NasdaqThis is what I think about Nasdaq in the next few week's and months: I believe a %10-15 correction is ahead. If you find this work useful hit the like button please.
USTEC trade ideas
Nasdaq 100 Reaches Record HighNasdaq 100 Reaches Record High
On 29th October, analysing the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart, we:
→ Drew a blue upward channel relevant for 2024.
→ Noted that the price was in a consolidation phase (indicated by narrowing purple lines) at the channel's median, suggesting a potential balance of supply and demand forces.
→ Warned that earnings season could trigger a volatility spike.
→ Suggested that the price was likely heading toward a new all-time high.
Since then:
→ Amid company earnings reports, we observed a volatility spike in November, which was further amplified by the release of US presidential election results.
→ The index achieved a new all-time high.
The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart shows that the index surpassed the $22,000 level for the first time yesterday. This was supported by positive trader sentiment ahead of tomorrow's Fed interest rate decision. According to Forex Factory, the rate will be cut by another 25 basis points (returning to the February 2023 level).
Meanwhile, the technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) reveals that:
→ The price has approached the upper boundary of the upward channel, which could serve as strong resistance.
→ Since early December, the index has risen by approximately 5.5%, and the RSI indicator has entered the overbought zone for the first time since July.
Under such conditions, bulls may struggle to continue the upward momentum, as more investors might look to lock in profits ahead of the holiday season. Additionally, the market's reaction to tomorrow's Fed interest rate release at 21:00 GMT+2 may play a key role.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ rally still has lots of upside before is tops.Nasdaq (NDX) is technically respecting the 2-year Channel Up that it's been trading in since the December 26 2022 market bottom. Its most recent Higher Low was on the August 05 2024 1W candle, which initiated the Bullish Leg we're currently in.
As you see, the previous two Bullish Legs had one main pull-back/ correction sequence each and apart from that, the majority of the Leg was technically a straight uptrend. Given that the current Bullish Leg already had a strong pull-back early on (August 26 - September 02 1W candles), it may continue to rise up to its target without another correction, assuming the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) holds.
If however it has another pull-back similar to the previous Bullish Leg (March 04 - April 15 2024), then it should rise some more near the 0.236 Fibonacci level and then pull-back.
In any event, the current level is technically a solid long-term buy entry and since both previous Bullish Legs have been around +48%, we expect to see 25300 before the current one tops.
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Price Retest Scenarios and Key Levels for Trend ConfirmationTechnical Analysis
The price has surged to a new historic high. It is now expected to retest 21900. A confirmed 4-hour candle close below 21900 will indicate a bearish move toward 21770.
On the other hand, if the price stabilizes above 22120 with a confirmed 1-hour candle close, it will support a bullish trend toward 22230.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 22120
Resistance Levels: 22230, 22400, 22510
Support Levels: 21900, 21770, 21620
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish Momentum with stability below 22120
- Bullish Momentum by stability above 22120
Nasdaq market analysis: 19-Dec-2024Good morning! Join me for today's Nasdaq market analysis. Share your charts, ask questions, and let's discuss trading strategies.
Nas fundamental idea, sell now 22033, target 21700Tomorrow we will have FOMC. So today US session can be pretty volatile, because of "repositioning". Be careful with opening new positions and especially with sizing. Personally Im expecting a pause in December and cut 0.25-0.50 in January. Contrary to market expecting 0.25 tomorrow. The reasons are two. Sticky inflation + Donald. Inflation is higher than in forecasts(also NFP, GDP are higher) and these alltogether giving FED "free hand" to get inflation under control by a pause. Second reason, Donald will push FED(however independent) to cut, cut, cut. So this is the last chance not to cut, because Joe really does not care nowadays. Donald wants american cars, products, tits not EU, CAD or Chinese. It means duty. Also wants lower taxes = higher consuption. All these steps are super inflatory. Sounds good for voters, bad for economy. These are the reasons Im expecting a pause. You can think about them but surely do your own plan to trade FOMC. This is mine.
Technical Analysis of NASDAQ 100 Index (4-Hour Chart)
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Key Support Levels:
The 20,566 level serves as the current support zone. This level is critical for determining the future direction of the index.
If this level is breached, the next support lies around 20,250.
Key Resistance Levels:
The first resistance zone is between 21,329-21,381, which aligns with the 20-period moving average and acts as a significant hurdle for upward movement.
Upon breaking this resistance, the next target is around 22,106, corresponding to the upper band of the Bollinger Bands indicator.
Potential Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario:
If the price rebounds from the 20,566 support zone, the index is expected to initially move towards the 21,381 resistance level. A successful breakout of this level could push the index toward its next target at 22,106. Confirmation signals, such as bullish patterns or increased buying volume, would strengthen this scenario.
2. Bearish Scenario:
If the 20,566 support zone is breached, the index could further decline toward the 20,250 level. Breaking this support would indicate significant market weakness and potential continuation of the downtrend.
Indicator Analysis
Bollinger Bands:
The price has reached the lower Bollinger Band, typically signaling a potential reversal. However, continued downward movement is possible if the lower band is decisively broken.
20-Period Moving Average (Blue Line):
This moving average acts as dynamic resistance. A breakout above this level may signal a short-term trend reversal.
Conclusion and Trading Suggestions
Considering the NASDAQ 100 index's position near the 20,566 support level, traders should watch for reversal signals. If confirmation of a rebound (e.g., increased trading volume or formation of reversal patterns) occurs, entering long positions near this area could be favorable. However, if this support is breached, it is advisable to avoid long trades and look for lower levels for market entry.
Recommendations:
Enter long positions near the 20,566 level with a stop-loss below 20,500.
Initial upside target: 21,381.
Manage risk by setting appropriate stop-loss levels and monitoring price behavior near critical zones.
US100 NASDAQ BUY DAILY TIMEFRAMEi noticed past day the us100 just pass the tenkansen of ichimoku kinkohyo, so why not take the risk ?
NASDAQ - Trading Complex Pullbacks & Pennant PatternsThis video will teach you how to trade complex pullbacks.
Concepts include: how to properly read a trend, breakout patterns, structure recognition & different entry techniques.
From the fundamental side, we also examine how recent economic events, such as the FOMC Interest Rate decision, US government shutdown threats, and the Santa Clause Rally, have affected the markets.
I wish you all a safe & happy holiday season!
Akil
BUY LIMIT US100 # Expect a sharp bullish movement as the market back to trigger entries from the demand area
NAS100USD Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 21,471.9.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 20,314.7 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NDX Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for NDX.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 21,287.68.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 20,340.94 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NEW IDEA FOR NAS100The Nasdaq-100 index has support at the channel bottom in the 22,026-point range on the one-hour timeframe, and if it holds, the target is channel top resistance at the 22,354-point range.
Nasdaq market analysis: 23-Dec-2024Good morning, traders! Welcome to today's Nasdaq market analysis. Compare my price action insights with your own charts and enhance your trading skills.
NAS/NQ are also preparing for the yearly transitionIf we are flexing daily Fib levels, I used the 21600 swing low as the base. If so we have achieved 75% today. It's also interesting that the volume profile POC (dashed) lies within the golden zone, which is also containing the Broken high retest point
I believe we have down here over the next few weeks into mid January. Using the space between the broken support (breaker) and the new low as consolidation, we should be able to build a nice base for entry ticket into this coming year's candle high
NAS100 UPDATE - Severe Divergence20SMA - Blue
200SMA - Pink
Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines
Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines
Dear Friends: (Away from charts)
It will be prudent to give your mind, body and soul a good rest, to recharge for the new upcoming exciting year!
How I see it:
Keep in mind NASDAQ is seriously diverted on all Time Frames!
"BAKED IN" Rate Cut Bets = Institutions Maximizing Profits
Strong bullish price action with no selling resistance
Bull Imbalances all the way!
How far can bulls drive it up, who knows?
All I know for a fact is that Nasdaq is in "SEVERE" overbought territory!
Keynote!
The 1HR TF gives me the best view of only the tip
of the iceberg of the scale of the 1st divergence level.
Please examine your RSI on all TF's, from 1Hour - 1Month closely
I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
Downward correction followed with upward continuationNASDAQ is currently in a bull run, but seems to be fading and needing a correction to continue the upward trajectory. The below structures between 21800-21400, will be potential barriers of the bearish move, leading in towards a potential upward movement. Conversely, if price action stabilises below 21400 -21200, the movement will likely continue down.
Short Position - NASDAQShort Position Entry: Consider initiating a short position if the Nasdaq-100 Index falls below 21,000.
Stop Loss (SL): Set a stop loss at 21,555 to manage potential losses.'
Market Sentiment: The combination of the Federal Reserve's cautious approach and rising inflation may contribute to a weakening market sentiment, potentially leading to a downward movement in the index.
his recommendation is for educational purposes only. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Stock trading involves risks, including the potential loss of capital. Ensure to evaluate your risk tolerance and conduct thorough research.
NASDAQ Before FOMC - New Chance For Bears?The NASDAQ has staged an impressive rally in recent weeks. We had pointed out bearish divergences in the volume, which the market ignored with a brilliant upward movement - this was not unexpected, as we remember from the aforementioned analysis. Nevertheless, these bearish divergences are still present and are now also clearly visible in the long-term cumulative volume delta chart.
With tomorrow's FED meeting and signs of weakness, the chances of a short-term correction to one of the various open gaps are not bad.
NASDAQ - 22/12/24 - LONGPrice has for the past weeks been on an uptrend, showing clear higher highs and higher lows. Looking for price to continue higher on the basis that last week's low was a new higher low. Additional confluences include a daily order block and price showing bullish momentum immediately after tapping.
To summarize, the idea is to just follow the trend. 1:3 RR
Nas 100 Sell to trend line on Daily *I am in no way a financial advisor and you should always do your own due diligence before placing any trade. Do not trade what you are not comfortable with losing. No trade is guaranteed.
US100 LONGUS100
LONG
💎Please don't be greedy
ENTRY : yellow point
TP : blue lines
SL :
below red line for LONG position
above red line for SHORT position
⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1:
Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss
⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2:
For risk and money management:
5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20
And
3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
bigger corrective range
Hello , trader,
This is my first sharing for 2025 where i forecast the direction of US indices.
Let's see how it plays out
Cheers!
