DETAIL ANALYSIS OF US30 US30 has reversed from bullish to bearish on daily timeframe However on monthly timeframe the long term Bullish trend is intact on Monthly timeframe applying SMC i have marked the chart and possible scenario is of downward likely market will take on the previous low and apparently on daily time frame its probably 4th wave low is yet to be identified therefore will look for selling with stop above 41000
Note: Only for educational purpose not a financial advice
US30 trade ideas
Drop followed followed by long.Dow Jones is currently attempting to continue its bullish resurgence, but has failed to do so by failing to stabilise above 40,883. As long as price action is under the 40k mark, the points may likely retest the previous support barriers, situated between 39,500 and 38,750, as likely bullish catalysts for a long opportunity. However, by failing to go down, breaking, and stabilising above 40,883, the price may continue going up, targeting 42,600 and 42,000.
US30 Trade Update – 21/04/2025 🚨 US30 Trade Update – 21/04/2025 🚨
📉 US30 Continues Downtrend!
The Dow Jones remains under heavy pressure after rejecting 40,701 resistance last week. Price is now grinding below EMAs with a bearish structure and eyeing the next support at 38,400.
🔍 Key Observations:
❌ Strong rejection from 40,701
📉 EMA 8/21 crossover remains bearish
🔻 Price consolidating near 38,800
⚠️ If 38,400 breaks → eyes on 36,743 next major support
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔻 Short below 38,400 → Target 36,743
🔹 Long only if price flips 39,800 and holds
🧨 Bearish bias intact unless bulls reclaim trend control
📌 No signs of reversal yet. Trend favors sellers — watch 38,400 for breakout or bounce.
DOW/US30 - what the expectation from the marketTeam, last week we kill the market
I have prepare for the next week strategy
We currently have some small volume position long at this stage
and will add more if the market down to next level,
However, we expect some recovery at this stage.
Strategy:
TARGET 1 - 39266-39335
TARGET 2 - 39375-39467
TARGET 3 at 39600-39929
TARGET 4 at 40.400-41400 - run with mini volume and hold.
US30 Outlook on 4H TF - LONG US30 - Bullish Wave 5 Push to 42,000 📈
We're still in a Wave 4 correction on the daily, but price just retested Wave 4 lows at 38,900 area and held (for now). Now forming a double bottom on the 4H, and Wave 1 is starting on the 1H.
Looking for a Wave 5 push up toward 42,000 before a major selloff.
Key Levels:
🔹 Support: 38,970
🔹 TP Zones: 40,000 → 41,000 → 42,000
🔻 Short Bias kicks in after Wave 5 completes (Target: 38,100-38,200)
Plan: Buy dips while above 38,900, scale out near 42K, watch for reversal confirmation.
US30 – Monthly Market Structure Analysis (April 2025) – OLHC BUY
As we analyze the monthly structure of the US30 index for April 2025, several key technical developments and strategic insights are worth noting:
1. Monthly Low Established:
The price action for this month has thus far established a significant low, indicating a potential bottoming pattern that may signal the beginning of a bullish move.
2. Key Support Level and First Rejection:
A strong bullish rejection was observed at the 37,000 level, which has proven to be a substantial support zone. This level held firmly, suggesting strong buyer interest and institutional accumulation.
3.Target Projection:
My primary take-profit target for this upward move is projected at **41,834.42** , which aligns with higher timeframe resistance and Fibonacci extension levels. This offers a favorable risk-to-reward scenario for long entries.
4. Waiting for Confirmation:
At present, I am closely monitoring price behavior near a **minor support zone**, where I anticipate another rejection that could provide the ideal entry signal for initiating buy positions. Patience remains key as we await further confirmation.
5. Strategic Considerations:
- Risk Management: Traders are advised to apply proper risk management protocols. Avoid over-leveraging, and ensure your trade size is appropriate to your account equity.
- Discipline: Do not rush into trades. Wait for solid confirmation signals, such as bullish candlestick patterns or momentum shifts, before committing capital.
- Market Conditions: Be aware of upcoming economic events or fundamental news that may impact US indices, and adjust your strategy accordingly.
6. Community Engagement:
If you found this analysis insightful and aligned with your trading view, feel free to like, share, and follow for more structured market updates and trading ideas.
Let’s trade smart, stay patient, and manage risk with precision. All the best this month!
Dow Jones Update: Downside Pressure PersistsI currently estimate that the Dow Jones is in the early stage of wave B of wave (B), as indicated by the black label. This suggests that the index may continue its correction, potentially testing the 38,200–39,186 area before rebounding to challenge the resistance zone around 40,791 and possibly filling the gap between 41,173 and 41,629.
However, under the more bearish scenario (red label), the selling pressure on the Dow Jones remains significant, which may result in the formation of wave , leading to a deeper correction below the 36,611 level.
Bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot nd could drop to the 1st support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 39,291.00
1st Support: 37,024.36
1st Resistance: 40,624.32
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Avoid Trading Indices on Long Weekends and Bank HolidaysTrading indices during long weekends or bank holidays can be risky due to lower liquidity and higher volatility. Many major financial institutions and market participants are away, leading to thinner trading volumes. This can cause exaggerated price swings, making it harder to execute trades at desired levels. Additionally, unexpected news or geopolitical events over the extended break can trigger sharp gaps when markets reopen, increasing the chances of significant losses.
Another key concern is the lack of immediate reaction time. Since markets are closed for an extended period, traders have no opportunity to adjust positions in response to breaking news. This can leave portfolios exposed to unforeseen risks. Spreads on indices also tend to widen during these times, increasing trading costs. For these reasons, it’s often safer to wait for normal trading conditions rather than risking unpredictable moves during illiquid holiday sessions.
Dow JonesDow Jones
MTF Analysis
Dow JonesYearly Demand 36,970.0
Dow Jones 6 Month Demand DMIP 35,008.0
Dow Jones Qtrly Demand 37,786.0
Dow JonesMonthly Demand BUFL 38,581.0
Dow JonesWeekly Demand Resistance now support 36,970.0
Dow Jones Daily DMIP 37,390.0
ENTRY -1 Long 37,390.0
SL 37,128.0
RISK 262.0
Target as per Entry 45,307.0
RR 30.2
DOW/US30Team, time to go long DOW/US30
yesterday the market disappointed on the FED decision,
i just cant believe the FED compare the inflation in 2020-2021 that is where the COVID and lock down. And compare to 2024. he should have cut the interest rate to ease the market.
Given the fact the market is dropping 1000 points, i expect we should have some recover at least 200-300 points medium
Target 1 at 39225
Target 2 at 39335-39420
Target 3 at 39560-39670
We should see the market pump in 2-3 hour time frame or recover.
DOW fulfilled all Market Bottom conditions. 2year rally started!Dow Jones (DJI) has cemented a strong Support zone last week. Not only did it almost test its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and successfully held but also the former All Time High (ATH) Resistance trend-line that started from the previous Cycle Top and now turned into Support.
This previous ATH trend-line held and offered its Support on the previous 2 major market bottoms as well (October 03 2022 and March 23 2020). Actually on all 3 previous Cycle bottoms that turned out to be the best level to buy long-term, the 1W RSI was oversold on the 30.00 limit.
All the above conditions were fulfilled on last week's (April 07 2025) Low. Even though Dow is expected to reach 53000 on its next Top in around 2 years, the most optimal Sell Signal has been given by the 1W RSI. After the 1W RSI breaks for the first time above the 70.00 overbought limit again, the best Sell Signal would be after it drops and re-tests again 70.00 for the 2nd time.
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Potential bearish drop?DJ30 is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 39,332.63
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 40,743.45
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 37,047.85
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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