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XAUUSD trade ideas

I went short Gold at 2735.83. It just happended....! I really was not on the front foot to Short gold or silver so early in the week, it just happened because a report came in on tradingview news that the middle east situation is contained more so than open war-fare and the Gold chart was begging to be shorted because there was no buying and the gold-ghost was taking a break resting under a moving average. Sorry buddy, your shorted! Will see how it goes. Not sure what economic news is on today in the USA but I will soon find out. Other Long trades I am on include GBPUSD, GBPCAD is looking to really break out in the Monday sessions and I am also Short on AUDUSD which I think is starting to become in-the-money. Have a good trading day and remember 'greed normally means losing money not making it'. Chris
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
Gold : Leveraging Double Top Pattern and Support AnalysisToday, I shared a short strategy, selling in the 2787-2791 range, with a target set at 2783-2779 and a stop loss at 2792. This is a smaller range signal. The reason for the sell signal is the double top pattern observed on the 30-minute chart, along with the break of MA5 and MA10. I see this as a solid selling opportunity, with the main target being MA60. During the New York session yesterday, gold found support at MA60 twice, with long lower wicks, indicating strong support. Typically, longer upper wicks suggest stronger resistance, while longer lower wicks indicate stronger support. I hope this trading tip helps everyone—don’t forget to accumulate your knowledge!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Wealth_Waves
BUY GOLD NOW! - (SNIPER)XAUUSD printed a new record high Wednesday morning as traders and investors dug into their pockets to bump up the prices to yet another lofty level. The precious metal rose 0.5% in the early hours, adding to Tuesday’s 1.5% gain and topping $2,790 per ounce for the first time ever. For the year, gold is up a massive 36%, outshining the broad-based S&P 500, which is up 23% for the same time span. BUY GOLD NOW 2783-2781 TP 1: 2785 TP 2: 2789/OPEN SL 2777 #DOLLARHUNTERX #GOODLUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DollarHunterx
XAUUSD - Up 75% - $2,800Based on the analysis, here’s a probability breakdown for the upward continuation of Gold (XAU/USD) toward the $2,800 - $2,820 target leading up to the U.S. election on November 5: Probability of Reaching $2,800 - $2,820 by End of This Week or Early Next Week: 75 out of 100 This is due to strong recent momentum, supportive fundamentals, and robust buying pressure shown on the volume indicators. Probability of Gold Continuing a Bullish Trend Until the U.S. Election: 85 out of 100 With the election approaching, geopolitical uncertainty and demand for safe-haven assets favor Gold’s upward trend, supported by strong technical foundations and continued buy-side volume. These probabilities reflect current technical and fundamental signals, as well as historical tendencies for Gold in pre-election periods.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NZ_Shareman
GOLD - Next Top Coming Up Gold is approaching a long term bear market extension; 1.618 Golden Window (1.618 - 1.786, $2796 - 3096). And this month candle is quite a large one with a few days to go. So its looking quite impulsive in this area... If we look at the monthly RSI, it is approaching 81 and the previous peak was 84. As we see time and time again, RSI often rhymes when it comes to major pivots. With the RSI only a few points from 84 and price so close to the 1.618, these could be a BIG clue that a significant pivot is coming. I'm not saying that a major downtrend will form, but it could do. Another possibility is a higher time frame continuation pattern will print; perhaps this is the most likely outcome. If that did happen, price may not fall too drastically but as RSI rhymes, it may take its sweet time and an extended correction would print before RSI falls back to the mid point from where the next wave up could begin. We could be into 2026 or longer by the time that happens. There is also the possibility that it will blast through and the a higher ratio (2.272) will be the telling significant ratio. And that could happen, but I think it has to be at least equal odds or better, that doesn't happen. Considering that and what other assets are currently available, you would have to really like Gold to hold on beyond the Golden Window (up to 1.786). And if you really like the safe and steady game then that could be a good reason to simply hold. There is nothing wrong with that. But I'm playing the game of making hay while the sun shines ☀️. And that game doesn't want to get caught up in long multi year corrections. There's just too much great deep value discounts to buy elsewhere. And Gold is very much not deep value up here. That said, it may have a long way to go until any significant bear market which could be many years away and at much higher prices. If it is consolidation rather than significant bearish action then it could open wide the door for other metals to pump. I will be taking profit @ $2795 👍. Not shorting. Not advice.
TVC:GOLDShort
by dRends35
22
Gold weekly summary and forecast 11/2/2024As expected in my last week's forecast, gold indeed touched upper end of the channel and dropped quickly and closed the week with a red candle. I expect a few weeks' selling session is coming, if the channel is broken next week. From 2d TF, bearish trend is not confirmed yet. I expect a head-shoulder pattern to form next week. So Monday we may see a quick drop to 2720 and reverse from there. We could see a drop from 2760 on Wed onwards and close the week with strong red candle. Next week's low will be at least 2678. Let's see what the market will give us. Happy weekend and happy trading to all.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SteadyFund
XAUUSD 1M1. Elliott Wave Analysis Wave 5 Completion at 1.618 Extension (2,747.14): The chart shows Wave 5 peaking at $2,747.14, corresponding to a 1.618 Fibonacci extension. This level is typically a significant reversal point, suggesting potential for a corrective move downwards. ABC Corrective Pattern Projection: After the completion of Wave 5, an A-B-C correction is projected. The expected trajectory shows a downward movement to the liquidity void zone, followed by a potential retracement up in a Wave B before a final decline in Wave C. 2. Wyckoff Distribution and Accumulation Phases Phase B (Accumulation - $1,046.23 to $1,920.80): This region marks the accumulation phase with a Sign of Weakness (SOW) in Phase B, where price forms a base before starting the upward trend. Notably, price action within this phase shows consolidation, preparing for a breakout. Phase C (Mark-Up): After the accumulation, price enters the mark-up phase, breaking past resistance and forming new highs. This phase is highlighted by significant upward momentum, taking the price into higher Wyckoff distribution phases. Distribution Pattern in Recent Highs: The recent highs around $2,747.14 align with Upthrust (UT) and Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD) signals, suggesting the end of the mark-up phase and a shift towards potential distribution. 3. Key Fibonacci Levels and Extensions 1.236 Extension (2,744.68): This level is another Fibonacci extension associated with Wave 5, acting as a point of possible reversal. Volume divergence at this level further indicates potential weakness in upward momentum. 0.618 Retracement (Inducement Wave 4): A 0.618 retracement from the previous lows serves as a key support level. If price retraces here during the corrective phase, it may offer a possible entry for continuation trades. 4. Liquidity Zones and Order Blocks Liquidity Void (3M): There’s a liquidity void in the three-month time frame, which price might revisit during the corrective move. This void represents an inefficiency where price could fill gaps created by the upward trend, making it an area of interest for re-entries. Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): The Buy-Side Liquidity area near the recent highs includes stop losses and limit orders, making it a zone where institutional players might target liquidity. 5. Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Line - BC Distribution (1,920.80): This level acts as a strong resistance line in the accumulation phase. If price revisits this area, it may encounter selling pressure. Support Line - AR Distribution (1,525.84): The support around $1,525.84 represents the Automatic Rally (AR) point in the Wyckoff structure, marking a potential level of demand if price retraces to this level. 6. Break of Structure (BOS) BOS in Wave 3 (12M): The Break of Structure in Wave 3 on the 12-month chart indicates a potential shift in the trend’s momentum, suggesting possible trend continuation or reversal. BOS within Phase B (3M): Another BOS is marked in Phase B, highlighting a structural shift in sentiment. This often leads to an uptrend or a change in market direction as the BOS level confirms a key pivot point. 7. Dealing Ranges and Key Points of Control (POC) Dealing Range (12M-3M): This range, spanning the recent swing highs and lows, establishes boundaries within which price is expected to fluctuate. The Point of Control (POC) within this range often corresponds with areas of high volume, which could act as pivotal zones for price movement. Current Trend (Dealing Range for Wave 4): The range defined for Wave 4 provides insight into ongoing price action. Watching for breakouts or breakdowns within this range could indicate the next potential trend direction. 8. Proposed Trading Plan for Upcoming Weeks Short-Term Correction Expected: With Wave 5 likely completed, a corrective A-B-C structure appears probable. This suggests a short-term downtrend toward lower support zones. Target Zones: Downside: Potential retracements to $1,920.80 and $1,525.84 are key areas to monitor. These support levels could act as potential bounce points or re-entry zones if the price holds. Upside Resistance: If price revisits the recent highs near $2,747.14, look for bearish setups, as this level may act as strong resistance in the corrective phase. Volume and Divergence: Watch for volume divergence or signs of weakness at the 1.618 and 1.236 extensions to gauge the potential for continued reversal. This can provide additional confirmation for trend reversal setups. Summary of Key Observations Wave 5 completion at $2,747.14 suggests corrective phase ahead. Wyckoff Distribution structure signals potential downside with liquidity voids targeted. Key Support and Resistance zones at $1,920.80 and $1,525.84. Expected A-B-C Correction aligns with price filling previous gaps and testing support.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by spacedevil
XAUUSD 3M 1. Elliott Wave Structure and Key Levels Wave 5 Completion (2,747.14): The fifth wave peaks around $2,747.14, reaching a 1.618 extension, suggesting this could be a point of reversal. The formation of volume divergence at this level indicates potential weakness in bullish momentum, marking a critical level to watch for a possible trend change. Wave 1 (Current Correction Phase): The chart shows a beginning corrective move from Wave 5, indicating an A-B-C structure may follow. This corrective phase could bring prices down to fill previous gaps and approach key support levels. 2. Wyckoff Phases and Distribution Structure Phase A (Accumulation - $1,046.23 to $1,512.84): This phase includes a consolidation around the $1,046.23 low and forms the base before a significant rally. The Automatic Rally (AR) and Secondary Test (ST) suggest the end of Phase A and a potential upward shift in market sentiment. Phase B (Mark Up and Distribution at Resistance): After accumulation, prices move up in a mark-up phase, testing the Resistance Line of BC Distribution. This area includes Upthrust (UT) and Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD), which are signs of potential distribution before a downtrend. Phase C (Breakdown Expected): Phase C may involve the start of a downtrend from Wave 5, with price likely returning to lower levels for further testing. This phase includes the Sign of Weakness (SOW) and anticipates a retest of support near $1,512.84. 3. Fibonacci Levels 0.618 Retracement ($890.62): The 0.618 retracement level is marked as a strong support, below which price should not pass without invalidating the bullish wave structure. This level could act as a long-term support area during the corrective phase. 1.236 Extension ($2,369.74): The 1.236 level marks a significant potential reversal area for Wave 5. A move back to this level could signal the completion of a deeper pullback, possibly a key point of interest for traders looking for long-term entries. 4. Liquidity and Key Order Blocks Liquidity Void: The chart highlights a liquidity void in the three-month time frame (3M), representing an area where price may revisit to fill previous inefficiencies. This void may act as a magnet, attracting price downward in the corrective phase. Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) Area: The Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) near the recent highs represents a key area where stop losses and limit orders are likely concentrated. This region may experience volatility as larger players look to capitalize on retail stop losses. 5. Support and Resistance Lines Resistance Line - BC Distribution ($1,720.00): The $1,720.00 level acts as a key resistance line in the distribution phase. A break above or below this level in Phase B may confirm the direction of the trend and could signal a shift in momentum. Support Line - AR Distribution ($1,512.84): The $1,512.84 level serves as a critical support in the accumulation phase and may act as a bottom if the market revisits this area in the corrective structure. 6. Break of Structure (BOS) and Market Sentiment Shifts BOS Wave 3 (12M): The Break of Structure (BOS) in Wave 3 on the 12-month chart signals a major structural shift, often indicating the end of one trend and the beginning of another. This point may see increased volatility and shifts in market sentiment. BOS in Phase B (3M): The BOS within Phase B on the three-month time frame highlights potential points of interest for continuation or trend reversal. It indicates that a shift in sentiment may occur, influencing market participants to prepare for trend changes. 7. Dealing Ranges and Points of Control (POC) Dealing Range (12M-3M): This range, marked at recent swing high and low levels, provides a boundary for price movement, with the Point of Control (POC) likely aligning with high-volume areas. The dealing range helps in identifying areas where price could consolidate or reverse. Current Trend (Dealing Range for Wave 4): The range defined for Wave 4, including swing highs and lows, offers insight into the ongoing market structure. Observing price behavior within this range helps to gauge the momentum of the corrective wave. 8. Next Week’s Trading Plan Primary Strategy: The corrective phase is expected to continue, with a probable downward move to fill liquidity voids and test lower support areas. Key Target Levels: Downside Targets: Monitor support around $1,720.00 (Resistance Line) and $1,512.84 (Support Line). These levels could provide entry points if price tests and holds as support. Upside Targets: Watch for potential shorting opportunities if price retests resistance near the recent swing high at $2,747.14. Risk Management: Stop-loss orders should be placed above recent highs around $2,800.00 to manage risk if there’s an unexpected upward move. Volume and Price Action: Look for volume divergence or signs of weakness near resistance levels, especially around the 1.618 level ($2,747.14), as they could signal a trend reversal. Summary of Key Points Wave 5 likely completed at $2,747.14, with a corrective A-B-C structure now underway. Wyckoff Distribution phase suggests further downside as Phase C unfolds, targeting key support levels. Liquidity voids and POC levels act as magnets for price, which may revisit these areas during corrections. The Resistance Line at $1,720.00 and Support Line at $1,512.84 are essential for tracking entry and exit points in line with the current downtrend.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by spacedevil
XAUUSD(Gold) - Trend Reversal ExpectationFrom a technical perspective, XAUUSD has been in a bullish trend for a while due to several factors. All good things come to an end, in a simialr way I'm expecting Gold to start it's trend reversal. Gold is currently facing resistance at 2740-2750 levels. I'm expecting Gold to turn bearish in the coming days and I also see a start of a trend reversal pattern forming in Gold in Day TF. The levels are marked in the chart. Good Luck with your trading plans!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mojo_0906