US30 4h swing bearish
4h fractal just shift to bearish from clear supply
15 min swing gonna shift to bearish , liq-swept , waiting for confirmation..
if condition fullfil then will definitely go short but in kill-zone hours.
US30 trade ideas
dow Jones Industrial Average indesX ( US30)BLACKBULL:US30 Trading nearly Support Let's see what happens.
US30BUY Opportunity
- Base channel on Daily time frame retested indicating end of Wave 4.
- Buy opportunity towards wave 5, potentially at price - 47 838.64
Buy Confirmation
- On 2 Hour timeframe, Bos and with a leading diagonal.
- We then place a buy limit at 41 087.27 as the demand zone
This is not investment advise. Enter at your own risk.
DOW JONES targeting 50000 on this final Bull yearDow Jones / US30 posted the first green weekly candle after hitting last week the 1week MA50.
This is obviously a critical support level as it has been holding since the October 30th 2023 rebound.
As this chart shows, Dow has been repeating the same patterns, Cycle after Cycle.
Right now it has entered the Final Year of Bull, which is the part where it rises aggressively to form the Top before the new Bear begins in the form of a Megaphone pattern.
The previous Bull peaked on the 2.382 Fibonacci extension of the Megaphone.
This means that a 50000 Target for Dow is perfectly plausible by the end of 2025.
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Dow Jones INTRADAY Bearish oversold bounce backKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42488
Resistance Level 2: 43067
Resistance Level 3: 43575
Support Level 1: 40657
Support Level 2: 40109
Support Level 3: 39584
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Dow Going Down Dow already reached the end of Resistance Zone now we going down.
I strongly believe we have two scenarios:
Scenario number One: re-test support Zone 1h (1 hour) and bounce higher.
Scenario number two: we going to POI (Point Of Interest or what called Institutional Candle) and bounce higher.
Note: these bounces doesn't mean down trend is finished but means that we will gain decent profits for couple of session since we don't have confirmation of finishing this down going move
Order Block @41594|Buy SignalPrice created a Break of structure and retested to an order block and went on to create another break of structure and the retraced to sweep liquidity and mitigate an order block. Now I'm waiting for a confirmation in order to open a buy position.
Where are high probable trades are found?High probable trades and high quality set ups are found in your premium and discount levels.
US30 Short - Broke Ascending TrendUS30 has broke ascending trendline. I'm monitoring FVG's to fill orders. US30 currently trading below Daily Open price which is also in favor for a short.
High Probability or Nah?Is this setup justified, or is it just a seen Gap that SMT default settings had us spot?
US30 BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
US30 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 41,902.2
Target Level: 40,698.3
Stop Loss: 42,704.8
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
downtrendThe support trend line is expected to be broken, then a continuation of the downtrend is likely. If the index breaks through the previous ceiling range, an upward trend is likely.
Potential bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 42,208.96
1st Support: 41,442.18
1st Resistance: 42,990.92
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"US30 at a Crossroads: Inflation, Fed Policy, and Market Swings The US30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is currently experiencing heightened volatility as investors grapple with mixed economic signals from the U.S. economy. On one hand, strong corporate earnings and resilient consumer spending have provided support, while on the other, concerns over persistent inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions have weighed on sentiment. This reflects the broader state of the U.S. economy, which is navigating a delicate balance between slowing growth and inflationary pressures.
In the coming months, the US30 is likely to remain sensitive to Federal Reserve policy decisions, particularly regarding rate cuts or hikes, as well as developments in the labor market and global economic conditions. Investors should brace for continued fluctuations, with potential upside if inflation shows signs of easing and downside risks if economic data points to a sharper slowdown.
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Recession searches spike on Google!!Good day traders and investors.,
The term recession has had a few spikes over the years since Google has been around, but what does it mean? These searches are typical made by the common folks.
Did the herd get it right this time?? Probably not, I have generally bet against them. The Google search trends has the data to back the information. Generally this means the bottom is either in or close. Also on two occasions there have been a couple of back to back spikes. Almost like one was a precursor.
You can see very clear in this naked chart of the DOW JONES, that only includes the GOOGLE TRENDS search of the term “RECESSION”. I have time aligned the GOOGLE TRENDS data to the DOW JONES it really shows a clear picture. The herd is always a day late and a dollar short. By the time they are searching it most of the pain is gone and the market is at or near a bottom. The only question that remains is, how long? If it lasts too long it could hurt any forward movement.
Let me know what you think
Kind regards,
WeAreSat0shi
TOP IS NOT IN YET (MORE UPSIDE AFTER THE MINOR CORRECTIONS)We discussed the 5-year bull cycle that starts off every 20-year cycle. We identified that the current 5-year bull cycle will be one of the wildest in the history of the DJIA market by virtue of the current energy level within the log expansion. We will start a new progressive series to discuss the current 20-year cycle in motion.
First we will look closely at these three different 20-year cycles
From the three cycles we can identify a peculiar recurring structure, that is, after the approximately 5th year top we have a wild decline that averagely bottoms below the starting price. We will not dwell much on this cycle as it's not the current cycle in progress. Between these cycles is an (Alternate Cycle) that also has a similar fractal construction.
The first two alternate cycles directly lie between the cycles identified earlier and have a similar fractal. The most striking identity of these alternate cycles is that the origin point is the lowest point within the 20 year trend. The correction from the 5th year top is not so steep and never goes below the origin
The 1942/1962 cycle lies between the 1921/1942 and 1962/1982 cycles
The 1982/2002 cycle lies between the 1962/1982 and 2002/2022 cycles
This means the next alternate 20-year cycle is the 2022/2042 cycle which will lie between 2002/2022 and 2042/2062 cycles. From the internal construction of this cycle we can dive deeper and model the structure forward in both price and time. Example, the vertical price axis for the 1942/1962 cycle was (+648.61 pts) and total horizontal time elapsed was (+1052 wks).
We have a (648.61 x 1052) structure showing a perfect golden ratio of price and time
(1052 / 648.61) = 1.6219
1982/2002 cycle had price axis = 1098.03 pts and time = 1052 wks
We have approximately a 1098.03 x 1052 square of price and time
By observing the cumulative growth pattern we can make projection of the current cycle in progress. We would go through the growth gradually and identify price and time resistances as price action progresses. Please check back as we build step by step the growth structure of the current cycle.
Trade safe
Trade idea: US30 short ( SELL LIMIT )Technical Analysis:
1. Daily Chart:
• Trend: Bearish correction after a strong uptrend.
• MACD: Negative, showing increasing bearish momentum.
• RSI: 38.25, indicating oversold conditions but with room for further downside.
• Price Action: The price has broken below the short-term moving average, signaling further weakness.
2. 15-Min Chart:
• Trend: Downtrend with lower highs and lower lows.
• MACD: Bearish crossover, confirming downward momentum.
• RSI: 62.60, indicating price has rebounded but is not yet overbought.
• Resistance: Around 41786, which aligns with prior price rejection.
3. 3-Min Chart:
• Trend: Recent short-term uptrend, but likely a retracement in the larger bearish structure.
• RSI: 77.65 (overbought), indicating a potential short opportunity.
• MACD: Bullish but losing momentum.
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Fundamental Analysis:
• Recent Market Sentiment: High volatility suggests caution. A larger correction is possible.
• Interest Rate & Economic Data: If the Fed remains hawkish, equities could see further declines.
• Geopolitical & Economic Risks: Uncertainty in global markets could weigh on the Dow.
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Trade Setup:
• Position: Short (Sell) US30
• Entry: 41750 (near resistance on the 15-min chart)
• Stop Loss (SL): 41880 (above previous highs, tight risk control)
• Take Profit (TP): 41450 (key support level)
• Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 2:1
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Trade Idea : US30 Sell ( MARKET)1. Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
• Trend: The index is in a broader downtrend, with a recent pullback from highs around 42890 to 42060.
• MACD: Deep in negative territory, suggesting bearish momentum.
• RSI: 43.01 — indicating it’s closer to oversold but still has room to fall further before a reversal.
15-Minute Chart
• Trend: Short-term uptrend, showing a rally from a dip around 40900 to 42060, but nearing resistance near 42145.
• MACD: Positive, but momentum appears to slow down.
• RSI: 61.29 — heading toward overbought territory, indicating a potential pullback.
3-Minute Chart
• Trend: Micro uptrend, but showing signs of consolidation after the recent strong push.
• MACD: Positive but flattening, suggesting momentum is fading.
• RSI: 60.10 — also near overbought.
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2. Fundamental Analysis
• Market Sentiment: Recent rallies seem more like a technical rebound rather than a fundamentally-driven bullish push.
• Geopolitical/Economic Factors: If the broader market sentiment remains uncertain (e.g., interest rate worries, inflation data), the US30 could face further downward pressure.
• Dollar Strength: A strong USD typically weighs on US equities, which aligns with the bearish technical outlook.
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3. Trade Setup: Short Position (Sell)
• Entry: 42080 (near current price, just under resistance)
• Stop Loss (SL): 42150 (just above the last 15-min resistance level)
• Take Profit (TP): 41700 (previous support on the 15-min chart) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
The bear setup into Late March is still intactNo change in the analysis from yesterday. The pump today is just another attempt to breakout of the range and I don't think they will do it. More traps.
US30My opinion
Unspoken truth: The 3rd touch on #US30 can make or break your trading strategy. Don't underestimate its impact. Stay focused and stay informed with our expert market analysis. #tradingtips #stockmarket #investing
US30 Buy pullbackUS30 is in a bullish reversal considering current market structure.
I'll be using a limit order to buy at a lower price with good R:R.
Order Block @41721 |Buy SignalPrice gave us a break of structure and came back to mitigate the order block that lead to the break of structure. It gave us confirmation on a lower timeframe upon mitigating the order block. So now I am waiting for price to come back to my 1m timeframe for an entry.
