BRENT trade ideas
DeGRAM | UKOIL potential double top at the resistance levelUKOIL was rejected at resistance at 84.00 before.
Price is printing potential for a double-top.
The oil market is consolidating on the 4H chart.
We anticipate further consolidation and a bounce off the resistance level.
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BCOUSD#Brent crude oil - H1
📣 Based on the chart structure in the 1-hour timeframe, with a break above the downtrend line around the 79.24 level, one can consider buying with a target of 81.00.
⛔ Stop Loss: 77.80
On the other hand, with a break below the 77.80 range, one can be optimistic about a price decline towards the 76.00 range.
⛔ Stop Loss: 79.24
Will Brent oil stop its correction?📊 Due to the price approaching the supply range of $79.0 and the downward momentum of the price movement, if the range of 78.0 units is broken and the price stabilizes below it, the price may fall to the range of 76.6 🎯and in the case of the strength of the range of 74.0 units🎯🎯.
📊 Otherwise, the possibility of price increase up to the range of 81.0 units.
THE CATALYST COMES OUT FOR BRENTArea of Interest price for BRENT play out
As concern for the increasing tension in the Middle East and the ongoing Russian invasion that could lead to the curb of the global oil supply, the price bounced from the AoI marking.
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Stay safe in these uncertain economic conditions X.CO
DeGRAM | UKOIL channel breakingUKOIL broke the ascending channel and went down.
The oil market is likely to create a pullback from the support level.
We anticipate a continuation of the bearish trend.
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BRENT OIL - 4HAccording to the strong downward momentum of the price movement and selling pressure in the market, if the range of 76.0 units is broken and the price stabilizes below it, the price may fall to the range of 74.8 and in the case of the strength of the range of 73.0 units.
Otherwise, the possibility of price increase up to the range of 79.0 units.
DeGRAM | UKOIL bearish move from confluence levelUKOIL bounced off the resistance at 84.00 and the 127.2% fibo extension level.
Price created the bearish harmonic pattern after breaking out of the descending channel.
The current trend on the D chart is a pullback against the major trend.
We anticipate a pullback and bearish move.
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BRENT OIL - 1HIn the four-hour time frame, the trend of the price movement is upward, but due to the compression of the price movement and increasing selling pressure, if the upward trend is broken, the price will move downwards and the price stabilizes below the range of 81.5 units, the price may fall to the range of 80.6 units, and in the case of strength, the range of 79.2 units .
Otherwise, the possibility of price increase up to the range of 84.3 units.
Brent Crude’s Triangle BreakoutOil Jumps as US Military Base in Jordan Attacked
The Middle East powder keg came into sharp focus again this weekend following a drone attack by Iran-backed militants on a US military base in Jordan. President Joe Biden reported three service members were killed in the attack.
These casualties mark the first time US troops have been killed in an attack in the Middle East since the Israel-Hamas war began in Gaza in October. In response to the incident, Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, gapped higher in early trading but has since given back the gains.
While escalating tensions in the Middle East provide a supportive backdrop for oil, this month has also witnessed headwinds. Saudi Arabia's unexpected price cuts and the International Energy Agency (IEA) projecting a significant slowdown in oil demand growth for 2024 have added pressure to the market.
Building Bullish Momentum on Brent Crude's Daily Candle Chart
After more than a month of tight consolidation, the market for Brent Crude has finally showed its hand…
Prices had been winding ever tighter within a triangle consolidation pattern, but last week’s price action saw the market break decisively above it – creating a burst of bullish momentum. The breakout takes prices above the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) anchored to the September 2023 highs for the first time since October.
The market now faces a critical level of horizontal resistance (black dashed line), previously rejected twice in November. A successful breach of this level could pave the way for a more robust bullish trend in Brent crude.
Brent Crude Daily Candle Chart
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Brent Oil Price Faces Key Resistance ZoneBrent Oil Price Faces Key Resistance Zone Amid Geopolitical Tensions
The reasons for the rise in Brent oil prices are a drone attack on an American military base in Jordan, as well as an attack on an oil tanker in the Red Sea. These events cause concerns about the safety of oil transportation through the Red Sea and the potential escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. Bloomberg writes that President Biden is under pressure, and the response can be decisive.
The Brent crude oil chart today shows that:
→ The price strengthened higher than the zone of consolidation (shown by narrowing black lines), having completed its bullish break at the psychological level of 80 US dollars per barrel.
→ The price forms an ascending channel (shown in blue).
→ The price rose to the USD 83.00-85.00 zone, which previously served as a support area, but changed its role in November.
→ The market is overbought, judging by the readings of the RSI indicator.
If the geopolitical tension increases, then the bulls can try to raise the price of Brent oil through the specified zone - it is possible that it will reach the upper border of the channel.
On the other hand, if the fundamental background indicates a decrease in the degree of threats in the Middle East, the price can form a pullback from the resistance zone so that the RSI drops closer to values around 50.
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