XAUUSD – the dream run likely to continue .. the week of 17 Feb As my chart shows, price has been climbing steadily and comfortably, very ably supported by the 20ema and 50ema. The recent 4 weeks however have seen sideways price action as price bounced in a (wide) 590 pip range (see the pink box).
Earlier today (Fri) price tried to overcome the ATH at 2942.59 but seems to have encountered some serious profit taking and fell back down rather impulsively. We are now at the bottom of that range and also at a region that has acted both as resistance and (now) as support. This makes me cautious about an otherwise text book perfect buying opportunity but my bullish bias is intact. Price is also overextended (check how far above the MA(s) price has travelled) on the daily chart.
Because of these facts, I don’t want to rush into taking a long (also have an open trade already). Perhaps the current pullback will continue before the uptrend resumes. I will be monitoring price action on the H4 and H1 time frames to find bullish evidence and then take another position. The 1st target will be the current (ATH) all time high with a possible 2nd target at 3000.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
I t’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros