Copper, we had a great move up, time to reach higher highsHi guys we would be looking into copper today , again focusing on the fundamentals which give us the remark that President Donald Trump will impose international tarriffss on the imports of precious metals!
President Donald Trump's threat to impose tariffs on U.S. copper and aluminium imports will result in higher costs for local consumers because of a shortfall in domestic production, analysts and industry participants said on Tuesday.
In a speech on Monday, Trump said he would impose tariffs on aluminium and copper - metals needed to produce U.S. military hardware - as well as steel, to entice producers to make them in the United States.
Trump made fresh remarks about imposing tariffs on Monday
Said he would impose import tariffs on aluminium and copper
Also plans tariffs on computer chips, pharmaceuticals, steel
US copper futures widen premium over London prices
US aluminium buyers face higher costs due to import dependence
The rising copper price reflects strong global demand, driven by economic growth, infrastructure development, and the increasing shift toward renewable energy and electric vehicles. Supply constraints and growing industrial use further support this upward trend. This is a positive sign for mining companies, investors, and economies reliant on copper production, as it boosts revenues and encourages further investment in the sector. Additionally, higher copper prices indicate a healthy industrial landscape, reinforcing its vital role in modern technology and sustainability efforts.
Entry: 4.28
Target: 4.57
SL area based on your risk management,it can be on the strong support area at 4.08
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
COPPER trade ideas
Bullish bounce?COPPER is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.1860
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 4.1137
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which is slightly above the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4.2958
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Copper - Markets are waiting for new moves to start?!Copper is above EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. An upward correction of copper will provide us with a good risk-reward selling position. If the downtrend continues, we can buy copper in the next demand zone.
The Monthly Metals Index (MMI) for copper remained largely range-bound, experiencing a slight decline of 0.65% from December to January. Meanwhile, copper prices continue to react to the new U.S. administration and potential shifts in trade policies.
Ahead of President Trump’s inauguration, copper prices on the Comex exchange began breaking out of their previous range. By mid-January, copper prices had reached their highest levels since early November. This movement was likely driven by traders anticipating the impact of potential tariffs, some of which could affect the copper market. In contrast, prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) saw only modest gains, creating a temporary price divergence between the two exchanges.
Typically, Comex and LME copper prices move in tandem, making any significant deviations between them noteworthy. Since 2019, the two markets have shown a correlation of 99.76%, with Comex prices averaging a $19 per ton premium over LME prices. However, by January 14, this premium had widened to $402 per ton. It remains uncertain whether this premium will persist in the coming years or revert to historical levels, as seen in previous instances.
Historically, such price divergences have been temporary. One notable example was a short squeeze on Comex in late May, which marked the end of the Q2 2024 rally in base metals. During this period, the price gap between LME and Comex surged to $688 per ton, with Comex copper prices reaching a record high of $11,257 per ton.
However, this spread quickly narrowed due to shifts in trade flows toward the U.S. market. Although Comex copper contracts attract similar market participation as LME, lower inventory levels make them less liquid. Consequently, when stockpiles decrease, Comex prices become particularly susceptible to sudden surges.
Another factor contributing to price divergence was the October port strike, which led to a significant increase in Comex prices. Before the three-day strike began, Comex copper prices had already risen sharply, pushing the spread to $292 per ton until mediators brokered a resolution.
Market volatility remains a key risk for copper prices as traders await more details on which products and countries will be affected by new trade barriers. This uncertainty could either drive further price increases or trigger sharp declines if reality fails to align with market expectations.
Some of the tariffs proposed by President Trump are likely to serve as negotiation tactics, meaning they may not be fully implemented or could be abandoned if alternative trade agreements are reached. Meanwhile, reports suggest that the Trump administration is considering a phased approach to tariff implementation, which may help mitigate market reactions.
A closer look at Trump’s latest stance on China indicates a willingness to de-escalate tensions and increase engagement. However, his previous trade policies were highly aggressive, often involving heavy tariffs on Chinese imports.
Copper - Copper will shows its strong trend next week. Hello mates, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is always setting a Stop Loss when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. Our 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
Potential bullish rise?COPPER has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.2584
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 4.1845
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4.4151
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Copper Short: Targeting Key Support at $4.17Copper is showing signs of exhaustion after recent bullish momentum, prompting a short setup on the 15-minute timeframe. Price action aligns with a potential retracement toward the $4.17 zone, where a critical support level resides.
Why This Trade?
• The overextended rally suggests a short-term pullback.
• Technical indicators point to weakening momentum, making the $4.17 price zone an attractive target.
Plan:
Manage risk effectively, take partials along the way, and let the trade play out toward support. Always remember: stay disciplined and pay yourself along the way.
Copper - Markets are waiting for Trump's new decisions!Copper is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and has left its descending channel. The downward correction of copper will provide us with the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward. If the upward trend continues, you can sell copper in the next supply zone.
In recent days, the value of the U.S. dollar has risen, and Treasury yields have also increased. These developments are primarily driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve will proceed cautiously with interest rate cuts this year.
President Trump’s promises to raise tariffs, reduce corporate taxes, and deregulate industries have sparked concerns about rising inflation, which was already persistent even before these policies were implemented. Meanwhile, the U.S. economy appears robust, with strong labor market performance in November and December, indicating that the Federal Reserve may not feel pressured to accelerate interest rate cuts.
According to projections, investors anticipate that interest rates will decrease by approximately 0.4% by December 2025. This expectation persists despite reports suggesting the new U.S. administration will implement tariff hikes gradually and December inflation data came in lower than expected.
The U.S. Tax Foundation estimates that if the U.S. imposes a 60% tariff on imports from China and a 20% tariff on imports from other countries, the average tariff rate would climb to 17.7%. This would represent the highest level recorded since the 1930s. Trump has pledged to impose steep tariffs on goods imported from various nations; however, economists have warned about the potential consequences of such policies.
In a recent Reuters survey, all participating economists predicted that the Federal Reserve would maintain interest rates within the range of 4.25%-4.50% during its January 29 meeting. Additionally, 61 out of 103 economists expect the rate to decrease to 4.00%-4.25% by March.
The survey results also reveal that 65 out of 102 economists believe the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates no more than twice this year (compared to 41 out of 97 in the December survey who held this view). Moreover, 40 out of 49 economists surveyed by Reuters forecast that U.S. inflation in 2025 will likely exceed expectations.
Scott Bassant, the nominee for Treasury Secretary in President-elect Trump’s administration, described China’s economy as being in recession. Taking a more pessimistic tone, Bassant labeled China as one of the most unbalanced economies in the world, highlighting the country’s prioritization of military strength and efforts to maintain growth by exporting cheap goods to the rest of the world.
XCU/USD "The Copper vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XCU/USD "The Copper vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade after the market pullback,
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 9500.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The XCU/USD (Copper) is expected to move in a bullish direction.
REASONS FOR BULLISH TREND:
Increasing Demand: The demand for copper is expected to increase due to the growing demand for electric vehicles, renewable energy systems, and other industrial applications.
Supply Constraints: The supply of copper is expected to be constrained due to production disruptions, mine closures, and declining ore grades.
China's Economic Growth: China's economic growth is expected to continue, which will drive up the demand for copper and other industrial metals.
Infrastructure Spending: The US and other countries are expected to increase their infrastructure spending, which will drive up the demand for copper and other construction materials.
Low Inventory Levels: The inventory levels of copper are currently low, which will lead to an increase in prices as demand increases.
Strong Export Demand: The export demand for copper is expected to remain strong, driven by demand from countries such as China, India, and South Korea.
Production Costs: The production costs for copper are expected to increase due to higher costs for inputs such as energy, labor, and equipment.
Government Policies: The government policies in countries such as Chile and Peru are expected to support the copper mining industry, which will lead to an increase in production and higher prices.
UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
US GDP Growth: The upcoming US GDP growth report is expected to show a strong economy, which could support copper demand and prices.
China's Economic Data: China's economic data, including GDP growth and industrial production, is expected to show a recovery, which could support copper demand and prices.
Copper Inventories: The upcoming copper inventory report is expected to show a decline in inventories, which could support copper prices.
Mining Production: The upcoming mining production report is expected to show a decline in production, which could support copper prices.
MARKET SENTIMENT:
Bullish Sentiment: 60%
Bearish Sentiment: 30%
Neutral Sentiment: 10%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Bullish momentum to extend?COPPER is falling towards the support level which is an overlap that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.2584
Why we lik eit:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 4.1845
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4.4151
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
COPPERA bullish dragon is forming on Copper on the weekly chart with the bottoms both confirming the prior 2006 ATH as support.
Commodities as a sector look like they might be reaching macro bottoms as Trump signals for a weaker US dollar which has historically lead to a rise in global commodity prices.
Enjoy : )
Copper , fantastic potential within the Precious Metal market!Hi guys, we would be looking into one of my favourite precious metals COPPER. Currently it has been fluctuating around this price level overviewed on 1H and 4H time frames. The RSI is also sitting in low levels which is forming an Ascending Channel.
This is on a technical level,now let's look into Fundamental level :
Investing in copper presents a compelling opportunity due to its critical role in the global economy and its growing demand across multiple sectors. As a key industrial metal, copper is essential for infrastructure development, construction, and the production of electrical equipment, making it a cornerstone of both established and emerging industries.
The accelerating transition to renewable energy and electric vehicles (EVs) further underscores its importance. Copper's superior conductivity makes it indispensable for solar panels, wind turbines, EV batteries, and charging stations, driving long-term demand as the world shifts toward greener energy solutions.
Moreover, global supply challenges, including declining ore grades and the need for significant new mining projects, create a favorable supply-demand dynamic that supports higher copper prices. For investors, copper represents a strategic asset with potential for strong returns tied to industrial growth, technological innovation, and the push for sustainability.
Entry cover up.
Entry : 4.1500
Target 1 : 4.21803
Target 2: 4.34026
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Copper's Bullish Momentum: Key Levels and Fibonacci TargetsWHSELFINVEST:COPPER Copper's Bullish Momentum: Key Levels and Fibonacci Targets
Analysis: The chart displays the 4-hour price action of Copper (CFDs on Copper) with several key indicators and annotations. The price has recently broken out of a consolidation phase, indicated by the Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) annotations. The price is currently in an uptrend, evidenced by higher highs and higher lows.
Key Levels:
Resistance Levels: 4.33718, 4.33718
Support Levels: 4.19412, 4.08290, 4.01726
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: 0.382 (4.27901038), 0.5 (4.254595), 0.618 (4.23017962), 0.705 (4.21217845), 0.786 (4.19541874)
Indicators:
Volume Profile: Shows significant volume accumulation around the 4.19412 level, indicating strong support.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 75.60, suggesting overbought conditions but also indicating strong bullish momentum.
Buy Strategy:
Entry: Enter a long position at the current price level (4.34107) or on a pullback to the 0.382 Fibonacci level (4.27901038).
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 4.33718 (58 pips)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4.40000 (589 pips)
Stop Loss (SL): 4.19412 (147 pips)
Sell Strategy:
Entry: Enter a short position if the price breaks below the 4.19412 support level.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 4.08290 (111 pips)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4.01726 (177 pips)
Stop Loss (SL): 4.254595 (60 pips)
VIP Signal:
Buy: 4.34107
TP1: 4.33718 (58 pips)
TP2: 4.40000 (589 pips)
SL: 4.19412 (147 pips)
Sell: 4.19412
TP1: 4.08290 (111 pips)
TP2: 4.01726 (177 pips)
SL: 4.254595 (60 pips)
Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
This analysis leverages Price Action, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), and ICT Elliott Wave strategies to provide comprehensive buy and sell strategies. The identified levels offer optimal entry and exit points for traders.
Copper - Markets are waiting for Trump's decisions!In the 4-hour timeframe, copper is above the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its descending channel. Copper moved down from the supply zone of the previous analysis. The downward correction of copper will provide us with the opportunity to buy it with the appropriate risk reward. If the upward trend continues, you can sell copper in the next supply zone.
According to experts, commodity prices are expected to decline in 2025 due to a weak global economic outlook and the resurgence of the US dollar. Analysts at Deutsche Bank have identified three key political developments in their latest report that could shape the strategy of US President-elect Donald Trump. These developments include changes in tariff policies, Trump’s preference for introducing a large, comprehensive bill, and his plan to fund tax cuts through tariffs.
Deutsche Bank notes that the year will largely be influenced by the combination of policies Trump proposes. However, it seems unlikely that a comprehensive bill addressing both border and tax issues will be ready before April or May.
Experts believe that Trump is likely to use Section 232 investigations to impose sector-specific tariffs. These investigations allow the government to implement tariffs on the grounds of national security.
Deutsche Bank forecasts that Trump will employ multiple tariff approaches, including legislative and executive actions. Analysts suggest that Trump may attempt to enact broader tariffs through legislation, as this is the only way tariff revenues can be incorporated into the budget reconciliation process by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). Two key bills in Congress related to the revocation of China’s normal trade status have been highlighted as important areas to monitor in this regard.
This multi-faceted approach and the varying timelines for imposing tariffs introduce significant complexities and risks. However, from a financial perspective, Deutsche Bank predicts that Trump’s fiscal policies may have more moderate impacts, potentially easing some of the existing tensions.
Markets are also watching for further moves by China to stimulate its economy in hopes that such measures might revive demand for commodities in the world’s second-largest economy. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has announced plans to cut interest rates and required bank reserves. However, the market is looking for more tangible actions to directly support consumers, rather than simply increasing public sector wages. In other words, the market seeks renewed confidence and vitality in the economy.
Nonetheless, the lack of transparency in China’s economy remains a pressing issue. Even within China and among government officials, there appears to be no clear understanding of the economic situation. Public sentiment remains highly negative and has not recovered since the COVID-19 pandemic.
Despite these challenges, China continues to excel in certain sectors. For instance, the country has achieved notable success in the automotive and artificial intelligence industries. Additionally, China is still considered the easiest place in the world to manufacture anything. However, these advantages ultimately need to translate into improved domestic consumption to create lasting positive effects.
In a note, BMI stated that potential slowdowns in the energy transition due to Trump’s policy changes could dampen the green energy sentiment that bolstered prices in 2024.
John Gross, president of John Gross Consulting, told CNBC that while copper prices peaked in May 2024 due to market pressures, they have since been in a downward trend, which is expected to continue. He added, “A complex combination of high inflation, elevated interest rates, and a strong dollar will negatively impact metal markets.”
Could the Copper reverse from here?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and also aligns with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4.1983
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 4.2830
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 4.1054
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.