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US30FU trade ideas

Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 2 May 2025- Dow Jones broke resistance zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 42000.00 Dow Jones index recently broke the resistance zone between the pivotal resistance level 40815.00 (former support from March and the top of wave A from the start of April) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse 5 from March. The breakout of this resistance zone continues the C-wave of the active ABC correction (2) from the start of April. Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 42000.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave C).
DJ:DJILong
by FxProGlobal
DowJones INTRADAY NFP volatility trigger! Momentum is bullish, but today’s NFP report is a key risk event. A weaker-than-expected jobs number could reinforce rate cut bets and extend the rally. A surprise beat may trigger profit-taking. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 41200 Resistance Level 2: 42000 Resistance Level 3: 42710 Support Level 1: 39446 Support Level 2: 38490 Support Level 3: 37840 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
US30 (Dow Jones) – Short Setup in Play – May 2, 2025🔍 Setup Summary: Price is trading within a bearish internal channel and has shown a reaction from a lower high inside the upper boundary. There’s clear intent to grab liquidity, possibly sweep the short-term high above the descending wedge, then reject sharply. 📉 Trade Idea: Looking for price to spike up toward the upper channel resistance (~41,250–41,300), potentially sweep liquidity, then reject and break below the ascending trendline. A clean short could target the 15-min FVG zone and demand block around 40,600, with extended targets toward 40,300. ✅ Confluences: Bearish market structure and channel Potential liquidity sweep + internal market trap Fair Value Gap + previous demand zones below Trendline break setup for entry confirmation 📌 Bias: Bearish – short-term rally expected before a move lower 🕒 Timeframe: 15-minute chart 📈 Risk-to-Reward: 2.5–3:1 depending on entry point and target zone ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal outlook based on technical analysis. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research, manage risk appropriately, and use proper trade management. Markets carry risk — trade safe.
FX:US30Short
by V-E-R-U-M
DOW JONES: The most critical 1D MA50 of all.Dow Jones is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.914, MACD = -282.250, ADX = 30.751) but has completed 5 green 1D candles in a row, going for the all important Resistance test of the 1D MA50. This trendline has been intact since March 3rd and is on a crucial Resistance cluster as this is where the LH trendline from the ATH is. The 1D RSI is already on an Inverse H&S, which is a positive sign but we need to see a candle closing over the 1D MA50 to validate the restoration of the long term bullish trend. If succesful, we will turn long and target the ATH Resistance (TP = 45,000), which is also just under the 2.0 Fib extension. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:DJI
by InvestingScope
US30: Time to Reverse or Push Higher?Hey Traders, As you can see on the chart, price tapped into a major level around the $37,000 area, where we saw a weekly liquidity grab followed by a 4H change of character — leading to a strong push up to the $40,800 zone. Now, we’re looking at two possible scenarios: 📌 Scenario 1: Price pulls back to the $39,100 area and gives a solid 4H confirmation → Targeting the $41,000 zone. 📌 Scenario 2: Price breaks below the $39,100 area and the trendline, then pulls back into the same level with confirmation → Targeting the $37,000 / $36,000 area. ⚠️ This is not financial advice — just sharing my view on the current setup. Be safe, be happy, and have a great trading day. – Mr. Wolf 🐺
FOREXCOM:US30
by MrWolf10
US30: Long Position Setup – Buyers Target Key ResistanceOverview: The US30 index (Dow Jones Industrial Average) presents a clear long setup as price tests a crucial support zone, with potential bullish momentum targeting higher resistance levels. The chart's long position tool highlights a well-defined risk-to-reward framework. Key Details from the Chart: Long Position Tool Breakdown: Entry Point: Price hovering near the support level, suggesting a strong buying opportunity. Stop-Loss Level: Positioned slightly below the support to limit downside risk. Take-Profit Target: Aiming for the next resistance zone above current price levels. Support and Resistance Analysis: Support Zone: A reliable level where buyers have repeatedly entered the market. Resistance Zone: Above the take-profit target, where sellers might step in and stall upward movement. Volume Insights: Increased buying interest near the support level signals bullish sentiment. Volume profile analysis confirms strong participation at these levels. Long Trade Plan: Entry Strategy: Initiate long positions near the support level, ensuring confirmation with bullish candlestick patterns or a surge in buying volume. Stop-Loss Placement: Secure the position with a stop-loss below the support level to protect against adverse price movements. Take-Profit Levels: Target the resistance zone, maximizing potential gains while maintaining favorable risk management. Market Sentiment: The chart reflects growing buyer interest, with price action likely to push higher as long as the support zone holds. Traders should remain vigilant for reversal signals and manage positions accordingly. Closing Thoughts: This long trade setup on US30 offers a well-balanced approach, allowing traders to capitalize on bullish momentum while minimizing risk. As always, patience and discipline are key to executing trades effectively.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by PIPSPHERE_NETWORK
2
Bearish Forecast for the Dow Jones Starting May 15, 2025Bearish Forecast for the Dow Jones Starting May 15, 2025 The Dow Jones Industrial Average is poised to begin a significant decline, potentially as early as today, May 15, 2025, targeting a retest of the price low from April 7, 2025 (~36,611.78), and possibly lower. This movement is driven by renewed trade tensions, disappointing economic data, and bearish market sentiment. 1. Fundamental Factors Driving Potential Decline Fundamental factors provide the macroeconomic and policy-driven rationale for the anticipated downturn in the Dow Jones. 1.1. Renewed Uncertainty in Trade Policy The Dow’s rally on May 12–13, 2025, was fueled by optimism over a temporary U.S.-China tariff reduction agreement (90-day truce) announced after talks in Switzerland on May 11, 2025. However, as of May 15, 2025, investor confidence is faltering due to a lack of progress in ongoing U.S.-China trade negotiations. Trigger for May 15: A Reuters report from May 14, 2025, notes that U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent are meeting with Chinese officials, but no new agreements have been confirmed. If today’s talks fail to deliver positive outcomes or if President Trump escalates tariff rhetoric, the Dow could plummet, as seen in early April when tariffs triggered a 5.5% single-day drop. The Dow, with its heavy weighting of multinational corporations, is particularly vulnerable to trade war fears, which could drive it toward the April 7 low as investors price in higher costs and slower global growth. 1.2. Disappointments in Economic Data CPI Reaction: The April 2025 Consumer Price Index (CPI), released on May 14, 2025, showed inflation at 2.3% annually, below the expected 2.4%. However, the Dow’s decline (-0.6%) on May 14 suggests investors expected a lower figure to support Federal Reserve rate cuts, reflecting skepticism about inflation cooling further. Producer Price Index (PPI) Release on May 15: The PPI for April 2025, due at 8:30 AM ET (2:30 PM CEST) on May 15, 2025, is critical. A higher-than-expected PPI, potentially driven by tariff-related cost pressures, could signal rising consumer prices, reducing hopes for Fed easing and triggering a sell-off. Consensus expects a 0.2% monthly increase; a reading above 0.3% could echo the April market reaction when GDP contraction fears pushed the Dow to 36,611.78. Consumer Sentiment: The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May 2025, released on May 14, likely showed continued weakness (April: 52.2, a multi-year low). A further decline could heighten concerns about reduced consumer spending, impacting Dow components like Walmart and Home Depot. 1.3. Concerns Over Federal Reserve Policy On May 7, 2025, Fed Chair Jerome Powell cited “elevated uncertainty” due to trade policies, with markets expecting 75 basis points of rate cuts in 2025, starting in July. If today’s PPI or Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) indicate persistent inflation or economic weakness, rate cut expectations could fade, increasing borrowing costs and pressuring Dow valuations, mirroring the April 7 recession fears. 2. Technical Analysis The Dow’s initial decline in April was approximately -19.00%, with a second impulse of similar magnitude. Technical indicators suggest a bearish setup for May 15, 2025: Current Level: The Dow closed at 42,051.06 on May 14, 2025, down 0.6%, testing support at 42,000. Bearish Signals: A 12-hour timeframe analysis indicates alignment for a decline, with potential bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing) and overbought RSI (70). A break below 42,000 could target the 200-day moving average (40,500) and the April 7 low of 36,611.78. Price Targets: Retest of April 7, 2025, low: ~36,611.78 Secondary target: ~35,970.70 (based on Fibonacci extensions and prior support zones). 3. Market Sentiment and Behavioral Factors Fragile Optimism: The Dow’s 15% recovery from April lows was driven by trade truce hopes and select stock strength. Bloomberg’s May 14, 2025, report notes Wall Street’s rebound is “showing signs of exhaustion” due to trade risks. The Dow’s May 14 weakness, led by an 18% UnitedHealth drop, could spread if negative news emerges today. Global Correlation: Mixed Asian market performance on May 14 (e.g., Nikkei up 1.43%, India’s Nifty 50 down 1.27%) suggests vulnerability. A lower Asian open on May 15, driven by U.S. declines or trade news, could amplify selling pressure on the Dow. 4. Evidence-Based Framework for the Forecast 4.1. Catalysts for Today’s Decline (May 15, 2025) PPI Data (8:30 AM ET): A PPI reading above 0.3% could signal sticky inflation, reducing Fed rate cut odds and sparking a sell-off. Trade Talk Updates: Negative U.S.-China trade comments (e.g., no Geneva deal) could reignite fears, mirroring April 7. Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Claims above 220,000 (vs. prior 211,000) could signal labor market weakness, fueling recession concerns. 4.2. Dow Scenario Expect a wave-like decline with corrections. The Dow could fall below 36,611.78, potentially reaching ~35,970.70 if trade and economic pressures intensify. Extreme caution is advised in 2025. 4.3. Global Scenario for S&P 500 I anticipate a wave-like decline with intermittent corrections. I wouldn’t be surprised if the S&P 500 falls below 4,700, potentially reaching 4,200. Extreme caution is warranted this year. There’s even a theory that, starting in 2025, the U.S. dollar could lose 50% of its purchasing power. Idea: New Screenshot: 4.4. Oil and Geopolitical Outlook I expect oil (Brent) to decline to the $50+/- range, from which an upward trend may begin, potentially tied to future military conflicts: · Europe vs. Russia · India vs. Pakistan · Iran vs. Israel Brent (UKOIL): Natural Gas:
TVC:DJIShort
by SergioRichi
US30 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 42,099/43, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 41,299.50 an overlap support . The stop loss is set at 42745.02, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:US30Short
by Tradu
US30 Recently will breakoutUS3O A new forecast a new downtrend zone Forecast from Mr Martin11 Date 14 May 2025 US30 Bearish Pattern Analysis Currently showing a bearish structure The price appears to be nearing a breakout to the downside. Targets to watch 1st Target 40,500 2nd Target: 39,500 if the bearish breakout confirms (possibly with strong volume and a close below recent support), the price may push toward these lower support levels. If you'd like, I can help you with a chart annotation or deeper technical analysis (e.g., support/resistance levels, RSI, MACD, Fibonacci retracement). you may find more details in the Chart Thanks Good Luck Traders.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by MrMartin_11
DowJones INTRADAY key trading level at 41790US stocks point to slightly lower open as traders react to global and economic developments. Main drivers: Trump’s Gulf Visit: Markets are watching for any new investment deals or geopolitical tensions. A $600B Saudi investment deal was announced yesterday, and Trump is now heading to Qatar. Tariff Optimism: Hopes of US-China tariff easing have supported recent rallies and reduced fears of a slowdown. Rate Cut Expectations Lower: Stronger sentiment has reduced chances of near-term rate cuts by the Fed, ECB, and BoE. This may limit upside for some rate-sensitive stocks. ECB Outlook: ECB’s Villeroy said a rate cut is likely this summer, keeping some dovish tone in Europe. US CPI Impact: Markets are still digesting yesterday’s inflation data, which could affect future Fed moves. Trading Takeaway: Momentum is supported by global optimism, but fading rate cut hopes and geopolitical risks may keep gains in check. Stay alert for headlines out of the Gulf. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 42550 Resistance Level 2: 42910 Resistance Level 3: 43370 Support Level 1: 41790 Support Level 2: 41470 Support Level 3: 41220 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Justification: Technical Analysis: 1. Daily Chart: • Strong bullish reversal from recent lows. • MACD is crossing up sharply, showing fresh bullish momentum. • RSI at 62.33 — rising but not yet overbought (room to run). • Price reclaiming key moving averages. 2. 15-Minute Chart: • Clear uptrend continuation. • MACD and RSI confirm bullish momentum. • Price consolidating at recent highs — potential breakout formation. 3. 3-Minute Chart: • Short-term consolidation near highs with low RSI (38.84) — possible dip-buy opportunity. • MACD near zero — primed for a new short-term wave. Fundamental Analysis (as of early May 2025 context): • Likely market optimism surrounding softer inflation data and potential rate cuts. • Dow components (industrials, financials) benefit from economic soft-landing expectations. • VIX (if tracked) remains subdued, confirming risk-on sentiment. ⸻ Trade Plan (Long): • Entry: 42,360 Near current consolidation zone on lower timeframes. • Stop Loss (SL): 41,850 Below recent swing lows and key moving average support (approx. 510 pts risk). • Take Profit (TP): 43,380 Targeting previous resistance area on the Daily chart (approx. 1020 pts reward). FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by KeN-WeNzEl
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 12 May 2025 - Dow Jones broke the resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 43000.00 Dow Jones index recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 42000.00, 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from February and the resistance trendline from the same month. The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the C-wave of the active ABC correction (2) from the start of April. Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 43000.00 (former top of wave 4 from March).
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by FxProGlobal