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USTEC trade ideas

Remains bullish and wait for reversal signalLast week, both CPI and PPI data came in below expectations, indicating signs of rising inflation. However, the market did not experience a sharp decline; instead, prices held above 21,432, demonstrating strong support. This market reaction suggests that seller were not willing to enter at this stage. The market maintained its uptrend, broke through previous highs, and reached the target level on Friday, surpassing the 21,968 and 22,100 resistance levels consecutively. As long as there are no technical signals indicating a market reversal, the overall outlook for next week remains bullish. The next price target is 22,465, and attention should be paid to the market's performance within the 22,300–22,465 range to further assess its direction. From a long-term perspective, I still believe that U.S. tech stocks are overvalued, and various risk factors could trigger a downturn. And the potential correction could be significant. My specific views can be referenced in my previous market commentary from February 3–7, 2025. Therefore, when taking long positions, it is crucial to remain vigilant about market sentiment shifts, as the market could reverse at any time. I will wait for technical confirmation on the 4-hour chart and enter short positions once reversal signals appear.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by zygliu
1
NAS100USD Is Bullish! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100USD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 21,661.7. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 21,981.2 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SignalProvider
1
NAS100USD: Retracement to Target Sell Stops Below Support ZoneGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, while the market is currently showing bullish momentum, there are clear signs that we may experience a retracement toward the downside. This move would likely target the discount sell stops below the illustrated support zone, providing an opportunity to align with institutional order flow. KEY OBSERVATIONS: Institutional Resistance Zone: A strong order block has formed, creating a significant resistance level that price may struggle to break through. This order block, coupled with the Fair Value Gap (FVG) beneath it, strengthens the bearish case. These two institutional resistance zones suggest a higher likelihood of a retracement. Premium Price Zone: Price is currently trading in a premium range, a favorable area to monitor for potential selling opportunities upon confirmation. Liquidity Target : Our primary target is the discount sell stops resting below an engineered support zone. This zone is a key draw on liquidity, where we anticipate significant institutional interest. TRADING PLAN: Entry Strategy : Wait for confirmation before entering short positions at the current premium price level. Targets : Focus on the liquidity pools below the support zone, particularly the discount sell stops, as these represent the main draw on liquidity. Patience and precision are crucial. By following institutional clues, we can effectively position ourselves for high-probability trades. Happy Trading! The Architect 🏛📊
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
1
NASDAQ-100 Breakout: What's Next for the Market? We finally got the NASDAQ-100 breakout we were looking for! In this video, we break down the trade setup, risk-reward ratio, and why the bullish case still makes sense. We analyze the ascending triangle pattern, key support levels, and potential trade strategies moving forward. With stock indices pushing higher, could this also signal upside potential for crypto? Plus, we discuss how easing trade tensions and potential peace talks could fuel market optimism. What’s your take on this move? Let us know in the comments! This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Long
by ThinkMarkets
Possible BUYThe Market would want make new all time highs but before it does that we looking to take out the internal liquidity marked on the chart. The external liquidity is the previous day low which seem unlikely to be taken out. There is also a Inverse FVG on (2H) that I'm looking at and from there i would be looking to buys. SL is previous low, TP1 is previous high and TP2 is ALH. The market could also take out the ATH before coming done but i would wait till it comes down first to enter
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by FTAltd
NSDQ100 INTRADAY bullish breakout at 21815The NSDQ100 (USTec) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a bullish breakout. The key trading level is at 21815 level, previous resistance now newly formed support. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21815 level could target the upside resistance at 21950 followed by the 22132 and 22420 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 21815 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 21400 support level followed by 21240. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
FULL TRADE-ABLE SET UPS FOR NASDAQ 100 1. Macro & Market Overview Strong U.S. Economic Backdrop: • The United States is outpacing other major economies, with ~3% GDP growth and inflation moderating near 2.9%, supporting a “soft landing” scenario. This underpins bullish sentiment for U.S. equities, including the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100. Monetary Policy & Earnings: • The Federal Reserve has paused rate hikes, maintaining a tight-but-on-hold stance (Fed Funds ~4.25–4.50%). Markets expect no immediate cuts but anticipate eventual easing later in the year, keeping rate-sensitive growth stocks afloat. • Nasdaq 100 earnings remain solid thanks to big tech’s strong profits; hedge funds retain net long exposure in Nasdaq futures, though they are more defensive overall. Institutional Sentiment & Positioning: • Hedge funds are selectively bullish on technology, while also hedging broader market risks. Retail investors remain optimistic, reinforcing tech’s upward bias. • Global liquidity is no longer “superabundant,” yet no severe credit stress exists; interest rates remain high but stable, which still supports equity valuations for high-quality growth names. Key Macro Risk Factors to Watch: • Potentially hotter-than-expected inflation data could spark another wave of rate-hike concerns, pressuring high-valuation tech stocks. • Any major escalation in trade policy (e.g. tariffs on key tech components) could weigh on the Nasdaq 100, given many constituents’ global supply chains. Overall, the macro backdrop leans positive for large-cap U.S. tech, though caution persists due to high valuations and geopolitical uncertainties. 2. Technical & Institutional Flow Perspective • Hedge Fund Positioning: Futures positioning shows hedge funds net long the Nasdaq 100, reflecting conviction in secular growth themes (AI, cloud), even as they hedge other parts of the equity market. • Liquidity Conditions: There is no acute repo or funding stress, which generally supports risk assets. However, flows into money market funds signal that institutions are keeping some “dry powder” to buy dips. • Options & Gamma: A positive gamma environment often stabilizes equity prices, yet heavier put buying late in the week signals an increasing desire to hedge. If put volume continues to rise, short-term volatility could pick up quickly. 3. US100 Price Action & Key Technical Levels Overall Trend: • Long-term (Weekly) and medium-term (Daily) trends remain bullish, with higher highs and higher lows since 2023. • Recent price action is range-bound between roughly 21,400–21,500 (support) and 21,800–22,000 (resistance). Consolidation Zone: • The Nasdaq 100 (US100) has been coiling just under strong resistance at ~22,000. Price repeatedly bounces off the 21,400–21,500 region intraday, indicating institutional buying interest. Momentum Indicators: • On daily and 4-hour charts, RSI hovers in neutral territory (50–55 region), and MACD is near the zero line. This confirms a sideways consolidation within a larger uptrend. • No significant bearish divergences have formed; momentum has simply cooled, awaiting fresh catalysts to drive a breakout. Key Zones to Watch: • Support: 21,400–21,500 (short-term intraday floor), then 21,000–21,200 (deeper daily support). • Resistance: 21,700–22,000. A clear break above 22,000 could open upside targets (e.g. 22,500+). 4. Potential Trade Setups Below are three sample strategies—one aiming for a range breakout, one for a pullback entry, and one for a range fade—depending on how price reacts around the current consolidation zone. A) Bullish Breakout Trade Rationale: • The primary trend is bullish, macro data remain supportive, and hedge funds hold net long exposure in tech. A strong push above established resistance (~22,000) could trigger momentum buying. Entry Trigger: • Wait for a decisive breakout above 22,000 on a daily closing basis (or a strong intraday move with higher volume). • Look for volume expansion and a clear candle close above the resistance band to confirm that buyers have absorbed supply. Stop-Loss Placement: • Set an initial stop just below the breakout zone, e.g. 21,700–21,800, to avoid whipsaws if the breakout fails. • For extra caution, place stops under the last swing low near 21,400 if a wider stop is preferred. Target Objectives: • First target: ~22,500 (a minor psychological/round level). • Potential second target: ~23,000–23,200 if bullish momentum accelerates and fundamentals remain supportive. Trade Management: • Consider trailing the stop if price quickly moves 1:1 or 1.5:1 in your favor, and lock in partial profits if momentum stalls near 22,500. B) Buy the Pullback (Support Bounce) Rationale: • Institutions appear to defend the 21,400–21,500 region. If price dips back into that area without a major macro deterioration, it may offer a favorable reward-to-risk entry in line with the longer uptrend. Entry Trigger: • Look for a pullback to the 21,400–21,500 area, followed by bullish rejection candlesticks (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing on 1-hour/4-hour charts), or an oversold intraday RSI. Stop-Loss Placement: • Place a tight stop just below 21,400 (e.g. 21,350), as a break below may signal a deeper correction. Target Objectives: • Aim for a retest of the 21,800–22,000 resistance zone, capturing the move from the mid-21,400s to around the 21,900s. Trade Management: • If price fails to bounce and closes below 21,400, exit quickly to reduce downside exposure. Reassess lower supports near 21,000–21,200. C) Range Fade / Mean Reversion (Short at Resistance) Rationale: • If macro data or headlines (e.g., tariffs) resurface concerns, the Nasdaq 100 may struggle to break 22,000 and continue chopping sideways. A short near the upper range resistance can work if the index keeps rejecting that zone. Entry Trigger: • Watch for a bearish candlestick pattern or repeated intraday rejections around 21,800–22,000. Confirm with short-term momentum rolling over (for example, a 1-hour RSI crossing below 50 from an overbought reading). Stop-Loss Placement: • Set a stop above 22,000 (e.g. 22,050–22,100), as a decisive break would invalidate the fade thesis. Target Objectives: • First target around the midrange near 21,600, and a second target near the lower bound at 21,400–21,500. • This approach is suited for short-term traders who anticipate more sideways chop. Since it is counter to the main uptrend, be nimble with your exits. Trade Management: • If price breaks above 22,000 with force, cut short positions promptly to avoid a breakout squeeze. 5. Risk & News Catalysts to Monitor 1. Inflation / Fed Guidance: • Surprise inflation prints or hawkish Fed comments can spike bond yields, pressuring highly valued growth stocks in the Nasdaq 100. 2. Earnings Releases (Late Q4 & Q1 2025): • Watch guidance from top Nasdaq constituents (mega-cap tech). Strong outlooks can fuel upside, while cautious forward guidance may keep the index stuck under resistance. 3. Trade Policy Headlines: • Any tariff announcements aimed at tech supply chains or key trading partners could weigh heavily on the Nasdaq, especially if margins for chipmakers or consumer electronics are threatened. 4. Dollar Strength or Weakness: • A sharp dollar rally can sometimes hamper multinational tech earnings. Conversely, a softer dollar could boost foreign revenue translation, favoring further Nasdaq gains. 6. Final Perspective • Macro Take: A late-cycle expansion with cooling inflation, decent consumer demand, and stable rates supports the tech sector’s growth story. • Institutional Flows: Hedge funds remain net long Nasdaq futures, while retail sentiment is still positive for AI and tech. This tilt underpins potential rallies but is balanced by heightened hedging. • Technical Backdrop: The US100 sits in a bullish consolidation, with strong support near 21,400–21,500 and key resistance at ~22,000. Momentum is neutral, awaiting the next catalyst to break out (or fail) from the range. Bottom Line: • The long-term uptrend remains intact. • Near-term price action is range-bound. • Watch for either a bullish breakout above 22,000 for a continuation trade, a pullback buy at 21,400–21,500 if support holds, or a range fade short if the index keeps rejecting the 21,800–22,000 region. Always manage positions with clear stops and stay alert to macro data releases or sudden geopolitical news, as either can ignite volatility in the Nasdaq 100.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by EliteMarketAnalysis
1
[b]Nasdaq Hits Record High Amid Fresh Tariff Talks and Positive On February 14, 2025, the markets experienced a notable upswing as the Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.5% and neared its all-time high. The rally was contagious—spreading to the S&P 500, which advanced by 1%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, up by 0.8%. This overall momentum was driven by a mix of encouraging economic data, supportive policy news, and strong corporate earnings. A Boost from U.S. Tech In the U.S., tech stocks led the charge. Investors were particularly excited about the performance of several high-profile companies: -**Tesla (TSLA)**: The electric car maker's shares jumped nearly 6% after news broke about potential government contracts. - **Nvidia (NVDA)**: Riding the wave of strong semiconductor demand, Nvidia saw its stock climb around 3%. - **Apple (AAPL)**: Continuing its steady ascent, Apple enjoyed a 2% gain. These moves underscore the market’s enduring faith in technology, with many viewing these companies as engines of growth even amid broader economic uncertainties. **Global Market Reactions** The positive sentiment wasn’t limited to the U.S. In Asia, markets shared the optimism: - **Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index** surged 3.69%, bolstered by significant gains in major Chinese tech players like Tencent, Xiaomi, Alibaba, and Meituan. The ongoing progress in artificial intelligence also played a part in attracting investor interest. - In contrast, Japan’s Nikkei 225 slipped by 0.79% as the yen strengthened, which put pressure on the country’s export-reliant companies. Meanwhile, European markets presented a mixed picture: - France’s CAC 40 edged up by 0.3%. - Germany’s DAX and the UK’s FTSE 100, however, posted slight declines of 0.13% and 0.25% respectively. Investors in Europe are keeping a cautious eye on ongoing trade discussions and economic indicators, trying to gauge what the next few months might bring. **Policy Moves and Market Calm** A notable development that contributed to today’s rally was the administration’s new executive order on reciprocal tariffs. This directive asks agencies to explore tariffs that match those imposed by other countries on U.S. goods. Importantly, no immediate new tariffs have been set in motion, which has helped to ease fears of sudden trade escalations. Analysts believe that this deliberate pace is giving investors the confidence they need to keep the market moving upward. **Corporate Earnings and Their Impact** Earnings season is in full swing, and several companies reported results that surpassed expectations: - **Cisco Systems (CSCO)** delivered strong quarterly earnings along with an upbeat full-year forecast, pushing its stock up by more than 2%. - **MGM Resorts (MGM)** experienced a dramatic 17.5% jump in share price, thanks to robust sales and profits, especially from its Macau operations and digital initiatives. - **Molson Coors (TAP)** also posted encouraging numbers, with its shares rising 9.5% driven by a favorable product mix and effective pricing strategies. These robust earnings reports have reinforced investor optimism, further buoying the market sentiment. **Commodities and Currencies** The commodities market offered its own signals about the day’s mood: - **Crude Oil:** West Texas Intermediate rebounded to around $71.50 per barrel after a brief dip. - **Gold:** With investors turning to safe-haven assets amid ongoing uncertainties, gold futures approached near-record levels at about $2,960 per ounce. Currency movements added another layer to the story. The U.S. dollar experienced slight weakness against both the Japanese yen and the euro, suggesting a modest shift in market sentiment. Meanwhile, yields on the 10-year Treasury dropped by two basis points to 4.53%, hinting that investors might be rethinking their expectations for future interest rate hikes in light of the latest inflation data. **Looking Ahead** As we move forward, market watchers are keeping a keen eye on upcoming economic indicators, including retail sales figures and further insights from the Federal Reserve on monetary policy. Any additional developments in trade policies will also be scrutinized for their potential ripple effects on global supply chains. In summary, while today’s gains—especially the Nasdaq’s record-high push—signal strong investor optimism, there are still lingering concerns about trade policies and inflation. For those navigating these turbulent times, a diversified strategy and close attention to evolving economic trends will be key. *Happy Trading!*
NASDAQ:NDX
by theithachi
NAS100USD / TRADING ABOVE SUPPORT ZONE /4HHELLO EVERYONE The price has changed direction and is now trading within an ascending channel, which increases the likelihood of a continued bullish trend. However, today’s CPI data release is expected to create market sensitivity and lead to strong price movements. Technically, as long as the price remains above 21,570, the bullish momentum is likely to continue, with the next target at 21,930 and, if broken, further upside potential toward 22,120. On the other hand, if the price breaks below 21,570 and closes a 4-hour candle beneath this level, a bearish trend could begin, signaling a shift in market sentiment. Given the impact of economic data, increased volatility is expected, and traders should look for confirmation before making decisions.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
2
$NAS100 Blow-off top🚀 Nasdaq Blow-Off Top in Sight? The Nasdaq is surging toward 23,000, showing signs of a classic blow-off top—parabolic price action, extreme bullish sentiment, and stretched valuations. Momentum is strong, but volume spikes and bearish divergences suggest exhaustion is near. If FOMO buyers fuel a final push, watch for a sharp reversal as liquidity dries up. A breakdown below key support could trigger a swift correction. Smart money may already be rotating out. Strategy: Tighten stops, consider hedging, and watch for short setups on confirmation of weakness. Is this the market’s last euphoric rally before reality sets in? #NASDAQ #Stocks #BlowOffTop InverseTomPip
FX:NAS100Long
by InverseTomPip
NAS100The Nasdaq Stock Market is one of the largest stock exchanges in the world, known for its focus on technology and growth-oriented companies. It was the first electronic stock market and continues to be a leader in innovation and trading efficiency. The Nasdaq Composite Index tracks nearly all stocks listed on the exchange, while the Nasdaq-100 includes the largest non-financial companies. Trading on Nasdaq follows regular U.S. market hours, with extended pre-market and after-hours sessions available. Investors closely watch the Nasdaq for trends in the tech sector and overall market performance.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Short
by HavalMamar
2