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XAUUSD trade ideas

XAUUSD ICT Analysis | Smart Money Concepts | 15m ChartThis chart exemplifies classic ICT methodology and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) in motion. Here's a breakdown of the zones and logic: Current Market Structure Market swept a prior low (liquidity grab) near $3,015, indicating Smart Money accumulation in the breaker block. Bullish reaction occurred precisely at the breaker + demand zone, suggesting accumulation by Smart Money. Price is currently respecting a short-term higher low, with probable retracement toward premium levels. Key Zones Marked Breaker Block ($3,015–$3,036): Entry area where price reversed after liquidity sweep. High Probability Reversal Zone (~$3,061–$3,075): Aligned with 0.382–0.5 Fib + internal liquidity. Pullback Zone (~$3,090): 0.618 Fib retracement & previous inefficiency (FVG close). FVG (Fair Value Gap) (~$3,100–$3,135): Anticipated magnet for price to rebalance inefficiency. Order Block + Rejection Block (~$3,135–$3,167): Strong resistance zone. High chance of rejection. Expected Play Liquidity Sweep Below -> Accumulation in Breaker Block Bullish Repricing Toward FVG + OB Reaction in Pullback Zone / OB Likely Smart Money will look to offload longs in the OB/Resistance Zone, potentially triggering a bearish rejection. Macro Fundamentals (April 2025) Recent Geopolitical & Economic Drivers: 1. Middle East Tensions: Escalation between Iran and Israel has increased risk-on demand for gold. 2.USD Weakness: Mixed US labor data released April 4 showed slower job growth, reducing Fed’s tightening stance. 3. Gold Reserve Accumulation: Recent reports indicate China & Russia continue increasing gold reserves, supporting medium-term bullish bias on XAU.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FaithdrivenTrades
Gold Outlook: Bullish Momentum Ahead – Key Insights from Recent Gold remains bullish, driven by increasingly negative economic indicators. February brought a wave of weak economic data, a rise in layoffs, and a steep drop in consumer sentiment—now at its lowest level since February 2021. These developments point toward growing recession risks, which continue to support gold as a safe-haven asset. In recent sessions, we observed a mix of profit-taking and rollover activity, with fresh positions being opened in the $3005–$3015 range. This zone now reflects strong speculative interest, suggesting that new capital is positioning for a further move upward. Based on current market structure and positioning, gold looks set for a potential 1000 pip move, which could begin as early as today. To summarize: Price should hold above $2010 from here. I’m already long from $2005. Focus only on buy opportunities at this stage. If you’re serious about learning how real analysis is done and how professionals track market behavior—stay tuned, and good luck! 🚀 #Gold #XAUUSD #Recession #BullishView #MarketInsight
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by jacobradan
1
Gold: covering market lossesFriday's trading session was one of the most painful ones in the recent history of financial markets, surpassing the depression after pandemic lockdown in 2020. The price of gold also pulled back on Friday, around 3%, ending the week at the level of $3.037. Analysts are noting that the sell-off of gold was triggered by investors who were selling this asset in order to cover margin calls from other markets. In addition, there are also fears of trade wars, which started after China imposed a 34% tariffs on all US goods, as a response to US tariffs. Regardless of this short retreat, gold continues to be perceived as a safe-haven asset for investors. At the start of the week, the price of gold reached a fresh, new all time highest level at $3.160. However, news regarding tariff-war triggered the main sell off on Thursday and Friday, and the price of gold ended the week at $3.037. The RSI reached the clear overbought market side, but ended the week at the level of 54. It still has not entered into the road toward the oversold market side, but there is some probability for this move in the coming period. There has not been much change when MA 50 and MA200 are in question. These lines continue to move as two parallel lines with an uptrend, without any kind of indication over a potential cross. At this moment, market uncertainty is at its highest level. During the week ahead, any new news regarding tariffs or countermeasures from other countries, will trigger market reaction. Volatility will continue to be high. In case that more investors sell gold in order to respond to margin calls, the price of gold would continue to drop further. However, if markets calm down, there is potential for a modest upside, probably until the level of $3,1K, but this should be taken with a reservation. Market optimism is at its lowest level now, so some significant moves toward the upside should not be expected. At this moment, the price of gold has equal chances for a move toward the up and down side during the week ahead.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
GOLD Will Explode! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 2788.3 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 2802.9 Recommended Stop Loss - 2780.8 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSD.FLong
by AnabelSignals
1
XAUUSD - Uptrend is strong, pullback for buysThe gold market is displaying remarkable strength, with the XAU/USD pair recently breaking above the $3,085 level to establish new historical highs. The upward trajectory has been supported by a robust ascending trendline dating back to late February, indicating persistent bullish momentum. While the immediate trend remains decidedly positive, technical indicators suggest a potential short-term correction may be forthcoming, which would likely present advantageous buying opportunities for traders. The highlighted support zone around $3,030-$3,040 could serve as an ideal entry point for those looking to establish long positions, with the expectation that after this healthy pullback, gold will resume its upward march toward the projected target of $3,100 and potentially beyond. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by financialflagship
2
Is the trend of gold rising sharply or falling sharply? In the short-term 4-hour chart, the current support below is around 3100-3095, which is the key to whether a short-term short position can be formed. If it falls below, it will enter a short-term short trend. The short-term upper resistance focuses on the two positions of 3027-3038, which is the recent top and bottom conversion position, and the upper resistance is around 3150. Technically, gold is still in a bullish trend, and the main idea is to buy more after a pullback. Strategy: It is recommended to buy more at 3108/09, stop loss at 3100, and target around 3123-3127 and 3137
TVC:GOLDShort
by MarjorieMatthew
Gold extended higher, look for signs of exhaustionGold is extending higher, tapping into untested liquidity above. However, signs of exhaustion are creeping in. Watch for potential liquidity sweeps before reversals. Key Untapped Liquidity Zones Upside: $3,182 - $3,189 Downside: $3,103 - $3,094 🔴 Sell Setups (Short) 1️⃣ Intraday Reversal Short Entry Zone: $3,182 - $3,189 Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,193 Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP1: $3,150 (First reaction) TP2: $3,128 (Key liquidity) TP3: $3,103 (Imbalance fill) 📌 Reasoning: Untested supply at $3,182-$3,189 Price may sweep liquidity above $3,180 before a sharp rejection 2️⃣ Aggressive Short (Scalp) Entry Zone: $3,150 - $3,153 Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,157 Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP1: $3,128 TP2: $3,117 TP3: $3,103 📌 Reasoning: Liquidity grab before a possible retrace Strong momentum-based rejection expected 🟢 Buy Setups (Long) 3️⃣ Safe Long (Key Demand Zone) Entry Zone: $3,103 - $3,094 Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,089 Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP1: $3,128 TP2: $3,150 TP3: $3,182 📌 Reasoning: Untested demand at $3,103-$3,094 Imbalance below $3,103 should act as a magnet Liquidity sitting at $3,094 4️⃣ Deep Liquidity Sweep Buy Entry Zone: $3,074 - $3,067 Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,060 Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP1: $3,103 TP2: $3,128 TP3: $3,150 📌 Reasoning: Liquidity sweep target at $3,074-$3,067 If price taps this zone, a high-probability reversal could follow Heavy imbalance would need correction 👀 Keep an Eye On: 1️⃣ DXY movements—if the dollar strengthens, gold may struggle to break higher. 2️⃣ News events—major economic data could trigger liquidity grabs before reversals. 3️⃣ Reactions at key levels—watch for wicks, aggressive rejections, and volume spikes. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. Good luck on the market today.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Gold is trading sideways at a high level! Trend analysisGold is currently continuing to fluctuate along the short-term moving average in the daily trend, and the current price is supported around 3100. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average is basically in a state of adhesion and flatness. The K-line has insufficient downward momentum in the short-term trend after the continuous lower shadow line. We should pay attention to the possible sideways shock repair and the secondary upward trend after the technical pattern repair. Gold has not broken through the intraday high and continues to be mainly high-altitude. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is recommended to be mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3138-3140 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support. Strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3138-3140, short (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, break to see 3100 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: When gold pulls back to around 3100-3103, long (buy long) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, break to see 3130 line;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MarjorieMatthew
Reciprocal tariffs - gold continues to rise✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 03/31/2025 - 04/04/2025 🔥 World situation: Gold prices surged on Friday, reaching a new all-time high of $3,086 as uncertainty surrounding US trade policy and an uptick in the Federal Reserve's (Fed) preferred inflation gauge fueled demand for the safe-haven metal. Following this, market sentiment suggests growing confidence that the Fed will implement two rate cuts in 2025. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $3,079, up 0.79%. Investor sentiment remains cautious as markets brace for April 2, dubbed “Liberation Day” by US President Donald Trump, who has signed an executive order imposing a 25% tariff on all imported automobiles. This move has sparked global reactions, particularly from Canada and the European Union (EU), both of which are preparing retaliatory measures in response to the tariffs. 🔥 Identify: Gold price moves up, early April will continue to explode to NEW Ath 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $3100, $3132, $3150 Support : $3002, $2957 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
3
Gold’s Surge: New Highs, Key Resistance, and the Path to 2720Hello, XAU/USD has been on a strong upward trajectory, repeatedly reaching new all-time highs. Gold has just recorded its best quarter since 1986, solidifying its status as the ultimate safe haven amid economic uncertainty. Factors such as Trump’s trade war and the weakening U.S. dollar—on track for its worst year since the 2008 financial crisis—have further reinforced gold’s appeal as a reliable hedge. Currently, gold is testing a significant resistance zone. If this level holds, the price could move toward 2720, provided key conditions are met along the way. A strong early signal would be whether the price remains comfortably below the 1W PP, which could pave the way for movement toward the 1M PP. Should this level act as resistance, the path to 2720 becomes more likely. While such a scenario may seem unlikely under current market conditions, history has shown that when things appear strongest, declines often follow. Stay prepared, and good luck! The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1D-1Y timeframes! No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
Gold continues to rise above 3100!Gold is bound to reach 3100. Last week, after several days of shocks, gold broke through the high and rose sharply. On Friday, it reached 3087, and the daily line closed with a big positive for two consecutive days. There is only a dozen dollars left to reach 3100, and there is no doubt that it will be won next week. On Friday, the high level fluctuated sideways, and it tested the high point of 3086 many times from the US market to the early morning. The more it tested, the greater the probability of breaking. Finally, it closed near the high point of 3085. If this kind of strong market closes strongly at a high level, then there is a high probability that the market will directly rise and break the high at the opening on Monday morning, or will go straight to around 3100. Even if there is a retracement, the amplitude will not be too large. Pay attention to the support line of 3073-3067. How much room is there above 3100? This wave of strong breakout and rise is somewhat affected by the tariff policy. The rise in risk aversion has helped push gold to a new high. After a large increase in bullish volume, it may slow down. It mainly depends on the expectation of tariff policy, buy expectations and sell facts. The previous rise has fully digested the impact of the news. Facts have proved that if it continues to rise, it is expected to slow down or even fall in stages. The retracement range of the previous high of 3057-3000 is only 57 US dollars, which can only be regarded as a small correction. Under the influence of the news, it will break the high again. It is possible to see more above 3100, but it is really not recommended to chase more. Because after the New York futures gold broke through 3100 US dollars on March 28, the number of contracts delivered on the first fixed position day of the April contract was as high as 34,865, with a total of 3.49 million ounces, that is, 108 tons, a historical record. In the case of gold continuing to rise and break high, this huge delivery will make it highly likely that there will be a large-scale run on gold in April. In the previous round, the price of gold bulls went from 2286 to 2790, which was 504 US dollars. If calculated from 2277 to 2790, it is 513 US dollars. It peaked at 2790 and fell to 2536, which was 254 US dollars. In this round of bull market, the price went from 2583 to 3100, which was 517 US dollars. If calculated from 2596 to 3100, it was also 504 US dollars. According to the same rise and fall in the previous round, there is a possibility of a sharp decline above 3100. Be careful of risks if you are bullish but don't chase the long position. If the price drops by 254 US dollars from 3100, it is 2846, which is also near the starting point of the second rise, which is consistent with the technical aspect.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by JosephChristian
When will gold's continued highs peak?Gold prices have risen strongly and are currently hovering around $3,120. Technical analysis of gold: There is no limit to the price of gold in a bull market. The current market has returned to the historical high of 3,128. Short-term short orders can earn 20+ profits, and the 3,100 integer mark can earn another 20+ profits. Long and short orders can directly reap double profits! For those who still want to operate, short orders can only be short-term! Long orders are the main theme! The shooting star pattern appears in the 4-hour chart of gold. If it cannot refresh the high point of 3,128, it is expected to fall back. If it breaks through 3,128, then the upper side will continue to focus on the vicinity of 3,138. I think the upper space is limited, and at least the monthly line should also have an upper shadow line. Therefore, it is better to look for opportunities to short gold! The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a long arrangement with a golden cross upward, but the 1-hour high of gold has fallen back, which has suppressed the gold bulls. Then the probability of gold starting to fluctuate at a high level is high. If gold does not break through the new high and rebounds, it will continue to be short. Long orders still need to wait patiently for the adjustment to end. On the whole, it is recommended to do more on pullbacks and short on rebounds in the short-term operation of gold. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3128-3130 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3097 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. Gold operation strategy reference: Gold pullback near 3100-3102, do more (buy up) in batches, two-tenths of the position, stop loss 3090, target near 3120-3128, break to see 3140;
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by GladysEmily
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – April 2025🎯 Market Context: Gold is currently trading in uncharted territory — sitting at all-time highs, right inside a Monthly Premium zone, just above the previous BOS level from 2011. This is significant institutional terrain. 📌 Key Monthly Levels: 🧊 Major Resistance Zone: 3,135–3,168 → This is a premium zone where price is likely to face profit-taking or distribution. 🔵 Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between 2,750–2,900 remains unfilled. 🪙 Last CHoCH and BOS: Confirmed bullish structure. Market has broken all historical ceilings. ⚖️ Equilibrium Zone: Around 2,400–2,500 → could act as a magnet in long-term pullbacks. 💎 Unmitigated OBs and Strong Lows: Still open way below 2,000 — long-term reversion zones if a macro bearish cycle begins. 🧠 Market Psychology: We are clearly in the euphoria/distribution stage. Monthly RSI is likely overbought (to be confirmed on chart), making bulls cautious for the first time in months. Smart Money might be unloading positions subtly or looking to trap late longs.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Gold Weekly Analysis: Is This Manipulation at Play?Gold followed my analysis last week, reaching yet another all-time high as anticipated. The bullish momentum remains strong; however, given the consistent break of all-time highs, I now expect a pullback. While we may see some further upside, I anticipate a bearish weekly close, prompting me to look for sell opportunities. Additionally, I believe we could be entering a range, with the current highs representing potential manipulation. If this is the case, we may have set a temporary high for at least the next week or two. Traders if you found this post useful than give it a boost!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by omz_zz
Can gold be shorted today?Last week, the gold market fluctuated at the beginning of the gold week, rose on Thursday and Friday, and closed near the high on Friday. The weekly line closed with a bald positive line with a lower shadow. The overall market trend was very strong. The price of gold rose for four consecutive weeks and set a new high. Driven by factors such as trade, economy, and regional conflicts, and the influence of Trump’s remarks at the weekend, provided support for the gold price. Gold also rushed directly to 3100 as soon as it opened in the morning, setting a new high again at 3127.9. Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to 3100-3095, defend at 3090, target at 3115-3120;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PageEvan
Gold Analysis March 4Fundamental Analysis Persistent concerns over the potential economic impact of US President Donald Trump’s tit-for-tat tariffs could act as a catalyst for the safe-haven precious metal. Meanwhile, risk-off sentiment, coupled with expectations that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle early, has caused a sharp decline in US Treasury yields. This, in turn, has pushed the US dollar (USD) to its lowest level since October 2024 and helped limit the downside in non-yielding gold. Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for a sharp sell-off to confirm that XAU/USD has topped out. Technical Analysis Today’s trading range is likely to see a fairly high probability of a drop. If it breaks 3116, gold will find its way back to 3081. In case gold breaks the downward structure as analyzed in the upward direction, pay attention to the SELL zone around 3148-3150. Wishing everyone a successful trading day.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Sorry, we should sell gold! Its price is already high enough!Hello, traders Major Resistance: $3,150+ (where price recently formed a weak high). Support Zones: $3,135.69 (Near-term support). $3,059.69 (Stronger support zone). Current Trend Analysis: Price reached a weak high and is now retracing downwards. Expecting a retest of $3,135 - $3,120 before a possible move further down. The dashed purple line ($3,139.50) seems to be a critical level for intraday traders. Potential Trade Setups: Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below $3,135, expect further downside towards $3,120. A break below $3,120 could push gold towards $3,060. Bullish Scenario: If price holds at $3,135 and reverses with bullish confirmation, it could retest $3,150+ again. Fundamental Analysis (Gold - XAU/USD) Dollar Strength (DXY) & Interest Rates: The US Dollar Index (DXY) influences gold prices. If the USD strengthens, gold prices may decline. Recent Fed statements on rate hikes could put pressure on gold. Inflation & Safe-Haven Demand: If inflation remains high, gold could see buying pressure as an inflation hedge. Recent geopolitical risks and banking concerns could increase gold's safe-haven demand. Upcoming Events to Watch: US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Report – Can impact USD and gold. Federal Reserve Speeches – Hawkish or dovish tones will guide gold’s movement.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ram-Karavadra
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan for April 3, 2025🧠 Smart Money Concepts x Fundamental Flow Despite negative USD news (ADP & ISM) and Trump’s hawkish blurbs, Gold didn’t pop aggressively — it wicked up into premium supply, then quickly retraced. That’s a liquidity game, not a trend change (yet). Still bullish bias overall, but intraday looks mixed. 🧭 Bigger Picture – D1/H4 Price rejected strongly from the premium supply zone near 3144–3147, leaving a clear wick with imbalance underneath. Bullish structure remains valid, but we're seeing a potential distribution pattern short-term. Trendline liquidity & HLs are stacking up below, ideal for a grab. 🟩 Demand zones of interest: 3107–3115 (discount zone, strong reaction in prior sessions) 3086–3092 (last known rally base) 📌 Key Zones 🔵 Premium supply: 3144–3147 🟡 Buyside liquidity: 3147–3155 🟦 Sellside liquidity grab zone: 3107–3115 🟢 Strong demand: 3086–3092 🔴 Major liquidity draw: 3180 zone (untouched weekly magnet) 🧩 SCENARIO 1 – 🐂 “Power of Discount” Buy Setup “When in doubt, hunt the imbalance out.” Price dips toward 3115–3107, taps imbalance + OB, shows M5/MS shift Confirmation + sniper long TP1: 3142 (last high), TP2: 3180 if momentum kicks in 🎯 Confluences: Discount OB zone + unfilled imbalance Trendline tap + BOS + liquidity grab Weak DXY context 🧩 SCENARIO 2 – 🐂 Trap, Swipe & Rally Buy Deep sweep to 3086 zone Reversal signs after stop hunt / equal low grab Entry on CHoCH or breaker retest (M15 or M5) TP1: 3140, TP2: 3180 💡 This is the “maximum pain = maximum profit” play. 🧩 SCENARIO 3 – 🐻 Premium Rejection Intraday Sell “Supply hits, market flips.” Price tests 3144–3147 again in early session No BOS on M5, shows weakness (M5/M15 LH + CHoCH) Sell into imbalance zones TP1: 3127, TP2: 3110 ⚠️ Only take this if we don’t break above 3147. Watch liquidity wicks! 🧩 SCENARIO 4 – 🐻 Fake Pump & Dump Price spikes through PDH, into 3155–3160 Quick rejection (news-induced spike or algo trap) Sell setup on lower TF reversal after liquidity sweep TP to 3115 zone 🎭 A classic “grab & go” trap. Great RR but needs discipline. 📰 Macro Watch – April 3, 2025 Fed speakers are lining up — watch for dollar volatility 👀 China PMI during Asia could boost metals DXY might stay weak → keep gold supported Gold is at ATH regions = more manipulation + fakeouts!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD: Flashing a strong sell signal.Gold is highly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 75.258, MACD = 52.020, ADX = 63.587) and today is having its first strongly bearish 4H candle. This is because the price hit the top of March's Channel Up and got rejected. The HH should now give way to a bearish wave for a HL on the 4H MA50. This is a validated sell opportunity to go for yet another -1.80% decline and target the bottom of the pattern (TP = 3,093). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by InvestingScope