GOLD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,311.72 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold skyrocketing as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Gold is soaring as it represents safe-haven asset, I'd prefer to stay with the trend (Bullish). I have attempted to Buy Gold on #3,208.80 and since Price-action tested #3,214.80 I moved my Stop on breakeven and it got triggered moments ahead which left me without order and Gold delivered #3,225.80 extension. However I have managed to re-Sell #3,225.80. I will keep Buying every dip on Gold for maximum Profit optimisation from my calculated re-Buy zones. #3,192.80 is Support for current Bullish motion."
Technical analysis: I have announced that Gold might skyrocket as next Resistance zone is priced at #3,322.80 / break of it might extend the uptrend towards #3,352.80 benchmark configuration. Gold has invalidated solid Neutral Rectangle on Hourly 4 chart and if you recall, delivered #2 additional Higher High’s extension (my chart’s explanation that Gold always delivers #3 Higher High's extensions ahead of full scale reversal, so practically I have one more Higher High’s to expect according to the cycle). DX (# -0.63% almost) is again turning the market sentiment to Bullish on Intra-day basis, and according to my estimations, current Buying sequence was due to the Trump's tariff's talks, which is being aggressively Bought due to the remarks.
My position: Congratulations for those who Bought Gold from #3,220's as per my advice.
4.16 Gold safe-haven hits a new high. Go long on the trend durin4.16 Gold safe-haven hits a new high. Go long on the trend during the day!
The 4H cycle is strong, the Bollinger open state drives the moving average to turn upward, the triangle end shock has been broken, and the main trend during the day is to go long on the decline.
The support is maintained at 3250, and go long according to the decline strength.
The upper side looks at 3270, don't blindly guess the top!
Gold Ideas April 16 ahead of Retail sales & Powell's speech🟡 XAUUSD – 16 April 2025 Trading Ideas
Timeframe: 1H (with 5m-15m confirmation)
Bias: Cautiously Bearish – Waiting for retrace or trap setup
Market Context:
Gold exploded during Asian session—currently hovering above 3280, showing early weakness
Price is extended deep into premium, with key resistance around 3290–3298
A retracement into 3,261–3,245 is likely, especially ahead of NY news
Lower timeframes showing slowdown & FVG gaps waiting to be filled
🔻 Sell Zone (Riskier Pre-News Entry)
Entry: 3288 – 3292
SL: 3300
TP1: 3270
TP2: 3250
TP3: 3240–3235
Reasoning:
Price swept 3280s liquidity
Frankfurt may fake breakout highs before NY data
Heavy imbalance and clean downside path to 3245 if structure breaks
Look for M-pattern / bearish engulfing on 5m
🔼 Buy Zone (Healthier Pullback Setup)
Entry: 3261 – 3245 (watch for reaction)
SL: Below 3230
TP1: 3280
TP2: 3292
TP3: 3300–3310 (if news aligns)
Reasoning:
Untapped demand + FVGs on 1H/5m
Clear signs of previous breakout zone
Needs bullish confirmation—no blind buys
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Gold Technical Analysis - Potential Trade SetupTime Frame: 15-Minute and 4-Hour
Pattern: Head and Shoulders Formation
---
Overview:
Currently, on the 15-minute time frame, we observe a potential Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which could indicate a bearish reversal. As we analyze further, we identify that the B wave might be completing, setting us up for the upcoming C wave to the downside.
Key Levels:
- Invalidation Level (Head of the Pattern): 3246
- Fibonacci Level (Key Area on 4-Hour Time Frame): 0.618
---
Trade Setup:
Given the formation and confirmations, we suggest considering a sell trade:
1. Entry Point: Monitor for a confirmation of the bearish move below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern.
2. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss slightly above the invalidation level of 3246 to mitigate risk.
3. Take Profit Targets:
- TP1: 3215
- TP2: 3205
- TP3: 3195
- TP4: 3180
-TP5: 3140
Once the price moves below these levels, consider holding the sell trade down to a potential extreme target of 3140.
If we break 3140, the next support zone between 3040 and 3050 could come into play, where I expect strong buying interest for intra-day trading
---
Risk Management:
Always manage your risk appropriately. Ensure that your position size is in line with your risk tolerance and that your stop loss is strictly adhered to. Monitor the market closely, as patterns can evolve, and be prepared to adjust your strategy as needed.
Conclusion:
With the Head and Shoulders pattern and the identified Fibonacci level providing confluence for a potential downside move, we have a compelling setup for taking a sell position. Keep an eye on the market dynamics and make informed decisions.
---
Stay safe and trade wisely!
Gold Third Scenario , Depend On Breakout , What`s Your Opinion ?Here is the update for the last idea i post for Gold , if we take a look now we will see that he price moving in sideway and still not touch my support , so do yo uthink the price will go up without retest it ? or should we keep the first analysis ?
Gold Trade Plan 15/04/2025Dear Traders,
i believe wave 3/5 Completed , and we will have some correction to 0.38 Wave 3 approximately ( 3140-3155)
trend Still up , and looking for buy opportunity
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
4.15 Gold Trend Analysis Operation Strategy:
The core logic of the current gold trend
Double top suppression: A phased double top is formed near 3245. If the short-term rebound cannot break through 3220 (the original support turns into resistance), it may fall further.
4-hour level weakens:
MA10 moving average falls below, and 3220 becomes the key resistance.
If it cannot stand firm at 3220, it may drop to the MA20 moving average support (3180-3170).
Hourly line oscillation pattern:
Solidation within the range of 3193-3215, pay attention to the gains and losses of the MA10 moving average.
Downward line → callback to the middle track (near 3180); long lower shadow → continue high-level oscillation.
Today's operation strategy
🔹 Short order (main idea)
Entry: light position short near 3218-3220, stop loss 3225 (to prevent false breakthroughs).
Target: 3200-3195→Break to 3187.
Logic: 3220 resistance is effective + 4-hour structure is bearish.
🔹 Long order (auxiliary idea)
Entry: 3187-3190 stabilizes and goes long, stop loss 3180 (strict risk control).
Target: 3200-3210→Break to 3215.
Logic: 3180-3170 is the key support area, short-term rebound demand.
Key reminder
Characteristics of oscillating market: When there is no major data, sell high and buy low as the main method, avoid chasing ups and downs.
Breakthrough response:
Break above 3225→Stop loss for short orders, wait and see whether it will go long after stepping back.
Break below 3180→Stop loss for long orders, pay attention to the support effect of 3170.
Position management: Single transaction position ≤5%, stop loss must be brought!
📌 Summary: Prioritize rebound shorts during the day, but be wary of bullish counterattacks near 3180. Strictly follow the signals and don't hold orders!
GOLD → Consolidation before the news. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is not going to turn around. The level of economic risks is still at a high level and the price may continue to rise, but after the end of consolidation.
Gold is back to a record $3,246 despite calm markets. Lower US bond yields and a pause in capital withdrawals are supporting demand for protective assets.
Uncertainty around Trump's tariff policy and expectations of a Fed rate cut are driving prices higher. Additional support is provided by inflows into Chinese ETFs and expectations of Chinese GDP data. Further gold movement depends on headlines on tariffs and Fed rhetoric.
Technically, the focus is on consolidation 3244 - 3187 and internal support level 3208.
Resistance levels: 3244, 3270
Support levels: 3208, 3187
The market is likely to be in consolidation until tomorrow, when important economic reports will be published. But nevertheless, there could be strong movements intraday due to various factors. I expect to see a retest of support at 3208 or 3187 before further upside. But, consolidation near 3244, breakout and consolidation above the level may give a chance for growth
Regards R. Linda!
Gold Ideas for Tuesday April 15Trend Context: Bullish but showing signs of exhaustion near 3247.
Focus: liquidity grab + intraday rejection potential.
🔍 Market Structure Overview
HTF (H4–12H): Bullish structure holding after the impulsive move 3120 → 3248. Current premium zone tested around 3233–3247 (H4 OB + FVG).
LTF (M15–H1): Reaccumulation structure between 3172–3247. BOS confirmed on M15 from 3180. Current PA shows early rejection wicks near 3230–3240.
🧠 Liquidity Zones & Imbalances
🔴 Supply Zone: 3233–3247 → H1–H4 OB confluence with premium FVG. Still unmitigated.
🟠 Demand Zone 1: 3172–3180 → Daily imbalance + H1 demand + fib 61.8%.
🟢 Demand Zone 2: 3120–3130 → Only valid on deeper correction sweep (low probability today).
⚠️ Liquidity Trap: 3215–3220 → May induce late buyers into supply rejection.
📍 Trade Setups
SELL ZONE
Entry: 3233–3247
SL: 3252
TP1: 3210
TP2: 3180
TP3: 3145
📌 Reason: HTF OB + FVG + premium level. Look for M5/M15 CHoCH confirmation only.
BUY ZONE
Entry: 3172–3180
SL: 3160
TP1: 3205
TP2: 3230
TP3: 3245
📌 Reason: Daily imbalance + H1 demand confluence + clean internal liquidity sweep expected.
🧭 Summary
Price is consolidating between 3172–3247. Upside capped by unmitigated OBs while downside is protected by a strong daily imbalance. NY may attempt a sweep into one zone before real move unfolds. Use patience — wait for CHoCH or BOS confirmation on LTF before entering.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
GOLD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3201.5
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3216.0
Safe Stop Loss - 3194.0
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold Buying every dip as expectedTechnical analysis: Gold maintains Buying sentiment (remember the cycle I mentioned regarding #14-day symmetry for aggressive uptrend extension / Traders are witnessing it) from yesterday’s session Hourly 4 chart’s Support break, however the Selling pace has slowed down as Gold is already near #3,227.80 - #3,232.80 former Resistance zone due Hourly 4 chart on critically Overbought condition.
Fundamental analysis: Gold is isolated within Bullish Megaphone bounce formation and if there wasn’t parallel Buying pressure from Fundamental side, Price-action would be significantly Lower (I highlighted that only catalyst which can revive the Price-action and kick-start the relief rally is on Fundamental side). The Hourly 4 chart’s indicators were showcasing that Gold was Overbought and many other were about to make a Bearish roll-over as I believed that I should start preparing ourselves for a slight pullback (Medium-term trend stays Bullish though especially with DX still critically Bearish, taking strong hits and Bond Yields rejected on #3-Week Top zone). Next Resistance is priced at #3,252.80 / break of it might extend the uptrend towards #3,252.80 benchmark configuration.
My position: Gold is soaring as it represents safe-haven asset, I'd prefer to stay with the trend (Bullish). I have attempted to Buy Gold on #3,208.80 and since Price-action tested #3,214.80 I moved my Stop on breakeven and it got triggered moments ahead which left me without order and Gold delivered #3,225.80 extension. However I have managed to re-Sell #3,225.80. I will keep Buying every dip on Gold for maximum Profit optimisation from my calculated re-Buy zones. #3,192.80 is Support for current Bullish motion.
Gold Market Outlook: Key Risks and Opportunities Ahead 📌 Gold Market Outlook: Key Risks and Opportunities Ahead 💰📉
🔍 Current Trend and Short-Term Risk
Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum, although minor corrections remain possible in the short term. A key driver for sustaining the uptrend will be the strength of buyers at support zones like 3196 and 3204.
However, if the market fails to hold above 3135, we could see a deeper retracement. In such a case, a drop toward the 311x region could offer an attractive buying opportunity — particularly if bullish price reactions are confirmed near that level.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch
3135 Support: A break below this zone with strong momentum could signal potential bearish continuation. Any move toward 311x should be closely monitored for a bullish reversal setup.
311x Zone: If price pulls back to this range and we observe reaction or rejection, it could present a high-probability buy opportunity to rejoin the broader uptrend.
🌍 Impact of a Quiet News Week
With no major economic releases on the calendar, market direction will likely be determined by volume flows and price action near key technical zones. Areas such as 3195, 3204, and 3245 will be pivotal in shaping short-term sentiment.
Traders should remain attentive to how price behaves around these levels, especially during London and New York sessions where most volume is concentrated.
🛠️ Tactical Plan for the Week
Asian & European Sessions Focus: Look for momentum plays or reaction signals at key intraday support levels (e.g. 3196). Sharp pullbacks may offer buy setups with solid risk/reward ratios.
Sell Scenarios at Resistance: If price breaks above 3245 with weak follow-through and fails to hold, that could provide an opportunity for tactical short entries — but only with confirmation via volume or rejection patterns.
Stick to Your Plan: Despite the current volatility, it’s critical to adhere to your strategy. Avoid emotional trades, always manage risk, and respect your TP/SL levels.
💡 Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong upward trend with active buyers around key support zones. While short-term pullbacks are expected, they could offer new opportunities to scale in.
Stay patient, trade with discipline, and let the market offer confirmation before committing to a position. Even in a quiet news environment, well-prepared traders can take advantage of high-quality setups by focusing on structure and risk management.
Gold Falls Like Waterfalls (Bearish Gold)Hello Traders Here is my First Ideas About Gold Kindly Share your opinions About it.
XAUUSD (GOLD) Will Drop From Current area After making a new High Gold is ready to falls I have Simply Shared my opinions about Gold That price will drop to 3190 -91 which is also a strong support of the Week.
Keep Boost my ideas & Follow for timely updates.
XAUUSD Market Update – April 14, 2025🟡 XAUUSD Market Update – April 14, 2025 (End of NY)
🔍 Market Structure Overview
Trend (HTF): Still bullish on H4 with a strong impulsive leg from 3120 → 3248. Current pullback is testing premium zone around 3205–3215.
LTF Structure: M15-H1 shows a textbook liquidity sweep + internal CHoCH, followed by BOS. Price is currently in a reaccumulation phase between 3205 and 3215.
Range: Price is bouncing between the weak high @ 3247 and key support zone @ 3172–3180. Volume thinning out during late NY.
🧠 Key Observations
Fakeout sweep @ 3215: Clear internal liquidity grab followed by CHoCH on M5–M15, triggering short-term upside.
3209 Entry Zone Rejected: Price swept that level without reaction — confirms liquidity engineering.
Premium Distribution Active: H4 OB + FVG zone between 3233–3247 still unmitigated — price may revisit before broader move.
Daily FVG below: Unmitigated bullish gap around 3172–3180, aligning with M30-H1 demand and FIB 61.8 retracement.
🔵 Mitigated Zones
🔹 3205–3210 (EQ zone from earlier CHoCH): Fully mitigated.
🔹 3188 (micro OB): Mitigated and invalidated — no longer valid.
🔹 3215 (fakeout + sweep): Fully played.
🔴 Unmitigated Zones
🔸 3233–3247 (H1–H4 OB + Premium + FVG): 🔥 Active supply area.
🔸 3172–3180 (Daily Imbalance + H1 demand): Strong bounce candidate.
🔸 3120–3130 (Deep discount + demand): Only if a deeper correction forms.
🧭 Current Bias
Short-term bullish into potential rejections near 3225–3233.
Overall market still bullish, but a correction toward 3172–3180 is healthy before continuation.
⚠️ What to Watch
3233–3247: If price spikes into this supply area and shows M5/M15 CHoCH → potential reversal.
3215–3220: Micro liquidity zone may induce late buyers → be cautious.
3172–3180: Strong bounce or continuation zone — RSI confluence and clean M30 imbalance.
🧾 Summary
XAUUSD is currently consolidating between key supply (3233–3247) and demand (3172–3180). Price is sweeping intraday liquidity, hinting at another attempt toward the upper zone before a deeper correction. Patience is key — sniper entries only around the unmitigated OBs with clear M5 confirmation.
Stay sharp, stay selective. Don’t chase, let price come to your zone.
🔔 Like this style of analysis? Drop a comment, follow and subscribe, or share your views with the community. Let’s grow together. 🫱🏽🫲🏽
#GoldMinds #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #FVG #SniperEntry
GOLD STRONG UPTREND|LONG|
✅GOLD is trading in a
Strong uptrend and price
Is now making a local
Bearish correction so after
It hits a horizontal support
Level of 3160$ we will be
Expecting a local bullish rebound
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Forms Triple Top and Breaks Channel Bearish Cont' PlayThis chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 15-minute timeframe shows a clear bearish setup forming after a strong upward channel.
Here’s a quick breakdown:
- Trend Structure: Price was moving within a rising channel, but has now broken below the lower boundary of that channel, signaling a possible shift in trend.
- Triple Top Pattern: Three peaks marked as "TOP 1", "TOP 2", and "TOP 3" suggest a strong resistance zone and bearish reversal potential.
- Break of Structure (BoS): Several BoS labels indicate bearish breaks in market structure, supporting the downside bias.
- Projected Move: The chart suggests a pullback to retest the broken channel and then a continuation downward.
- Bearish Targets: The key downside levels are marked at 3187, 3177, and 3151 , which align with previous support zones.
Overall, this chart signals a likely bearish continuation if price respects the retest zone and fails to reclaim the channel.
Gold on aggressive uptrend extension as expectedTechnical analysis: Gold seems to be recovering last week's Intra-day steep decline towards local Bottom in a rather semi-stable fashion with Hourly 4 chart already stepped in Bullish waters sessions ago. The main reason behind it was the strong decline on the DX (comfortably Trading below the #52-week Low's), which entered an Descending Channel and as I've mentioned these past few weeks on my remarks, has the strongest Short and Medium-term effect (positive) on Gold. Technically, there is only #1 session left before the symmetry of the Hourly 4 chart's cycle catches up as the sequence mimics the previous one. Subsequently, every decline since August #12 resulted as an Short-term relief rally which suddenly reversed in even more steeper decline (check August #22, August #29, September #1 and September #7). If fractal is yet to be repeated, I should expect Price-action to show stagnation and stall the uptrend, then kick-start aggressive takedown towards #3,200.80 benchmark configuration where I will be ready with my piercing Selling orders.
My position: I have announced that Gold is on undisputed Bullish trend and total Bullish domination as I've practically Bought every Bottom lately. My suggestion is to continue Buying the dips / every local Low's.
XAUUSDHello, traders
This chart is an insightful visual representation of technical analysis for the Gold Spot price (XAU/USD) against the U.S. Dollar. Based on its design, it seems geared toward identifying potential price movement patterns and decision points for trading. Here are some key takeaways:
1. **Fibonacci Retracement Levels:** Highlighted at 0.618 and 0.886, they indicate potential zones where the price might reverse or consolidate, valuable for planning entry and exit points.
2. **Significant Price Levels:** Labels like PDH (Previous Day High), PDL (Previous Day Low), and PWL (Previous Week Low) provide context on past market performance, which can signal future behavior.
3. **Market Structure Insights:** Annotations like BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) help traders analyze shifts in trend or market momentum.
4. **Current Market Data:** With an ask price of 3,238.290 and a bid at 3,237.570, accompanied by a visible increase in volume, this may suggest heightened market activity.
XAUUSD Reversal imminent. Potential short-term top reached.Gold (XAUUSD) hit the 1-month Higher Highs trend-line and has started to form a short-term Top. The last two short-term High sequences peaked on the 2nd High and pulled-back to at least the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
The peak formation on the 4H RSI of those two sequences was demonstrated with Lower Highs. Similarly the most optimal short-term buy was when the 4H RSI got oversold below 30.00. At the same time, the price hit the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
But for now, the best action is to sell and take profit when the price makes contact with the 4H MA50.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇