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US30FU trade ideas

Bull Run To New Highs?The Dow got slammed on Wednesday, down 2%, no follow through yesterday. Despite all the look of this rally being a bounce to sell, notice the uptrend line of support developed, this is the dynamics of markets, morph and twist to shake out weaker hands. Would not be surprised to see a resumption of this rally to all time highs into June/July, the tariff wobbles are gone for now, any firm close below the trend line changes the trend. We buy this market now at support in prospect of a larger rally to resume. Appreciate a thumbs up, Good Trading & God Bless you all!
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by Fractal777
US30 Stabilizes Above Key Support Amid Geopolitical TensionsUS30 – Overview The price reacted modestly to ongoing Middle East tensions, reaching our previously mentioned pivot zone at 42160, then reversed and stabilized within the bullish territory. Technical Outlook: As long as the price holds above 42160, bullish momentum is expected to continue toward 42410. A 1H close above 42410 would confirm further upside toward 42610 and 42810. 🔻 To shift into a bearish trend, the price must close below 42160 on the 1H or 4H timeframe, which could lead to a move down to 41780. Key Levels: • Pivot: 42310 • Resistance: 42410 / 42610 / 42810 • Support: 42160 / 41970 / 41780
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
Dow Jones Approaches Two-Month Highs AgainThe Dow Jones index has started the week with a strong bullish bias, pushing the price up by more than 1% in the short term. This upward trend has remained solid despite growing military tensions in the Middle East. While the conflict caused significant volatility last week, markets have now digested the uncertainty, with CNN’s Fear and Greed Index remaining steady in the “greed” zone, showing no signs of retreating toward neutral territory. This suggests that confidence remains firm in the short term, allowing demand for risk assets like the Dow Jones to stay consistent in recent sessions. However, it is important to note that the Dow has historically shown significant sensitivity to trade war developments. Although ongoing negotiations between the United States and China continue, the outcome regarding tariffs remains uncertain. If no agreement is reached, negative trade dynamics could resurface, triggering a renewed loss of confidence and possibly leading to sustained selling pressure in the long term. Consistent Bullish Trend Since early April, the Dow Jones has maintained a strong buying trend, with price movements consistently above the 40,000-point level. So far, there have been no major bearish corrections that would break this structure. However, the price is currently facing a key resistance level. If this barrier holds, it could mark the beginning of a corrective phase in the short term. Technical Indicators: RSI: The RSI line has begun to show a bearish divergence, as it records lower highs, while the Dow’s price posts higher highs. This reflects an imbalance in market forces, which may lead to short-term downside corrections. TRIX: The TRIX line, which measures the momentum of exponential moving averages, remains above the neutral level (0), but has started to flatten, potentially signaling the beginning of a neutral phase, especially as the price tests resistance zones. Key Levels to Watch: 42,700 points: A critical resistance zone, aligned with the 200-period simple moving average. A breakout above this level would strengthen the current bullish bias and help consolidate the uptrend. 41,900 points: A short-term support level, associated with a recent neutral zone. It could act as a barrier against downward corrections. 41,064 points: The final support, aligned with the 50-period simple moving average. A drop to this level could threaten the ongoing bullish trend. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst Follow him at: @julianpineda25
FOREXCOM:US30
by FOREXcom
Wall Street Eyes Volatility: Dow Jones Tests Reversal ZoneUS30 (Dow Jones Index) — Clashing Forces of Risk & Reality Technical Outlook — 16 June, 2025 | 1H Chart Current Market Condition: The Dow Jones (US30) has staged a recovery from the recent dip, but price is stalling at the Previous Day High (~42,588), a key confluence zone with the broken rising trendline, 50 EMA, and overhead supply. This hesitation comes amid heightened global risk aversion triggered by the intensifying Iran–Israel conflict, adding pressure to global indices as investors rotate into safer assets like treasuries and gold. Despite intraday rebounds, equity bulls are showing signs of fatigue at resistance zones. Markets are also bracing for upcoming US economic data and Fed commentary, which may further amplify intraday volatility. Key Technical Highlights: Price rejected from the confluence of PDH (~42,588), horizontal supply zone, and old rising trendline (yellow). Currently hovering just under the 50 EMA; failure to hold could initiate a rotation back toward PD Low. Stochastic RSI nearing overbought — suggests possible local top if no momentum breakout follows. EMA 200 and the Previous Day Low at ~42,053 remain critical intraday supports. Overall structure forming potential lower high under bearish macro cloud. Trade Plan: 🔼 Bullish Breakout (Intraday Long): Trigger: Break and sustained hold above 42,600 with rising volume Target: 42,900 → 43,100 Stop Loss: Below 42,450 (to avoid whipsaws) 🔻 Bearish Rejection (Intraday Short): Trigger: Clean rejection from PDH + trendline with bearish engulfing Target: 42,100 → 42,050 → 41,850 Stop Loss: Above 42,650 ⚖️ Neutral / Range Trade: Play the range between PDH (~42,588) and PDL (~42,053) until breakout. Scalp based on price reaction at either boundary with tight stop loss. 🛡️ Risk Management Note: Global uncertainty tied to war escalation and Fed policy expectations make this a headline-driven market. News risk can spike volatility and invalidate technical setups. Trade with reduced size and increased caution, especially around US market open and geopolitical news cycles. 📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
BLACKBULL:US30
by MarketsPOV
Quick take US indices and the Fed's interest rate decisionQuick look at what can we expect from the Fed's rate decision and press conference on Wednesday. TVC:DJI TVC:SPX TVC:NDQ Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
TVC:DJI
by Marketscom
US30 | Bearish Below 42610, Eyes on 42410 and 42160US30 | OVERVIEW The price has reversed and is now under bearish pressure, following stabilization below the 42690 – 42610 zone. 📉 As long as the index trades below this zone, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 42410, and a 1H candle close below that level could extend the move to 42160. 📈 Alternative Scenario: A clear stabilization above 42810 would shift momentum to bullish, targeting higher levels. Pivot: 42610 Support Levels: 42410, 42160 Resistance Levels: 42690, 42810, 43080
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
5
US30 – Bearish Bias Amid Escalating Middle East TensionsUS30 – Bearish Bias Amid Escalating Middle East Tensions U.S. indices, particularly the Dow Jones (US30), are under sustained bearish pressure due to intensifying geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. With no signs of de-escalation or negotiation, market sentiment remains risk-off. Technical Outlook: As long as the crisis continues, US30 is likely to maintain its downward momentum. The price appears set to test the 41770 level, with potential continuation toward 41310. Only a clear signal of de-escalation or diplomatic engagement may reverse this trend, possibly triggering a recovery toward 42810. For now, the directional bias remains bearish. Key Levels: • Pivot: 42160 • Support: 41770, 41310, 40700 • Resistance: 42410, 42810, 43210 Click to see the Previous idea
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
Look into it{ "alerts": [ { "name": "US30 Bull Break", "condition": { "symbol": "US30", "operator": "crossing", "value": 43950 }, "message": "📈 US30 Breakout Alert: Price crossed above 43,950. Watch for BUY setup targeting 44,100.", "actions": }, { "name": "US30 Bear Rejection", "condition": { "symbol": "US30", "operator": "crossing_down", "value": 43800 }, "message": "📉 US30 Bearish Rejection: Price fell below 43,800. Watch for SELL setup toward 43,400 OB.", "actions": } ] }
BLACKBULL:US30
by Shabira26
1
US30 looking for the short on Bearish PAI believe we can expect a pull back down to JuBias: Short-term Bearish (Contingent Setup) Context: Price is currently trading just below a high-probability supply zone between 44,048 – 44,277. This area aligns with prior highs and liquidity, making it a prime zone to look for a short-term rejection if strong bearish price action (PA) appears on the 4H or Daily timeframes. We are currently seeing strong bullish momentum on the Weekly, Daily, and H4 candles. Any short positions from this zone must be reactive — not anticipatory. A clear bearish signal (e.g., engulfing, structure break, supply confirmation) is required to consider entry. Key Zone: Seek bearish PA between 44,048 – 44,277 Contingency: If price breaks and closes above 44,250 (2024 highs), expect continuation toward 45,000 Short Targets if Rejection Occurs: Target 1: 43,350 Target 2: 42,500 Extended Target: 41,734 (June Low) Post-Rejection Bullish Scenario: If we do get a rejection and targets are met, we will then look for bullish PA in the demand zones (42,500 or 41,700) to consider long setups back toward the 2024 highs and potentially beyond. Breakout Scenario: If price breaks and closes above the 44,277 zone early this week, we anticipate the next leg to 45,000 before any meaningful reversal. At this stage, it’s a waiting game — let price action lead. We don’t predict, we react.ne lows before an
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by SKA_CAPITAL
US30 DETAIL ANALYSIS 1. Fundamental Analysis The US30, tracking 30 of the largest publicly traded companies in the U.S., currently reflects a mixed but cautiously optimistic macroeconomic backdrop. Economic Growth Outlook The U.S. economy contracted by 0.5% annualized in Q1 2025, revised down from initial estimates. The contraction was largely driven by a surge in imports before new tariffs took effect, which distorted net exports. As a result, the Federal Reserve revised its 2025 GDP growth forecast to approximately 1.4%—a downgrade from the previous 1.7% projection. Private-sector forecasts, including those from Deloitte and S&P Global, echo this view, suggesting a growth range between 1.1% and 1.5% for the year. Inflation & Federal Reserve Policy Core PCE inflation—the Fed’s preferred metric—rose to 2.7% year-over-year in May, above the central bank's 2% target. Similarly, core CPI held at 2.8%. While inflation is cooling compared to previous cycles, it remains sticky. Consequently, the Fed has signaled no immediate plans to cut rates, with the earliest possibility being in September. Inflation expectations for year-end 2025 have been revised up to around 3%, in part due to geopolitical shocks and new tariffs. Labor Market & Consumption Trends The unemployment rate remains stable near 4.2%, reflecting labor market resilience. However, real disposable income and consumer spending both declined in May, down 0.3% and 0.7%, respectively. The drop indicates potential weakening in consumer demand and future GDP prints. Confidence indices also showed a dip, although a decline in inflation expectations could moderate the downside pressure. Tariff Effects and Global Risk Average U.S. tariff levels are at historic highs, ranging between 15–19%, weighing on import costs and corporate margins. The ongoing trade frictions with China, coupled with Middle East tensions (particularly between Israel and Iran), add geopolitical volatility and inflationary risks. Leading institutions warn of stagflation—a toxic mix of slow growth and persistent inflation—pressuring equity valuations. 2. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Evaluation The latest COT data reflects a nuanced view of institutional behavior in equity index futures: Asset Managers have increased net long exposure to US indices, including the Dow, suggesting underlying bullish conviction from long-term holders. Leveraged Funds (Hedge Funds) have shown mixed sentiment—reducing short positions, but not aggressively adding longs—indicating a cautious optimism. Retail Traders are predominantly short , which often signals further upside potential due to their tendency to be positioned against the dominant trend. This asymmetric positioning—combined with macro and structural tailwinds—strengthens the smart money bias toward continuation of the bullish trend, especially as the Dow approaches key technical levels. 3. Technical & SMC-Based Analysis The daily US30 chart reflects a clear bullish structure, rooted in classic Smart Money Concepts: Market Structure A Valid Break of Structure (BOS) confirms upside intent, following a successful sweep of internal liquidity. The sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) remains intact. Internal Liquidity has been swept, with price now targeting external liquidity near the All-Time High (ATH) zone. Key Technical Levels Buying Area 1: Around 43,150 – labeled as the H4 inducement zone. A retest here with bullish price action (engulfing or FVG fill) may trigger continuation long entries. Buying Area 2: Between 42,450–42,650 – a deeper demand zone where price previously showed strong displacement. A high-probability re-entry zone upon confirmation. Short-Term Sell Area: Around 44,800 – this zone aligns with potential distribution. Short positions should only be considered here upon confirmation of bearish BOS. ATH & BSL: The final liquidity target in the current structure, marking the range highs. Liquidity Pools Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Around 41,800, and a Strong Low exists near 40,900 – both are key areas to be respected in the bullish thesis. Price is currently aiming toward external BSL above ATH, which is likely to be swept before any significant correction. 4. Strategic Outlook & Trade Plan ✅ Bullish Continuation Scenario Buy Entry #1: 43,150 zone – confirmation through bullish PA on retest. Buy Entry #2: 42,450–42,650 – deeper re-entry upon mitigation of FVG or OB. Take Profit Targets: TP1: 44,800 (potential distribution zone), TP2: 45,200 (external BSL at ATH). Stop Loss: Below 42,200 (under Demand Area 2 or SSL). ⚠️ Bearish Contingency (Only if BOS to Downside) Monitor for failed structure or strong rejection at 44,800–45,200. BOS below 43,000 could shift structure and signal a move toward the 42,200 zone. Break of Strong Low (~40,900) invalidates bullish structure. Conclusion The current market environment supports a measured bullish bias in the US30, driven by: Resilient labor and inflation expectations moderating; Institutional accumulation per COT data; A technically clean smart money bullish structure; Potential for liquidity sweep above ATH before any significant distribution. That said, macro risks such as tariffs, global geopolitical tensions, and sticky inflation remain key wildcards that could introduce volatility. NOTE: ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
BLACKBULL:US30
by Awii_Khan
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 27 June 2025 - Dow Jones broke pivotal resistance level 43000.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 44500.00 Dow Jones index recently broke above the pivotal resistance level 43000.00 (which has been reversing the price from the end of March, as can be seen from the daily Dow Jones chart below). The breakout of the resistance level 43000.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from the end of May. Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 44500.00, which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (C).
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by FxProGlobal
#DJI - Pivot is 42582.31 | Target 38374.12 or 46790.50?Date: 27-06-2025 This is in continuation with the previous post of 8000 points target. We have a new pivot point for the next move. #Dow Jones Current Price: 43880. Pivot Point: 42582.31 Support: 41771.23 Resistance: 43399.40 #Dow Jones Upside Targets: Target 1: 44193.19 Target 2: 44986.99 Target 3: 45888.75 Target 4: 46790.50 #Dow Jones Downside Targets: Target 1: 40974.43 Target 2: 40177.63 Target 3: 39275.875 Target 4: 38374.12
TVC:DJI
by Abc_trades