#XAUUSD: +2000 Pips Correction US-China Trade Deal ConfirmedGold has experienced a significant decline in recent days, primarily due to fundamental market factors that have caused its price to fall from 3430 to 3209, resulting in a loss of approximately 2210 pips. Consequently, we recommend that you consider selling Gold if it aligns with your analysis and assessment. It is imperative that you implement strict risk management measures while trading Gold.
It is important to note that this analysis does not guarantee a price decline or that the market will behave as described. Therefore, we strongly advise you to conduct thorough trade planning before making any trading decisions.
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XAUUSD trade ideas
XAU/USD: Bullish Momentum Builds Near Breakout Zone, Key SupportGold (XAU/USD) is gaining strength after rebounding from trendline support, forming a sharp impulsive move and now hovering near a potential breakout zone. Momentum remains bullish, as the price reclaims previous highs and eyes the upper resistance boundary around 3,495.000.
The structure favors trend continuation as long as price remains above the key support zone at 3,345.000, where trendline and previous day’s high converge. A sustained move above 3,400 could confirm a breakout, but the risk of a false breakout remains.
Currently, the price is consolidating above a critical intersection of trendline and horizontal support near 3,300. This level must hold for bulls to retain control. A bounce from this zone would support a move toward the upper resistance, with the next target at 3,495.000. However, a break below 3,345.000 may invalidate the setup and lead to deeper correction
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3300 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
THE KOG REPORT - Update End of day update from us here at KOG:
What a day on gold. We wanted this to go higher into the order region to enable us to short it in to the level we wanted following the path. Market glitched, we didn't get the move we wanted, completed all the bearish targets for the week but then....we managed to get a nice long trade from the lows into the resistance level above.
Now 3230 turns into resistance with many traders chasing the gap early session likely holding on to trades. As you can see, the red box broke early session, that was the signal to maintain the move into the levels. So we'll stick with it at the moment as long as that 3255 level holds us down. An undercut low takes us into 3190-5 which is where we may see price hold for CPI tomorrow.
All bearish targets done in one swoop!
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3310 with targets above 3335, 3345, 3350, 3350, 3362 and 3370
Bearish below 3310 with targets below 3306✅, 3301✅, 3297✅, 3285✅ and 3274✅
RED BOXES (TAKE NOTE)
Break above 3335 for 3342, 3350, 3354, 3365, 3370. 3373 and 3385 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3306✅, 3298✅, 3293✅, 3285✅ and 3279✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
HelenP. I Gold will rebound from trend line to resistance zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After an aggressive rally from the support zone, the price has been consolidating just below the resistance area. What’s important now is how price behaves around the trend line, which has acted as dynamic support since early April. The most recent pullback landed exactly on this line, where buyers quickly reacted, forming a higher low. This move suggests that the bullish structure remains intact and buyers are defending their positions. The market is currently hovering near 3325, but with momentum slowly building and no major bearish breakdowns, it’s reasonable to anticipate another push higher. The resistance zone between 3405 and 3435 is the next key area, and it aligns with the top of the recent impulse move. If XAUUSD holds above the trend line and breaks through the 3405 level, we could see a continuation toward 3435, my current goal. Overall, the market shows a steady uptrend, supported by rising lows and a strong reaction at the trend line. Until this structure is broken, I remain bullish. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
DeGRAM | GOLD has reached the channel boundary📊 Technical Analysis
● Chart shows a bullish breakout from the falling wedge into a rising channel. Support near $3,300 held firm, and price is now above the $3,360 pivot, eyeing the $3,430–$3,500 resistance zone. Oscillators on daily chart remain positive, reinforcing the upward bias.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Global uncertainty is fueling safe-haven demand: tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East and renewed US-China trade fears are supporting gold.
● A softer US dollar and policy uncertainty also boost bullion; analysts note continued demand keeping prices elevated above $3,000.
● Bank of America highlights that US trade-policy uncertainty will “lend support” to gold prices.
✨ Summary
Upside momentum remains strong, with key support around $3,300–$3,360. Gold’s long bias points toward ~$3,500 in the short term, underpinned by geopolitical risks and a weak dollar.
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XAUUSD Daily AnalysisGold long-term trend is still bullish. based on ICHIMOKU the Xauusd is in supposed correction. daily support level (3228) was touched. the price is near important support level (3188).
For next weeks:
Support levels:
3188
3166
Resistance levels:
3351
3381
After that waiting for Ichimoku to give us the exact road map.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Retest of ATH Soon!Gold broke through a daily significant horizontal resistance level yesterday and closed above it.
It appears that the bullish trend is likely to continue, with the price expected to retest its all-time high soon.
After reaching this level, be prepared for a potential breakout that could drive prices even higher.
GOLD ( XAUUSD ) : H4 / D1 : Big Long !!!Hello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Gold?
After a strong upward move, gold entered a corrective phase upon reaching the $3500 resistance zone.
This correction could offer a buy-the-dip opportunity, with potential for a move back toward the recent highs.
XAUUSD
Market price : 3240
Buy limit : 3140 - 3120
Tp1 : 3240
Tp2 : 3340
Tp3 : 3500
Tp4 : 3750
Sl : 3030 ( 100 pip )
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GOLD : This time is different Hello !
No, this time is now different. It was a joke.
*****************************************************
1- Bar pattern of the last bull run is a true way of gold for us. This is almost perfection.
***
2- The objective is 7000-8000$ per once. The top momentum can really hit 10k or 12k if the demand explode, because today, we are in a connected world.
***
3- The top is when Ma deviation is 200% of the 200 MA Monthly in RED like 2011. However, il will update in weekly because is very interesting. You will find below this idea.
***
4- What is the signification for the equity ?
The signification is : No New bullrun until the top of the gold. Probably a consolidation at those levels. However, we are in capital rotation, so, we can easily imagine an explosion of gold if Market drop hard.
***
5- At this level, if you buy now, you can do an easily 100% and maybe 200%.
Gold Trade Plan 12/05/2025Dear Traders,
Gold Started Correction and opened with Negative Gap Today
i Expect price will be bounce off from 3202-3220 to 3270 Area ,
Above 3270 --->3300-3330-3400
Below 3270---> My final Target 3160-3080
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Gold – False Break Signals More DownsideIn my commentary yesterday, I highlighted the importance of the 3360 support zone. While Gold initially found a bid around this level, the sharp reversal from the 3415 Asian session high suggests a failed breakout.
Key Observations:
• The quick rejection above 3360 now looks like a false break, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
• The recent high around 3415 appears to be a lower high following the 3500 ATH, confirming potential trend weakness.
• Given this structure, a drop back to at least the 3270 support zone seems highly probable.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold bulls are coming on strongFrom the 4-hour analysis, gold bulls are making another strong impact. On the top, we pay attention to the short-term suppression at 3385-90 and the suppression at 3400. On the bottom, we pay attention to the short-term support at 3350 and the important support at 3336-40. In terms of operation, we mainly go long on pullbacks. In the middle position, we should watch more and do less, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
GOLD OUTLOOK: US–UK Trade Deal in Focus as Tariff Tensions Ease GOLD OUTLOOK: US–UK Trade Deal in Focus as Tariff Tensions Ease — Is War Risk Losing Grip?
The spotlight has shifted.
As geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan continue to simmer, gold has surprisingly failed to respond with the expected safe-haven spike. Instead, the market’s attention has turned sharply toward global trade negotiations — particularly the latest developments between the United States and the United Kingdom.
🌐 Global Trade Truce: Why It Matters
Recent headlines confirm the UK is one of the first nations to sign a new trade and tariff agreement with the US — easing pressure from global tariff wars and restoring market confidence.
➡️ Result?
The US Dollar (DXY) has staged a meaningful recovery, limiting gold’s upside and reducing short-term bullish sentiment.
While the war narrative is still present, it's the economic diplomacy that’s dominating headlines and price action this week.
📉 Market Reaction: Mixed Signals & Wild Volatility
Recent gold movements have been erratic — sweeping liquidity zones of nearly $100 per ounce in single sessions. This type of behavior reflects deep uncertainty and makes short-term directional trading highly risky.
For now, the priority should be on key H2–H4 zones, with reduced exposure to scalp trades until structure stabilizes.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch (H4 Anchored)
🔻 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3,364 – 3,366
SL: 3,370
TPs: 3,360 → 3,356 → 3,352 → 3,348 → 3,344 → 3,340 → 3,330
🔻 SELL ZONE (Breakout Rejection Area)
Entry: 3,380 – 3,382
SL: 3,386
TPs: 3,376 → 3,372 → 3,368 → 3,364 → 3,360 → 3,350
🟢 BUY ZONE (Mid-Term Support)
Entry: 3,322 – 3,320
SL: 3,316
TPs: 3,326 → 3,330 → 3,334 → 3,340
📌 Strategy Notes:
The European session open has triggered bearish candles — be cautious on BUY setups during London hours.
If you’re holding long positions from earlier this week, consider scaling out around the 3,355 zone.
Keep an eye on upcoming comments from Donald Trump, especially around the new trade framework. These could trigger short-term volatility spikes or broader trend shifts.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Gold is no longer driven solely by geopolitical unrest — macro narratives are back in control.
With tariff tensions easing and stronger-than-expected USD recovery, traders need to remain flexible, disciplined, and reactive — not predictive.
✅ Focus on clear levels.
✅ Trade with confirmation.
✅ Avoid emotional scalps during uncertainty.
📣 Follow this page for real-time zone updates and structured market reads. Let’s finish this week strong.
XAU/USD: Institutional Accumulation or New Bearish Impulse?Technical Context:
The graphical analysis shows that the price of gold (XAU/USD) is currently consolidating within a significant demand zone following the recent bullish impulse. The daily chart shows an attempt to bounce off the 3,300 USD zone, a key psychological level.
Volume and COT Analysis:
The latest COT data (April 29, 2025) indicates a slight reduction in long positions by non-commercial operators (-18,519 contracts), balanced by an increase in commercial long positions (+1,659 contracts), signaling potential institutional accumulation.
On the retail sentiment front, traders are slightly more exposed to the downside (51% short vs. 49% long), which could indicate a potential short squeeze if the price resumes an upward trend.
Seasonal Trends:
According to data, May historically shows mixed performances with an average of +9.83% over the last 10 years, but with significant fluctuations between longer and more recent periods.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3,380 - 3,400 USD (previous distribution zone)
Support: 3,300 USD (current demand zone) and 3,050 USD (secondary support)
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Scenario: Buy above 3,340 USD with a target at 3,400 USD and a stop loss below 3,300 USD.
Bearish Scenario: Sell below 3,300 USD with a target at 3,050 USD and a stop loss above 3,340 USD.
Gold (XAU/USD) 3H Chart Analysis – Bullish Setup Toward $3,500 TCurrent Price: $3,254.26
EMA 70: $3,285.50 (Price is below EMA – cautious zone)
Bias: Bullish 📈 (if demand zone holds)
Key Zones:
🟦 Demand Zone: $3,200 – $3,260
✅ Strong buy interest expected here
⚠️ Good place to look for entry signals
🟥 Resistance Zone: $3,223.60 – $3,323.84
🔄 Price is currently testing this zone
A breakout here can lead to bullish momentum
🎯 Target Point: $3,500 – $3,529 💰
📌 Defined as "Target Point 3500"
High potential for profit-taking here
⛔ Stop Loss: $3,161.32
🚫 Placed below demand zone for risk control
❗ Important to exit if price drops here
Trade Idea 💡
📥 Buy Entry: Near or above $3,223.60
✅ Hold as long as price respects demand zone
🎯 Target: $3,500
⛔ Stop Loss: $3,161.32
⚖️ Risk:Reward ratio looks favorable!
Quick Summary:
🟢 Bullish Setup
💪 Demand zone is strong
📈 Breakout above resistance may fuel a rally
⏳ Wait for confirmation before entry!
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 12th May 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Gap down on market open
-Looking for price to fill up the gap and form a
bearish structure
-Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3330
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would stick with our plan and look to continue with the move downside. This worked well for us and also gave us the bounce we wanted pre-event for the long trade following the retracement. For NFP, we released the KOG Report again, suggesting a move downside into the key level, then a bounce for the long. We got the short, we then got the TAP AND BOUNCE for the long, although, after having protected and managing it we closed at break even with the minimal lot that was left on the table.
We ended the week with another stellar performance on the EA, the algo and the indicators, not only on Gold, but also the other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
Simple one this week as it’s bank holiday. Expect thin volume during the London session with a potential burst of volume during the US session. We have pathed out the levels and what to look for, with the first resistance just above, which is ideally what we want to target and reject to give us a further move downside. There is a key level above, 3250-55, the bias will be bearish below for now, unless broken which will give us the extension of the move into 3270-75 which is where sellers may get another opportunity.
Red boxes:
Break above 3235 for 3243, 3245, 3247, 3252 and 3270 in extension of the move
Break below 3220 for 3210, 3206, 3196, 3188 and 3179 in extension of the move
Bank holiday in the UK so not sure if we’ll be around much but we’ll re-visit the charts on Tuesday.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD Sniper Zones – May 9 Structure Locked. Zones Refined. Let’s Hunt Clean Entries.
Current Price: 3334
Bias: Mixed (HTF Bullish | LTF Bearish Premium Rejection)
Flow: In consolidation after sweep & rally — waiting for liquidity shift and clear SMC confirmations.
🔻 SELL ZONES (No entries without confirmation!)
🔴 Zone 1: 3365–3375
📍Confluence: LH + unmitigated OB + FVG inside premium
🔍 Wait for clear M5 CHoCH + bearish BOS before pulling trigger.
🔴 Zone 2: 3410–3422
📍Confluence: FVG + Internal Range Premium Liquidity
🔍 Only short after SMC reversal + candle body rejection in zone.
🔴 Zone 3: 3448–3455
📍Confluence: High timeframe OB + Weekly Supply + Final liquidity trap
🔍 This is the kill-shot sniper zone — wait for aggressive reaction or internal M5 break.
🔹 BUY ZONES (No buys unless structure shifts clean!)
🟢 Zone 1: 3306–3314
📍Confluence: Last BOS + bullish breaker block + EQ area
🔍 Look for M5 BOS + retest confirmation.
🟢 Zone 2: 3264–3274
📍Confluence: Untapped demand + internal liquidity sweep
🔍 Watch for aggressive rejection wick + bullish CHoCH confirmation.
🟢 Zone 3: 3225–3235
📍Confluence: Strong LTF OB + higher timeframe discount zone
🔍 High RISK/High REWARD sniper swing area. Wait for clear LTF BOS + strong bounce.
⚔️ Key Zones Above Price:
🔹 3365 (minor premium flip)
🔹 3410–3422 (major supply/FVG)
🔹 3448–3455 (HTF kill zone)
🛡️ Key Zones Below Price:
🔹 3306–3314 (LTF OB + structure demand)
🔹 3264–3274 (liquidity pocket)
🔹 3225–3235 (HTF reentry demand)
🧠 Final Note:
This isn’t for gamblers. You don’t "predict" Gold — you react to liquidity, imbalance, and SMC shifts. These sniper zones are valid only with confirmation. No CHoCH/BOS = no entry. Full stop.
✨ We’re building something smarter than just signals — it’s a sniper mindset. If this helped your vision, show some love below.
💬 Drop a comment, leave a like, and follow for more clean logic and zero fluff.
🔐 Let’s trade like pros!
With you in the flow,
GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX) 💛
GOLD - Price can break support level and continue to declineHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price entered to triangle, where it at once bounced from support line, which coincided with support level.
Price rose to resistance line, breaking $3400 level, but soon turned around and dropped below, breaking this level again.
Next, Gold made a gap and continued to fall in a triangle, and later it reached $3215 level, after which bounced up.
Then price exited from triangle, rose to $3400 level and made fake breakout, after which started to decline in falling channel.
In channel, price fell to $3215 level, where at the moment continued to trades close and trying to break this level.
I think Gold can break this level and continue to fall in a falling channel to $3140
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 3495.Colleagues, price has successfully formed an “ABC” correction and I see that the upward movement is not over.
I think that wave “5” of the higher order consists of five waves and at the moment wave “1” of the lower order is formed.
This means that I predict a target at the high of wave 3495.
Presumably correction “2” can reach a rougher target in the area of 3240.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Gold heading to 3631 & then drop to 3086 As we can see, gold remains in a positive trend on both the daily and weekly charts. However, we're starting to observe emerging negative signals — both technically and politically. This presents what I believe is a good buying opportunity in the short term, followed by a potentially very strong selling opportunity once the upside momentum fades