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NATURALGAS trade ideas

NatGas Extends Gains on Better Supply-Demand EquilibriumNatural Gas prices run their second straight profitable month, covering the Q1 losses and starting the current week on the front foot. This brings the year’s highs in the spotlight (3.3974), but bulls will need fresh impetus for taking them out. The RSI points to highly overbought conditions though, making the commodity ripe for a pullback towards the EMA200 (black line). A move below them would pause the upside bias, but that looks like a toll order under current technical and fundamental conditions. The advance in natural gas prices is largely due to the improvement in supply-demand dynamics, which can drive further gains. Leading drillers have offered subdued 2024 guidance, while Europe is looking to include LNG in its sanctions against Russia. On the other side of the equilibrium, the outlook on global and Chinese consumption is optimistic. However, there are risks around demand, like Europe’s cuts, China’s bumpy recovery, US elevated stocks and historically warm weather. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:NGASLong
by FXCM
XNGUSD SPOT NATURAL GAS Slowly getting ready to reverse LONGXNGUSD is here on a 120 minute chart. I can see that it is trying to turn the corner and head up. The RSI is turning up in bullish divergence. While price is below its moving averages, the SMA20 is soon to be in reach. The anchored VWAP lines are approaching a slope decreasing to zero, while price is getting closer to the mean VWAP as those lines go flat. Overall, volumes are on the rise while price is sideways, so there is bullish divergence in the volume trend. Overall, I see XNGUSD setting up for an uptrend. It could be a big one. Time to buckle up before turning the key. there may be some horsepower involved.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
4
XNGUSD- Bollinger / TTM Squeeze for Breakout LONGThis 30 minute chart of spot natural gas demostrates the indicators triggering / signaling a big move as it gets underway. I missed the big move catching the two smaller scalpes earlier in the day. For me, this demonstrates the value of one or more of these indicators armed with an alert or notification to catch the move once it gets started. It also shows the value of detecting a Bollinger band width and volatility contraction before the release. Price action is showing a high tight flag pattern which could forecast a similar leg higher after sufficient consolidation to ti reach the consensus equilibrium of buyers and short sellers as to what the price should be. I will be one of those buyers adding again to my position which I expect to swing trade at least the rest of this week. For those already with good-sized positions, some may elect to sell some to take a partial profit. I am considering being more watchful of such a situation also realizing that a short squeeze could get underway since XNGUSD as been falling for sometime. Long-time shorts might decide this is the exit point to avoid further loss of unrealized profits. If they do so they play into the hand of new buyers and those holding. Buckle up, this could get interesting.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
XNGUSD Looking for Bullish continuation LONGXNGUSD is still in oversold and undervalued territory as demand may be mitigated by anticipation of milder weather and supplies seem to be more than adequate. XNGUSD may move higher if either of those factors changes. The chart shows price about 15% above support and about 60% below heavy resistance. The RSI indicator shows the faster RSI line above the 50 level and so I think the bullish move is supported by buying volume. I will take a long trade on forex and in UNG / UNL on the equities market.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
5
NATGAS - consolidation and Long sideThis is my idea for NatGas. I think after this rebound we can start soon the 3°wave... After the first wave that had hit target we had a potential 2° wave (less than 100% of 1°) so before the next wave, we can have a retest of support area but in any case my stop is under 1.5$. Area between 2 and 2.4 is good for accumulation long position. Analisys is for weekly plan (In this market I suggest a daily or weekly trade) Potential long target will be 3,6 and second 4,4 and third 4,9 (next 6 months)
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by flyhorse
Downtrend Breakout, So Uptrend Confirmation. Long Term AnalysisThis is Long -Term Analysis to understand the "Upcoming" Market Direction. Now Confirmed the Downtrend has Breakout. So market definitely move into Uptrend. It might temporarily move downside as a Retest of the Trendline. Must follow Trend continuation technic. I marked 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement. It is Next Target for Short Term Traders. I want to help people Make Profit all over the World throughout my entire life. Additionally, I am eager to Receive Money form Worldwide because of my Potential.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by SasikumarMani
Gas TrojanI will be honest with you, I have high hopes that this one could be the project with the biggest success, not necessarily in predicting what the market might do, but how will it act and when and even where. In other words, as usual in most nen projects, most rectangles are simulated projected potential support and resistance zones in their specific time zone, with some exceptions that confirm the rule, or with a caveat. Here is the rundown: - The biggest of them all lurking above is obvious, if the bulls manage to get the price to that level (most of us doubt it will ever reach that zone in time) they might get scared in that critical juncture of forces that might push it away back into a corner. - The first one is a potential opportunity if the price reaches it coming from below and with the right candlestick setup it could provide an inflection point for a short. (remember this project takes into account multiple market evolution scenarios, so this doesn't need to happen, it is just a potential) - The blue and the bigger green rectangles have some exceptions to them as they could act as zones of power influence but also power avoidance, meaning the price can go past their levels from above or from below, as long as the rectangles are not touched or pierced. - the small rectangle with an icon has no support or resistance in that zone at that price level, this could just act as a milestone or we can use its time stamp to analyze what the market does in that time zone - The Orange and the Red rectangles are more like stepping stones where corrections might occur from any side/direction where having a lookout for candlestick shadows for potential wave ends should be of greater importance - speaking of candlestick shadows they should be an overall important class of setups to look out for in the entirety of the project, especially in the longer slim rectangles that are left - on the bottom right, below the blue curve, I really couldn't come up with any projected simulated potential zones of influence, so I cooked up a grid, chess board style, meaning, we might attempt to figure out where the bishop moves or how the horse goes, if the market actually ends up sliding into that area behind the blue curve. The project will be considered a success if important, relevant, very obvious, and quite intriguing price action, events, and other coincidences might occur in synchronicity or harmony with the elements in the project. (the more the better, we don't want to be fooled by randomness and the normal distribution of probabilities and potentials into a Picasso drawing). It will be considered a failure if none of the rectangles hold as pivot point zones or inflection areas and the price just keeps breaking them down like they don't even exist or matter, sliding the price into zones that are irrelevant for the project and its elements. Unfortunately, the nature of the entirety of the project required a wider zoomed out perspective, but I promise I will update comments with specific interesting candlestick setups or patterns that I will consider to be relevant in trying to analyze and maybe anticipate what the market might do, or at least compute a better assessment of the probabilities of the scenarios that could happen and how... Bon Voyage! This could get very interesting and a really Fun Ride. Also feel free to comment with your own perspective and judgement or bias, regarding what the market might do, especially if we enter into Chess Zone.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by nen
11
Watch Out for Natural Gas PullbackSince February, the price of natural gas has increased by more than 50%. It seems plausible that this upward trend will not continue at this pace, especially with the warmer season approaching. Seasonally, it's worth noting that natural gas often experiences cyclical highs in the spring, which are rarely sustainable. Based on this premise, supported by technical signals such as a clear bearish divergence in the hourly to four-hour time frames, we are initiating the short trade shown here with an acceptable risk-reward ratio of around 1.5:1.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by Ochlokrat
2
25% Bullish Move for NATTY?Natty has reached the lows of Feb - 23 and has retested with some bullish intent. There's also Bullish Divergence on various timeframes inc. Daily, 4hr, 2hr, 1hr as well as a Monthly on if it holds at these levels for a couple of months, from which we could see a major move up. Taking the 0.618 fib levels as TP which also retest a previous support level. Following this bullish move I expect at least a double bottom before going back up again.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by SkyTrees
2
NATYY Bullish H&S StructureQuite clear H&S shoulder pattern has developed on NATTY which began accumulating at the beginning of March of this year. The green rectangle is the base of the massive accumulation zone which has acted as support previously, now turned resistance. There's been 2 prior attempts at breaking through, on the third, it broke but wasn't able to hold. The target is c15% increase in price and also takes us to the gap on 22nd Jan - this was calculated using the distance between the top and bottom of the cup. GOOD LUCK!
CAPITALCOMSB:NATURALGASLong
by SkyTrees
30