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4-hr US100: 700 Points Drop on the RadarFollowing the formation of a Double Top pattern at the 21,930 level last Friday, the NASDAQ has experienced a significant decline, plummeting by nearly 800 points. This downturn has been primarily driven by unfavorable manufacturing data emerging from China, alongside the Bank of Japan's unexpected interest rate hike on Friday. The market reaction closely resembles the Yen carry trade unwind observed in August of last year, as investors are swiftly reallocating capital from high-risk assets such as equities to traditionally safer alternatives. The Japanese Yen, recognized as a classic safe-haven asset, has seen increased demand amid the current market uncertainty. From a technical perspective, the US100 index currently exhibits an oversold condition, as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI). However, the prevailing downward momentum remains robust, suggesting that a potential reversal may not be imminent. The price action has decisively breached multiple Fibonacci retracement levels in succession and is now approaching the critical 61.2% retracement level. Historically, this level has acted as a strong and final support zone. Should this support level fail to hold, further declines towards the 20,500 threshold and potentially lower levels should not be ruled out. Market participants should exercise heightened caution, as the Federal Reserve is scheduled to convene this Wednesday, with an anticipated decision to maintain interest rates. This forthcoming announcement is likely to exert additional downward pressure on the US100 index. Nevertheless, given the sharp recent declines, short-term corrective pullbacks to the upside remain plausible. In light of the current market conditions, a prudent trading approach would involve entering short positions only after the NASDAQ convincingly breaches and closes below the 61.2% Fibonacci retracement level, thereby confirming further bearish sentiment.
SKILLING:US100Short
by Trendsharks
NASQ100 - Wait and see if Nas100 can stand on key support levelWait and see if Nas100 can stand on key support level! Hello mates, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is always setting a Stop Loss when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. Our 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
FX:NAS100
by QQGuo-Shane
US 100 Index: Bulls are Ready to take ActionDisclaimer: This particular analysis is not a trading advice but a personal opinion can only be taken for study purpose. Greetings! Mates what are your thoughts on US 100 Index kindly let me know in the comment section. US 100 Index Price Now: 21450.00 US 100 Index is still under the range and after testing the lower areas is ready to go high. Currently market is bullish and the perfect buying area is 21000.00 if market does not show support at this area then its next support will be 20750.00. The resistance is 21500.00 if market gives bullish breakout above 21500.00 then its next target will be to reach the demand zone 22000.00. Supporting Area: 21450.00, 20750.00 Resistance Area: 21500.00, 20000.00 Demand Zone: 22000.00 Like, comment and follow for more updates. Thanks for your support and time
TVC:NDQLong
by ATF_Trades_FX
Nasdaq - This Can Still Be A Fakeout!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is starting to slow down: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 A couple of months ago, the Nasdaq perfectly broke above the channel resistance trendline again, attempting the creation of another parabolic rally. However bulls are not flexing their muscles properly so this breakout attempt could still turn into a devastating fakeout. Levels to watch: $20.000, $17.000, $30.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQShort
by basictradingtv
37
NASDAQ: 4H MA200 held, Channel Up targeting 21,850.Nasdaq has just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.079, MACD = 48.410, ADX = 18.587), which is a strong buy signal after two days of consolidation, considering that the short term pattern is a Channel Up. Assuming that consolidation was its latest correction that had to test the 4H MA200 as support, we now expect the pattern to resume the uptrend and target the R2 level (TP = 21,860). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
NAS100 Bounces Off Key Support: Targeting 21,820PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is trading within a rising channel, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend. The price recently bounced off the lower boundary of the channel, aligning with a significant support level. The structure indicates the potential for further upside, with the next target around the 21,820 level. The bullish scenario assumes that the price maintains its momentum and respects the trendline support. A clear break and retest of the minor resistance zones along the way could confirm this upward movement. However, a break below the channel would invalidate this setup and suggest potential bearish pressure. Let me know your thoughts or if you have an alternative perspective!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by DanieIM
1
Nasdaq 100 Remains Neutral After the Fed's DecisionThe NAS100 initially dropped nearly 0.6% as the Federal Reserve's official decision was announced. However, so far, the event has not been decisive on the daily chart to establish a clear direction. The central bank chose to keep interest rates at 4.5% , as expected, and in its official statement, it acknowledged that inflation remains somewhat elevated and is still far from the 2% target. As long as this rate pause outlook continues, a sustained high level of 4.5% could continue to hinder overall economic activity and may become a key factor in the bearish bias that emerged in December. Short-Term Sideways Channel: At the moment, the market remains within a well-defined sideways range, with a ceiling at 22,000 points and a floor at 21,000 points. The price continues to fluctuate within this range, reflecting a clear lack of trend in recent movements. For now, this range stands as the most significant technical formation, potentially serving as a precursor to a much larger trending move. Neutrality in Indicators: The RSI line remains near the neutral 50 level , indicating that there is currently a perfect balance between buying and selling forces in the market. The MACD histogram closely resembles the RSI, oscillating near the 0-neutral line , which suggests that the moving averages do not show a clear short-term trend bias. The neutral stance of both indicators suggests that the Nasdaq may continue moving sideways for now, aligning with the current range-bound market behavior. Key Levels: 22K – The most important resistance, aligning with the top of the sideways channel. A breakout above this level could be decisive, signaling new all-time highs and reviving the long-term bullish trend. 21K – A crucial short-term support level, coinciding with the 100-period moving average. Price action near this level could intensify selling pressure, potentially leading to more significant bearish moves. 20K – The ultimate support level currently holding the structure. A drop to this level could tilt the balance towards the formation of a fresh downtrend in the short term. By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100USD): Assessing the Potential BreakoutOver the past few months, the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100USD) has demonstrated a clear upward trajectory, marked by higher highs and higher lows—a classic sign of sustained bullish sentiment. However, we've seen periods of consolidation and recent volatility - let's take a look at its current technical landscape. Current Market Overview: As of January 29, 2025, the NASDAQ 100 is trading at approximately 21,600, a level that has served as a significant pivot point in recent trading sessions. A decisive move above this threshold could validate the ongoing uptrend and open the door to further gains. Key Levels to Monitor: Immediate Resistance : The 21,600 level is crucial. A sustained break above this point could signal the continuation of the bullish trend. Support Levels : Should the price retreat, the 21,300 - 21,200 are notable support areas to watch. Recent Developments: The market has recently experienced heightened volatility, notably a sharp dip around January 27, followed by an aggressive recovery. This shows how unpredictable the market can be and hints at continued bullish movement. Strategic Considerations: Breakout Confirmation : A sustained move above 21,600, ideally accompanied by increased trading volume, would provide stronger confirmation of the breakout. Support Retest : If the price successfully breaches the 21,600 resistance, this level could transform into a support zone. A subsequent retest of this level as support could present a compelling entry opportunity for long positions. However , considering the Fed decision and fundamental factors around todays announcement - the most likely scenario would be slightly hawkish or a hawkish pause , which would be somewhat negative for the index. This would allow price to experience a temporary drop back down to the previous support (demand) level of 21,200 before buyers re-engage. Trading Strategies: Long Positions on Breakout Confirmation : A clear break and close above 21,600 could signal a long (buy) entry. Long Positions on Retest of Support : A pullback to the 21,200 support level (assuming it holds) could offer a better opportunity to enter long positions. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and it's essential to conduct your own thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use appropriate risk management techniques and trade responsibly. OANDA:NAS100USD IG:NASDAQ PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Apexfx_Alpha
Entering a Deep Seek for the Next Directional MoveTrading View Link: US Tech 100 – Entering a Deep Seek for the Next Directional Move for PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 by tv1lsqiw — TradingView Main Chart Link: Title: Entering a Deep Seek for the Next Directional Move Just as US Tech 100 traders were starting to think about the potential for a renewed attempt at all time highs again after President Trump’s first week in office saw him apply a more measured approach to imposing tariffs on key trading partners, they were jolted back into reality yesterday with a sharp and immediate 3% drop from the open. Buzz had been building around Chinese AI start up DeepSeek’s latest AI model, released last week, in that it was a credible alternative to the US offerings from OpenAI, for example. Over the weekend this buzz shifted to outright investor panic that DeepSeek was able to produce such a competitive AI model, given that they offer a much lower cost business proposition based on using less advanced chips. This realisation, that DeepSeek could be a major low cost disruptor in the AI space initiated a recalibration of valuations which saw semiconductor stocks fall, led by a massive 17% drop in Nvidia stock which wiped around $600 billion from its overall value. All of which, pulled the wider US Tech 100 lower due to the large weighting held by Nvidia. Now, looking forward, this week’s packed calendar of events could lead to increased volatility for the US Tech 100. On Wednesday evening the Federal Reserve interest rate decision is released at 1900 GMT. No changed is expected so the emphasis is likely to shift towards the comments from Chairman Powell in the press conference which starts at 1930 GMT. Traders will want to know whether his thoughts towards rate cuts in the first half of 2025 may have changed after the recent slowing in underlying inflation. They will also want to know how many rate cuts Fed policymakers now see across the whole of 2025. If that wasn’t enough, later Wednesday night, Tesla, Microsoft and Meta release their earnings, with Apple’s results released after the close on Thursday. While expectations are high, traders will be keen to see whether there is any slowdown in growth relative to previous quarters. They will also want to know the details of AI related spending and revenue, with any disappointment leading to an increase in US Tech 100 volatility into the weekend. Technical Update: After Monday’s sharp decline, Wednesday’s FOMC meeting and Big Tech stock earnings are set to be important sentiment drivers for the US Tech 100 Index. The question is, will these events lead to fresh buying, supporting the index after its recent falls, or will they be viewed by traders as another reason to reduce risk further, extending the downside moves? Let’s have a look at the potential technical levels that may be worth watching over coming days. Potential Support Levels: Weakness such as that seen on Monday does not in itself mark the potential of a sentiment shift, as key support levels must give way to increase the possibilities of further declines. With that in mind, Monday’s price weakness held above support at 20477, with is the low from January 13th. Having prompted the type of rebound it did yesterday, closing breaks below this level may be required if a more extended phase of weakness is to materialise. Closes below 20477 may be an indication that the current weakness can extend to lower levels. If that were the case the next possible support may be between 20270/20309, which contains the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of August 2024 to December 2024 strength and the November 19th session low. If this area gives way, the next support could then be 19904, which is the November 4th 2024 low. Potential Resistance Levels: By running Fibonacci retracements using last week’s high at 21909 (January 22nd high) alongside Monday’s low at 20477, the 61.8% retracement stands at 21424. This may mark the first resistance that needs to be broken on a closing basis. If there were a break above this Fibonacci level, then last week’s 21909 high may be the next important resistance level to monitor. This resistance level now marks an area where having found sellers before, it could so again, especially as it was strong enough to turn the recent advance lower in the way it did on Monday. While breaks of previous highs may have resulted in fresh price strength previously, there is no guarantee they will do so again, and much will depend on future price trends. However, possible closes above 21909 can potentially open up a more prolonged phase of price strength to challenge, possibly even breach 22142, the December 16th all-time high. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted. [/b
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
NAS100- Time to buy!Nasdaq has recovered yesterday's crash and turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.692, MACD = 88.960, ADX = 31.397). The current rebound is taking place on the 1D MA50 and is a double bottom on the P1 level, which was previously a Resistance coming from the July 11th 2024 High. The same P1 level was seen supporting a year ago the January 5th 2024 Low. This hold ended in a rally to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. With even their RSI Channel Down patterns being identical, we expect a new bullish wave to start now, aiming the 1.5 Fib once again (TP = 24,000).
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Disco-Dave
US100 bulls are ready for ATHI´m expecting a strong reaction on US CPI today. It is challenging to predict the readings but I think, it will be most likely lower than forecast. Personally I´m expecting 0,1 monthly core CPI due the strong USD. If you decide to trade this idea, you have a two options. Entering before or after the CPI. 20636 test as entry level is possible, but not likely after the lower CPI. With a proper size it is possible to buy now at current market price(20825) and target the ATH at 22215. 4Q earnings are starting today, so it can have siginifficant effect on the market. TP your trades partially on every line above the entry price. Wish you good luck. Before you trade this idea, check my previous ideas to know, what you will trade. I´m not a signal service, do not sell anything here. If you want to buy something, please contact other signalist who will comment this idea. Do your own analysis before you trade.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Rendon1
1
NAS100USD: Analyzing Bullish Institutional Order FlowGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe the continuation of bullish institutional order flow, presenting potential opportunities to align with this trend. The focus is on identifying evidence that supports taking bullish setups with proper confirmations. Key Observations: 1. Institutional Support Zone: Price is currently resting at a bullish order block, a strong institutional support zone. This order block is reinforced by an FVG (Fair Value Gap) positioned above it, further solidifying its significance. 2. Liquidity Dynamics: Sell stops resting below a recent low have been taken out, aligning with the order block. This suggests institutional activity, as liquidity has been created for order pairing (buying against sell-side liquidity). 3. Price Positioning: Despite being at a premium price relative to the intermediate high and low, there is no strong evidence to suggest a continuation into a discount zone. The liquidity sweep below the low strengthens the case for a bullish reversal from the current level. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Await confirmation at the current institutional support zone before taking buy setups. Target Levels: Focus on liquidity pools resting at the highs, as these are likely institutional profit-taking zones. By aligning with institutional order flow and leveraging evidence of liquidity sweeps and strong support zones, we aim to capitalize on bullish momentum. Always remain vigilant and ensure confirmation before entering positions. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
Nas100 - 15 min ( Best Buy and Sell Scalping After Break Out )In the context of the NAS100 on the FXCM platform, pivotal levels have been identified on the 15-minute time frame. A bullish scenario is projected following a breakout at the key level of 21,230 points, supported by high trading volume. Conversely, a bearish outlook is anticipated upon a breakout at 21,110 points, also accompanied by significant volume. Our analysis is focused solely on delivering precise opportunities, emphasizing accuracy over quantity. ⚡️Nas100 / FXCM Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf 🚨Bullish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 21230 Point 🚨Bearish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 21110 Point ⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis 💲 Not by Number ..+
FX:NAS100
by GentleGoldenEngine
4