XAUUSD trade ideas
We continue to go long on gold todayGold continued to close strongly and stabilized at 2740. From the current market, gold bottomed out and rebounded, the bullish trend remains unchanged, and there is still room and demand for further rise. Today, gold focuses on the support below at 2731. If it falls back and relies on this support, it will continue to go long!
Gold fluctuates back and forth at high levels. Gold has not been persistent recently and has been fluctuating at high levels. The 1-hour chart fluctuates at high levels. It is not meaningful to chase more now. The resistance space of gold's previous historical highs is limited. If gold breaks through the resistance of the historical highs, then it will fall back and go long. If the resistance of the historical highs is under pressure, then gold does not rule out another high and fall back, and continue to fluctuate, waiting for Friday's NFP data to find an opportunity to break through.
Trading strategy:
Today, pay attention to 2735~2731 for support and go long. We continue to be bullish on gold today and be cautious about shorting.
Gold Price Analysis October 29Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices gained some positive momentum and rose to the $2,757-$2,758 region during the Asian session on Tuesday, returning close to the record highs hit last week. Persistent safe-haven demand stemming from tensions in the Middle East and concerns over the US election turned out to be the main factors acting as a boost for the precious metal. Moreover, falling US Treasury yields kept US Dollar (USD) bulls on the defensive below the highest since July 30 touched on Monday, also supporting the commodity.
That said, bets for a less aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) easing policy, coupled with concerns over deficit spending after the US election, should limit the downside in US bond yields and the USD. In addition, the underlying bullish tone in the global equity markets is keeping a lid on Gold prices. Investors also seem reluctant ahead of the key US macro releases this week - including the Q3 Advance GDP print, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
Technical Analysis
Gold has almost reached the ATH zone today. A break of 2757 will see a price of 2770 soon. With the possibility that when the European session starts, if the price fails to break the upper band, it can push further to lower zones. 2742 is the first buy zone in the sclalping zone but it will not have as much value as the session port zone around 2725. Pay attention to the price zones to have favorable trading strategies.
Data is approaching: Plan short-selling strategies in advanceMarket Analysis: With the upcoming release of the “U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 26” and the “U.S. Core PCE Price Index Year-on-Year for September,” we anticipate significant market volatility in gold. My personal forecast leans towards a bearish impact on gold prices, especially given the positive indicators from various economic data released in October. Thus, the likelihood of tonight’s data being bearish for gold is high. We can proactively establish a short position ahead of the data release.
Pre-Data Release Gold Trading Strategy:
Entry Range: Short gold between 2780-2782
Take-Profit Target: 2772
Stop-Loss: 2790
Risk Management and Operational Advice: Post-data release, if profits are realized, it’s advisable to take immediate profits, as the market may reverse following the data announcement. I will also provide subsequent trading strategies after the data is released, so please stay tuned for updates to adapt your trading approach.
Escalating Middle East Tensions and Gold Trading StrategyIsrael has launched an attack on Iran, but the missiles were intercepted by Iran's air defense system, resulting in minimal casualties. Interestingly, in the attacked areas, people stood on rooftops to watch the “fireworks,” which is quite a humorous image. The response from Iran regarding this attack will be important to monitor.
Regardless, the war continues, and for gold, another rise seems inevitable. After the market opens on Monday, I believe we can pursue the bullish trend. When the price approaches previous highs, we should close our long positions and begin selling, aiming for a small swing trade. If the price gets near MA20 and shows strong support, we can continue to buy; if not, we’ll consider buying again near MA60.
Gold - Time To Close Out Partial Profits!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is now back to the upper channel resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After breaking above the plsychological $2.000 level, Gold created such an incredible rally, massively outperforming stocks and even cryptocurrencies over the past couple of months. Therefore, it is quite likely that big institutions will take some profits at the current levels.
Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold Next TargetGold pulls away from the all-time-high it set near $2,790 earlier in the day and trades at around $2,780. With the US Dollar struggling to find demand after mixed macroeconomic data releases, however, XAU/USD's downside remains limited.
XAU/USD Intraday Trading Plan: Key Price Levels and Scenarios1. Immediate Key Price Levels
Primary Resistance (2,790.115): This is the near-term resistance level to watch. Price approaching this area without breaking it could signal a potential short setup. If broken with strength, this level may act as new support.
Point of Control - POC (2,782.227): This level is today's pivot point due to high trading volume in this zone. Price holding above this level suggests bullish sentiment; a drop below signals potential bearish control.
Secondary Support (2,773.665): This is the critical support level in case of a downtrend. If price reaches this area and holds, it may provide a buying opportunity; however, a break below indicates strong bearish momentum.
2. Scenarios for Today
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (Continuation)
Trigger: Price breaks and closes above Primary Resistance (2,790.115) with increasing volume, indicating buyers are in control.
Target Price Levels:
Short-Term Target: 2,795.051 (minor resistance from Fibonacci level 0.272) as the initial upside target.
Extended Target: 2,803.705 (High Invalidation Point for Wave 5) – this is a major resistance level with possible volume divergence. It is crucial to monitor volume here, as lower volume at this level could suggest an imminent pullback or trend reversal.
Stop-Loss: Set below 2,782.227 (POC), since a move back below this level would invalidate the bullish breakout.
Invalidation Point: POC (2,782.227) – a drop below this level may indicate a false breakout.
Scenario 2: Reversal at Resistance (Bearish)
Trigger: Price rejects near 2,790.115 (Primary Resistance) with weak volume, indicating that sellers are stepping in.
Entry Point: Initiate short positions near 2,790.115, ideally after observing bearish candlestick patterns or volume declining near this level.
Target Price Levels:
First Target: 2,782.227 (POC), where price might find some support. Partial profits could be taken here, as POC often serves as a consolidation zone.
Secondary Target: 2,773.665 (Secondary Support) – the next significant support level below the POC.
Stop-Loss: Above 2,803.705 (High Invalidation Point). If price surpasses this level, the bearish reversal scenario is invalidated.
Invalidation Point: A confirmed break above 2,790.115 would indicate potential upside continuation and invalidate this short position.
3. Additional Key Terms and Concepts
Volume Divergence: Monitor for volume divergence at the 1.236 (around 2,802) level, as this could indicate reduced buying interest and signal a potential reversal.
Break of Structure (BOS): If the price breaks below POC (2,782.227), it signals a BOS (Break of Structure), favoring bearish momentum. This would confirm a downtrend for the rest of the day.
Inducement Wave 3: Part of the current wave structure suggests an inducement, which might attract buyers at Primary Resistance only to see a potential reversal if it fails to break.
Point of Control (POC): This is the area with the highest traded volume (2,782.227). If price holds above this level, it acts as a bullish pivot point, while a breakdown signals bearish sentiment.
4. Summary of Today's Plan
Bullish Bias if price breaks and holds above 2,790.115, aiming for 2,803.705 as an extended target.
Bearish Bias if 2,790.115 is rejected, targeting 2,782.227 (POC) initially and 2,773.665 (Secondary Support) as an extended target.
Risk Management:
Tight Stop-Losses: Use key levels such as 2,803.705 for shorts and 2,782.227 (POC) for longs to manage risk.
Volume Monitoring: Pay close attention to volume behavior, especially near resistance and support levels, to gauge the strength of any breakout or rejection.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis Update – 31 October 2024Gold has displayed impressive bullish momentum, recently reaching an all-time high of 2790.120 on October 30, 2024. This significant level was achieved just one day after breaking through previous highs at 2758.52 on October 29. With this aggressive upward trend, Gold continues to showcase strength in the face of global market uncertainty, signaling strong demand.
Analyzing the 1-hour timeframe, we observe that the price is trading within an ascending channel pattern. This setup indicates a steady upward trend, with the potential for price pullbacks that may create new higher lows along the way. This pattern suggests that Gold is likely to continue its upward movement after minor corrections, with the next key resistance level in sight at 2800.000.
Traders should monitor this level closely, as a break above 2800 could indicate further bullish extension. However, it's crucial to watch for any pullbacks that may test previous support levels within the channel, presenting potential buying opportunities.
Trade safely and stay wise! Always ensure your risk management strategies are in place. Gold’s high volatility can bring both significant gains and risks. Stay updated, stay prepared, and may your trades be profitable.
Gold Next Move | 1h Time FrameMarket Overview: In our view, XAU/USD will likely start the week on a positive note, heading for resistance at 2758. Price action for the pair on the 1-hour timeframe shows a Break of Structure (BOS), which depicts a strong bull in the market.
Trade Strategy:
Entry Point:
Consider buying the market as soon as it opens as close to the present price level as can be, plus any pullbacks to confirm the uptrend.
Target Level:
Target 2758. Do not go into this level blindly, as you may get turned around if the price action shows a reversal at this level.
Post-Target Action:
Bear in mind that when the target of 2758 is hit, your bias should be for a sell position. Looking for a shift in market sentiment should provide a good entry for short trades post hitting the target.
Tips for Execution:
Confirmation: Enter your long positions after making use of such technicals as RSI and MACD that exhibit the buying pressure.
Risk Management: Implement stop-loss in orders below the last three recent swing highs in order to guard against opposition price movements.
Market Sentiment: Always be aware of economic events and geopolitical news that may affect the prices of gold and alter your strategy.
Review and Adjust: Do not open a sell position immediately after hitting the target. Wait for the utterly bullish markets to subside first.
Lingrid | GOLD slows DOWN: Identifying OPPORTUNITY to Buy OANDA:XAUUSD formed a deeper pullback following the news release yesterday and has since bounced off a support level, which may indicate a potential entry into a consolidation phase. With another packed schedule of news events today, we could see volatile moves and spikes in the market. I anticipate that the market may pull back to take liquidity below the previous day's low and potentially retest the psychological level at 2700 before moving upward. My goal is resisatnce zone around 2770
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Buy opportunity for xau/usdBuy position for gold
In this analysis, the price hit the price floor of 2731
It is expected to enter in the range of 2758 with the rising price and make a good profit up to 2771
Good luck, I hope you have experienced a profitable week and have a good week ahead
✌️
Gold can continues to grow inside upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. By observing the chart, we can see that the price a few moments ago started to grow inside the upward channel, where it at once rose to the resistance line and then made a correction movement. Next, the price continued to grow and later reached the resistance line of the channel again, which coincided with the current buyer zone, after which rebounded to the support line of the channel. Then Gold rebounded from this line to the resistance line of the upward channel, thereby breaking the 2605 support level, and also later exited from the channel. Price little grew and then started to decline, and in a short time fell to the support level. After this, Gold started to grow inside another upward channel, where it bounced from the support line and rose to the 2730 level. Price long time traded between this level, trying to break it, and later finally broke the 2730 level. After this, Gold rose to almost the resistance line of the channel, but not long time ago turned around and fell to the support area. At the moment, I think that the price can correct to support the line of the channel and then continue to grow inside the channel. For this reason, I set my TP at 2825 points, which coincides with the resistance line of the upward channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Will GOLD (XAUUSD) Drop Lower?We observed two notable bearish breakouts in 📉Gold on the intraday and daily charts.
First, the price broke through a key daily horizontal support level. Furthermore, it closed below a critical ascending trend line.
This breakdown of both horizontal and vertical structures has now established an expanding supply zone.
Short positions are recommended from this zone, with expectations for a continued bearish trend targeting 2720.
GOLD old prices rose and are set to achieve weekly and monthly gains, driven by increased demand.
REUTERS
Additionally, Citibank's research unit has raised its three-month gold price forecast to $2,800 per ounce, citing potential further deterioration in the U.S. labor market and possible interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could boost demand for gold.
INVESTOPEDIA
Based on this information, the current trend for gold prices appears to be upward.
Gold Out lookWe have a mixed overview on gold as todays market opening has gone against our anylisis but as i always say no one is perfect in this market there is a probability Rati in this game so we are still bullish over gold but as gd is moving in a Minor 1H channel and has is consolidating in the channel we will be looking for buys when the pair breaks the channel above and currently its moving to its 4H Support level if price rejects the level and moved back and breaks above the newely formed resistance level of 2740-44 we will seek a bullish position as the price is consolidating we are bearish to 4H Support
Gold Out LookAs we had a rally upward last week and got tons of Profits following Technicals as well as this week is concerned still bullish in GOLD
Confluences
Price is following a bullish channel and show some rejection from channel last week
50 SMA on H1 is also bullish
From Monthly to weekly to daily to H4 to H1 to M30 to M15 gold is all bullish
Geopolitical situations are also in favour of Gold price as Iran and Israel tension has escalated last week closing we can see a rally upwards
So gold is bullish and we are too bullish on Gold if Price breaks above 2752 level of previous ATH it will go bullish to its physiological level
Gold increased before the US presidential electionWorld gold prices increased, with spot gold increasing by 12.5 USD to 2,788.1 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,798.6 USD/ounce, up 17.5 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold continues to benefit as uncertainty ahead of the US presidential election boosts shelter demand for this precious metal. According to RJO Futures senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis, there are many factors that are supporting gold and could push prices higher. He predicted that the price of this precious metal could reach 2,850 USD/ounce.
Saxo Bank's head of commodity strategy Ole Hansen said that gold prices increased due to uncertainty related to the election results and the market is pricing in further interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). again next week. He emphasized that the weakness of the greenback is also supporting gold.
According to OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong, the results of the US election have an impact on gold. He believes that, soon, spot gold will face resistance at $2,800/ounce, then $2,826/ounce.
Currently, the US presidential election has entered a sprint race, with recent polls showing that the race for the White House is still very fierce. The gap between the two candidates, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, is extremely tight.
XAUUSD LONG AND SHORTI will do day trading in xauusd with target 100 pips per day and max drawdown 3% of total equity
How to Find Key Levels on Gold XAUUSD Chart Easily
In this short article, you will learn how to find powerful levels on a gold chart.
I will explain to you what is a key level, how to apply it in trading. We will discuss key levels and different time frames, valid and invalid key levels. I will share with you a lot of useful trading tips.
First, let's start with a definition of a key level.
Key level is a single important historic price level on the chart,
from where a significant price movement initiated.
Usually, key levels are based on the edges of candlestick wicks.
Look at Gold chart on a 4H time frame.
I underlined a key level. You can see how strong was a bullish reaction to that. The price tested that level, bounced up and formed a long wick.
Key levels that are above current prices will be called resistances .
We will assume that sellers are placing their selling orders there.
Above is the example of a key resistance on Gold on an hourly time frame.
The price tested 2479 level, dropped rapidly and formed a long wick.
From a key resistance level, a bearish movement is expected.
Key levels that are below current prices will be called supports.
We will assume that buyers are placing their buying orders there.
That is the example of a key support level on Gold chart on a daily.
From a key support level a bullish movement is expected.
Key levels that are lying close to each other will compose support and resistance clusters.
Look at 2 key support levels on Gold on a 4H time frame.
These 2 levels are lying very close to each other and compose a support cluster.
3 key resistance above will compose a resistance cluster on Gold on a daily time frame, because these levels lye close to each other.
With time, the market tends to break key levels.
If the price violated a key support level and closes below that, it turns into a resistance level.
Look at a breakout of key support on an hourly time frame on Gold chart.
After a candle close below that, the broken key level turned into resistance.
If the price violates a key resistance level and closes above that, it turns into a support level.
Above is a recently broken horizontal resistance on Gold on a 4H time frame. After a breakout, that key level turned into support.
Key levels tend to lose their significance with time.
Key level that is broken by the buyers and the sellers or vice versa loses the status of a key level.
The underlined level was a significant resistance in the past.
However, the market stopped respecting this level and it lost its importance.
Remember that you can find key levels on any time frame.
But key levels are not equal in their significance.
Key levels that are spotted on higher time frame will be stronger than key levels that are spotted on lower time frames.
On the chart on the left, I underlined key support and resistance levels on a daily time frame on Gold.
While on the right, I market key support and resistance levels on a 4H time frame.
Daily structures will be considered to be more significant structures.
Hence, the market reaction to such structures tend to be stronger.
In comparison to support and resistance areas,
key levels provide the safest points to look for a trading opportunity from.
Once you spotted a confirmation after a test of a key level,
simply set your stop loss below a support or above a resistance.
You will have a very good reward to risk ratio.
Key levels play a crucial role in technical analysis of Gold.
No matter whether you are day trader, scalper, swing trader or investor, key levels is the first thing that you should always start your analysis from.
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