Gold short My trade for a short on gold , according to the chart ,candlestick pattern and market structure , gold is bearish for a short term .
XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLDWATCH 2924-2919 4HR SUPPLY ROOF ,BREAK and close will return to the buy floor which could lead price into 2972-2964 supply roof and break of this zone is 3000 -3020zone
we focus on trading the zones.
after seeing demand on 1hr demand floor in the zone of 2880,price moved 200pips despite the early 30min rejection by Sydney market we came back with double bottom and swing to 2903 ,at 2903 we face the same 30min rejection on a blue descending trendline ,if we can break it then price will extend till the roof is touched in the zone roof of 2924-2919,87 newyork time .
now that 1hr demand floor is our new sell litmus test ,break below 2880 will be 2800 zone with on my strategy is giving 2816-2811 and could be lower .
XAUUSD BuyXAUUSD Buy now Target 2926
Or 2909
XAUUSD today strong buy.
As of February 17, 2025, gold (XAU/USD) continues its upward trajectory, recently surpassing the $2,900 per ounce mark. This surge is primarily driven by escalating global trade tensions and economic uncertainties, notably following President Trump's announcement of 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Such geopolitical developments have heightened gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Analysts project that if current conditions persist, gold prices could approach or even exceed the $3,000 per ounce threshold in the near future. For instance, J.P. Morgan has forecasted an average gold price of $2,950 for 2025, with potential peaks reaching $3,000, citing gold's effectiveness as a hedge against macroeconomic uncertainties.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Just a quick post as the market just opened. I am watching the overnight sessions to see if we tap down into my area of interest(s) for a possible Long position. This is just speculation and not based on price action. If support can hold, after that nice push down that we had, we may push back up. Let/s see how things play out. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend.
Gold to be in a short term bull runGold has been for the bull run, from the last weeks. Price may bounce from the support zone to the supply zone above.
This chart shows that XAU/USD BullishThis chart shows that XAU/USD is currently moving within an ascending channel, with clear support at the lower trendline and resistance at the upper trendline. The market is currently resting near $2700, testing the upper trendline and the key resistance level around $2726.67.
Key Levels Analysis:
1. Resistance at $2726.67:
If this level is broken, the market could rally toward $2750 or even $2800.
Strong bullish signals, like increased trading volume or global uncertainty, could drive this breakout.
2. Support at $2586.07:
If the market pulls back and breaks below this level, it could drop further toward $2540.18.
This would indicate a shift away from the current uptrend.
Why is the market resting?
Strong resistance: The area around $2720 acts as a significant challenge, as traders might hesitate without a clear breakout signal.
Awaiting economic catalysts: The market may be waiting for key events, like the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions or shifts in the U.S. dollar, to determine the next move.
Recharging momentum: Sometimes, the market pauses near key levels to gather strength before making a decisive move.
What to Expect?
If the market breaks above $2726.67, I expect a strong bullish continuation, with targets at $2750 and possibly higher.
If it breaks below $2586.07, the market could reverse and head toward $2540 or lower.
My Prediction: I believe the market is more likely to break the upper trendline and maintain its bullish momentum. Current signals suggest strong support for further upside, and if trading volume increases, we’ll likely see a breakout above resistance.
So, my target is $2750 and beyond, assuming the breakout is confirmed! 📈✨
GOLD SHORT | SELL THEORY [24/02-01/03]From what I’m seeing price is seemingly fatigued. There was a credible break on the 4H chart though - which is low-key worrying, HOWEVER on the daily chart? Sweeps on sweeps - which to me certify that price will be seeking a reversal of some sort at some point.
Once one of the printed lows gets violated by price (as drawn on the chart - with a candlestick) the sell will be confirmed.
I had a potential trade with actually played out nicely but I didn’t enter it, which I’m cool about as I wasn’t sure.
I won’t be trading Gold until I actually get confirmation.
Ascending Triangle Breakout in Play!
🚀 Ascending Triangle Breakout in Play! 🚀
Gold (XAUUSD) has formed a bullish ascending triangle, signaling strong buying pressure. Price has successfully broken out of the resistance zone, confirming an upward impulse.
Key Levels:
🔹 Breakout Level:
🔹 First Target: $2985 (impulse move)
🔹 Next Target: $3000+ (psychological resistance)
Market Structure & Momentum:
✅ Higher lows indicate strong demand
✅ Breakout volume supports the move
✅ Bullish momentum suggests continuation
📌 Trading Plan:
🎯 Enter on a retest of the breakout level or a strong candle confirmation
🎯 SL below previous support level (tight risk management)
🎯 TP at $2985 first, then trail stops for potential extension
If momentum continues, we could see $3000+ and beyond in the next bullish wave! 🌟
📊 Stay disciplined & manage risk! 🚀💰
GOLD: Retesting trend support before the NEWS.:
🚀 XAU/USD Bullish Outlook – Ascending Channel Holding Strong! 📈
🔹 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 1H Chart Analysis
📊 Current Price: $2,937
🎯 Target 1: $2,960
🎯 Target 2: $2,980
🛑 Invalidation: Break below the trendline
📌 Key Insights:
✅ Ascending Channel Intact: Gold is trending within a well-respected ascending channel, with price bouncing off the lower boundary, signaling bullish strength.
✅ Strong Support & Liquidity Areas:
The recent Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Break of Structure (BoS) indicate key liquidity zones where buyers have stepped in.
A confirmed Change of Character (ChoCh) suggests a shift back to the upside.
✅ Bullish Momentum Building:
Price recently bounced off trendline support, forming higher highs & higher lows – a textbook bullish structure.
If momentum holds, we could see $2,960 - $2,980 in the coming sessions.
🚨 Risk Management: A break below the trendline could invalidate this bullish setup, potentially leading to a drop toward $2,900 support.
📢 Do you think Gold will hit $2,980? Comment below with your thoughts! 👇👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Trading #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #AscendingChannel #BuySignal 🚀🔥
XAUUSD is expected to reach all-time high of around 2980.📈 XAU/USD Bullish Setup – Trendline & Support Holding Strong! 🚀
🔹 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 1H Chart Analysis
📊 Current Price: $2,936
🎯 Target 1: $2,955
🎯 Target 2: $2,980
🛑 Invalidation Level: Below support
📌 Key Insights:
✅ Trendline Support Holding: Gold is respecting the ascending trendline and has taken support from it. Buyers are stepping in, indicating potential upside movement.
✅ Support Area in Play: The price has tested the marked support zone and is now rebounding, signaling a possible continuation of the uptrend.
✅ Supertrend Confirmation: The Supertrend indicator suggests bullish momentum, reinforcing the buy-side bias.
✅ Potential Upside Move: If the price maintains support, it could rally towards $2,955 (1st target) and further to $2,980 (2nd target).
🚨 Risk Management: A break below the trendline and support area would invalidate this bullish setup. Keep an eye on price action!
📢 What’s your view on Gold? Will it reach our targets? Comment below! 👇👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Trading #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #Trendline #Support #BuySignal 🚀🔥
MONDAY SELL SCENARIO (High Confidence Short)🔥 Current Market Overview
💲 Current Price: $2,936.260
🚀 High of the Day (HOD): $2,938.050
🛑 Major Resistance (R3): $2,950.016
📉 Recently Broken Resistance (R2, now Support): $2,940.010
📊 Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,935.000
🔻 Institutional Support (S1): $2,925.104
📉 Deep Institutional Demand Zone: $2,920.283
🔍 Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Analysis
✅ $2,940 is acting as a key resistance level, with price failing to break above.
✅ Large resting sell orders are positioned between $2,940-$2,950, confirming institutional supply.
✅ Institutions are likely engineering a stop-hunt above $2,940 before a sharp move down.
✅ Buyers absorbed liquidity at $2,925, suggesting strong institutional demand in that area.
✅ A failure to sustain above $2,940 will confirm further downside movement.
💡 Key Takeaways:
Institutions are selling into strength at $2,940, signaling distribution.
The previous rejection at $2,940 indicates liquidity traps to lure in late buyers before a sell-off.
If $2,938-$2,940 rejects again, expect downside momentum toward $2,925.
📈 Technical Analysis – Momentum & Trend Indicators
✅ Best Indicator Combination
✔️ Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
38.2% Retracement: $2,937
50% Retracement: $2,944
61.8% Retracement: $2,949
🔥 $2,950 remains the final liquidity grab level before a drop.
✔️ 50 EMA & 200 EMA Analysis:
Price is currently at the 50 EMA (~$2,935).
200 EMA near $2,942 acts as strong resistance.
✔️ RSI (7):
Currently at 55, slightly bullish but near overbought zones.
A rejection at 60+ levels will confirm a bearish reversal.
✔️ VWAP (Institutional Price Level):
VWAP is positioned around $2,938-$2,940.
Failure to sustain above VWAP signals institutional shorting.
✔️ MACD (Momentum Shift Indicator):
Bullish momentum is fading, with MACD nearing a bearish crossover.
If the histogram turns red, expect a decline below $2,930.
📊 Buy or Sell? What is the Best Trade Setup Now?
🔥 SELL SCENARIO (High Confidence Short)
📌 Reason: Institutional rejection at $2,940-$2,942 + liquidity grab confirmation.
🔥 Trade Execution Plan
🚀 Entry: Sell at $2,938-$2,940 (VWAP Rejection Zone).
🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): $2,946 (Above liquidity trap zone).
📉 Take-Profit (TP):
🎯 TP1: $2,935 (50 EMA support).
🎯 TP2: $2,930 (Dynamic support).
🎯 TP3: $2,925 (Institutional demand zone).
🎯 TP4: $2,920 (Liquidity grab zone).
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 4:1 (Tight SL, high probability trade).
🔥 FINAL DECISION – BEST ENTRY POINT
🚨 SELL between $2,938 - $2,940 with SL at $2,946 and TP at $2,925.
📉 Institutions are likely engineering a stop-hunt above $2,940 before a sharp sell-off.
🚀 If price taps into $2,938-$2,940 and rejects, execute the short aggressively!
🏦 Maximize R:R by keeping SL tight and aiming for institutional demand levels! 💰🔥
GOLD -bias short Bullish indications:
Making HHHL in day time frame .
Bearish indications:
bearish divergence in day time frame.
4 hr :hS formation made with bearish divergence .
MA 21 is also getting respected.
Current point will be the right point to short as
trend line support broken.
2nd trend line support is also broken.
next target can be 2912
bearish engulfer candle in 15 min but MA is still below the candle but ma 200 respected .
Trade Plan bias short @ 2931.5
SL:2941.2
TP1:2921.5
TP2:2912.5
GoldXAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves
Break of Structure
Rising Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame
Change of Characteristics
RSI - Divergence
Gold's decline continues...I think it's going down 📉. The big and red candles with a needle have double-checked Fib 0.72 twice. and Fib.5 has been drawn 😱. I saw the 2924 needle and thought that the SL Hunt of the entries (Long) would go down 😡. If you look closely, it looks like a head and shoulders pattern has been formed 🧐 I shared my favorite. Good luck👌
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 20th February 2025)Bias: Weak Bearish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-ATH being created many times, price showing minor rejections
-Looking for price to reject the current ATH with a bearish structure
-Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 2950
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
FOMC NEWS GOLD BULLISH NEXT TARGET 2950Hey there on 2HTF we are seems that Gold may be pullback on FOMC news when FOMC news release we can see the trend line support area from 2915 must be buy bullish candle continue rise from this area and further if the price touch 2905-2901 this is major support for buyers if the price decline than possibly we may see next 2865 confirm
So the bullish side we may see from 2915-2905-2901 if price rise we can see next HH 2947-2950-2954-2962-2968 these area will confirm touch
GOLD SELL 2920Hey there on 30MTF Gold looking for drop continue from the new HH level 2947 so now we can see 3 continue 30MTF candle drop with this level we can see 2920 level
hit the target :) Gold has reached the $2,929 target, confirming the bullish trend. Strong buying pressure pushed the price higher, and the market maintained its upward momentum
Sell high and buy low within the regionDear Traders,
During the rebound, gold briefly reached around 2915 but failed to sustain the move. This indicates that the 2915-2920 resistance zone remains effective in the short term, and gold is struggling to form a strong upward momentum. On the downside, after multiple tests, gold has established strong support in the 2890-2880 region.
Therefore, based on the current situation, gold is likely to continue oscillating within the 2920-2890 range in the short term. For short-term trading, we can still employ a "buy low, sell high" strategy within this range.
Bros, do you know how to execute the high-sell-low-buy trading method in the area? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Long?, kip trading this candle until found exhausted b4 (2925)Hi traders, MarKet is rejected by a bear engulfing candle daily at daily resistance range, agreed. But 4h, is bull control evidence by bullish engulfing candle. And here at a discount level with significant bears exhaustion which is corresponding with the 4h support. If exhaustion happens to be made, then bull positions should be closed.
Gold I am the Seller for this week. Lets Go.Gold is very much high and most expressively I cant buy it in real world because is the now precious metal for me. 2900 an ounce its crazy price. Lets sell it and It is most likely scenario for me.
Technically., Gold is making lower low on lower time frame and we use up and down fibo and some pivots to target our zones to enter in sell .
Lets sell it.
Weekly Edge – End of Week 08, Prepping for Week 09 Market Overview
Quarterly Chart
- Bullish momentum continues into Q1 2025, printing new highs above Q4 2024 levels.
- Six consecutive quarters of higher highs and higher lows reflect sustained bullish momentum.
Monthly Chart
- Breakout from a short consolidation phase, with January closing above December and November highs.
- Price has broken above the recent swing high near 2780.
- An imbalance just below 2780 could serve as a point of interest (POI) for potential long continuations.
Weekly Chart
- Bullish momentum continues, with higher highs and higher lows since January 2025.
- Price has traded above the previous intermediate-term high (ITH) at 2790 and the psychological level of 2800.
- Recent weekly candles closed within the previous week’s range, signaling a potential slowdown in momentum.
Daily Chart Analysis
- Consolidation range between 2940 (high) and 2860 (low).
- Price tested highs near 2955 but stalled around the ITH at 2942.
- Strong rejection on Friday’s retest of Week 7’s Friday close suggests a valid POI for potential long continuations.
Trade Setup & Execution
Long-Term Bias
- Bullish momentum remains strong on higher timeframes, favoring long continuations
Short-Term Bias
- Shorts are valid for potential reversals from current highs, targeting the range low near 2860.
Trade Updates
- Short entry on Wednesday based on a lower-timeframe reversal signal, exited with a small loss.
- Re-entered short on Friday after observing another reversal signal.
Key Observations & Strategy for Week 09
- Stick to the plan and focus on execution without improvisation.
- No attachment to trades—exit and reassess if invalidated.
- Define a clear plan, execute it, and reassess post-trade.
- Avoid mid-trade discretionary changes to ensure consistent outcomes.
Final Thought
The market moves on its own terms. Consistent execution and learning from each trade will provide an edge over time.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #WeeklyEdge #PipsnPaper
