Gold Trade Plan 12/05/2025Dear Traders,
The upward trend in gold continues. Considering the news from the U.S. and China, if the price breaks above the 3370 level and stabilizes above it, the bullish trend will continue. Otherwise, I expect a pullback to the 3270 level or lower.
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Alireza
XAUUSD trade ideas
XAU/USD Analysis: Chart Indicates Elevated VolatilityXAU/USD Analysis: Chart Indicates Elevated Volatility
The XAU/USD chart shows that the ATR (Average True Range) indicator has reached its highest level in several weeks, signalling increased market volatility.
In addition, trading activity is being fuelled by heightened geopolitical tensions, now including an escalation of the conflict between India and Pakistan.
The price action analysis of the precious metal also provides valuable insight, highlighting the ongoing battle between supply and demand.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
On 23 April, we noted a sharp shift in sentiment after the price of XAU/USD peaked around $3,500.
Gold price fluctuations today suggest continued bearish pressure above $3,400, leading to a downward reversal at peak B, which sits below the previous high at A.
This forms the basis for outlining a descending channel and suggests that bears may attempt to keep the price within its boundaries. On the other hand, the $3,333 level was decisively broken by a wave of buying (shown with a blue arrow), and a bullish “cup and handle” pattern is emerging in the background — it is possible that, as part of the May rally, bulls may try to surpass peak B.
Whatever the outcome, elevated volatility appears likely to persist — especially with the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision due today at 21:00 GMT+3, followed by Jerome Powell’s press conference at 21:30.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Analysis: China - U.S Tariffs Talks and NFP ImpactGold Analysis: China - U.S Tariffs Talks and NFP Impact
Earlier today, China's Ministry of Commerce said it signaled a possible easing of tensions in the US-China trade war. Talks are still ongoing and this is creating a softer environment for gold to cool off from its strength.
On the other hand, today we also have the NFP data and, in relation to the data, the market is expected to anticipate a possible rate cut by the FED during the upcoming meeting, as well as new comments regarding their upcoming decisions.
This could be a strong reason why the GOLD continues to lose its bullish momentum.
However, do not forget that it moves up and down in a strange way most of the time. The current situation is bearish and nothing has changed so far. Even if the NFP data will be in line or less than expectations, I do not think that GOLD should rise for this reason. This is gold, it moves when you least expect it to happen
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
GOLD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3263.7
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3249.1
Safe Stop Loss - 3271.6
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold trend analysis: Don't chase the rise in the US marketThe 1-hour moving average of gold begins to turn, so the unilateral decline of gold has temporarily come to an end. However, the rise of gold has reached the key resistance area in the early stage, which is the starting point of the early stage near 3330. It is obviously not appropriate to chase long at this position, so the short-term may begin to adjust. Gold will go short near 3300 in the US market. The market changes rapidly. If gold breaks upward and does not fall back, there will be no opportunity to go long. There is no need to chase gold. Go short first and wait for the decline and adjustment.
Gold strategy: It is recommended to go short at 3325-28, stop loss at 3337, and target at 3308-3295-3280;
XAU/USD (Gold) H1 Breakout (29.04.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3158
2nd Support – 3025
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GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3260 and a gap below at 3217. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. EMA5 is lagging below 3306 so will need a close above and then below to confirm.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3260
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3260 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3308
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3340
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3382
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3382 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3217
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3217 WILL OPEN THE BEARISH TARGETS
3174
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3174 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3126
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3078 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3034 - 2979
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
It’s the right time to go shortLast week, gold came under pressure at the key resistance of 3356 and then fluctuated downwards. The market jumped short and opened low, directly breaking through the support to a low of 3259, and the daily line continued the downward trend. The current market is in the daily level adjustment stage, but the downward momentum is strong and the risk of breaking continues to accumulate. From a technical perspective, 3280 constitutes a short-term upward resistance. If the rebound is blocked, you can still choose to arrange short orders; there is strong support near 3240 below, and it is necessary to pay attention to whether this position can be effectively broken to confirm the accelerated decline. On the news side, the easing of the Sino-US tariff situation has weakened the market's risk aversion sentiment. In addition, the bullish momentum of gold has been exhausted after the previous consecutive rises, and the recent weak and volatile pattern has become prominent.
Gold recommendation: short near 3280-3290, target 3270-3260.
Learn KEY PRINCIPLES of Technical Analysis in Gold Forex Trading
In the today's article, we will discuss the absolute basics of trading - 3 key principles of technical analysis in Forex & Gold Trading.
1️⃣History Repeats
History tends to repeat itself in the Forex market.
Certain trends are cyclical and may reemerge in a predictable manner, certain key levels are respected again and again over time.
Take a look at the example:
Silver perfectly respected a historical horizontal resistance in 2011 that was respected in 1980 already. Moreover, the price action before and after the tests of the underlined zone were absolutely identical.
2️⃣Priced In
All relevant information about a currency pair: economical and political events, rumors, and facts; is already reflected in a price.
When the FED increased the rate 26th of July by 25 bp, EURUSD bounced instead of falling. Before the rate hike, the market was going down on EXPECTATIONS of a rate hike. The release of the news was already price in.
3️⃣Pattern DO Work
Some specific price models can be applied for predicting the future price movements.
Technicians strongly believe that certain formations - being applied and interpreted properly, can give the edge on the market.
Depending on the trading style, different categories of patterns exist: harmonic patterns, price action patterns, wave patterns, candlestick patterns...
Above, I have listed various price action patterns that are applied by many traders and investors as the main tool for analyzing the financial markets.
If you believe in these 3 principles, you are an inborn technician!
Study technical analysis and learn to apply these principles to make money in trading.
b]❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold on a declineTechnical analysis: Even though the Price-action invalidated the Lower High’s (Hourly 4 chart’s) Ascending Triangle trendline, it failed to test the #3,200.80 benchmark / acting as an first Medium-term Support zone, so Technically Gold is is still near Lower High’s Lower zone extension, and if Price-action closes the session above #3,200.80 benchmark, Gold will be Targeting #3,300.80 benchmark / fractal on yet another Buying sequence. If however #3,200.80 - #3,192.80 first Short and Medium-term Support gets invalidated, then the Hourly 1 chart’s variance of #3,152.80 benchmar should be tested, in case of Bearish sequence below, Price-action will be calling for #3,100.80 final line of the defence and as discussed, possible Stabilization zone ahead of possible relief rally. Subsequently, previous Hourly 4 chart’s Support of #3,252.80 benchmark was firmly broken and current configuration pointed out to a new bigger proportion downtrend, where Fundamentals are confirming the as well the speculative downtrend in continuation.
My position: Gold found the Support almost delivering Double Bottom formation and market closing is on main stage. Either closing above #3,200.80 benchmark and #3,300.80 re-test or DX delivering Buying sequence in extension / in that case Gold eyes decline in continuation.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3282 and a gap below at 3224. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3224
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3224 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING RETRACEMENT RANGE
3190
3138
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3138 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3088 - 3046
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3046 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3015 - 2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
The bull market ends and gold continues to fallGold is currently trading around $3310, facing strong resistance near the )$3320–$3330) zone after a sharp upward move. I am supporting a SELL bias, anticipating a potential rejection from resistance and a move to the downside.
📈Key Resistance:$3330 A key level where I expect sellers to step in.
📈Major Resistance Zone: $3330–$3340 – If broken, further upside is possible, but this zone remains a strong barrier for now.
📉Bearish Targets:
📉Target 1: $3290 Initial support and short-term profit zone.
📉Target 2: $3264 Deeper pullback level.
📉Target 3: $3242 Final target before reaching major demand.
📉Support Area: $3220 $3210
A high-probability demand zone where buyers may defend the level and sellers could take profit.
📊Outlook: I remain bearish as long as price holds below $3330. A clear rejection from this area would strengthen the bearish case. A break above $3340 would invalidate the setup and shift focus to the bullish side.
I know that many people are losing their accounts or opinions due to the sudden rise and fall of their accounts. If you are a novice or you need some free professional advice, please contact me. I hope to help you.
Valid or fake out? - [1H] formationHere is what I noticed—let me know if this aligns with your perspective or if you see something different.
📌 Wave Structure Alignment
Wave A → C → E show corrective declines within the contracting triangle.
Wave B → D retrace in a controlled manner, respecting contraction limits.
Price tightening near 3392 - 3360, signaling absorption before a breakout move.
📌 Fibonacci Relationship Check
Wave A retraced ~38.2% - 61.8% of the previous impulse move.
Wave B & C followed standard corrective depths (~50% - 78.6%), aligning with expected fib levels.
Wave E represents the final squeeze (~38.2% - 61.8% of Wave D), acting as a breakout trigger.
📌 Liquidity Positioning & Institutional Play
Bullish Breakout Potential: A strong push above 3417 could activate momentum toward 3440 - 3510, but only if absorption transitions into expansion.
Bearish Breakdown Risk: If price rejects 3392, expect a liquidity grab driving price into 3303 - 3370 range.
💡 Verdict: What to Watch Next
The triangle structure appears valid, following typical Fibonacci relationships and smart money positioning. However, the breakout direction remains uncertain—monitor liquidity behavior closely before confirming entry.
📌 Key Levels in Play
🔹 3378 Retest: A crucial resistance zone—failure to reclaim suggests strong sell pressure.
🔹 Break Above: If buyers absorb selling pressure, the move could extend past 3385 pivot, favoring bulls.
🔹 Failure to Hold: A rejection at 3378 could induce fast liquidation, sending price toward 3363 and below.
🔥 Smart Money Perspective
Institutions may test 3378 multiple times before deciding the next move.
If absorption strengthens , price may lean bullish.
If rejection dominates , expect a fast downward sweep into 3339 - 3326 range.
The liquidity game is in play—what’s your take on this setup? Anything you’d fine-tune based on current order flow? 🚀🔥 Would love to hear your perspective!
Gold Narrative OverviewGold remains in a long-term and medium-term uptrend, while currently showing signs of a short-term pullback. Given this context, the most logical stance is to continue looking for buying opportunities. However, price has reached rather extreme levels after a sharp and uninterrupted rally in recent weeks. That’s why I lean toward the expectation of at least a temporary pause followed by a downside correction and the formation of a consolidation phase.
On the local timeframe, I anticipate that the price may continue to move lower through a consolidation, targeting the previous support level around 3,201. While short-term bullish impulses are still possible, I expect the broader move to be downward. This bearish setup would be invalidated if the price breaks above 3,380.
DeGRAM | GOLD held the support line📊 Technical Analysis
● OANDA:XAUUSD tagged the purple support line at $3 300 inside the green demand zone, then printed a bullish engulfing candle.
● Price is climbing within the rising‑channel mid‑band; reclaiming the black support level $3 360 should propel gold to the upper resistance level near $3 500. Long view void on a close below $3 200.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Fed Vice‑Chair Jefferson signalled rates are “sufficiently restrictive” amid cooling CPI base effects, pressuring real yields and the USD.
✨ Summary
Channel‑base rebound plus strong Asian demand and a dovish Fed backdrop support a short‑term long: targets $3 360 → $3 500; invalidate under $3 200.
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Falling towards pullback support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to he 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,361.29
1st Support: 3,310.00
1st Resistance: 3,490.34
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Trade Plan 06/05/2025Dear Traders,
price broken 3320 (Means Market will continue Upward movement)
i expect price will be continue upward movement to 3400-3420 Area Today ,
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Gold Potential Reversal | XAU/USD Intraday SetupChart Analysis (Gold - XAU/USD, 15-Minute Timeframe):
Trend: After a strong bearish move, price has reacted from a key support zone.
Volume: High volume during the drop may indicate a stop hunt or panic sell.
Structure: A potential double bottom or bullish reversal pattern is forming.
Setup Idea: Price bounced near the 3,275 zone. The chart suggests a bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows expected.
Entry Zone: Around 3,275.
Stop Loss: Below 3,258.
Take Profit: Targeting the 3,335–3,340 area.
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Description:
Gold shows signs of a potential bullish reversal after a sharp drop and bounce from support. Volume spike and price structure hint at recovery. Targeting the 3,335+ zone with SL below 3,258. This chart is for educational purposes only—always use proper risk management.