not yet reached its true bottom. Interesting levels to watch for potential buy patterns are located within the last seller's initiative before the most recent price increase.
These levels are marked in blue on the chart:
184.25 – upper boundary of the seller’s initiative
167.5 – local low inside the seller’s initiative
157.22 – an unachieved seller target within the initiative
138.8 – lower boundary of the seller’s initiative, also matching the monthly seller target
It is also possible to look for sell patterns around 304.39, which is the correction high within the dominant seller’s initiative (the correction did not reach the 50% level of the initiative).
The target would be to update the local low and possibly reach 184.25.
You can learn more about the analysis method in the related posts.
Wishing you all profitable trades!
TSLA - Rebound From Major SupportBullish Divergence along with Marubuzo candle formed.
High Probability for a bullish breakout
What Do You Think
HammeringWe are holding above a 2 year old resistance. It had extensively been exceeded in November last year and as fast retraced this year so far.
This looks as we have reached a level of market balance now.
The candle stick Hammer may now hammer out this resistance as the new long term bottom.
TSLA. Are we buying the dip?Retest on weekly/monthly trendline with clear as day bounce. Market sentiment shifted today with it being one of the best days since 2008 I believe. I consider i’m all in on a swing.
TSLA | Long | Technical Buy Zone + Volume Spike | (April 9, 2025
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Tesla is pulling back into a strong demand zone with rising volume, signaling potential accumulation. While fundamentally overvalued, the technicals show this could be a high reward-risk trade if price retests lower levels.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long (if retest happens)
Entry Zone: $220 – $223 (ideal buy zone on a potential pullback)
Stop Loss: Below $206 (breakdown from structure and invalidation of support)
TP: $440.36 (2x reward-to-risk potential)
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:15 (based on current setup)
Status: Not yet in position — watching for a retest into support zone
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Significant buy-side volume showing up around current levels
✅ Buy signals and price action bouncing from higher-timeframe demand
✅ Although TSLA is widely viewed as fundamentally overvalued, technical setups like this can still offer solid short- to mid-term returns
❌ Invalidation is clearly below $206 — that breaks the thesis and the base
📉 Waiting for confirmation of a pullback and bounce before entering; chasing here isn't ideal for the reward-risk profile
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
Watching price closely for a potential re-entry toward $220. Will update this trade idea if we get a clean test or breakout.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
