Highly probable cause you know..Liquidity sweep +fvg + order block
Seem to previously raid sell stops and created a fair value gap
We look to go long should price retrace to the fair value gap and the bullish order block
US30 trade ideas
US30 LongsThis is my weekly analysis for US30. After the introduction of tariffs we saw a decline of the Dow,price nearly retraced 100% from itsintial bullish move from the 41,750 Daily Key Level.I think this was a perfectly time correction that was inevitable after an almost parabolic amount of bullish momentum the past few months. I do believe that the down trend is becoming exhausted judging by the wicks we are seeing around the Monthly 42,450 level. I am also seeing a 4H head and shoulders pattern which is distinguishable on some higher time frames as well. There is a possibility to see some consolidation between the Daily 42,150 area and the Monthly key Level @ 42,450. I could also see potential for a liquidity grab below 42,150 before a strong bullish move up. This prediction is being made based on past price action around these same key levels. With the bullish engulfing forming on the 4H time frame and the doji closing above the 42,750 4H key level there is a possibility to see price go straight through that 42,900 Daily Level without anymore liquidity, time will tell.
US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) on the 1-hour timeframe,US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) on the 1-hour timeframe with a potential bullish setup.
Chart Analysis:
• The price is currently around 43,415, trading within a support zone (highlighted in red).
• A bullish scenario is suggested, where price is expected to bounce from support and move towards the next resistance level (marked with a blue arrow).
• Key resistance levels are around 43,871, which could be the first target if the price starts moving up.
• Price previously rejected a lower support area, indicating potential buying interest at this level.
• The overall expectation appears to be a breakout above consolidation and a continuation towards higher levels.
Would you like a deeper breakdown or specific trade idea?
US30 SELL ANALYSIS SMART MONEY COCNEPTHere on US30 price form a supply around area of 43857.57 and is likely to continue moving down as more sellers are likely to push the price down so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 43576.18 and 43226.57 . Use money management
T/R zonesThis idea is based on transient/recurrent zones
Very high probability (90%+) for the price to hit TP.
Probability was calculated on TF 15min.
change the trendThe downtrend is expected to end at the current support level, then a start of an uptrend is possible.
Otherwise, a continuation of the downtrend is possible to the next support level.
uptrendIt is expected that there will be fluctuation within the current support area and then we will see a trend change and the start of an uptrend. If the support area is broken, the downtrend will likely continue.
Technical Analysis of Dow Jones Industrial Average Index - 1H 1. Trend Identification
The price action is currently within a range-bound consolidation phase (highlighted by the blue box), oscillating between 42,600 - 42,800.
A volume profile analysis reveals a strong point of control (POC) at 42,639.47, indicating a key level where most volume has been traded.
There are two potential future scenarios illustrated by the bullish (blue) and bearish (red) channels.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Support Levels:
42,600 (POC & previous demand zone)
42,200 (lower bound of projected bearish channel)
Resistance Levels:
42,800 (current upper range resistance)
43,200 - 43,600 (upper bound of the bullish channel)
3. Chart Patterns & Volume Analysis
Volume Analysis:
The last 60-bar volume comparison shows a slight bullish bias (Up Vol > Down Vol by 1.97%), but the price remains indecisive.
A breakout of the 42,800 resistance or 42,600 support with a volume surge would confirm the next trend direction.
Possible Patterns:
Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below 42,600 may lead to a decline towards 42,200.
Bullish Scenario: Breakout above 42,800 can drive the price to 43,200 - 43,600.
Trade Setups & Risk Management
🔵 Bullish Trade Setup (Breakout Play)
Entry: Above 42,820, upon a confirmed breakout with volume.
Stop-Loss: 42,600 (below POC).
Take-Profit Targets: 43,200, then 43,600 (upper channel).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔴 Bearish Trade Setup (Breakdown Play)
Entry: Below 42,580, upon breakdown with volume.
Stop-Loss: 42,800 (above POC).
Take-Profit Targets: 42,400, then 42,200 (lower channel).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5
Dow Jones Index Analysis – Daily TimeframeThe Dow Jones Index is currently in a corrective wave, and until this range phase is over, a strong new move is unlikely. However, once the correction is completed, the index could resume its upward trend.
🔹 The key support level in the long-term timeframe is 41,600.
🔹 In the medium-term, the critical level to watch is 44,000.
🎯 The long-term target is set at 46,600.
📈 Upon completion of the corrective wave, the expected growth is approximately 12%.
US30 BUY?The market is currently testing the current Weekly area.
Based on Daily, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
US30 BIASExpecting US30 to continue the downside liquidity sweep therefore retesting the current support zone since the internal structure support zone already is now a resistance
Bearish continuationYM is currently in a bearish trend and may likely continue this trajectory after having broken through a consolidation phase between 43700 and 43300 to the downside. As of now, price action is trying to rise and retest the break zone and its upper bound. If it remains under 43700, price action may continue in its downward direction towards support barriers below situated at 43050 and 42500.
DowJones The Week Ahead 10th March '25Sentiment: Neutral, Price action is consolidating in a tight trading range.
Resistance: Key Resistance is at 43145, followed by 43600 and 44000.
Support: Key support is at 43303 followed by 42000 and 41650.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Long US30 Trade: Targeting 43,200 for Potential Upside1. On-Balance Volume (OBV) Analysis
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) shows a strong bullish signal:
Current OBV value: 122 billion as of March 7, 2025
Trend: Consistently rising (115B to 122B over the last 5 periods)
2. Volume RSI and Market Sentiment
The Volume Relative Strength Index (RSI) provides insights into the market's momentum:
Current RSI: 40.5 as of March 7, 2025
Interpretation: Not oversold, potential for reversal
3. Trading Volumes and Market Participation
Recent trading volumes indicate strong market participation:
Average 3-month volume: 571,237,219
Recent daily volumes: 378,263,925 and 355,151,349
Last 24-hour volume: 543,817,886
4. Institutional Money Flow
The Commitments of Traders (COT) report and other indicators suggest strong institutional presence:
Institutional traders maintaining substantial positions in US30 futures
High trading volumes indicating active institutional participation
Rising OBV confirming institutional accumulation
This institutional involvement provides a solid foundation for the long position, as large players often have the power to drive market trends .
US30 Analysis: Bearish Trend Holding Below 42,385US30 Analysis & Market Impact – March 10, 2025
📉 The price remains in a bearish trend, as projected last week.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Stability below 42,385 confirms the continuation of the bearish trend toward 41,785.
As long as the price remains below 42,385, the bearish momentum stays intact.
A 1H or 4H candle close above 42,385 could lead to a push toward 42,588, and a break above 42,590 would indicate a potential bullish reversal.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔸 Resistance: 42,588 | 42,820 | 43,020
🔹 Pivot Level: 42,385
🔻 Support: 42,040 | 41,790 | 41,560
Previous idea Here
US30 BULLISH FOR 9000PIPSThe US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is a popular index that tracks 30 large, publicly-owned companies trading on the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ. A forecast of a 9,000 pips bullish movement in the US30 would imply a significant upward trend in the index. Here's a breakdown of what this could mean and factors to consider:
US30Trend: Bearish market.
Take Profit Levels:
TP 1 at 41681.00: Previous quarter’s low.
TP 2 at 40000.00: Key psychological level.
Confirmation: Breaking the 42568.00 low will confirm bearish momentum.
COT Data: Confirmed bearish sentiment from Commitment of Traders (COT) report, supporting the bearish outlook.
US30 | Dow Jones Reversal? Bulls Defending Support!📌 Dow Jones at Critical Support – Will Bulls Step In?
🔸 The US30 has been in a downtrend, with price testing a major demand zone at 42,250 - 42,500.
🔸 Key market drivers:
✅ Bond yields rising, pressuring equities.
✅ Fears of delayed rate cuts impacting investor sentiment.
✅ NFP report & Powell’s testimony creating uncertainty.
💡 Upcoming Catalysts
🔹 Stronger-than-expected NFP data → Could delay rate cuts → Bearish for US30.
🔹 Weaker jobs data → Could increase rate cut bets → Bullish for US30.
🔍 Technical Analysis (1H Timeframe)
🚀 Key Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Demand Zone: $42,250 - $42,500 (Strong support)
🔹 Resistance Levels:
🔸 $43,600 – First upside target.
🔸 $44,704 – Major supply zone (potential reversal area).
📈 Bullish Reversal Setup?
📌 Price is testing a high-probability support zone, indicating potential buyer interest.
📌 If price breaks above $42,750, we could see a rally toward $43,600 & $44,704.
📌 Bullish confirmation if price closes above $43,000.
📊 Trade Plan
✅ Bullish Scenario
Buy near support if price shows rejection.
Target 1: $43,600
Target 2: $44,704
Stop Loss: Below $42,200.
❌ Bearish Alternative
If price breaks below $42,200, expect further downside.
🔥 Final Thoughts:
The Dow Jones is at a key support level – will bulls push back, or will sellers dominate? Comment below with your bias! 📉📈
Possible bottom for Dow JonesDow Jones has made 0.786 retracement and reached the bottom of the channel. There is a positive 4h divergence on RSI. I think we will at least see a bounce from here tomorrow.
short idea on Dow Jones Industrial index us30Hi traders, this idea is based on technical analysis. As you can see, the Dow Jones has broken below the support level of 44533.5, which leads me to expect further sell-off towards 43909.8, 43593.7, and 42598. My stop-loss is at 44533.5.
Reading marketsTried retail, volume, order foot prints, you name the strategy and I’ve tried it however the case, I have found success in ict trading , why? Not because of order blocks or fvgs or all that, but because of context. The single most differential factor in trading between being a good trader and a mechanical average trader is context, that’s your key, that’s your answer.
US30USDI took a long/buy on US30 because I saw an opportunity after the market made a Break of Structure (BOS) and took the minor low (L) to be a lower high (LH). This caused the market to flip and change direction after it reached the lower high (LH), making the market target the Resistance Level (R LEVEL) where there is unswept liquidity. Our major target is the Quasimodo Level (QML), and this is where we will take our sell again. The QML mitigated on the IFC. Entry price: 42389.3, Stop Loss (SL): 42253.0, Take Profit (TP): 42991.8.
