Brent - D1\H4Oil Brent
D1 - The price has formed a triangular formation, which may mean that if it fixes beyond the lower line of the triangle border, the price may continue to fall further along the trend and further reduce the price to the levels of 70.19
When fixing behind the upper trend line, the price may reverse and begin to rise, since a 3-wave structure may already be formed for the targets; in this case, we will see the price of 89.21.
H4 - For purchases, it is better to wait for fixation behind the trend line; you can also try to open at the current price with minimal risk per transaction from the lower border of the triangle. If there is a fixation, turn into sales.
What to expect now?
Waiting for the level of 82.07 to be broken/fixed and an upward movement towards the nearest targets of 89.21.
When opening a position, it is best to exit the position from the level of 78.93 - 78.23, if this scenario does not materialize.
When fixing behind the lower line 78.95 - 78.15, the idea is canceled when a 3-wave structure is formed in the opposite direction 89.95 - 82.87.
Long
Targets 83.01 - 84.31 - 86.68 - 89.21
Short
Targets 76.47 - 75.24 - 72.63 - 70.19
BRENT trade ideas
OPEC and the Crude oil danceThe OPEC+ meeting that was scheduled to take place this weekend was postponed after disagreements from some of the African nations regarding the cartels production quotas. OPEC’s African members Angola and Nigeria have reportedly asked to have a higher production ceiling next year, after taking a cut in their quotas at the June 2023 meeting of OPEC+ as they had consistently failed to pump to their quotas. Additionally, Angola, Congo and Nigeria were forced to commit to lower oil production next year, and this weekend’s meeting could potentially have pressured them to make further production cuts. The Saudis have reportedly expressed discontent over compliance with the deal as it shoulders the bulk of the quota burden. We will keep a close eye on the developments of the negotiations and how it will affect oil prices in the 1Q2024. Most sources are expecting Saudi Arabia, OPEC’s largest oil producer, to extend its voluntary cut of 1 million barrels per day (bpd) into 2024, considering the latest slide in oil prices to $80 per barrel and the typically weak period for oil demand in the first quarter of every year.
Brent crude has fallen roughly 15% since the start of October and it is ow tethering around the 200-day MA price of $82 per barrel. The critical level to watch is the 61.8% Fibo retracement level of $80 per barrel. A break below this level will see crude drop back down to $72 per barrel. It will however be a bullish sign if it can hold levels above $80 pb as it will confirm an end to the ABC corrective pattern and the start of another 5-wave impulse which could push crude to above $100 pb.
DeGRAM | UKOIL bearish pressureUKOIL has been making lower highs and lower lows.
Price is testing the resistance at 82.00, the fibo, and the channel's upper border, which is a dynamic resistance.
We anticipate a trend continuation and a retest of the support level.
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Brent Crude Oil🛢️Outlook: Navigating The Next Huge Move (4H)Brent Crude Oil Forecast 🛢️ TVC:UKOIL
Just like we called it earlier, the price dropped from 82.00 to 79, hitting our Take Profit sweet spot.
Now, even though the price popped above 81, it couldn't make higher high, and it's chilling below the 100-day moving average on the 4-hour chart.
Looks like we might see it slide back from 81.50 - 82.00 to 80. If 80 can't hold its ground, we might be looking at a dip to the 77 zone. On the flip side, if it manages to break above 83, we could be in for a bullish ride.
Quick heads up: Keep your eyes peeled for any surprise moves, especially with the OPEC meeting on November 30, 2023, and the ongoing tension between Palestine and Israel.
Key Levels:
Support lines: 79.00 & 76.00
Resistance lines: 83.00 & 84.64
Drop your thoughts in the comments below. Appreciate your take on this! Thanks! 🚀
Classic Zigzag Wave A Diagonal!!Now Five Wave Bear Market??ThinkGreetings, dear friends. I hope you are having a productive week.
I am happy to assist you in ensuring that all previous analyses are attached to each corresponding analysis. This will provide a comprehensive overview and help you make well-informed decisions. Please do not hesitate to let me know if there is anything else I can do to assist you further.
I want to share my market analysis ideas based on the Elliott Wave Principle with you.
I am a fan of this principle and follow all the rules and guidelines for analyzing the market.
However, please note that my ideas are based on my personal experience and may change over time.
If there is an error in my analysis, I am open to re-analyzing it from the beginning and learning from my mistakes.
It's important to understand that making an error in analysis is not a fault, but evading responsibility is.
No one can analyze financial markets with 100% accuracy, but it's remarkable how close we can get.
We analyze from multiple perspectives to consider all possibilities.
Let's mention a few opinions and ideas!
Based on mathematics.
I am still practicing to understand the Elliott Wave Principle better and hope to provide an even better analysis in the future.
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Keep trying and never give up.
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1.2&1.2 Or Expanded Diagonal??Greetings, dear friends. I hope you are having a productive week.
I am happy to assist you in ensuring that all previous analyses are attached to each corresponding analysis. This will provide a comprehensive overview and help you make well-informed decisions. Please do not hesitate to let me know if there is anything else I can do to assist you further.
I want to share my market analysis ideas based on the Elliott Wave Principle with you.
I am a fan of this principle and follow all the rules and guidelines for analyzing the market.
However, please note that my ideas are based on my personal experience and may change over time.
If there is an error in my analysis, I am open to re-analyzing it from the beginning and learning from my mistakes.
It's important to understand that making an error in analysis is not a fault, but evading responsibility is.
No one can analyze financial markets with 100% accuracy, but it's remarkable how close we can get.
We analyze from multiple perspectives to consider all possibilities.
Let's mention a few opinions and ideas!
Based on mathematics.
I am still practicing to understand the Elliott Wave Principle better and hope to provide an even better analysis in the future.
Thank you for your continued support, and I look forward to our mutual success.
Best regards,
Mr. Nobody
Keep trying and never give up.
Good luck!
Brent oil prices found some support During early Friday trading, Brent oil prices found some support as investors continued to weigh the likelihood of additional production cuts from OPEC+ producers. The previous two sessions were marked by significant oscillations in the price of the barrel. There was an overall fall of almost 2%, as traders reacted to news of the postponement of a meeting of high-level representatives from OPEC+ member states, in which the main point on the agenda was agreeing on new production cuts. Nevertheless, the consensus amongst market participants remains tilted towards the high likelihood of additional output reductions, which could be announced at the end of the month. However, any upside for oil prices stays capped by the gloomy outlook for the Chinese economy and the strength of US oil inventories.
Ricardo Evangelista – Senior Analyst, ActivTrades
Brent (ICE) (F4) Intraday May rise 1.45 %Pivot: 80.80
Our preference:
long positions above 80.80 with targets at 82.00 & 82.60 in extension.
Alternative scenario:
below 80.80 look for further downside with 80.20 & 79.50 as targets.
Comment:
the RSI calls for a bounce.
The oil market is closely watching the developments within OPEC+ as the group prepares for a virtual meeting on November 30 to discuss potential production cuts. This comes in the wake of a significant increase in US crude inventories and amid expectations of a Chinese stimulus that could impact demand.
WTI crude oil was trading at $76.50 on Friday, as OPEC+ confirmed it would hold a virtual meeting next Wednesday to deliberate on production strategies. The group, including key player Saudi Arabia, is contemplating maintaining its current output cut of 1 million barrels per day into the next year. This decision is influenced by recent declines in oil prices, and there are discussions about the possibility of further reductions by OPEC+ members.
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported an unexpected surge in US crude inventories, with an increase of 8.7 million barrels for the week ending November 17. This figure starkly contrasts with market expectations, which had predicted a much smaller rise of just 0.9 million barrels.
The anticipation of a Chinese economic stimulus targeting real estate firms, such as Country Garden Holdings, has been factored into market sentiments. Given China's significant role as a consumer in the oil market, such measures could help counteract the downward pressure on WTI prices.
Additionally, market participants are awaiting the upcoming release of US S&P Global PMI data. Forecasts indicate slight contractions in both Manufacturing and Services indices, which could further influence global oil demand and pricing dynamics.
The outcome of OPEC+'s meeting and the subsequent decisions on production levels will be critical for the direction of oil prices as the market heads into the final month of 2023.
BCOUSD#Brent crude oil - H1
📣 Based on the chart structure in the 1-hour timeframe, if the resistance level around 83.85 is broken, one can consider buying with a target of 86.30.
⛔ Stop loss: 82.30
On the other hand, with the break of the 82.30 level, there is a potential for a price decline towards the 80.00 range.
⛔ Stop loss: 83.85
It's essential to perform your own analysis and consider other factors before making any trading decisions.
Possible idea OILGreetings, dear friends. I hope you are having a productive week.
I am happy to assist you in ensuring that all previous analyses are attached to each corresponding analysis. This will provide a comprehensive overview and help you make well-informed decisions. Please do not hesitate to let me know if there is anything else I can do to assist you further.
I want to share my market analysis ideas based on the Elliott Wave Principle with you.
I am a fan of this principle and follow all the rules and guidelines for analyzing the market.
However, please note that my ideas are based on my personal experience and may change over time.
If there is an error in my analysis, I am open to re-analyzing it from the beginning and learning from my mistakes.
It's important to understand that making an error in analysis is not a fault, but evading responsibility is.
No one can analyze financial markets with 100% accuracy, but it's remarkable how close we can get.
We analyze from multiple perspectives to consider all possibilities.
Let's mention a few opinions and ideas!
Based on mathematics.
I am still practicing to understand the Elliott Wave Principle better and hope to provide an even better analysis in the future.
Thank you for your continued support, and I look forward to our mutual success.
Best regards,
Mr. Nobody
Keep trying and never give up.
Good luck!
Crude Oil Correction - Bearish Scenario (4H)Brent Crude Oil Forecast 🛢️ TVC:UKOIL
Recent sessions saw a surge in Brent crude futures, hitting the top of a descending channel and undergoing huge correction currently. This paves the way for potential fall from 82.00 to 80 then 79.
The bearish trend remains strong as price got rejected from the 100-day moving average (4H timeframe). A break above 83 could signal bullish move.
Note: Keep an eye on unexpected movements due to Fed's meeting minutes and ongoing conflict between Palestine and Israel.
Support lines: 80.00
Resistance lines: 83.00
Comment down below your thoughts about my analysis, Thank you!