US100 BULLISH SCENARIOThe Nasdaq bullish sentimnent is gaining momentum with a good break our Pivot area between 21697 and 21622 .
A continuation of the current bull move expected if the pivot area holds with 21916 and 22134 targets .
USTEC trade ideas
"When Price Confirms The Vision" NAS100“Go peep my last NAS100 post 📌—I told y’all I wasn’t in the trade, but the lesson was clear. 💡
Price moved exactly how I expected, respecting my key levels and analysis to the pip.
This is why we trust the process, not just the profit. 🧠💰
Study the breakdown, learn the blueprint. The next one’s always around the corner.”
Currently Looking for 2nd Entry
#NAS100 #SmartMoney #InducementKing #MarketStructure #PriceAction #TradingView #JuicemannAnalysis**
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USTECH bullish consolidation Long opportunityUSTECH is currently in a bullish consolidation from a 4 hour perspective. The 1 hour timeframe shows price is currently making a move to the upside which provides an intraday opportunity to trade to the upside. Confluences for the long position include the break and retest position at $21350 which has been tapped, price trading above the 50 SMA and volume currently testing the sweet spot region on the RSI between 45-55, indicating the end of the retracement an potential continuation to the upside
US 100 Strong Signal Steps In? US100 Breaks Bearish Trendline & Pulls Back Above SMA — Strong Long Signal!
The US100 has just broken out of its bearish trendline, signaling a potential shift in market momentum from bearish to bullish.
What’s more bullish is the recent pullback above the Simple Moving Average (SMA), which now acts as a dynamic support level — a classic confirmation that buyers are stepping back in.
Adding to this bullish case, volume is increasing, showing strong participation and conviction behind the move.
This confluence of technical factors indicates a high-probability setup for a long position on the US100.
Key points:
Bearish trendline broken — trend reversal alert
Price retested and held above SMA — support confirmed
Volume rising — strong buyer interest
Traders might consider entering long positions with appropriate risk management and stop-loss placement below the SMA or recent swing low.
Stay sharp and trade smart!
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US100 – Daily Chart Outlook (June 2, 2025)Price is showing signs of weakness after rejecting the 21,386 level, forming a potential shift in structure. Here's what I’m watching:
🔹 Context: After a bullish move in May, price is now stalling near previous highs.
🔸 Key Level: 21,386 marked as a potential rejection zone (also labeled as “Bullish”).
🔻 Scenario: If price stays below 21,386 and breaks the blue support (around 21,040), I expect continuation lower.
🟩 Discount Area: First demand zone between 20,000–20,500. Price could find support here if the bearish scenario plays out.
📌 ADR Levels included for volatility context.
🔄 Plan:
Wait for confirmation of rejection.
Target zone: 20,400–20,000.
Invalidation above 21,386 with bullish structure.
🧠 Bias: Bearish unless price reclaims 21,386 and holds.
📌 This is not financial advice – trade your plan.
US100 (NASDAQ100)🎯 Current Bias: Bearish Short-Term
-Price has already formed a lower high and lower low structure.
-Sitting at a key retracement zone after recent drop.
-Smart money concept (CHoCH → BoS) suggests institutional repositioning for shorts.
💡 Trading Opportunities
1. Short Opportunity (Main Bias)
-Entry Zone: Between 0.5 to 0.618 retracement (21,220–21,260)
-Stop Loss: Above 0.382 level / local high (~21,300)
-Target 1: 21,117.5 (marked Fibonacci level)
-Target 2: 21,000 psychological / next POI
Confluence:
-Bearish market structure
-Premium zone tap + Fib retracement zone
-CHoCH and BoS confirming order flow shift
2. Countertrend Long (Aggressive & Lower Probability)
-Entry: If price hits 21,117.5 and forms a bullish CHoCH or internal BoS
-SL: Below 21,050
-Target: Revisit 0.5–0.618 zone or unmitigated supply above
⚠️ Risk Notes
-NFP/major US data could trigger volatility (always check the calendar).
-US100 can whipsaw during macro catalyst moments – avoid overleveraging.
NAS100 - Will the stock market continue to rise!?The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading within the specified range. In case of a valid break of this range, I expect a new trend to form. In case of corrective movements towards the demand zone, we can buy Nasdaq in that range with an appropriate reward for the risk.
A recent report from Bank of America reveals that investors are actively repositioning in global markets. For the second consecutive week, U.S.equities experienced capital outflows, while European stocks saw inflows for the seventh straight week.
Digital assets attracted $2.6 billion in inflows—the largest amount since January. In contrast, Japanese equities recorded the largest weekly outflow in history, while emerging markets equities attracted their highest inflows of 2025. Meanwhile, emerging markets debt also posted its strongest inflows since January 2023.
Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, speaking at the 2025 Reagan National Economic Forum, warned that China will not yield to U.S. trade pressure. He urged that the U.S. must first address its internal challenges, including reforming laws, taxes, immigration, education, and healthcare systems. Dimon also underscored the importance of preserving military alliances.
He noted that China is a serious and potential rival, and if the United States fails to maintain its position as the world’s dominant economic and military power over the next 40 years, the dollar will no longer serve as the global reserve currency. Having just returned from China, Dimon added, “The Chinese are not afraid; don’t expect them to bow to America.”
Currently, markets are pricing in two interest rate cuts totaling 50 basis points by the end of 2025—a forecast aligned with the Federal Reserve’s official dot plot projections. Additionally, the latest FOMC minutes, which revealed policymakers’ concerns over persistent inflationary pressures, played a significant role in shaping these expectations.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that he would support rate cuts later this year if tariffs remain around an average of 10%. However, his support hinges on inflation moving toward the Fed’s 2% target and the labor market maintaining its current strength.
Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley projects that the U.S. dollar could weaken by approximately 9% by mid-2026, citing a slowdown in U.S. economic growth and an anticipated 175 basis point reduction in the Fed’s interest rates. The bank also forecasts that 10-year Treasury yields will reach 4% by the end of 2025 but fall sharply in 2026 as rates decline further. Both Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan hold a bearish outlook on the dollar, expecting safe-haven currencies such as the euro, yen, and Swiss franc to benefit the most from its weakness.
In this context, market participants are closely watching key economic data in the week ahead. The ISM Manufacturing PMI is scheduled for release on Monday, followed by the Non-Manufacturing PMI on Wednesday. However, the main highlight will be Friday’s May Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which has exceeded expectations over the past two months. A similar result this time would signal continued strength in the labor market.
Given the Fed’s focus on inflation risks, special attention will likely be paid to the average hourly earnings growth. If wage growth remains above 3%, the market may begin to reprice some of its expectations for rate cuts—especially if the ISM reports also indicate improved economic activity in line with strong S&P Global readings. Such a scenario could pave the way for a renewed strengthening of the U.S. dollar.
Alongside the data releases, a series of speeches from key Federal Reserve officials—including Goolsbee (Chicago), Bostic (Atlanta), Logan (Dallas), and Harker (Philadelphia)—are expected. These remarks could further shape market expectations regarding the future path of monetary policy.
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Approaching an overlap supportThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 20,833.76 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 20,100.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 21,763.98 which is a swing-high resistance.
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US100 - Buy CMP - 02/06/2025Bullish Trend on H4 - No divergence on H4
Fundamentally Bullish. Buy on CMP - SL on previous HL.
Upcoming Monthly/Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis:
1- Recent macro-economic data were good. But they do not reflect the Tariffs impacts.
2- All expected data (i.e., inflation, consumer sentiment) were inline with the projected tariff impacts.
3- Uncertainty is in the driver seat as long as Trump flip flop with his tariffs.
4- The 90-day tariff pause ends by July 4th!!! Surprise...surprise... the liberation day! Definitely, Trump will announce the 2nd Liberation day!
5- From this week and moving forward, data will reflect tariffs impacts.
6- This week, we have many relevant data and probably many Trump tweets.
=) All the above has structural negative impacts on US economy; hence negative impacts on US Stocks and equities.
TA Analysis:
Monthly TF:
NQ monthly close was bullish. From this TF, we should expect a continuation up seeking a new ATH. But I strongly doubt it. The Monthly close was below 21457. If price will be unable to close at least above this level, price should revisit 17236.
In this thread, we do not trade Monthly TF, but it gives us a macro perspective.
Weekly TF:
The weekly close was bearish, even with a green candle. From this TF, we should expect a south move.
In my view, Wave 3 has started last week.
Daily TF:
The chart shows all levels of Wave 3 into 5 mini-waves. The target of this mini-wave 3.1 is the low of May (19594).
Price already broke TL and closed below it. Price from now on it should continue south/down.
Price must close inside the tariff on & off candle (yellow box).
(Note: The chart shows only three waves of 3.1 representing the Initial move, retrace move and impulsive move. But every single move/wave should have 5 waves. I do not represent them to avoid making the chart complex which it's already!).
Hourly TF:
Price might complete the retrace up to 21468-21590. Then resume the down movement as per the chart.
Data will give the ebb and flow to be inline with TA analysis.
That's all for this week/month.
Wish you GL and plenty of green trades.
US100 - Bullish Momentum Favors Upside ContinuationThe US Tech 100 is displaying strong bullish momentum after successfully breaking above the critical resistance level at 20,659.8, which had previously acted as a significant barrier. Currently trading at 21,316 the index has demonstrated impressive upward trajectory following what appears to be a healthy consolidation phase around the key resistance-turned-support zone. The technical setup strongly favors continuation to the upside as the higher probability scenario, with the breakout above 20,659.8 potentially opening the door for further gains toward higher resistance levels. However, prudent risk management suggests taking this rally piece by piece, monitoring how price action develops at each significant level while watching for any signs of exhaustion or pullback that might offer better entry opportunities. The bullish bias remains intact as long as the index maintains its position above the former resistance level, which should now serve as dynamic support for any potential retracements.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USTECUSTEC price is near the resistance zone 21776-22139. If the price cannot break through the 22139 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
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NAS100 4H | Fibonacci Bounce or Break? Key Trendline Test Incomi📈 Description:
Price is currently testing a key ascending trendline on the 4H, sitting just below the 38.2% Fib retracement after rejecting near the 0% level. I’m watching this area closely for either:
✅ A bullish bounce from the 38.2%–50% zone with confluence from EMA 20 and trendline support — targeting 0% then -27% extensions (around 21,750 to 22,200),
or
❌ A clean break and close below the trendline + 61.8% level that could shift short bias toward deeper Fib zones like 78.6% or even 100%.
Indicators Used:
• EMA 20 / EMA 68 for dynamic S/R
• Fibonacci retracement (swing low to recent high)
• Trendline (4H structure support)
🧠 I’ll wait for clear structure before entering — no early entries here. Looking for a strong engulfing candle, MA crossover, or lower-timeframe breakout confirmation depending on the direction.
📍Will update if we get confluence on the 15min/1hr to support entry.
Nas100 w1.trading I deaHi traders as you can see this market is n uptrend market n since Trump come to the office he started tarrif n tarrif cause big rejection as you can see however he paused it n comes bek up,now they were trying to block him but he managed to put them back again because of his reasons,ok cool you have to understand that all this moves since Trump took the office he is the one in charge and he is moving market soo that's why today things can bebetter n tomorrow you can see spike again we we're nearly recession and he paused tarrif,market comes bek up,soo if you stick to the tre you are in the right side,soo note that we are still trading under tarrif territory meaning you can see spike today n tomorrow then drown down that's why you need to be updated 24/7 knowing what is moving and why I laugh when I see someone draw graph n see spike to their direction n immediately get exited within 1 hour market recovery that spike very fast lol,you need to know what is moving the market soo that you wo the surprised soo this year 99% is trump reports that is moving the market if he can imposes tarrif to Europe on 12 June you gonna see entire market going down for short period,tarrif affect the market globally not only were it raised,that's why if trump n China won't make successful deal we might see a recession and as am seeing China they are ready to fight any kind of war and they are loosing interest in trading deals and this will lead to recession globally,all they want is to end tarrif and trump want better deals in businesses aswell soo this is the main n strong trade war between all countries and it can cost people's money,soo according to my analysis am still bullish am not talking this as a retest noo that's why i explained what makes it to fall and positivity to the deals means rally thats why I stick to the trends till now,until further notice,.make sure you are updated.
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument...Part 38The last ATH was signaled on February 25, 2025 at exactly 3:00 am EST...(Back Test and see the M1 chart)
Since that time the market has started to make LH's LL on the smaller timeframes in order to create the next HL on the largest active timeframe.
For almost 2 months, the market entered into a deep and hard retracement with many doomsday fanatics aiming at becoming the next phenomenon in trading predictions, trying to suggest that this is the beginning of the greatest drop the NAS100 and other instruments will ever see.
I have always maintained and I stand even more firmly on the fact that any sells you see in the markets are only temporary retracements toward another HL and that the market has always and will only make HL's to HH's.
Fast forward to April 6, 2025 at 7:10 (Back Test and see the M1 chart) pm the market hit it's largest HL point. Since that time...the market has started to make HL's to HH's on your small to medium timeframes while still keeping the largest HL created on the monthly intact.
The H4 time frame you will see is now signaling the first round of HL's to HH's a solid confirmation that the market is finally breaking out of it's retracement phase and back to resume it's usual trend.
Another key factor to note is that last weeks highest point is only approximately 4,000 pips from the ATH and if you have been tracking the NAS100 you should have noticed that every week that number is getting smaller and smaller and it will only be a matter of time for that to be broken again.
With that being said, my strategy still remains the same...
1. Enter on my largest HL and trade to my HH's
2. In the event that there is still consolidation in the markets with LH's being created on the
medium timeframes, I simply TP and wait for another setup.
Even with Friday's frenzy created by emotional traders reacting Trump and his circus show, the markets still held their own and still closed above the low of every single week since April 6, 2025.
What this means is that the ATH will be broken very soon and it just requires patience and a dedication to the strategy to ensure that it is followed to the last detail.
I say without apology...
All highs on the NAS100 are guaranteed to be broken
The NAS100 trades only HL's to HH's and that is a guaranteed fact
So trade wisely...
Trade smartly...
Manage your risk...
Happy Trading...
#oneauberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait
#patience
#zigzagtheory
Make some moneyHere are some more examples….
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Add the idicator and see them even on the smaller timeframes.
TRAPS. - Use themHere is an example of a trap candle identified by the indicator as just share with you guys.
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Are we expecting lower prices on NAS100?!Change in order flow from offering higher prices to sellers to low prices to buyers ;)
Short US100Think we see a move up to the 0.786 fib level from the recent highs with a rejection down further if more blocks or doubt is cast on the new trade deals and tariffs.
TP would be the weekly lows
Bearish thoughts
- The fundamentals of the tariffs deals are getting challenged
- A bit more aggressiveness from china and we might see a move down
- Daily MACD is pointing down suggesting downward pressure which we are seeing on hourly chart
Bullish structure remains on the 4hr chart
Nasdaq breaks uptrendline and consolidating in narrow zoneNasdaq breaks uptrendline and consolidating in narrow zone
