Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250328Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250328
XAUUSD trade ideas
How to break the gold shock pull?Judging from the overall situation, gold is definitely rising in a bull market. It has already tested the 3,000 mark twice and found support, indicating that buying is still strong. What needs to be focused on now is whether the "W" bottom pattern of 3,000 can be effectively established. If it successfully breaks through the 3,035 watershed, it is expected to test the pressure near 3,045 and the historical high of 3,057. On the contrary, if the slight upward trend cannot be continued today, it will continue to maintain the 3,030-3,000 oscillation range. The 4-hour level currently forms a small double bottom support near 3,000. Today, the intraday rise has continued, and the K-line has re-stood above the short-term moving average. The short-term trend is strong. The current middle rail resistance has been broken. If it is stabilized again, the upper side will further see the upward rail pressure. The lower side 3013 will become the short-term long-short watershed. Whether the market will step back to confirm the continued rise or return to the bottom to continue to oscillate, focus on the next closing situation.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the 3036-3038 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3010-3015 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3036-3038, stop loss at 3055, target around 3025-3020, and look at the 3015 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3013-3015, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3025-3030, and look at the 3038 line if it breaks;
Gold has tapped into the 3084-3094 premium rejection zone⚡ Market Overview:
Gold continues its bullish momentum, testing premium supply zones. Liquidity grabs and order flow shifts indicate potential reversals or continuation setups. Key imbalances and institutional levels are in focus.
🔴 Sell Setup (Short)
Entry Zone: $3,085 - $3,090
Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,097
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,067 (First reaction level)
TP2: $3,050 (Liquidity sweep target)
TP3: $3,032 (Deeper profit zone)
📌 Reasoning:
Price has reached a premium supply area, with exhaustion signs at the highs.
Strong imbalance below $3,067 suggests potential retracement.
Confluence with 1H bearish rejection wicks.
🟢 Buy Setup (Long)
Entry Zone: $3,066 - $3,070
Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,060
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,080 (First reaction level)
TP2: $3,089 (Supply imbalance zone)
TP3: $3,097 (Full retrace target)
📌 Reasoning:
Strong imbalance at $3,066, a level gold tends to respect.
Previous demand zone aligns with institutional orders.
Potential for liquidity grab and continuation if order flow remains bullish.
21 EMA confluence supports a bounce.
⚡ Execution Plan
Monitor price action at entry zones for confirmation (rejection wicks, engulfing candles).
Be cautious of high-impact news events that could create volatility.
Adjust SL & TP levels dynamically based on price behavior.
📌 Important Notice:
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Good luck on the market today.
Gold update 4H 28.03.2025Technical Overview
Gold has broken out of a bullish pennant, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. XAU/USD is currently testing resistance around $3,087. A successful breakout could push prices toward $3,108–$3,138 (0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels).
Key Levels:
Support: $3,066 | $3,040
Resistance: $3,087 | $3,108 | $3,138
Indicators:
The oscillator shows overbought conditions, suggesting a possible short-term pullback.
A retest of $3,066 could provide a support zone for continuation.
Fundamental Factors
Fed interest rate decisions and inflation data will impact gold.
Market uncertainty continues to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish: A strong breakout above $3,087 could lead to a rally toward $3,108 and $3,138.
Bearish: Failure to hold above $3,087 may trigger a pullback toward $3,066 and $3,040.
A breakout above $3,087 could open the path toward $3,108–$3,138.
Gold's rise is not over yet! Continue to go long if it falls bacThis round of price fell from the previous high of 3057, and the first round of selling was at 3000; it fell to 3002 at the beginning of the week and then stabilized and rebounded. The article emphasizes that the market will focus on the key attack and defense of 3035, the 61.8% node of the 3000-3057 line; if it is under pressure, the short-selling idea will be maintained, and if it breaks through, it will return to a high level;
Strategy 1: Buy near 3048, protect 3038, target 3059-3070;
Strategy 2: Buy near 3038, protect 3028, target 3059-3070; (alternative)
Gold H4 | Potential bullish bounceGold (XAU/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 3,049.57 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 2,990.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 3,109.51 which is a resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
We got our Bullish target hit at 3032 with no cross and lock above confirming the rejection after the hit. We also got our Bearish target hit at 3015 now also following with a cross and lock leaving 2999 Goldturn open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2978
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2978 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2927
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD – Refined Daily Plan w/ Sniper Entries🔹 HTF Bias (D1 + H4)
🔼 Overall trend: Bullish
Price is inside a Premium HTF zone (3065–3090)
Daily and H4 structure are bullish, but price is testing a major liquidity zone
Reaction expected either:
✅ Bullish continuation on breakout
🔁 Short-term rejection for retracement ➤ sniper setups engage
🧠 Current Setup Situation (M15–H4 Context)
📍 Price is consolidating below 3065, forming equal highs ➤ liquidity sitting above
M15 + M30 show clear FVG + OB confluence zones
H4 has no CHoCH yet — structure intact
Strategy: reactive entries based on smart money reaction
🔻 SNIPER SELL SETUP (Scalp to Retrace)
🎯 Sell Plan:
Entry Zone: 3064.5 – 3066
SL: Above 3070 (above wick + LQ)
TP1: 3041 → M30 FVG
TP2: 3020 → H1 bullish OB
TP3: 3008 → large imbalance (LTF)
⚠️ Entry Conditions:
Price must:
Sweep liquidity above equal highs
Show M15 or M5 bearish BOS / engulfing
Ideally with shift in order flow (CHoCH)
✅ Confluences:
D1 & H4 Premium zone
M15 OB + FVG
Liquidity resting above 3065
🔺 SNIPER BUY SETUP (Continuation)
🎯 Buy Plan:
Entry Zone: 3016–3020
SL: Below 3010
TP1: 3035
TP2: 3055
TP3: 3065 (liquidity revisit)
⚠️ Entry Conditions:
Clean rejection from OB zone
Bullish candle (M15/M30) or LTF BOS
No full break below 3008 – that invalidates buy
✅ Confluences:
Clean OB + FVG (M30 / H1)
Sits in discount zone after potential rejection
H4 demand & D1 continuation zone
🧭 Decision Tree
→ If price breaks 3065 + holds → wait for retest → long continuation
→ If price sweeps 3065 + shows rejection → sniper sell
→ If price drops to 3020 → look for long
→ If price breaks 3008 → wait for structure to reset
🧼 Summary:
HTF = Bullish
Active zone = 3065 (reaction zone)
Trade reaction, not prediction
Let price come to your zone. Then strike like a sniper 🧠⚔️
Sniper setups only execute after LTF confirmation
🧠 Structure > Emotion
🎯 Setup > Impulse
💬 If this breakdown helped you, support the post:
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✅ Follow for clean daily plans, sniper setups & SMC flow
Let’s grow together, one smart trade at a time 📈
XAU/USD Analysis–Bearish Continuation Within Descending Channel📉 Gold (XAU/USD) H1 Analysis – March 26, 2025
🔻 Descending Channel Formation:
The price remains confined within a downward-sloping channel, signaling continued bearish pressure.
Lower highs and lower lows confirm the short-term downtrend.
📍 Key Levels & Structure:
Current Price: $3,019
Resistance Zone: Around $3,025 - $3,030 (upper boundary of the channel)
Support Zone: $3,000 psychological level and potential lower boundary near $2,985
📌 Market Imbalance (MB) Not Filled:
A minor liquidity gap remains unfilled above, indicating a possible short-term retest before continuation.
📉 Bearish Expectation:
If price fails to break above the resistance trendline, we could see a drop toward $3,000 or even lower.
Watch for rejection signals at the upper boundary for short opportunities.
🔎 Trade Considerations:
Bearish Bias: Short entries from resistance with targets at $3,010 - $3,000.
Invalidation: A breakout above $3,030 could signal bullish strength.
XAUUSD – Daily (D1) Analysis🧱 Market Structure
The D1 structure is clearly bullish – price is printing HHs and HLs consistently.
Current push is a continuation from previous consolidation, breaking structure upwards.
No CHoCH or BOS bearish yet – buyers still in control.
🔵 Key Zones (marked on your chart)
1. Near-term Liquidity / Resistance
Price is approaching a marked supply zone / premium area at the top (same one from W1).
This is likely to act as a reaction point – either:
Sweep liquidity and reverse
Break through and continue higher
2. Imbalances / Mitigation Zones Below Price
These zones are clean mitigation targets if price rejects from the top:
Zone Level Description
2955 Fair value gap / inefficiency (imbalance)
2790–2800 Strong structure zone + FVG + OB
2740–2750 Potential OB + previous consolidation
2495 Deep retracement level – less likely short-term
🧩 Order Flow Observation
Very little sign of exhaustion in candles right now.
The only reason to expect reversal is if:
Price hits the extreme premium zone
We see a strong daily rejection or
Lower timeframes shift (CHoCH / BOS)
📉 EMA Perspective (implied)
Assuming EMA 21/50/200:
Price is well above EMA 21 & 50, indicating strong short-term bullish trend.
A return to EMA 21 (probably around ~2950–2970) would be a healthy pullback.
📌 Bias – Daily
Term Bias Reason Daily
✅ Bullish Clean bullish structure, no shift Short-term
⚠️ Watchful
If price hits supply zone with reaction
Ideal setup
Rejection from premium + CHoCH on H4/H1
🧠 Trade Ideas (based on D1)
🔼 Bullish Scenario
Price holds above 3060 and breaks 3090+
Entry on breakout + retest of minor OB on H1
Target: ATH sweep and continuation
SL: Below minor HL / reaction low
🔽 Bearish Scenario
Price enters supply zone → forms bearish D1 candle (engulfing / pinbar)
Look for CHoCH on H4/H1 to enter short
Target levels: 2950 ➝ 2800 ➝ 2750
SL: Above daily high or OB
XAUUSD – Weekly (W1) Trading Plan🧱 Market Structure
Clear bullish structure with sustained Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
Strong impulsive candles show aggressive bullish momentum, no signs of exhaustion yet.
Order flow remains bullish until proven otherwise.
🔍 Key Zones (S&D, FVGs, Gaps)
🔝 Premium Zone
Current price is within this premium area, which contains a weekly FVG / imbalance.
Price is reacting inside this inefficiency (3064–3094) → draw on liquidity.
This is not a demand zone, but rather a sell-side trap area for late buyers.
Possibilities:
Price fully fills the gap to ~3094 → then reverses (bearish reaction).
Or, price continues pushing up for ATH sweep (liquidity above all-time-high).
🧩 Below Current Price – Mitigation Zones
🔵 2900–2950: Minor imbalance, could be used as short-term retracement target.
🔵 2750–2800: OB + structural retest zone → high-interest mitigation area.
🔵 ~2480–2550: Deep retracement zone – valid only if major structure breaks.
📈 EMA Overview
(Assuming standard 5/21/50/200 EMA stack)
Price is far above all EMAs → strong bullish sentiment.
A revisit to the 21 or 50 EMA (weekly) would represent healthy retracement.
⚖️ Bias
Term Direction Reason
Long-term ✅ Bullish Strong structure, unmitigated imbalances above
Medium-term ⚠️ Neutral-to-bullish Depends on reaction from 3064–3094
Short-term 🔄 Await reaction LTF confirmation needed for short setups
🎯 Trade Scenarios
🟩 Bullish Continuation
If price uses 3064–3094 as support (mitigation → continuation)
Targets: New ATH above 3100+
Strategy: Wait for bullish PA confirmation (engulfing / BOS on D1/H4)
🟥 Bearish Rejection
If price shows strong bearish reaction from 3064–3094 zone
Ideal confirmation: bearish engulfing / CHoCH on H4/H1
Targets:
TP1: 2950
TP2: 2800
SL above the high (once structure confirms)
⏳ What to Watch Next
Weekly close relative to the 3064–3094 zone
Daily/H4 candlestick behavior: rejection vs continuation
Look for divergence between price and momentum, or exhaustion candles
Gold Era Ending?Hi there!
We have almost perfect formation for long term trend reversal level!
I will make few smaller Timeframe chart soon!
Good luck traders :-)
Gold's oscillation convergence is about to break!Technical analysis of gold: Gold has slightly risen and fallen during the day and is generally in a volatile trend. Gold is currently temporarily maintaining a narrow range of fluctuations on the daily trend, but the short-term moving average has begun to gradually diverge downwards, and there are signs of weakening in the short term on the daily line. The 4-hour level trend is temporarily maintained in a volatile state, and the price is temporarily compressed between 3010-3030. The short-term moving average continues to maintain a state close to adhesion and flatness, tending to maintain a volatile trend in the short term. It is necessary to pay attention to the continued downward trend after a small break in the 4-hour level trend. In the small-level cycle trend, there are signs of a small stabilization after touching the previous support band, and pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3030-3036, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3010-3012 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3030-3032, stop loss at 3055, target around 3020-3015, and look at the 3010 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3010-3012, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3020-3025, and look at the 3030 line if it breaks;
Gold Rally Faces RSI Divergence Near HighsGold remains in a bullish trend, but RSI divergence and a possible double top near all-time highs signal weakening momentum. A breach to $3,000 could send the price lower.
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XAU/USD 27.05.2025The sell setup is unfolding just as planned—patience pays. We entered shorts from our high-probability zone, and the price is starting to show weakness. As long as the structure holds, we anticipate further downside, with targets at $3,045 and deeper liquidity zones below. Bulls may attempt a shakeout, but as long as key levels remain protected, the sell-side narrative stays intact. Now it's all about trade management—secure profits, adjust stops, and let the market do the rest. Stay sharp.
XAUUSD SHORTING CONCEPTMorning ladies & gents.
Ok... Gold has been playing games & hard to get for a while. I don't know bout you guys.
As per today and the picture you're currently looking at, the market has cleared so many buy-side liquidities without proper retracements.
Being a Thursday, we could possibly have a TGIF setup, or maybe have it on a good old fashioned Friday.
So, even if we're in an uptrend or a downtrend, I want to see the market either clear Asian highs & or up to the 4 hr end of fvg, and give a sell model or just reverse where it currently is.
My targets: 1 hr Inversion fvg/ 4 hr end of fvg / other discount arrays.
I'ma update frequently on this trade idea so stay tuned.
& If you like my content, ideas and more, just hit the follow button & boost for a thumbs up
Gold Breaks Resistances_ Is a New All-Time High(ATH) on the Way?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($3,032-$3,021) and has managed to break the Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is Double Three Correction(WXY) . One of the signs of the completion of the main wave 4 can be the breakdown of the resistance lines and the Resistance zone($3,032-$3,021) .
I expect Gold to trend upwards in the coming hours and can even create a New All-Time High(ATH) .
Do you think Gold can create a new All-Time High(ATH)?
Note: If Gold goes below $3,013, we should expect more dumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Long Ahead of U.S. GDP AnnouncementGold could see bullish momentum as the U.S. GDP Growth Rate (QoQ Final) is set to be announced on March 27, 2025. The U.S. economy showed signs of slowing down in Q4 2024, with GDP growth dropping from 3.1% to 2.3%. If this downward trend continues due to actual recession fears and given the market conditions up to today, the report is unlikely to be a major downside surprise. However, it could still fuel expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, making gold a more attractive asset.
🔥 Why is this bullish for Gold?
✅ Potential Fed Rate Cuts:
A weaker-than-expected GDP reading would increase expectations for Fed rate cuts in the coming months.
Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it more attractive.
✅ Falling Real Yields:
Inflation remains at 2.3%, slightly above the Fed’s target.
If the Fed moves towards rate cuts, real yields (nominal rates minus inflation) will decline – a strong bullish factor for gold.
✅ Weaker U.S. Dollar Potential:
A weaker GDP print could weaken the U.S. dollar as traders price in lower rates.
Gold has an inverse correlation with the dollar: a weaker USD typically pushes gold higher.
✅ Safe-Haven Demand:
If economic growth continues to slow, investors may hedge with gold.
Increased demand as a safe-haven asset would further support gold prices.
A stronger-than-expected GDP report could delay Fed rate cuts, pressuring gold.
A strong U.S. dollar due to global risk-off sentiment could weigh on gold.
Short-term technical corrections could trigger temporary pullbacks.
Conclusion: Bullish Outlook for Gold Ahead of GDP Data
With slowing U.S. growth, potential rate cuts, and weaker real yields, gold remains a strong long opportunity ahead of the March 27 GDP announcement. Fundamental data supports an upward move, and the technical setup provides a clear entry strategy.
🎯 Gold remains in a uptrend – dips could offer buying opportunities!
🔎 Key Events to Watch:
U.S. GDP Growth Rate (QoQ Final) – March 27, 2025
Fed policy statements & economic projections
U.S. Dollar Index reaction to GDP data
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
The decline of the golden stage is in line with expectations!Gold 4-hour chart relies on the middle track of the Bollinger Bands to rebound. The middle track is the short-term strength and weakness distinction point. In the adjustment trend, the weakness is below the middle track. It is also a distinction point, combined with the hourly chart above. In the step-down shock, although the rebound yesterday was slightly higher than the 3033 line, it was still running below the second highest point of 3038 as a whole, a complete step adjustment trend. The second highest point is not lost, the trend is not changed, and today's operation relies on the 3033 high point as a defense to continue to follow the trend and fall back. The low point of 2020-2026 is still a resistance point. After the short position of 2028 was reduced yesterday, the bottom position continued to break the 3000 small band. Short positions rebounded slightly today near 2020-2023 and continued to short. Defense at 3033 is enough. The target is to reduce the position and then leave the bottom position to look down at 2990-2980. The space depends on the shape. As long as it closes at a low level, the adjustment space will be further deepened the next day.
Today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3020-3025 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2999-2980 line of support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3020-3023, stop loss at 3055, target around 3010-3000, and look at the 2890 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2990-2993, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3000-3005, and look at the 3010 line if it breaks;
Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250327Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250327
GOLD: Bullish pattern, Short first then LongIn the 4H chart, the bulls have not completely unloaded their strength. From the perspective of the pattern, it should be possible to reach the area around 3050-3058.
In the 30M chart, it is currently near resistance, focusing on the resistance of the 3037-3044 range. You can consider shorting around 3043, and the target is temporarily set around 3033.
Today there is initial jobless claims data, and I personally expect it to be bullish for gold, so I plan to hold long positions when the data is released.
XAU/USD 27 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias and analysis remains the same as analysis dated 23 March 2025.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 March 2025.
As per analysis dated 19 March 2025 whereby I mentioned as an alternative scenario that internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS.
This is how price printed, by printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has yet to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation, however, price has traded into premium of 50% internal EQ, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded in to premium of 50% EQ and has mitigated M15 supply zone.
Technically, price to target weak internal low priced at 2,999.465.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold below 3040Until Gold is below $3040 we should expect more downside movement because 3040 is a very strong resistance on 4H time frame & we also have 61% of Fibonacci in that area
