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US30FU trade ideas

Dow Jones takes a different path!US President Donald Trump announced a postponement of the suspension of tariffs from July 9 to August 1, stressing that this deadline is final and will not be delayed again. This decision has left the markets cautious, particularly US indices, but the Dow Jones Index has taken a different route compared to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, which are generally trending upwards. Meanwhile, the Dow has shifted its direction from bullish to bearish. On Monday, July 7 2025, the Dow Jones fell and recorded a lower low at 44,348.45, below its previous higher low. This signals a trend reversal on the 4-hour chart from bullish to bearish, a trend it had maintained for the past few weeks. What’s the next expected move? The current rise is considered a corrective move aiming to retest the 44,723.87 level, before likely dropping again to target 44,320.29. The bearish outlook would be invalidated if the price rises above 44,880.90 and closes a 4-hour candle above
CFI:US30
by CFI
Dow Jones Below Key Pivot – Tariff Talks to Define Next MoveDow Jones – Overview Fundamental Outlook: In April, President Trump capped all so-called reciprocal tariffs at 10% until July 9, giving room for trade negotiations with key partners. That same month, the Nasdaq slipped into bear market territory, while the Dow and S&P 500 entered correction zones. Since then, Wall Street has rebounded sharply. Last week, both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 surged to all-time highs, driven by a strong labor market that helped ease recession fears. Technical Outlook: Currently, Dow Jones is trading below the pivot level at 44410, which signals ongoing bearish momentum. A sustained move below 44410 supports further downside toward 44180, with a break below this level opening the path to 43960. However, if price reverses and closes above 44410 on the 1H or 4H timeframe, it may trigger a bullish move targeting 44750 and beyond. Support: 44180 / 43960 / 43770 Resistance: 44515 / 44750 / 45100 Note: Progress in tariff negotiations would likely support further upside in U.S. indices. Lack of resolution may keep the Dow under bearish pressure in the short term.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
US30 short bias- 9th July 2025 I have conducted a comprehensive multi-timeframe analysis of the US30 index, with particular focus on its recent price action and structural context. Quarterly Timeframe: On the three-month timeframe, the second quarter’s candle close is notably bullish, having engulfed the previous ten quarterly candles. This significant engulfing pattern suggests strong underlying momentum. Importantly, there has not yet been a body closure above this quarterly candle, which indicates that price may attempt to break above its range to establish new all-time highs. Recently, price action reached an all-time high near a major psychological level of 45,000 before retracing sharply to a liquidity region around 37,500. Since this retracement, there has been substantial accumulation of bullish orders, reinforcing the potential for price to retest and surpass prior highs. Monthly Timeframe: On the monthly timeframe, price has approached a key liquidity region around 44,500, where it is currently encountering resistance. While the higher timeframe bias remains firmly bullish, it is reasonable to expect healthy retracements before new all-time highs are made. It is worth noting that price has already broken above significant monthly levels at 41,750 and 42,600. A retracement to these regions to collect further liquidity remains plausible, although this scenario is speculative rather than confirmed at present. Consequently, my bias on the monthly timeframe remains neutral in the short term, pending further developments. Weekly Timeframe: Price action on the weekly timeframe mirrors that of the monthly. There is little of note beyond the observation that price absorbed considerable bullish orders at 41,750 and has since encountered resistance near 44,750, leading to a modest retracement. Given this structure, I maintain a neutral outlook on the weekly timeframe. Daily Timeframe: On the daily chart, we can observe that the bullish momentum initiated from the 43,000 order block region faced resistance at approximately 44,500. Price briefly broke above this region on Thursday, 3rd July, but quickly closed below it on Monday, indicating a lack of sustained buying interest to propel price higher. This retracement suggests that the market is searching for a deeper liquidity area to support its next upward move. Notably, a bearish three-pin formation is present, implying that price may break below the recent lows around 44,150. Accordingly, my bias for today is bearish. 4-Hour Timeframe: In alignment with the daily bias, the 4-hour timeframe indicates that price is likely to target Monday’s low at approximately 44,155. The next key liquidity region lies around 44,000, where substantial bullish orders were previously filled. I am currently waiting for price to offer a suitable entry region to sell towards 44,000. I am also mindful that the FOMC minutes are scheduled for release today, which could introduce significant volatility. Should a valid setup emerge, I will look to enter a short position. Specifically, if the current 4-hour candle closes bearish, I intend to consider shorts from around 44,220. --- Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
FOREXCOM:US30Short
by allan_mwenja2000
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 8 July 2025- Dow Jones reversed from long-term resistance level 45000.00 - Likely to fall to support level 44000.00 Dow Jones index recently reversed down from the resistance zone located between the long-term resistance level 45000.00 (which has been steadily reversing the price from the end of November) and the upper daily Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous medium-term ABC correction (2) from the start of April. Given the strength of the resistance level 45000.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Dow Jones index can be expected to fall to the next support level 44000.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave i).
CFI:US30Short
by FxProGlobal
1
Dow Set for Volatile Move as Earnings, Tariff Risks CollideUS30 OVERVIEW The price is currently consolidating between 44,180 and 44,620, awaiting a catalyst. Today’s earnings reports are expected to heavily influence Dow Jones price action. If earnings come in strong, the index is likely to push toward 44,620 and 44,760. A confirmed stability above 44,620 would strengthen the bullish case, potentially opening the path toward a new all-time high near 45,100. However, a break below 44,180 would signal bearish momentum, with potential downside toward 43,960. Additional pressure could come from escalating tariff tensions, further weakening sentiment. Resistance: 44,620 · 44,760 · 45,100 Support: 44,180 · 43,960 · 43,630
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
US30 Update – 07/21/2025📍 US30 Update – 07/21/2025 Sideways chop continues on US30 🌀 We’re still range-bound between 44,285 and 44,867, with price currently hovering mid-range around 44,470. Structure remains indecisive — buyers tried to push higher but got faded near the 44,600 level again. EMA structure is flat on the 1H — confirmation that we’re consolidating. 📊 Market Structure: 🔄 Consolidation Zone: 44,285 → 44,867 📉 Failed to hold above 44,600 📈 Bulls defending 44,285 zone (demand still active) 📊 1H EMAs flat — neutral/slightly bullish 🔑 Key Levels: 🔼 Resistance: 44,600 → 44,867 🔽 Support: 44,285 → 43,929 🧠 Market Bias: Neutral short term ⚖️ ➡️ Clear breakout above 44,867 = trend continuation ⬇️ Breakdown below 44,285 = bearish structure confirmed 💡 Trade Scenarios: 📈 Range Buy (Support Play): Entry: 44,300–44,285 TP1: 44,500 TP2: 44,700 SL: Below 44,200 📉 Range Sell (Resistance Fade): Entry: 44,600–44,650 TP1: 44,400 TP2: 44,300 SL: Above 44,700 ⚔️ Breakout Setup: Long above 44,870 (confirmation) Short below 44,280 with volume 📵 No trade in the middle of the range unless scalp — wait for edges to act.
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey
US30 Update – 07/18/2025📍 US30 Update – 07/18/2025 Massive recovery off 43,929 👀 US30 has broken above the 44,500 resistance and is holding strong around 44,590. The EMAs are now sloping bullish on the 1H — this is the first solid bullish structure since the early July top. If buyers hold above 44,500, we could see a run to retest 44,867, the local high. 📊 Market Structure: 🔄 Bear trend possibly shifting → early signs of reversal 📈 Higher lows forming — EMAs crossed bullish 🔼 Break of 44,505 confirmed strength 🧭 Eyes now on 44,700–44,867 zone 🔑 Key Levels: 🔼 Resistance: 44,700 → 44,867 🔽 Support: 44,505 → 44,285 → 43,929 🧠 Market Bias: Short-term bullish — but buyers must defend 44,500. A drop below 44,285 would invalidate this move. 💡 Trade Ideas: 🔼 Long Setup – Continuation: Entry: Pullback to 44,505–44,530 TP1: 44,700 TP2: 44,850 SL: Below 44,450 🔻 Short Setup – Fade Rejection: Entry: Rejection at 44,700–44,850 TP1: 44,500 TP2: 44,300 SL: Above 44,900 ⚠️ Patience — wait for clean retests or candle rejections at key levels. No need to force entries.
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey
Bulls Steady Ahead of Key Earnings and Economic DataU.S. equities are holding steady in what has been a week of conflicting signals. President Trump’s aggressive stance on trade, including potential 30% tariffs on EU and Mexican goods, has shaken market sentiment, but his public commitment to retain Jerome Powell as Fed Chair brought some temporary relief. That stability, at least for now, is helping underpin stock indices. Focus has now turned to corporate earnings, with key players like TSMC and Netflix reporting shortly. These names could set the tone for the broader Q2 earnings season. At the same time, traders are closely monitoring incoming U.S. data — including retail sales and jobless claims — to gauge the health of the consumer and labor market. The combination of strong earnings and resilient macro data could provide the momentum Technical Structure: • Resistance: 44,350 — a potential breakout point • Support: 44,000 and 43,800 • Pattern: The index is trading within a descending channel, but recent strength suggests a breakout may be developing. • Upside potential: If earnings and macro data support risk appetite, a breakout toward 44,800 becomes plausible. Takeaway: Sentiment remains fragile but stable. Traders should keep a close eye on both corporate results and macro data releases for direction cues.
CFI:US30
by FDGCapital
DOW JONES 1H ANALYSIS – JULY 17, 2025📉 DOW JONES 1H ANALYSIS – JULY 17, 2025 🔎 Tracking structure | key levels | trade ideas 🔹 Current Price: 44,248 📆 Timeframe: 1H 📈 Bias: Neutral → Short-term bullish ✅ 📌 MARKET STRUCTURE UPDATE: Price held strong at 43,929 – key support from earlier July lows 🔁 After a deep pullback from 44,800s, we’re seeing a bounce with price reclaiming the 21 & 50 EMA 🧠 This signals short-term buyer momentum stepping in – but caution: we’re still trading below key resistance 👀 🔹 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH: Support: 🟢 43,929 → major bounce zone (held) 🟢 44,182 → short-term EMA support Resistance: 🔴 44,523 → former support, now flipped resistance 🔴 44,555 → breakdown origin 🔴 44,857 → major supply zone top 💡 TRADE SCENARIOS: 🔼 Bullish Case: If price holds above 44,200 and pushes through 44,523–44,555, we likely see 44,700+ retest 🔥 A breakout + hold above 44,555 = trend shift confirmed 📈 🔽 Bearish Case: If rejection at 44,523/555 holds, watch for rotation back to 44,000 → 43,929 Below 43,929 = possible slide to 43,700–43,600 demand 🚨
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey
DowJones bullish continuation breakout supported at 43990Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 45000 Resistance Level 2: 45440 Resistance Level 3: 46000 Support Level 1: 43990 Support Level 2: 43700 Support Level 3: 43420 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
Dow Jones H4 | Rising into a multi-swing-high resistanceThe Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 44,845.48 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 45,240.47 which is a level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit is at 44,124.85 which is an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:US30Short
by Tradu
Dow Jones Technical Outlook – July 2025The Dow Jones is currently trading in a tight consolidation range just below its major resistance zone near 45,200. After a strong bullish rally, the index is showing signs of exhaustion with lower volatility and sideways price action — forming a potential rectangle pattern. This type of structure typically signals a continuation or reversal, depending on the breakout direction. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 45,200 – A breakout above this level may trigger a strong upside rally toward Support: 44,050 – A breakdown below this can open the door for a retest of 43,200 or even 42,000. Price is coiling — the market is waiting. The next breakout could set the tone for weeks to come.
TVC:DJI
by ayushishri