Lets Compare 90s Japan's Loose Monetary PolicyIts good to sometimes look and compare at what history has done when we governments allow loose monetary policies followed by sharp increase of interest rates. During the late 1980s, Japan growth was largely pushed by ease of borrowing and increasing money supply. By late 1989, inflation worries lead Japan to increase their interest rates which ultimately killed their stock market, causing a 60% drop in their stock market following the next 2 years. We can compare their loose monetary policy very similar to what we have today in our economy. We have continuous purchases of treasury bonds monthly thus increasing our money supply and worries of inflation, especially with latest CPI report. There are only 2 plays the Feds can do to combat inflation, limit the money supply by stopping purchases of Treasury Bonds or increase interest rates. Both will inevitable clap the stock market.
The charts are eerily similar and exactly half in both price increase and time. We could maybe see more growth with time, but no matter these are the actions caused by governmental involvement in the stock market.
JP225 trade ideas
JP225-JUN21 (4H) Bearish Wave-WeHi Traders
JP225-JUN21 (4H Timeframe)
A High probability, entry signal to go SHORT will be given with the downward break of 27590 after the market found resistance at 28358. Only the upward break of 28358 would cancel the bearish scenario.
Trade details
Entry: 27590
Stop loss: 28358
Take profit 1: 26403
Take profit 2: 25187
Take profit 3: 23204
Score: 8
Strategy: Bearish Wave-We2
Japanese stocks good opportunity ?Japan new covid cases are peaking again at 6k / day. Not seen since last wave mid January.
As a reminder, when stocks when the S&P500 was heading south because of a fear of a second wave, we ended up being on a pullback.
I believe the same is happening for Asian stocks.
Technically speaking, we are channeling down that gives us a good opportunity to buy on possible inflexion points.
I'll be looking to go long.
As always, like and comment !
NIKKEI225 going longTVC:NI225 is in a descending channel, but in a bigger timeframe it looks like a bullish flag to me. Besides that, it hit key Fibonacci levels rebounded from there. I am bullish until above 30000.
The fundamentals are still bullish for me as the opening-up party just begun. However expect wild swings, as the speculators tried to "price-in" the opening up with leveraged positions, so both long and short squeezes are ahead of us, so try this idea with small positions.
NI225 Market ProjectionsG'day Guys
Nikkei been moving up and down since Feb 2021.
Am expecting this month movement will be bearish to complete the movement cycles and high probability bouncing on the Demand zone.
Which is showing the Support level strong. This indicate they progressive recovering to pre-covid environment.
Let's see what happen next. Remember, Nikkei Movement relatively effect JPY currency.
Thank you.