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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold H1 | Approaching multi-swing-low supportGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 3,106.58 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 3,071.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 3,162.54 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FXCM
Gold - Looking To Buy Dips In The Short TermH1 - Bullish trend pattern in the form of higher highs, higher lows structure Strong bullish momentum Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VladimirRibakov
Wednesday, April 2, 2025: Logical Analysis + Technical AnalysisHello traders, ** ** What happened last night? In the COMEX gold futures market, the open interest for gold saw a **significant increase** in one day, with an addition of 62,187 contracts. Among them, the April 2025 contract increased by 45,428 contracts, which is a very rare and even abnormal surge. Why is this event considered "strange"? 1. **Timing anomaly**: March 31 is the CME's "First Notice Day," when open interest typically begins to decrease as investors either opt for physical delivery of gold or roll over to the next contract. However, this time, open interest not only did not decrease but actually increased significantly. 2. **Abnormal relationship between price and open interest**: Normally, as gold prices rise, investors choose to take profits, leading to a decrease in open interest. Yet this time, while gold prices reached new highs, open interest surged. What does this mean? The 45,428 contracts correspond to approximately 4.5 million ounces of gold, worth about $14 billion at current gold prices. If this is not a data error or operational mistake, it could mean: 1. **A sudden influx of new physical gold demand**: A large amount of capital may have suddenly entered the gold market, preparing for physical delivery. 2. **Demand for deferred delivery being activated early**: Some physical demand that was originally planned for deferred delivery is now being activated ahead of schedule. The sudden surge in physical delivery demand usually indicates that gold prices will rise significantly in the short term. However, there is another possibility to be cautious about: Someone might use massive positions to create a "short squeeze" panic, scaring off short sellers and driving prices higher, only to reverse positions for profit once the market overheats. In other words, the current situation may exhibit characteristics of "baiting" traders, requiring careful attention to risk. Additionally, according to the Wall Street Journal, Trump is considering implementing "broader and higher tariffs" on all countries on April 2 (which is today) and "seeing what happens." Currently, the uncertainty index for U.S. trade policy is about 25% higher than during Trump's Trade War 1.0, and the U.S. economic uncertainty index has reached a historic high. ** ** ** Insider Tips:** On Monday of this week, during the Asian Tokyo session, gold broke upward, reaching a high of 3128. This was a breakout from the consolidation that started during the European morning session last Friday and continued into the Asian morning session on Monday, with the highest point touching the extreme positions of FIBO EXT 1.27-1.414. On Monday, it was suggested to wait for a 4-hour reversal signal before looking for a pullback to enter short positions in gold. TP1: 3084 TP2: 3073 TP3: 3057 On Tuesday, crude oil experienced a brief pullback during the U.S. session, and the 1-hour chart showed that gold ended its consolidation after the U.S. market opened, resulting in a $34 pullback. **Trading Plan for Wednesday to Friday:** On the 4-hour chart, gold is likely to form a bullish reversal signal during the Asian morning session on Wednesday, with the candlestick stabilizing above the EMA. This indicates that the pullback in gold has ended, and the probability of continuing to rise is greater. As long as gold remains stable above the EMA on the 4-hour chart before the non-farm payroll data on Friday, continue to go long on gold: TP1: 3171 TP2: 3185 TP3: 3199 GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FUNTRADER-Vera
Gold Rejects Channel Highs — Retracement to $3,000 Before HigherGold has printed another clean rejection at the upper boundary of a short-term ascending channel on the 6H timeframe. This latest rejection adds further validity to the structure, suggesting that we may now see a healthy technical pullback toward the equilibrium line of the channel — and potentially down to the lower support boundary near the $3,000 psychological level. Technical Outlook: Another rejection from channel resistance confirms structural validity. 1:4 risk-to-reward short opportunity with clear invalidation and confluence. Targets:  – TP1: $3,005 — channel midline + psychological level  – TP2: $2,955 — previous swing high + dynamic quarterly support $3,000 psychological levels are often retested before continuation. Fundamentals & Geopolitical Context (as of April 1, 2025): Gold's Macro Bull Trend Remains Intact Despite this short-term setup, the broader macro backdrop continues to support gold:  – Central banks accumulating gold amid global de-dollarization  – Real yields remain negative across key regions  – Oil trading above $100 fuels inflationary pressure Geopolitical Flashpoints Supporting Volatility  – Russia-Ukraine war shows no signs of easing  – Middle East tensions rising (Israel–Hezbollah conflict)  – Taiwan-U.S.-China escalation continues post-military exercises Bitcoin Weakness = Gold Rotation Potential  – BTC struggling at $70K, showing early signs of distribution  – Miner pressure increasing ahead of halving  – Targeting possible correction to $50K = capital rotation into gold Conclusion: Technical rejection at resistance aligns with macro expectations of a short-term pullback. $3,000 key psychological level likely to be retested before further upside. Gold remains in a macro bull market; this move is likely corrective within a larger expansion leg. Long Term Gold Bull Target $4,200: Previous Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100): Previous Intra Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100):
IGSB:USCGCShort
by Who-Is-Caerus
Another Good Trade for GOLD (XAUUSD) Today My overall forecast for this week is that Gold will do classic expansion week where monday will go up then tuesday will most likely go up to sweep mondays high then do the reversal so that wednesday and thursday will be expansion going down and target the daily imbalances below. For today i was expecting a bullish push upwards for GOLD before it will reverse so i followed my steps by combining my multi timeframe analysis. From daily for the overall bias to 1H for that confirmation and alignment then 5m for my entry timeframe. Once i saw those 3 timeframes align with combination confirmation that i saw with the price action then i entered the trade. My original target was 1:3R but then i saw the weakness after price came to my 1:2R level so i manually pulled out with a 1:2R gain for today....
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by alfoxDayTrader
XAUUSD MARKET REVERSAL (BUY)During Friday’s NFP we saw heavy selling pressure on Gold. With Gold showing clear market structure breaking the previous higher low swing high, a sign of market reversal is in place creating a new higher high. 💡Scenario 1 Waiting for price to retest demand zone, and if it doesn’t break below we can aim to enter at this demand zone for buys. Targeting previous supply zones. 💡Scenario 2 If price breaks below the demand zone I will wait to see how price reacts at the previous demand zone for a better buy entry to the upside. 🧠CONCLUS If all this is invalid then we will see a continuation to the downside. However, looking at this market structure and a trend reversal taking place creating higher higher and higher lows, it is a clear indication that price is reversing and becoming bullish. Wait for confirmation of candlesticks on 15min & 5min time frame, for either a bullish engulfing candlestick or, a shooting star.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by DivineKiaku
XAUUSD H6 Idea Gold Prices— a Warning About Global Uncertainty - Gold prices just hit a record high, soaring past $3,085 per ounce in March 2025. That’s not just a number—it’s a warning sign. Investors aren’t piling into gold for no reason. They’re reacting to a world that feels more uncertain by the day. - The U.S. has imposed heavy tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, triggering trade tensions that are shaking global markets. Inflation is still higher than expected, climbing to 2.8% in February, making traditional investments riskier. At the same time, the U.S. dollar is weakening, and Treasury yields are dropping, pushing investors toward gold as a safe bet. Add to that ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and it’s no surprise that gold is surging. Every new crisis just makes it more attractive. This isn’t just a temporary spike. Experts warn that the worst effects of these trade policies haven’t even hit yet, and if inflation keeps climbing, the global economy could be in for a rough ride. Gold isn’t just going up—it’s flashing a warning. It’s telling us that investors don’t trust what’s coming next. And if history is any guide, they might be right.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GOLDFXCC
XAUUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of XAU-USD (Gold) with you. Looking at the chart for gold, I've noticed that after every time gold reaches levels like 1,000, 2,000, or 3,000 dollars, and the first weekly candle closes negative, gold typically starts to correct to the 50% Fibonacci level. Currently, the first weekly negative candle has closed, so I expect a price decline towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement, which brings us to 2,506.27. 📉 Expectation: Bearish Scenario: A price decline to 2,506.27 after the first weekly negative candle. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Support: 2,506.27 Resistance: Previous highs (1,000, 2,000, 3,000 levels) 💬 What do you think about Gold this week? Let me know in the comments! Trade safe
FX:XAUUSDShort
by PouyanTradeFX
XAU/USD Bullish Pennant Breakout - Trade Setup Toward Target📊 Overview: This 4-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) presents a clean bullish pennant breakout followed by a corrective pullback to key support, offering a high-probability trading setup for bullish continuation traders. Gold recently surged above the psychological $3,000 level, but after testing the previous resistance zone / ATH, it retraced back into a critical confluence of support. From a technical perspective, the structure remains bullish, supported by strong trendline dynamics, clean price action, and a well-defined pennant formation. 🔍 Step-by-Step Breakdown: 1. Bullish Pennant Formation A bullish pennant is a continuation pattern that typically occurs after a strong upside rally (the "flagpole"). In this chart: The flagpole began around March 13, with gold moving vertically from ~$2,630 to ~$2,950. This was followed by consolidation between March 19–27, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern with converging trendlines (the pennant body). Volume (if added) would typically decrease during this consolidation phase. On March 27–28, price broke above the pennant, confirming the bullish bias. 📌 This breakout signals that buyers are ready to resume control after taking a breather. 2. Rally & Retest Phase Following the breakout: Price surged to challenge the resistance zone and all-time high (ATH) area, marked between $3,150 – $3,160. A natural pullback occurred due to profit-taking and overbought conditions. This retracement brought price back into the support zone at ~$3,000, intersecting perfectly with: The rising trendline from the pennant breakout A horizontal demand zone (former resistance turned support) A key psychological level ($3,000) 💡 This zone acted as a confluence area, attracting buyers and creating a strong bounce — visible as a bullish engulfing candle. 3. Support & Resistance Analysis ✅ Support Level: $2,990 – $3,010 Marked by previous highs before the breakout Validated by the trendline and price reaction 🚫 Resistance / ATH Level: $3,150 – $3,160 Historic resistance zone that capped the recent rally Price must break this level for further continuation toward the target 4. Trendline Dynamics The dotted trendline acts as a rising support structure. Trendlines in bullish continuations are crucial as they confirm upward momentum. As seen on the chart, price respected the trendline during the recent dip and bounced with strong momentum — a bullish signal. 5. Trade Setup & Risk Management A trade based on this structure should follow strict risk-to-reward discipline. 🛒 Entry Zone: Ideal re-entry lies between $3,030 – $3,040, after confirming the bounce from support. ❌ Stop Loss: Below $2,976, which is under the support zone and trendline. If price breaches this level, the pattern is invalidated. 🎯 Target: Measured move (height of the flagpole) projected from breakout zone gives us a target of around $3,221. The chart also marks this clearly as the "Target" zone. 📈 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3, which is attractive for swing trades. 6. Market Psychology & Trader Sentiment The bullish pennant represents temporary indecision, but ultimately market confidence remains strong. The pullback to support reflects healthy profit-taking, not bearish reversal. The bounce from support shows buy-the-dip mentality, a sign that bulls remain in control. 7. Macro & Fundamental Backdrop While the chart is technical, it's wise to factor in macro catalysts: 🏦 Federal Reserve policy: If the Fed holds or cuts rates, gold typically rallies due to lower opportunity cost. 📉 Inflation Data: Rising inflation or expectations can push gold higher as a hedge. 🌍 Geopolitical tensions: Conflicts or economic instability drive safe-haven flows into gold. Staying updated on these events can help validate or hedge your technical outlook. ✅ Conclusion: This chart presents a technically sound bullish continuation setup backed by: A breakout from a bullish pennant A retest and bounce from a confluence support zone A clearly defined risk (stop loss) and reward (target) Traders looking for medium-term opportunities in XAU/USD can consider this as a high-probability setup with logical structure and strong momentum potential. 🔔 TradingView Tag Suggestions: #XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishPennant #PriceAction #SwingTrade #Forex #TradingSetup #Commodities #GoldBreakout
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
4.6 Analysis of current gold trend4.6 Analysis of current gold trend Trend judgment: K-line breaks the middle track of Bollinger Bands, short-term bearishness dominates; Bollinger Bands open downward, and the downward wave continues. Key signals: 3000 mark: If it falls below, it will open up downward space (target 2980-2950); if it stabilizes, it may rebound technically (target 3030-3050). 3030-3050 area: If the K-line fluctuates in this area, it can be regarded as a second bottoming out; if it stands firmly at 3055, be alert to a rebound to 3070. Strategy 1. Short order (preferred) Entry: 3050-3055 light position to try short, if it rebounds to 3065-3068, increase the position (stop loss above 3072). Target: 3030→3015→3000 (step reduction). 2. Long order (caution) Entry: Long after the 3005-3010 area stabilizes (stop loss 2997). Target: 3030→3045 (quick in and quick out). 3. Follow up after the break Lower position breaks 3000: chase short (stop loss 3010), target 2980→2950. Upper position breaks 3070: wait and see whether it will fall back to 3055 and stabilize, then consider short-term long (target 3080). Risk warning Sweep market continues: recent volatility is drastic, avoid chasing ups and downs, and wait for key positions to be confirmed. Data and events: Pay attention to the Fed's policy expectations and geopolitical situation. If there is a sudden positive news, the rebound may accelerate.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Emily357537
Gold is about to test the 3000 supportGold is about to test the 3000 support From the current market, gold continued to fall on Friday and encountered a large amount of selling. It has now hit a low of 3016. Source: The non-agricultural data of the US market will be released tonight, which is obviously bearish, and the gold price has fallen from a high level. At present: the weekly moving average of gold price is suppressed and blocked. After testing the resistance, a short-term long-short reversal is formed, and it retreats and breaks the intraday low. From the overall trend: there is no doubt that the weak pattern of gold is reasonable. It is reasonable to continue to be under pressure and fall. Current pressure: 3050-3055 area, continue to look up to 3060-3070 area, Current support: 3000 mark, there will be a rebound above, and a new round of downward space will be opened below. Upper resistance: focus on 3055 first, and then focus on 3068. If the bulls break through strongly, the gold price is expected to return to 3080. Of course, the possibility of a short-term rise is not great. After all, in the strong and repeated trend, the double top structure formed by 3135 and 3080 has been confirmed. It is expected to continue to break through next week and test the 3000 integer mark. Overall: Gold short-term operation ideas: Short-term focus on the upper side: 3050-3055 resistance Short-term focus on the lower side: 3000-3015 support.
FX:XAUUSD
by Louisa00000