PATIENCE WILL PAY OFF 〉LONG TERM BUY COMING SOON.As illustrated, I'm trying to visualize what the next couple of weeks could look like.
Taking into consideration the fact that May + June are corrective months for gold historically (don't believe me; check the seasonality tool...) , Is likely for price to range up and down within quite a wide range anywhere between 3300 and 3100 before it enters a bullish continuation impulse by the end of June and into first week of July.
( I have illustrated 2 potential buying areas; one closer to price and another extended one lower )
That being said, one must adapt to such market conditions that will only offer certain structure offering a few intraday trades, but mostly short term trades or quick scalping moves all within a same trading session, simply because as each session comes in, they will target previous sessions highs or lows (ranging back and forth in an uncomfortable manner and without a clear direction).
Asia would target Sydney's open, then London might target Asia's open, then NY might target any low or high in the opposite direction... and so on back and forth without truly holding a bullish or bearish structure longer than a few hours to a full calendar day before it turns around (sideways behavior).
As price reaches "stronger psychological" price levels like 3150, 3100, 3050 and potentially 3000; then you might start seeing evident rejections within higher timeframes (4H and 1D); ideally seeing rejection wick/s followed by a nice push up showing true power and volume to the upside, potentially signaling the bottom of this correction phase.
TIME should be aligned with this market behavior; that means that checking the seasonality tool. every year (on average 5, 10 and 15 years), gold makes a bottom during the first week of JULY ...
So... market structure, price, and time must be aligned correctly and it will all make sense whenever that moment comes; hence, the title of this idea.
I am personally not worried about any sort of economic event; news are only gas for the market to move and create liquidity and volatility.
AT THIS POINT, THE ONLY THING THAT COULD TRIGGER A SIGNIFICANT MOVE IN GOLD, IS A GEOPOLITICAL EVENT THAT WOULD TRULLY TRIGGER UNCERTAINTY IN THE MARKETS... .
--
GOOD LUCK!
Persaxu
XAUUSD trade ideas
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
The range continues! We've been playing this range now for nearly a trading week and although it's giving us the scalps, it's not making the move that we want at the moment. Day before yesterday, we said we would stick with the plan, and it's worked again, however, this time, if we approach that key level 3335, we're not going to suggest attempting that short again.
Having said the above, even though it's frustrating, we're going to stick with the plan at the moment. Most of our bearish targets are completing together with KOG's bias of the day, so lets see if we can break below that 3300 level and hold! As it stands, nothing to lose unless we get taken at BE again.
Circled are the key levels to look out for, bias still stands for now. NFP around the corner, it's going to make it even more of a whipsaw.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold Trade Plan 25/04/2025Dear Traders,
There is no strong bullish momentum observed in gold, and it seems to be moving within a descending channel. Meanwhile, the dollar index has entered a reversal phase. I expect the price to drop into the 3220–3230 zone to gather momentum, A new update will be shared soon.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
"Gold Ain’t Done Yet – Snipers Don’t Sleep, They Wait After a clean CHoCH from 3205 and bullish NY session push, Gold is currently hovering around 3239 ahead of major macro catalysts tomorrow (May 2):
💼 News to Watch:
NFP (133K vs. 228K prev)
Unemployment Rate
Average Hourly Earnings All releasing between 15:30–17:00 UTC+2, potentially fueling a volatility storm.
We remain in a broader retracement phase after April highs (ATH 3500), with price still sitting in higher timeframe discount zones and internal bullish signs building. However, supply above is unmitigated and could cap rallies.
🔁 MARKET STRUCTURE
Price is currently at 3239, just above a valid H1–H4 support zone.
Clean CHoCH confirmed from 3205
Liquidity still resting both above 3284 and below 3172
🔽 BUY SCENARIOS (From Discount + Liquidity Areas)
🟢 Buy #1 – 3205–3212
🔹 H1 CHoCH zone + internal FVG
🔹 Sell-side liquidity just swept
🔹 Entry if price retests post-NFP drop
⚠️ Ideal for short-term bounce or reaccumulation into 3260
🟢 Buy #2 – 3172–3185
🔹 H4 OB + sweep zone + EQ
🔹 Heavy stop cluster under 3200
🔹 If broken, becomes invalid → eyes move to 3120
🔸 High-risk/reward reversal zone if NFP panic spikes below
🔼 SELL SCENARIOS (From Premium + Imbalance Zones)
🔴 Sell #1 – 3284–3295
🔹 H1–H4 supply + FVG + internal BOS
🔹 Buy-side liquidity just above 3280
🔹 Classic pre-news pump & dump zone
⚠️ Watch for wicks above 3288 → sniper sell trigger
🔴 Sell #2 – 3325–3333
🔹 HTF OB shelf + imbalance + previous NY rejection
🔹 Final retail breakout trap before larger drop
🔹 Cleanest R:R setup if NFP drives price explosively upward
👀 Eyes On:
Zone Reaction Type What to Watch
3220–3235 Bounce or trap Current zone = fragile intraday demand
3284–3295 Rejection or flip Cleanest NY pump trap zone
3172–3185 Final support Below = invalidates bullish scenario short-term
3325–3333 Bull trap zone If reached = extreme precision sell only
🎯 Bias:
LTF: Bullish retrace valid above 3212
HTF: Still bearish under 3330
Macro: Wait-and-react on NFP → NO prediction
📣 Final Note for GoldMinds:
This is not a prediction plan.
It’s a reaction plan.
We mapped the real zones.
Now let the volatility reveal which liquidity gets hit first.
💬 Drop a 🧠 if you’ve evolved past “buy now / sell now” noise.
Let’s hunt like pros — not guess like rookies.
XAU/USD (Gold) Analysis 2/5/20251. XAU/USD recently recorded an all-time high (ATH) at the 3150 level.
2. Following a healthy retracement, we are now eyeing potential long opportunities near the 3100 zone.
3. The 3100 level presents a favorable risk-reward entry point, aligned with historical support.
4. Market sentiment remains bullish, supported by strong fundamentals and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
5. A breakout above the previous ATH could open the door for a continued rally toward higher resistance levels.
6. Our upside targets for this move are in the range of 3450 to 3500, offering considerable profit potential.
7. Price consolidation near 3100 indicates accumulation, reinforcing the long bias.
8. We anticipate renewed buying pressure as the market tests key psychological and technical levels.
9. Risk management will be crucial, with stops ideally placed just below the 3050 support region.
10. Overall, this setup offers a compelling long trade backed by technical structure and market momentum.
Lingrid | GOLD trendline BREAKOUT: Short-Term BEARISH MoveOANDA:XAUUSD made a strong bullish run, but after reaching the top near 3500, the price entered a sideways range and recently broke below the upward trend-line. Now it’s retesting the 3,283–3,300 zone, which may act as resistance. If price fails here, we could see a drop back to the 3,150 support area. Bulls will need a solid recovery above 3,300 to regain control.
📈 Key Levels
Sell zone: 3,283 – 3,300
Sell trigger: rejection from retest area
Target: 3,150
Buy trigger: strong breakout and hold above 3,300
💡 Risks
Gold is sensitive to US macro data this week (FOMC, NFP, PCE).
Retest of the trend-line might trigger volatility and fakeouts.
Break above 3,300 could invalidate the bearish scenario.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 01-02 May 2025📉 Gold Technical Outlook
Gold has decisively broken a key support zone between $3,268–$3,274, now trading near the $3,210-20 level. This move comes amid a clear downtrend structure, with price action respecting a well-defined descending trendline.
🔍 Current Technical Context:
Trend: Bearish
Support Turned Resistance: $3,268–$3,274
Immediate Support: $3,210–$3,220
Resistance: Trendline and previous support zone near $3,270
A retest of the broken support zone could offer a high-risk, high-reward shorting opportunity, especially if price fails to reclaim it. However, a clean break below the $3,210–$3,220 support could trigger another aggressive selloff, with downside targets potentially extending below $3,160.
📊 Key Drivers (Geopolitical/Fundamentals)
US Dollar Strength: The USD remains firm despite mixed economic data, applying pressure on gold prices.
Geopolitical Easing: Reduced US-China tensions are weighing on safe-haven flows, as US approaches China for talks on tariffs.
Russia-Ukarine: Russia declaring cease-fire for a week.
Technical Pullback: Gold is correcting after a strong rejection from the $3,500 zone.
Profit-Taking: Recent rejection led to bearish closes as traders locked in gains.
Liquidity Considerations: With May 1 being a public holiday in many regions, lower liquidity could amplify volatility.
Event Risk Ahead: Caution prevails ahead of key macro events including Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and the FOMC statement.
📝 Strategy Notes:
Sell-on-Rally Zone: $3,268–$3,274 (if price retests and rejects)
Bearish Continuation Trigger: Break and close below $3,210
Invalidation for Bears: Sustained reclaim of $3,274 and a break above the trendline
Stay nimble and monitor for reactions around the highlighted zones as event-driven volatility can cause swift moves.
GOLD → Consolidation. Traders are waiting for news...FX:XAUUSD remains in consolidation at 3370-3270. Traders are in no hurry to take any action, as there is a lot of important news ahead. Let's take a closer look at the situation...
On Wednesday, gold is trading lower, remaining in a sideways range as traders await the release of US GDP data for the first quarter. A sharp slowdown in growth is expected, and a possible contraction in the economy could increase bets on a Fed rate cut and support gold. Meanwhile, the dollar is holding steady amid tariff news and expectations for key employment and inflation data.
A retest of the range support is forming. The approach is quite sharp, and the pre-breakout potential has been exhausted. A false breakout of support could trigger an upward correction.
Support levels: 3270, 3245
Resistance levels: 3314, 3329, 3352
If the dollar continues to fall after the news, this could support gold and the price could continue to trade between 3370 and 3270. Unpredictable news could trigger a breakout and a fall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Bears Won Big – Here’s the Next Resistance to WatchYesterday was a great day for Gold bears – just as anticipated, price dropped nearly 1,000 pips and hit my target zone around 3200.
After such a strong move, we’re now seeing a typical rebound, which might offer a fresh opportunity to sell into strength and ride the prevailing trend.
🔍 Key Zone:
- 3270 now acts as resistance.
- If price stalls here, it’s the ideal area to look for short entries targeting a retest of 3200.
🛠️ Plan: Sell spikes into 3270 resistance and stay with the trend.
“Gold Poised for a Big Move Ahead of NFP – Reversal or BreakdownGold (XAU/USD) is approaching a major decision zone just before the highly anticipated NFP release. Price is reacting from a strong demand area (3,240–3,200), hinting at potential upside if momentum builds. A break above the descending trendline could fuel a rally toward 3,320 and 3,480.
However, a negative reaction to NFP might push gold down to test the deeper 3,168–3,134 support zone before bouncing.
This setup aligns perfectly with high-impact news – Follow for live updates and smart trade ideas during NFP!
Buy OpportunityGold is rebounding after a sharp sell-off, finding strong demand near the $3,240–$3,250 zone, which aligns with historical volume support. This aligns well with GODO’s Smart Hedging (Trap & Cover) strategy — where delayed hedges are triggered in zones of likely reversal.
🔍 Technical Snapshot
Current Price: $3,260.50
Support Zone: $3,240–$3,250
Resistance Target: $3,313
Risk: $3,241 stop level (VPOC defense)
Reward: ~$3,313 (previous structure + Fib retrace)
R:R Ratio: 2.89
XAUUSD: Gold Once Again Back To $3270 Region, What Next ? Gold has once again backed to the 3270 region and rejected it, currently trading at 3280$. The main question is whether gold will hold on to this level. If not, we could see a strong sell-off taking the price to 3130. This is because the sellers’ presence has increased, and the price has been volatile due to mixed news and economic data, further strengthening the bears’ position in the market.
Despite this, we remain optimistic that gold will continue its bullish move upwards. There’s a strong reason for this: we may see all-out war happening in Asia, although this is purely speculative. For now, you may decide to continue monitoring the price or even take a swing buy, which could be risky.
Given the volatility of gold, we recommend trading cautiously and taking extra precautions while trading gold.
Wishing you good luck and safe trading!
Thank you for your support! 😊
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Is GOLD About to Begin a Bearish Trend or a False Signal?Is GOLD About to Begin a Bearish Trend or a False Signal?
Gold is approaching a critical moment—if the breakout happens, we could see a significant shift in trend. The price is forming a large triangle pattern, which suggests that a decline may be coming soon.
However, caution is needed.
Gold prices have been manipulated for a long time and it will be difficult to spot when the big bearish wave starts.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
GOLD - Price can correct to support area and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price entered to rising channel, where it at once broke $2885 level and reached resistance line of channel.
Then it corrected and then continued to move up in channel, but later it dropped to support area.
Price soon rose above $2885 level, making a fake breakout and after retesting this level, continued to grow.
Later Gold reached resistance line of channel and then made correction movement, exiting from channel and entered to pennant.
In pennant pattern, price made upward impulse, breaking $3275 level and at the moment it trades near $3275 level.
I think that Gold can exit from pennant, decline to support area, and then bounce up to $3440
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
XAU/USD: High Volatility is Expected! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price began rising from the $3310 zone yesterday and reached $3330, delivering a 200-pip gain.
After that, selling pressure took over, and gold is now trading around $3277. Given the current market structure and today's important news events, I expect high volatility in both bullish and bearish directions.
One of the key liquidity pools likely to be targeted today lies below $3259, and before any potential drop, we may see the liquidity gap between $3288 and $3303 being filled.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSD: 30/4 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
The resistance level of the four-hour chart is 3330, and the support level is 3260.
The resistance level of the one-hour chart is 3307, and the support level is 3275.
The resistance level of the 30-minute chart is 3300, and the support level is 3280.
The 4H cycle is a horizontal box operation. This week is a data week. The gold price is greatly affected by the news. Wait for the NFP data on Friday to break the box operation. Due to the recent market fluctuations, the entry position is very critical. For the time being, focus on the previous support of 3300 today. If the US market stands at 3300, it can be bullish to the 3320~3330 area. On the contrary, if it falls below the 4H and daily support of 3260 US dollars, it may touch the monthly support level of 3230~3200.
There are many news about the US market data today. Wait for the data to be released before trading! Avoid losses caused by increased liquidity during the news release.
Trading strategy:
Buy: 3265 SL:3260
Buy: 3300 SL:3295
Sell: 3330 SL:3335
Sell: 3260 SL:3265
Only provide trading direction, specific entry price, SL/TP need to wait for real-time liquidity confirmation
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts with our analysis playing out perfectly.
After completing our bearish target yesterday, we stated that we would now look for a test at 3344 to complete our Bullish target and then a cross and lock will open the level above or failure to lock above will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturns.
- This played out perfectly. We got the 3344 target hit, as analysed, followed with no cross and lock above 3344 confirming the rejection into the lower Goldturns just like we stated.
3306 Goldturn provided the support and bounce and if this levels holds, we will see a retest above or a further cross and lock below will open the lower Goldturns.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3344 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3367
POTENTIALLY 3390
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3458
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
POTENTIALLY
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3285 - DONE
3259
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3259 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3233
3201
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3159 - 3112
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Thursday. On the 4 hour chart, I have marked my area of interest to see if gold will keep pushing down or push back up to retest the breakdown area. Many times the overnight sessions get corrected with the NY open. Saying that, we may push up a bit only to come back down. Let's see how the 4 hour candle closes. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
ZIGZAG wave-c has startedContinuing the previous gold analysis
It seems that wave-(b) is turning into a normal zigzag and wave-c has started from the zigzag. Wave-c of this zigzag could end in the range of $3200-3216 or $3104-3118.
After the zigzag ends, we will have another upward movement in gold.